Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-07-23 | Magic v. Nets -10.5 | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. The Nets are sitting in sixth place in the East, just a game in front of the Miami Heat. With both teams playing tonight, there is little margin for error. The Magic are expected to roll out their backups, resting their starters in what is a meaningless game for them. The Nets are coming off a 15-point win at Detroit, and they figure to roll here at home in a game with massive playoff implications.. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-06-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -6.5 | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. Denver has already locked up the best record in the West, and home court advantage until the Finals. They have nothing to prove here in Phoenix, so we expect Jamal Murray and Joker to be rested. The Suns have won six straight, and they are still developing chemistry with KD. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Suns average margin of victory on their current win streak is greater than 13 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-02-23 | Jazz v. Nets -8.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. So who won the Kyrie Irving trade?? I guess it's pretty clear that Brooklyn is on the better end of that deal. The Mavs have dropped out of the playoffs, while the Nets are not only in the playoffs, it looks like they can also avoid the play in. A home game against a Utah team that is without at least three starters should be a blowout. The Nets have covered in six straight, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Hurricanes were down by a dozen with just over 10 minutes to go in their Elite-8 win over Texas. They tied the score five minutes later, and never looked back. Miami simply couldn't miss, and Texas just collapsed. I don't see that happening here in the Final Four versus UCONN. Keep in mind that this team started the season 13-0, and that included a win over Alabama. They were ranked #2 in the country. The Huskies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, four time National Champions, and they are in the Final Four for the sixth time. They appear to be destined to go to the Final. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Memphis. So the Grizzlies own the best home record in the NBA, and now Ja Morant is back and coming off a 27-point performance in a win over Atlanta. A home game against Orlando looks like a good spot to back one of the hottest teams in the NBA. This is a let down spot for the Magic, coming off three straight home wins. The Magic are 13-24 on the road, and they lost their last game in Memphis by 28 points last March. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-27-23 | Pelicans -8.5 v. Blazers | 124-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are as healthy as they have been all season, and they come into Portland as winners of four straight. They beat the Clippers by 20 on Saturday, and now they catch the Blazers who are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to Oklahoma City Sunday. The Blazers are banged up, with the majority of their starting lineup sidelined by injury. Damian Lillard has already packed it in for the season, and the lineup is likely to consist of 2nd and 3rd stringers tonight. The Pelicans have won five of the last six meetings, and all five of those wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-23 | Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks | 130-143 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Indiana. The Hawks host the Pacers and both Tre Young and DeAndre Hunter are questionable to play on Saturday. The line indicates they will both be in the lineup, but regardless it seems like 10.5 points is a bit much. The Pacers have covered in three of their last four versus Atlanta, and they lost 131-128 in their last game at Atlanta. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Hawks have failed to cover in seven of their last eight after a two day layoff. I'll take the points here with a Pacers team that is technically still alive in the playoff hunt. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SJST. My CBI Game of the Year was a winner on San Jose State, and they didn't disappoint. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Screaming Eagles: "I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch." This Radford team has taken a major step back since their improbable NCAA Tournament run, and I think they are biting off more than they can chew here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Rockets | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NO. So the Pelicans are coming off a 114-112 loss at Houston, and they play the second of a two game series at the Toyota Center. Even after winning three straight home games, the Rockets still have twice as many home losses as they have wins. The Pelicans had won seven of eight straight up versus Houston prior to Friday's game. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Rockets, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven at Houston. I like the visitors in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -108 | 42 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Auburn. If Houston was healthy there would be no way I would want Auburn here. Houston is not healthy, so here I am taking an underdog in the NCAA Tourney. The Cougars just barely escaped their first round matchup versus Northern Kentucky, and leading scorer Marcus Sasser left the game after re-aggravating his groin injury. He says he will play today, but he won't be 100 percent. Jamal Shead is the Cougars starting PG, and while he does not appear on the injury report, he claims to have tweaked his knee against NKU. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJST. I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -8.5 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. The Wildcats are the #3 seed in the East Region, ahead of Duke, Kentucky and Tennessee. We all know that underdogs shock the world in the first round of the NCAA Tournament year after year, but judging by conversations I hear at the water cooler in the office, I don't think you're average Joe actually knows the historical prevalence of such upsets. The fact is that #3 seeds have won 85% of their first round matchups since 1985. The Wildcats come in as one of the top teams in the best conference in the country. They have wins over Kansas, Baylor, Texas and TCU. Montana State won the BIG SKY, but their non conference schedule included two games against an opponent from a major conference. They lost by 20+ points to both Arizona and Oregon. It's hard for me to justify a single digit point spread in this matchup. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 81 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAY. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #3 seeds have won 85 percent of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 14 points per game. I expect a major correction on Day 2 of the tournament, and I'll take one of the top teams from the best conference in the country as a double digit favorite in a spot where they should be asked to cover a 15 point spread (IMO). The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -10.5 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEN. The Vols were 10-3 in their non-conference schedule, with wins over Kansas, Maryland and Texas. They are one of just five teams that beat Alabama this year, and they ranked first in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 58 points per game. Tennessee didn't finish the season strong, and they look vulnerable to an upset at some point in the tournament, but I don't think it's gonna happen against a Sun Belt team in the first round. The Ragin Cajuns played one ranked team this year, losing by 28 to Texas. Asking the Vols to win this game by double digits seems reasonable. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -6 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Wildcats won their PAC12 Semi Final game against Arizona State by 19 points. They then defeated UCLA in the Final to become PAC12 Champions. Their non conference schedule was no cake walk, with games against Tennessee, Indiana, Creighton and San Diego State. That didn't stop them from going 12-0 in non-conference games. Princeton didn't play any ranked teams, in fact they didn't play any teams from a Power Five conference. This should be a mismatch from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Memphis. The Cougars have won seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, but they have failed to cover in all but one of those games. These teams played just a week ago, and Memphis lost by two with Houston hitting the winner at the buzzer. Leading scorer Marcus played 37 minutes in that game, but he missed yesterday's game against Cincinnati. He will either miss this game, or he will be limited by a groin injury. With Houston's spot in the tournament secure, I see no reason for them to rush him back. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. I'll take the points, and sprinkle a little on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. Texas A&M | 75-87 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VANDY. I had Vandy yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their game against Kentucky: "Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games." Now I also had Texas A&M yesterday, and I do think the Aggies deserve to come into this game as the favorite. I am not about to step in front of the hottest team in the country here, so I'll take Vandy plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-10-23 | Vanderbilt +7 v. Kentucky | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, while the Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The underdog is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-09-23 | Villanova +5.5 v. Creighton | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Villanova. These two teams split the season series, but even when Villanova lost at Creighton it was a close game decided by five points. The Wildcats at the end of the season were not the same team as they were at the beginning of the season. Villanova won six of it's last eight games, and the Wildcats covered the spread in four of their last five. History favors Villanova as the underdog is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-08-23 | Oklahoma +2 v. Oklahoma State | 49-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Oklahoma. The Sooners already lost twice to the Cowboys this season, but things could be different here. Oklahoma State lost five of their last six games, with the only win coming by three points against a Texas Tech team that just suspended their coach. The Cowboys have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game in their last five. The Sooners were 3-3 in their final six games of the season, five of those games versus ranked teams. They beat #12 K-State, #23 Iowa State, #22 TCU and they lost by just two points at #6 Texas. The Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, while the Cowboys have failed to cover in four straight at neutral sites. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -6.5 | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. I gotta fade the Grizzlies in this spot, as this team is in complete shambles. Ja Morant is suspended for not just playing with a gun in a nightclub, but posting it on Intagram like an ever bigger fool. Dillon Brooks and Brandon Clarke are out with injuries, so there goes three of their top five scorers. Additionally leading rebounder Steven Adams hasn't played since January. The Clippers are healthy, but they've lost five straight since bringing in Russ Westbrick. I didn't like the move, and I still don't like it. That said a motivated team at full strength at home looking to break out of a slump should get it done against a shorthanded Memphis team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-05-23 | Houston v. Memphis +6 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. I like the home dog here. I really think the Tigers will be up for this final home game against Conference champs Houston. I don't see any reason for the Cougars to get fired up about this game as they get geared up for tournament season. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and last year Memphis won at home by a score of 75-61. They lost at Houston by just eight points a few weeks ago, asking them to cover six here seems very reasonable. Don't be surprised if the Tigers win outright, a sprinkle on the ML is probably a good idea. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 138-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SAC. Both these teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but the Kings won at home 128-127 versus the Clippers last night, and they don't have to travel. Minnesota played in LA, and will be playing a fourth straight game on the road tonight. The Kings are a young team that might not mind playing on back to back nights, as evidenced by the fact that they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing the second of a back to back. Minnesota has failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DEN. It's tough to bet against a Denver team that is 28-4 at home, and in a series that has seen the home team win seven of the last eight meetings. The Nuggets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, while Memphis has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the West, so both teams should get up for the game. That doesn't bode well for the Grizzlies. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-02-23 | Memphis v. SMU +7 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SMU. The Mustangs got off to a rough start in the American, but they've been playing a lot better down the stretch. They catch Memphis at the end of the season with a home game against #1 ranked Houston on deck, and the Tigers could get caught looking ahead here. The Mustangs are averaging over 75 points per game in their last five overall, just slightly more than Memphis during that span. While they have won just twice in their last six overall, their only loss during that span that came by more than five points was against Houston. The Tigers are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall and they have failed to cover in eight of their last 10 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-26-23 | Nets v. Hawks -5 | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Hawks. So after firing their coach, the Hawks came out of the All Star break and crushed a very good Cleveland team winning 136-119 at home. The Nets on the other hand lost by 40+ at Chicago. Often when a team gets blown out like that, you want to come back with them in their next game. Perhaps not a team with a completely new starting five that hasn't had time to gel. Not a team that is in the middle of a chaotic rebuild after trading away Kyrie and KD. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Brooklyn, and they have covered in seven of the last nine overall meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-25-23 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ. | |||||||
02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5 | Top | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Drexel. The Dragons host Northeastern in their final home game of the season, and they have owned this team in recent years. Drexel defeated the Huskies by 21 points on the road earlier this season. They won at home versus Northeastern by 16 points last February. They are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series over the last three seasons. The Huskies are coming off a home win over Conference bottom feeder CWM, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win. Drexel lost it's last game at Hampton, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-19-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +1.5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats sit above Iowa in the BIG10 standings, and they are 12-4 overall at home. Their last two home games were outright wins over Purdue and Indiana, and yet unranked Iowa comes in as a favorite. It might have something to do with the fact that Iowa has won nine straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2017. That's something not likely lost by the Wildcats who look like they should be the favorite in this game. The Hawkeyes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Iowa is just 3-5 SU on the road. Wrong team favored! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-19-23 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 55-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. Ohio State is reeling! They have lost 12 of their last 13 overall and they are 1-8 SU on the road. They aren't just losing, they are getting blown out. The Buckeyes have covered the spread just once in their last 12 games, and they have failed to cover in seven straight on the road. Asking the Boilermakers to win by double digits here doesn't seem unreasonable at all. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -8 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on IOWA. The Buckeyes are now 1-11 in their last 12 games overall. They are coming off a 21-point home loss to Michigan State, and now they are playing on the road at Iowa Thursday. This is a revenge game for the Hawkeyes who lost 93-77 at Ohio State in January. Ohio State has struggled to score, averaging just 60 points per game in their last five overall. That's 20 points [er game less than Iowa has scored during that same span. The Hawkeyes are 12-2 SU at home, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points in those games. The Buckeyes have failed to cover in six straight road games, and they are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-15-23 | Indiana v. Northwestern +1.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on NW. So I had Michigan on Saturday, and they lost 62-61 at home to Indiana. The Wolverines failed to score in the final five minutes of that game. I want to go against the Hoosiers again here as they are the favorite on the road at Northwestern. The Wildcats are 11-4 at home, while Indiana has a losing record on the road. These two teams have the exact same record overall and in conference. Northwestern is 3-1 straight up in the last four versus Indiana, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I think this is a situation where the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-10-23 | Cavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are 20-9 at home, and they are coming off three straight home wins over LA, Atlanta and Sacramento. Sure Zion is on the shelf with an injury, but you would think they would be used to that by now. The good news is that Brandon Ingram is back, and he's averaged over 30 points in his last three starts. He struggled in his first three games back from injury, but he appears to be firing on all cylinders now. The Cavs are mediocre on the road (12-16) and they are 0-4 SU in their last four at New Orleans. The Cavs are coming off a home win over Detroit, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. This looks like the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-08-23 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +10.5 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vanderbilt. | |||||||
02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4.5 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. | |||||||
02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAKE. The Tar Heels come in as Blue Blood road favorites here, despite their 2-5 road record. They have lost back to back games at Wake in 2022 and 2020. The home team is 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. The Tar Heels are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they have failed to cover in four straight on the road versus a team with a winning home record. The Demon Deacons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and this appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-06-23 | Clippers -6 v. Nets | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers are rolling, coming into Brooklyn as winners of seven of their last nine. When both Kawhi and Paul George are healthy, this is still one of the most formidable teams in the NBA. The Nets are moving on from Kyrie Irving, and that will shake up the lineup here tonight. While we aren't sure if Spencer Dinwiddie or Dorian Finley Smith will play, we are sure that Durant, Curry and Simmons will not. The Nets are 17-40-2 ATS in their last 59 home games, and they are likely to struggle to keep up to the Clippers with a bunch of backups. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-05-23 | Raptors +5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-04-23 | Hawks v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 108-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-02-23 | Stanford v. Utah -6.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UTAH. The Utes are just a game out of first place in the PAC12, and they host bottom feeders Stanford tonight. I have to believe Utah is at least 7-points better than Stanford. They beat the Cardinal by a score of 71-66 at Stanford earlier this season. Stanford comes in off four straight home wins, most recently against last place California. The Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Utes have outscored opponents by an average margin of 17 points while going 10-3 at home. The home team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-30-23 | Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. The Wizards have won five straight, and they are 11-5 in their last 16 overall. They are in San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs have lost five straight and 10 of their last 11. Their last game was a 128-118 OT loss at home versus Phoenix. The Spurs have failed to cover in four straight, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a loss. The Wizards have covered in four straight road games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. The conclusion is that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, giving us value backing the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -3 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Wolverines are 1-3 SU on the road, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six game overall. They are at Penn State, and the Nittany Lions are 10-1 SU at home, and have covered in 18 of their last 24 home games. Penn State is coming off a blowout loss at Rutgers, and the Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Michigan has failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-28-23 | Suns -6 v. Spurs | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the SUNS. I had Phoenix in their last game, and it was a disappointing loss to the Mavs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding." The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -4.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Magic are coming off a blowout win over the Celtics, and they are .500 at home. They host a Pacers team playing the second game of a back to back without their leading scorer. Indiana is 8-16 SU on the road this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. They Pacers haven't covered any of their games since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury. The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they have won three of their last four home games by more than four points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-23 | St. Joe's v. George Washington -4 | 91-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GW. The Colonials will be a short home favorite versus St. Joe's on Wednesday, and some might think this looks like a let down spot coming off a win over Dayton. It might be a bigger let down for the Red Hawks who have won three straight versus conference bottom feeders UMass, LaSalle and Loyola Chicago. The Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost three of their last four at George Washington. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and this looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-24-23 | Hornets v. Suns -6.5 | 97-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Suns are still dealing with more than their share of injuries, but CP3 returned and scored 22 points in a home win over Memphis over the weekend. The Suns are still 17-7 at home, and they have won their last two games versus Charlotte by a combined 65 points. The Hornets are coming off an 18 point loss at Utah, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are just 8-19 SU on the road, and they should be looking at another double digit loss here in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-24-23 | Ohio State v. Illinois -3.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. The Buckeyes have lost five of eight games in the BIG10, and they have lost four of five on the road. They might not have leading rebounder Zed Key for tonight's game in Illinois, as his status is questionable with a lower body injury. They are coming off a home win over Iowa, and they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Illinois is 9-2 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 home games. This looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-22-23 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 96-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I bet against the Pelicans in their last game, and here is what I said before their loss at Orlando: "The Pelicans are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost five of their last seven overall. They have three starters out of the lineup, including two of their top three scorers. Their last game was a 26 point home loss to the Miami Heat." Now they are on the road in Miami just a few days later, and two of their three top scorers remain sidelined. The Heat are at full strength, despite dealing with a ton of injuries all year. The Heat are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus New Orleans. The Pelicans have failed to cover in four straight at Miami and they are 5-18 ATS in the last 23 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-21-23 | Magic v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-138 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. I had Orlando last night, and they won easily over a shorthanded New Orleans team at home. Now the Magic play on the road in the second game of a back to back in Washington. The Wizards have won six straight in this series, and five of those six wins came by 6+ points. The Magic are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Magic are 6-16 straight up on the road, and this looks like a tough spot on no rest. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas Tech. Kansas State is coming off an 83-82 home win over Kansas, setting them up for a let down here against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are still looking for their first conference win, but they are healthier now than they have been over the last few weeks. Their last road game was a 72-70 loss at Texas. The Red Raiders are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and three of those wins came at Manhattan. The underdog has covered in five straight in this series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Rams in a matchup between two teams sitting at the bottom of the standings in the Mountain West. While both teams have just one conference win, the Rebels losses have come against Mountain West powerhouses San Diego State, Boise State and on the road at San Jose State. The Rams on the other hand are coming off a double digit home loss to Air Force. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Rebels are coming off a home loss to Boise State, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-23 | Gonzaga v. BYU +7 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BYU. This will be the third consecutive road game for Gonzaga, after beating San Francisco by two points, and winning 81-76 at Santa Clara. Despite being 5-18-3 ATS in their last 26 games overall, they are asked to cover another big number on the road at BYU. I don't think the markets have yet caught up to the fact that this Gonzaga team is no longer in the elite class it has been in recent seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-23 | St. Peter's v. Siena -7.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Siena. The Saints are undefeated in the MAAC, and they host St. Peters on Friday. This isn't the same Peacocks team that made noise in the NCAA Tournament last year. The Peacocks are 2-3 in the MAAC, and their wins have come against Manhattan and Quinnipiac, two of the worst teams in the country. St. Peters has failed to cover in eight straight road games, and the home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Providence. The Huskies are no longer invincible, coming off their first loss of the season on the road at #22 ranked Xavier. They will be asked to cover a sizable number here on the road at unranked Providence. History favors the Friars, who are unbeaten at home, and unbeaten in the Big East. They have won four of their last five home games versus Connecticut, and the one loss came by a score of 82-79. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and the home team has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-22 | Baylor -1 v. Iowa State | 62-77 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BAY. The Cyclones will be a short home dog against undefeated Baylor, and some will think they look like a sharp play today. Iowa State has covered the spread in four straight meetings, but they have lost six straight and nine of the last 10 in this series. I have this line at -5.5 based on my numbers, and getting the Bears at a pickem is too goo to pass on. Baylor has a starting PG listed as questionable with a concussion, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc is out with a finger injury. The Bears are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ILL. The Missouri Tigers look pretty good with a 10-1 record, until you examine who they beat (10 unranked teams), and how they lost (by 28 points to Kansas). Illinois has played a much tougher schedule, with wins over #2 Texas and #8 UCLA. Mizzouri lost by 26 points in this exact game at this exact venue exactly one year ago (to the day). Illinois has lost five straight versus ranked teams, and four of those losses came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors -5 | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | Ohio +13 v. Florida | 48-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats lost their first four road games, but they are coming off an 81-79 win at Youngstown state for their first road win of the year. They lost by just four points at #20 ranked Michigan in Ann Arbor. This is not a true road game, as they face the Gators in Tampa rather than Gainesville. The Gators are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. This line looks a little inflated considering that the Gators have lost four of their last eight games outright. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | DePaul +1.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons will be an underdog on the road at Duquesne tonight, and you could call this a revenge spot since DePaul beat the Dukes by 20 points in Chicago last year. DePaul has a pair of senior starters that average over 15 points per game. Umoja Gibson is a transfer from Oklahoma, while Javan Johnson transferred from Iowa State midway through last season. The Dukes have lost back to back home games to Marshall and New Mexico State, and both losses came by a double digit margin. The Dukes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, while the Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-22 | Nets -5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Raptors -6.5 v. Magic | 99-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -1 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on VT. The Hokies are 9-1, and they are 2-0 in neutral site games. This is an experienced squad with three senior starters all scoring in double digits. They come off a 77-49 win over Dayton, and Grant Basile led all scorers with 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting. The Cowboys are 6-3, coming off a win over Sam Houston. The Cowboys are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. While these teams haven't played since 2012, the Hokies have won four straight versus Oklahoma State. This team won 13 of their last 15 games last season, beating Duke in the Final of the ACC Tournament. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-22 | Wolves +3 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Dayton v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 49-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. This is a revenge spot for the home team, as Dayton beat the Hokies in Ohio last year by a score of 62-57. They didn't fare so well in non-conference road games, losing at SMU and Ole Miss by a combined 16 points. This will be just their second road game this season, losing 60-52 at UNLV last month. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Hokies are 6-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games is 17 points. This should be a double digit win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Lakers v. Raptors -8 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | South Dakota State v. Kent State -7 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KENT. It comes as no surprise that Kent State is off to a good start, with an overall record of 5-2, and a 4-0 home record. They have three senior starters, all scoring in double digits. The Golden Flashes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They host South Dakota State, and the Jack Rabbits have failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. South Dakota State lost two of it's top three scorers from last season via transfer, and the other to graduation. This should prove to be a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Seattle University -9.5 | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. This line looks a little short when you look at the overall body of work for Seattle University. The Redhawks suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Washington over the weekend. They are 5-1 overall, and 3-0 at home. They have outscored opponents by more than 30 points per game at home, and they have faced some strong teams. They won by a dozen in a home win over Portland State, a team that has a pair of wins over the PAC12 already. They also beat a Portland Pilots team by a dozen on the road, and the Pilots have a win over Villanova followed up by a one point loss to Michigan State. The Titans lost their last road game by 16 points at North Dakota, and another double digit defeat should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans | 108-126 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points. | |||||||
11-26-22 | Lakers -3 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Alabama v. Michigan State +4 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MSU. Alabama is powered by a pair of talented freshmen, and they face their first real test here in the Phil Knight Invitational on Thanksgiving. Michigan State has a ton of experience, with their three top scorers all seniors. The Spartans have already faced two teams ranked in the Top 5, winning outright by double digits versus #4 Kentucky and losing by a point to #2 Gonzaga. They also beat unranked Villanova by a bucket. The experience in close games early in the season is invaluable. Alabama is 4-0 versus unranked competition, and the Crimson Tide are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Iowa State v. Villanova -1 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VILL. The 3-0 Cyclones are facing the 2-2 Villanova Wildcats at the Phil Knight Invitational in an afternoon game on Thanksgiving. The Wildcats were 1 bucket away from beating #12 ranked Michigan State at East Lansing. This Villanova team made the Final Four last year, and they bring back plenty of key players from that team. Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-22 | Nets -7 v. 76ers | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FSU. The public is tripping over themselves to bet against the Seminoles here, as they have looked like hot garbage starting the season 0-3. A home game against rivals Florida as a big underdog looks like a good spot to grab the underdog plus the points. The Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus Florida State. I'll roll the dice here and hope FSU can cut down on the turnovers and hit a few more free throws to hang tight in a home game against Florida. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-22 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -15 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies are 3-0 and all three of those wins have come by 20+ points. Last year they won their first five games versus unranked teams all by 20+. Old Dominion is coming off a win over a Div 2 team, after losing by a dozen at Drexel. The Monarchs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. This should be a blowout win for the Hokies who have superior talent and experience. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-22 | Vermont v. USC -11 | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is not the same Vermont team that went 17-1 in conference play last year, and lost by just four points to Alabama in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Finn Sullivan is the only remaining starter from that squad, and he scored just five points in 18 minutes in a loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. The Trojans bounced back after losing their season opener to FGCU, by blowing out Alabama State by 38 points. Senior guard Drew Peterson scored 21 points on 7-of-9 shooting in the victory. USC appears to be undervalued here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -9.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SDSU. The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-22 | George Mason +12.5 v. Auburn | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on GMU. The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $995 |
Ray Monohan | $822 |
Jim Feist | $505 |
ProSportsPicks | $276 |
Marc Lawrence | $253 |
Jack Jones | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $80 |
Big Al McMordie | $66 |
Ross Benjamin | $55 |
Rocky Atkinson | $43 |