Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-15-24 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 8-0 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
San Diego has made a bunch of moves over the past year. One of the moves included the addition of Michael King (3-3, 3.67 ERA,) who’s expected to get the start in today’s game. His stats might not look amazing, but he’s been great. In fact, he went 7 shutout innings in his last start while striking out 11 (against LAD.) This start against Colorado should be easier. On the other hand, the Rockies will have Austin Gomber (0-2, 3.43 ERA) on the bump. His ERA isn’t as bad as one would expect with a winless record. But, he’s winless for a reason. The Rockies simply aren’t that strong once again this year. So far in this series, San Diego has struggled. They badly need this game to finish the series with a four game series up against Atlanta due next. Having said that, I expect them to dominate on Wednesday afternoon in this game against the Rockies. Play the -1.5. Score Prediction: 8-3 Padres. | |||||||
05-14-24 | Rays v. Red Sox -118 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
After losing yesterday’s game, this game is important for the Red Sox to get back on track. Boston actually wasn’t outmatched in the hitting department, they just couldn’t score after the first inning. So far this season, the Red Sox have had the better hitters than the Rays this season. In today’s matchup, I believe that Boston owns the pitching edge as well. Nick Pivetta (1-2, 3.60 ERA) gets the nod for BOS. He was outstanding over his first two starts but was hit around a bit against Atlanta. Having said that, the Rays are not nearly as good as the Braves. On the other hand, Tampa has Aaron Civale (2-3, 5.88 ERA) on the mound. He’s been quite poor, allowing at least a run in every single start to date. Having said all of that, I expect Boston to be ready and for them to win this game at home. They are going to be hungry to get Pivetta the run support he deserves with how good he looks. Give me the Red Sox on Tuesday. Score Prediction: 6-2 Red Sox | |||||||
05-13-24 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
Coming into this new series, both of these teams have been playing under par to begin the season. Arizona especially. Having said that, it’s about time that they start to wake up. On the mound today will be Jordan Montgomery (2-2, 4.70 ERA.) Although his stats aren’t amazing, he’s still a very strong starter. Last year after getting traded to the Rangers, he was outstanding in their World Series run. Expect him to continue to get better as the season gets older. On the other hand, Graham Ashcraft (3-2, 3.84 ERA) gets the nod. Yes, he’s been better than Montgomery. But, he’s playing on a less experienced and younger team. I believe that the DBacks have the edge in both hitting and pitching here today. Therefore, this is my biggest NL bet of May. Hammer Arizona. Score Prediction: 8-4 Diamondbacks. | |||||||
05-12-24 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
While the first two games of this series have been low scoring Atlanta victories, I’m expecting a high scoring finale of this series. The Braves are averaging 5.0 runs per game which puts them at tied for fifth in the Major’s. On the other hand, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game which is still in the top half. Starting today will be Bryce Elder (1-1, 5.28 ERA.) He hasn’t been as good as expected so far which could help provide a spark to a Mets team that is looking to get back to its groove. Talking about NYM, they’ll have Luis Severino (2-2, 2.93 ERA) on the mound. Yes, his numbers look good. But, he’s coming off an outing where he allowed four runs against a weaker Rays lineup. I’ve got the “over” here on Sunday Night. Score Prediction: 8-4 Braves | |||||||
05-12-24 | Astros -108 v. Tigers | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
There’s no doubt that the Houston Astros have had their struggles to begin the season. Their 14-25 record tells most of the story. Having said that, I still don’t believe that they are as bad as they are playing. This team obviously is loaded with talent. They are still just getting used to the way their new managers system. These two teams have split the opening two games of this series and Houston will now lean on Justin Verlander (1-1, 4.43 ERA) to close it out with a win. On the other hand, Jack Flaherty (0-2, 3.86 ERA) will get the nod. I’ll give the edge to both the pitching and batting to Houston in this one. Astros win. Score Prediction: 7-3 Astros | |||||||
05-11-24 | Braves -149 v. Mets | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Although the Braves are currently sitting in second in the NL West, they’ve still played very well to begin the season. As a matter of fact, they’ve now won three consecutive games and should be able to win this one as well. Starting on the mound for Atlanta will be Max Fried (2-1, 4.23 ERA.) He hasn’t been outstanding, but he’s been good when they’ve needed him to be. Looking at the Mets, they’ve got Christian Scott (0-0, 1.35 ERA) on the mound. He’s a young arm that’s very inexperienced. Yes, I expect him to have a nice career in the MLB, but he’s still yet to really prove anything. I’ve got the Braves winning tonight’s game as I think that they’ll be able to put up some runs on the young starter. This line is too low. Score Prediction: 7-3 Braves | |||||||
05-10-24 | Yankees -121 v. Rays | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
While the Yankees come into this weekend series having won consecutive series’ in a row, they should be favorites to do it once more against the Rays. Tampa simply isn’t what they were from the past few seasons and I don’t believe that things will change here. Clarke Schmidt (3-1, 3.50 ERA) will get the start for New York. He’s been very solid and has already dominated this Rays team this season. On the other hand, Taj Bradley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is the projected starter. This will be his second season, and although I do expect improved numbers, don’t expect anything special. Look for the Yanks to jump all over him in the first game of this series. Score Prediction: 6-2 Yankees | |||||||
05-09-24 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Sonny Gray (4-1, 0.89 ERA) gets the nod for St. Louis. He’s been outstanding to begin the season and I expect him to keep rolling today. In 14 starts against Milwaukee, Gray owns an awesome 2.82 ERA. On the other hand, we have a young arm in Tobias Myers (0-2, 6.23 ERA) pitching for the Brewers. I recently won against Myers when the Brewers played against the Yankees. Having said that, I still believe that this young arm has talent. He started the year really well and could really use a strong start today, to gain confidence again. Yes, Milwaukee is hitting pretty well (statistically) this season. But, both lineups aren’t performing particularly well at the moment. STL have struggled all year to score and that’s why they rank 28th in runs scored on the year. I’ve got the “under” in what should be a good pitching matchup this Thursday. Score Prediction: 4-1 Cards. | |||||||
05-08-24 | Orioles -165 v. Nationals | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Baltimore may not be known as one of the “powerhouse” teams in the MLB. However, winning the AL regular season last year, as well as having such a strong record so far this season, they should be much bigger favorites tonight. Kyle Bradish (0-0, 1.93 ERA) will get the start for the O’s today. He began the season with an injury, which is why he hasn’t played many innings. Having said that, Bradish is a very talented young arm that proved last season why he’s so good. On the other hand, Mitchell Parker (2-1, 2.53 ERA) will get the start for Washington. Don’t get me wrong, Parker has been solid. But, I believe that he’s slightly over performing at the moment. It’s his rookie season and he will definitely see a reality check soon enough. Knowing the pitching matchup, I believe that Baltimore’s got the edges in both pitching and hitting here on Wednesday. This line is very favorable. Take the O’s with confidence. Score Prediction: 6-2 O’s | |||||||
05-07-24 | Diamondbacks -124 v. Reds | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
Cincinnati simply isn’t playing well right now. Yes, their record might be better than the Diamondbacks. But, they’ve lost five consecutive games entering this series. Normally after the day off to regroup I’d like the team that is on a losing streak. However, Zac Gallen (3-2, 3.38 ERA) is on the mound for Arizona. Although he hasn’t looked his best in recent starts, he’s still one of the best pitchers in the NL, if not the entire MLB. On the other hand, the Reds will have Frankie Montas (2-2, 4.19 ERA) pitching today. He’s been alright, but nothing special. With Arizona having put up 11 runs in their last game, I’m taking them to win once again in the opener of this three game series on Tuesday against Cincy. Score Prediction: 7-2 DBacks. | |||||||
05-05-24 | White Sox v. Cardinals -157 | 5-1 | Loss | -157 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Yes, even after the Cardinals lost yesterday to the White Sox, I believe that they will come back and win the finale of this series. I had St Louis in the first game of this series when they shut out CWS. Today, we are getting favorable odds with Matthew Liberatore (1-1, 2.76 ERA) on the mound. Although he's yet to start a game, he's been solid and he might pitch some extended innings here today. On the other hand, Garrett Crochet (1-4, 5.97 ERA) is expected to get the start. He's got the potential to be great, but isn't really putting up very good number. Don't get me wrong, the Cardinals aren't hitting too well right now. But, neither are the White Sox. I'll gladly take STL at this price here on Sunday. Score Prediction: 6-2 Cards. | |||||||
05-05-24 | Angels v. Guardians -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
Cleveland jumped out of the gates red hot. They are 20-12 on the season and look to get back to their hot hitting on Sunday. Yes, Carlos Carrasco (1-2, 6.59 ERA) hasn't looked very good so far. However, I believe that he will snap out of it and pitch a lot better against this weaker LAA team today. On the other hand, the Angels will have Griffin Canning (1-3, 7.45 ERA) on the mound. He's been even worse than Carrasco and could very well stay like that for the rest of the season with the lineup that the Angels own. No more Ohtani. Rendon and Trout injured. They don't have much left. They are just 12-20 on the season and could end up with one of the worst records in all of baseball. Don't get me wrong, LA looked good in the first game of this series. But, I expect the Guardians to finish the series strong. Play on Cleveland. Score Prediction: 6-2 Guardians. | |||||||
05-04-24 | Tigers v. Yankees -150 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
Both teams have started this season off very well. Yes, Yankees fans could have expected an even better start, but this is still on pace to make some noise. Clarke Schmidt (2-1, 3.19 ERA) gets the nod today. He's been very solid in his first six starts. Even though he has a loss and Casey Mine (1-0, 3.08) doesn't I believe that he's the better starter in this matchup. In the past, the Yankees have dominated when these two have matched up. As a matter of fact, NYY have won eight of the past nine meetings when these two teams have played at Yankee Stadium. With the Tigers off to a good start this year, I believe that they'll slow down. Give me the Yanks here in Game 2 of this series on Saturday. Score Prediction: 6-2 Yankees. | |||||||
05-03-24 | White Sox v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
Sonny Gray (3-1, 1.16 ERA,) today's projected starter, has been absolutely dominant for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. Yes, the Cards have lost consecutive games. However, they are simply the better team by a lot in this matchup. The Chicago White Sox have been downright bad to start this year. They're 6-25 on the season and have shown no signs of improvement. Their starter, Brad Keller (0-0, 0.00 ERA,) hasn't really looked very good either over the past few campaigns. He spent his entire career in KC before signing with the White Sox for this season. This will be his first start for the ball club. With CWS averaging just 2.9 runs per game and allowing 5.58, I don't see them keeping this one close with how good Gray is on the mound. Give me STL here. Score Prediction: 7-2 Cardinals. | |||||||
05-02-24 | Guardians v. Astros -125 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
We've all seen the struggles of the Houston Astros to begin this season. They've looked out of it and haven't really gained any sort of momentum. Having said that, it's about time for them to change things up. A 10th inning loss last night wasn't ideal. But, they know that they win against this team. Don't get me wrong, Spencer Arrighetti (0-3, 10.97 ERA,) the Astros starter, has been horrible. However, let's not forget that he's still a very young arm that will more than likely turn things around in the near future. Logan Allen (3-1, 5.46 ERA) is the Guardians projected starter. Yes, his record might be alright. But, his inflated ERA is something to be concerned about. He hasn't been very good at not allowing runs. Something that nobody wants to hear when they play the Astros. Regardless of the pitching matchup, I believe that Houston's bats will finally wake up. Expect them to make good contact and win this game on Thursday. Score Prediction: 8-3 Astros. | |||||||
05-01-24 | Nationals v. Rangers -180 | 1-0 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Although Washington have actually looked quite alright to begin the season, I still believe that they are a season or two away from playoff baseball. Let's not forget that these Rangers won the World Series last year as well. Entering today, Texas sits a game back from the Seattle Mariners in the AL West. A win here would really give them a boost, with them having already won consecutive games in a row. Looking at the Nats, they've got a long stretch of IL games ahead. Today's starter, Andrew Heaney (0-3, 6.26 ERA,) hasn't been very strong. However, I'm willing to bet that he'll improve on these bad numbers by the end of the season. Trevor Williams (2-0, 2.70 ERA) has look good, but I'm not buying it. He's off a 5.55 ERA last season and hasn't faced any hot teams yet. The bats of Texas should be awake and well for this game. Grab TEX. Score Prediction: 7-3 Rangers. | |||||||
05-01-24 | Braves v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
While the first two games of this series went "under" the total quite easily, I believe that we could be in for a very high scoring game here on Wednesday. Chris Sale (3-1, 3.70 ERA) has been alright. But, he's definitely getting older. He's not what he used to be and the M's should be able to take advantage. On the other hand, Emerson Hancock (3-2, 5.06 ERA) hasn't been anything special to begin the season either. In fact, that ERA proves just that. Atlanta should bounce back today after back to back poor performances. According to some, the Braves have the best lineup in baseball, even compared to the Dodgers. Atlanta is still averaging 5.4 runs per game, which happens to be tied for the MLB lead. I expect more runs in this game to be scored. Play on the "OVER." Score Prediction: 7-4 Braves. | |||||||
04-30-24 | Giants -122 v. Red Sox | 0-4 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Even though the Boston Red Sox have had plenty of success this season on the pitching side of things, I believe that things will start to change over the next month or so. Boston has been allowing more runs recently as well. Looking at Cooper Criswell (1-1, 2.38 ERA,) he's the Red Sox projected starter today. He's never really been a starter in the big leagues, and has struggled at times as a reliever. He's still on the younger end of things, so he's got plenty of time to improve. However, this is a Giants lineup that is ready to take advantage. For SF, they've got Logan Webb (3-1, 2.33 ERA) on the mound. He's been stellar this season and I expect him to continue that. SF has excellent fielding, while the Red Sox currently have one of the worst FLD%. Looking for the Giants to exploit the mistakes of the Boston defense today. I'll take the better pitcher here. Score Prediction: 5-2 Giants. | |||||||
04-29-24 | Dodgers -137 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
Off yesterday's loss, the Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to get back into the winning column here today against their division rivals in Arizona. Even though Arizona haven't played all that well this season, they are the team that the Dodgers will want to beat up on considering what they did last season. The DBacks are dealing with a lot of early season injuries, which has caused this setback. James Paxton (2-0, 2.61 ERA) is expected to get the start today. He's been outstanding so far, and has looked like what he did when he first game into the league. On the other hand, Tommy Henry (1-1, 5.55 ERA) is the projected starter. He's been all over the place in his short time in the Major's so far. I don't believe that he'll have much success against a Dodgers team that have won six of their last seven. Expect another great performance from LAD on Monday. Score Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers | |||||||
04-29-24 | Twins -155 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
Entering this series against perhaps the worst team in baseball, the Twins are red hot. They've now won seven consecutive games and look to make it ten in a row with another sweep here vs. CWS. Minnesota will turn to their so-called "ace" Joe Ryan (1-1, 3.45 ERA) today. He hasn't pitched extremely well (to his standards,) but he should be able to pitch well here in this one. He owns a perfect 2-0 record and has struck out 28 in just 22 innings against the White Sox. Talking about Chicago, they've actually won three consecutive games (sweep against TB.) However, it's time for them to start losing again. Garrett Crochet (1-3, 5.61 ERA) has shown flashes of brilliance. Having said that, his number don't look so good. So fact this season. Minnesota's been eating up on lefties. They are batting .276 w/ an OBP of .342 against them this season. Expect another Minny win tonight. Score Prediction: 8-3 Twins. | |||||||
04-28-24 | Yankees -127 v. Brewers | 15-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Marcus Stroman (2-1, 2.93 ERA) gets the nod for New York. He's been very solid this season to date and looks to keep it that way today. Even though the Yankees have now dropped a couple of games in their last few, they are still looking very strong overall (off massive victory last night.) Stroman has faced the Brewers a total of seven times, and owns a very strong 3-1 record w/ a 2.58 ERA against them. Look for another solid performance from the 32yr old righty. On the other hand, I've got to give credit where credit is due. Milwaukee has done an excellent job this season so far. They added some much needed hitting to their team and now play well on both sides. Having said that, they have a young arm on the mound today in Tobias Myers (0-1, 1.80 ERA.) Yes, Myers pitched well in his MLB debut. However, he didn't really light up the stat sheet in the Minor's and I could see him having trouble against this Yankees lineup. Having said all of that, I believe that the value is on the Yankees here. They are 5-3 in series finale's this season and I expect them to make it 6-3 after tonight. The play is on NYY. Score Prediction: 5-1 Yankees. | |||||||
04-27-24 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 16-5 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
Let's talk about the pitchers in this matchup. Yes, Chris Paddack's (0-1, 8.36 ERA) numbers look alarming. However, he's off a very strong start where he pitched seven shutout innings, allowing just six baserunners and striking out ten. He wasn't able to get the win, but I believe that he'll gain some momentum after that performance. On the other hand, Jose Soriano (0-3, 3.43 ERA) isn't pitching badly at all either. In his last two starts, he's given up just one earned run (four total,) and has lost due to the errors from the defense. I don't expect that many mistakes to be made in this game. Now, let's take a look at the hitting. Neither team is hitting the ball very well to begin this season. In fact, Minnesota is averaging just 3.8 runs per game while the Angels are averaging 4.2 runs per game. Both teams are also in the bottom half of the league in AVG as well as OBP. The Twins are hot having won four consecutive games coming into this series. They should be able to shut down the Angels bats. Don't expect them to score that many runs either against a very good up and coming pitcher. This line is too high. The play is on the "under." Score Prediction: 4-2 Twins. | |||||||
04-26-24 | Cubs -105 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
After sweeping the Houston Astros, the Chicago Cubs are looking very good to start the season. They now turn to the Japanese phenom in Shota Imanaga (3-0, 0.84 ERA,) who has yet to lose a game in the Major's. Not only are the Cubs a better hitting team, but I believe that they have the better pitcher in this matchup. Kutter Crawford (1-0, 0.66 ERA,) has been great. However, I don't expect him to keep it up as he's never really even had a very good season in short his career so far. Don't get me wrong, I do believe that Crawford will have improved numbers from last year. But, the Cubs should be able to figure him out today. Boston is coming off a series loss against Cleveland. I believe that they will continue to trend downwards as the season progresses. Chicago is on a roll. Expect another gem from Imanaga and another win for the Cubbies in the first game of this weekend series. Score Prediction: 6-2 Cubs | |||||||
04-25-24 | Phillies -147 v. Reds | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
Zack Wheeler (1-3, 2.30 ERA) is expected to get the start in today's game with the Phillies looking to spark another big run. Despite his sup-par record, he's actually pitched very well so far this season, allowing just eight earned runs in 31.1 innings. Last time out, he went 7.1 shutout innings allowing just three baserunners and striking out eight in his first win of the season. Now, the Phillies bats are starting to wake up as well. Looking at the Reds, Nick Martinez (0-0, 4.77 ERA) is the projected starter. He's been alright so far, but hasn't been all that impressive either. In his last "start," he gave up five earned runs in five innings pitched. Yes, the Phillies will most likely be without Bryce Harper again as he's on paternity leave at the moment. However, even without Harper, I expect the Phillies to get the job done in the series finale on Thursday. Score Prediction: 6-3 Phillies | |||||||
04-24-24 | A's v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
After losing to the A's in the opener, then winning by just a run in yesterday's game, I believe that we could see a big time blowout here on Wednesday. Let's not forget how good this Yankees team is. They are currently sitting atop of the AL East with their 16-8 record. Juan Soto has been an excellent addition so far as he's batting .322 with 5HR's and 20RBI's. I expect Judge to pick it up over the coming weeks as the season gets older. He's off his first XBH in a very long time and that could spark something. This pitching matchup also favors the Yankees. Clarke Schmidt has been very solid to open the year (1-0, 3.15 ERA.) On the other hand, Joe Boyle hasn't been very good (1-3, 7.23 ERA.) Although the A's are playing much better than I expected through 25 games, I still believe that they are in for a very long season. NY is 11-3 against right-handers this season. Expect another win today. Score Prediction: 9-4 Yankees | |||||||
04-23-24 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
With these two teams, one would probably expect a bunch of runs. However, we've got a very good pitching matchup on our hands today. Logan Gilbert (1-0, 2.33 ERA) & Dane Dunning (2-1, 3.91 ERA) are the two expected pitchers. Both guys have looked very strong to begin this season and I believe that both will continue to stay strong throughout the rest of the year. Seattle is just averaging 3.8 runs per game this season, and haven't been really hitting the ball all that well. They've also been very strong on the pitching end, allowing just 3.7 runs per game. Yes, Texas is more of an offensive minded team. But, they are great pitching wise as well. Expect a lower scoring game here in the first game of this three game series in Texas. Score Prediction: 4-2 M's | |||||||
04-22-24 | Orioles +110 v. Angels | Top | 4-2 | Win | 110 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
Off another win yesterday, the Orioles have now won back to back games. They look to be one of the better teams in the American League this season. Today's projected starter is Albert Suarez who has yet to allow a run this season in 5.2 innings pitched. He looked very strong in that first start against the Twins. Looking at LAA, they just lost Anthony Rendon for some time after he was diagnosed with a hamstring injury. Even though they're expected to have their "best pitcher" on the bump in Reid Detmers (3-0 1.19 ERA,) I don't believe that they have the hitting to match the Orioles. LAA is just 25th in the league in ERA (4.60) and aren't hitting the ball all that well either. The O's have won five of the past six meetings between these teams. Expect them to have no problem winning this one. Score Prediction: 7-2 Orioles | |||||||
04-22-24 | Padres -167 v. Rockies | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Since arriving to San Diego from the White Sox, Dylan Cease has been terrific. He's posted a 2-1 record and 1.99 ERA through four starts. At Chicago, he wasn't getting run support which always hurt his record. Today, he should get plenty as this game is played in the most hitter friendly ballpark in the MLB. Colorado will have Gomber on the mound who's been so/so to start the season. He's allowed at least two runs in all four starts this year. I expect him to continue that trend today against a San Diego team that's looking to build some momentum off yesterday's win. Expect San Diego to get up early and stay that way throughout this entire game. Score Prediction: 6-2 Padres | |||||||
04-21-24 | Mets v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
It was another loss yesterday for these Dodgers and they've now dropped three straight. I don't believe that we'll see them lose a third game in a row though. Tyler Glasnow will be on the mound today and he's ready for another big game. He got traded to these Dodgers for a reason and he's pitched well so far. For the Mets, they'll have Adrian Houser as their pitcher in this one. He's struggled badly against LAD in the past as he's 0-1 w/ a 9.39 ERA in two starts against them. It's time for these Dodgers to get back in the winning column and dominate on Sunday. Expect a blowout here today. Score Prediction: 9-4 Dodgers | |||||||
04-21-24 | Astros -1.5 v. Nationals | 0-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Yesterday, I had the same selection on these Astros to win by more than a run. Although they lost in extra innings, I felt like their bats weren't the issue. As a matter of fact, they had nine hits. Having said that, the pitching needs to be better. Today, Cristian Javier will be on the mound. He's been dominant so far this season (2-0 w/ 1.54 ERA & 1.11 WHIP) and I expect him to look like that again today. Washington still is just 9-11 on the season after that win and don't look like contender quite yet. Houston's needs to figure things out and a loss here would be a gigantic setback. I expect Houston to get the job done today. Score Prediction: 7-1 Astros **ANNOUNCEMENT** - Javier is no longer the expected pitcher - It's Hunter Brown. I still like this play at -1.5 | |||||||
04-20-24 | A's v. Guardians -155 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Cleveland has absolutely dominated the A's in recent history. As a matter of fact, they've now won 15 of the last 18 meetings between these two teams. Having said that, I believe that this is another favorable pitching matchup for the Guardians. Logan Allen's ERA might be slightly higher than he wants, but still has yet to lose this season. On the other hand, Alex Wood has not been very strong through his first four starts. Looking at the batting, Oakland is second last in runs per game (2.9) and third last in hits per game (6.8.) Cleveland doesn't allow many runs as they rank 2nd in runs allowed (3.4) to begin the year. Expect the Guardians to get lots of base hits as they win this game quite comfortably on Saturday afternoon. Score Prediction: 6-1 Guardians | |||||||
04-20-24 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
It was a dominant 17-1 win for the Diamondbacks in yesterday's game. Their bats looked quite strong and they couldn't stop scoring runs. However, they tend to struggle after big wins like this. Earlier this season when they beat the Yankees 7-0, they lost their next five games. Having said that, I don't expect them to struggle in the pitching department. Zac Gallen has been putting up terrific numbers for a few seasons in a row now and you can expect him to continue doing so. He is one of the premiere pitchers in the game right now and wants that "Cy Young Award" to his name. The Giants will send out their youngster, Kyle Harrison. Although he's 2-1, Harrison will be looking to improve his ERA. I see this game staying "under" the 8 run total mark. Score Prediction: 3-1 Diamondbacks | |||||||
04-20-24 | Astros -1.5 v. Nationals | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
After writing an article about these Astros a few days ago, I'm taking them for the first time of the season today. They looked strong, despite their stars not hitting the ball all that well in yesterday's game. Having said that, I believe that we'll see a better performance from the likes of Altuve, Alvarez and Bregman. Surprisingly, even with their 7-14 record, Houston is actually 2nd overall in batting average. That goes to show how many baserunners they've been getting per game. Look for them to capitalize on that here against a weaker Washington team. Even though I don't believe that Blanco will keep these numbers up throughout the entire season, I like him to keep things rolling today in a big game. Astros win this one by more than a run. Score Prediction: 8-3 Astros | |||||||
04-19-24 | Tigers v. Twins -146 | 5-4 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Playing yesterday and losing a gruelling game with plenty of mistakes against Texas should have some effects to this game. Detroit are tired and haven't had an off day in more than a week now. Having said that, I expect them to struggle today against the Twins so-called "ace." Joe Ryan may not have won a game yet this season, but he's more than capable of absolutely dominating any opponent. As a matter of fact, he's already been outstanding against this very Tigers team (one earned run in six innings.) Minnesota may be dealing with some injuries, but still have a very strong team. I expect Ryan to have another big performance today and pick up his first win of the season here today. Score Prediction: 6-2 Twins. | |||||||
04-19-24 | White Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
The day off yesterday should have both teams fully rested for today's game. Some may think that a day of "rest" could lead to more runs being scored with rested hitters. However, I believe that it should help both bullpens recover for this weekend series. So far this year, the White Sox have really struggled to score. As a matter of fact, they currently rank dead last in runs (2.1) as well as hits (6.1) per game through the first three weeks. Having said that, don't expect that to change for today's game. The Phillies, on the other hand, haven't been scoring all that much either to start the season. They are averaging just 3.8 runs per game and that ranks them in the bottom third as well. We will see two pitchers with very respectable ERA's so far in Crochet & Turnbull on the mound today. With Chicago's best hitter (Luis Robert) still on the 10-Day IL, don't expect them to score much. If they are going to win, they are going to need a gem from Crochet. I think he'll be up for the challenge to at least keep them in this one. Score Prediction: 3-1 Phillies | |||||||
04-18-24 | Rangers -105 v. Tigers | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Coming off yesterday's win, the Rangers look for their third win of this series (2-1 so far) today. Even though they haven't been as dominant as some would expect so far, the Rangers have still looked good. Texas is pitching extremely well and now turn the ball to their top prospect (the 2nd overall pick in the 2021 draft) to make his first career start in the big leagues. He's expected to be good and what better way then to start your career with a win here on Thursday. Detroit owns a similar record to the Rangers after Wednesday's defeat. They started the season very well, but have cooled off recently. Maeda is expected to get the nod today and he hasn't looked very good this season. Yes, his last start was strong. However, he's already allowed 10 earned runs in his first three starts. He also allowed three runs in five innings last game against Texas. This is a good spot for the Rangers and I believe that they'll get the job done and win this series. I've got the defending champs at the underdog price on Thursday. Score Prediction: 6-3 Rangers | |||||||
04-17-24 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
(#907) Washington Nationals @ (#908) Los Angeles Dodgers - 3:10pm EST Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-122) After winning with the Dodgers yesterday, I'm back with them again today. Yes, they've been inconsistent over the past week, but it's time for them to start winning and stay hot. Washington is still extremely young and shouldn't be winning this series against the “best” team in baseball. LAD looked very strong in their bullpen game yesterday and have 12 wins now on the year. Starting for Washington today will be Jake Irvin. He's winless (0-1) in two starts against the Dodgers with a 4.09 ERA. For LAD, they'll have their rookie Landon Knack making his Major League debut today. Although Knack isn't really all that big of a name quite yet, he should be able to go out and pitch well against a weak Nats team. LAD's bats should be good again today. Mookie Betts went 5/5 yesterday. It's time for the other guys to step up and play like that. Expect another easy win for LAD as they win this game by more than a run. Score Prediction: 8-2 Dodgers (good until -1.5 -140) | |||||||
04-16-24 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
(#961) Washington Nationals @ (#962) Los Angeles Dodgers - 10:10pm EST Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125) After losing to the Nationals last night, this has all the makings of a bounce back blowout win for Los Angeles. Everyone knows that they are one of, if not the most dominant teams in baseball with how good both their pitching/hitting is. Even though the Dodgers pitcher has still yet to be announced, I'm confident that the bats will win this game no matter who's on the mound. Washington's actually looking like their going to start getting slightly better this season. They are filled with youngsters and have plenty of potential. However, I don't see Corbin pitching well here. With the Dodgers having won five out of seven games after a loss so far this year, I expect them to turn things around today. The play is on the Dodgers to win by more than a run. Score Prediction: 9-3 Dodgers (good until -1.5 -160) | |||||||
04-16-24 | Padres -119 v. Brewers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
(957) San Diego Padres at (958) Milwaukee Brewers - 7:40pm EST San Diego Padres -119 In yesterday's game, I had a Free Play on the Padres. They won pretty convincingly in the end. Today, Dylan Cease takes the mound. He's been lights out in consecutive starts now, earning a QS in both. Today, he goes against a team that he's pitched well against in his only lifetime game against them. Yes, he got the loss, but he still pitched seven innings and gave up just two earned runs. On the other hand, Miley has really struggled against the Padres in his career. He owns just a 2-6 record with a 4.88 ERA in 16 starts. Having mentioned the pitching matchup, I believe that the Padres own the edge in hitting right now as well. The Brewers have lost back to back while the Padres have won back to back. Load up on the Padres again today. Score Prediction: 6-1 Padres (good until -155) | |||||||
04-15-24 | Reds v. Mariners -145 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
(#929) Cincinnati Reds @ (#930) Seattle Mariners - 9:42pm EST Seattle Mariners -145 It's been a great start to the season for the Reds. They now own a 9-6 record and have won three consecutive games after their sweep against the White Sox. Having said that, I think that they'll have trouble solving the Mariners pitching group in this series. The M's are projected to start George Kirby today. Although he's struggled so far, it's just a matter of time before he starts dominating again. He's one of the best pitchers in baseball when he's on. On the other hand, Montas wasn't all that great in his last start as he gave up five runs (three earned) in just five innings of work. Seattle is also looking for a big series to get out of their early season slump. Having won seven of the last ten meetings between these teams, I believe that this is a favorable line. Even though the stats may suggest differently so far, Seattle has much more fire power and should be able to win this game. Expect a big game from Julio Rodriguez today. Score Prediction: 8-2 M's (good until -175) | |||||||
04-15-24 | Cardinals v. A's UNDER 8 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
(#927) St. Louis Cardinals @ (#928) Oakland Athletics - 9:40pm EST Total Under 8.0 (-115) The bats of St. Louis are struggling right now. They got shut out in their last game, and scored just two in the game before that. On the other hand, the A's are simply playing like you'd expect the A's to play. They are averaging just 2.7 runs per game and shouldn't really be a threat against Sonny Gray tonight. Gray looked phenomenal in his first start against the Phillies. Having already had a tough game under his belt, he should be ready for this one against Oakland. For the A's they've got Stripling on the mound. Yes, he's struggled to begin this season, but he's more than capable of pitching well. I expect a very good pitching matchup here today. Score Prediction: 4-1 STL (good until 8.0 -130) | |||||||
04-14-24 | Braves -143 v. Marlins | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
(#953) Atlanta Braves @ (#954) Miami Marlins - 1:40pm EST Atlanta Braves -143 Atlanta have been slightly inconsistent in recent games, but still should be able to win this game on Sunday. Miami have been poor to start the season and haven't really shown any real threat quite yet other than their power. The Braves are currently leading the MLB .AVG, .OBP, .SLG & in hits per game (10.8,) while averaging the second most runs per game (6.3.) Therefore, I believe that they won't have trouble today, even after yesterday's struggles. Jesus Luzardo is expected to get the start today for the Marlins, and he hasn't been very good. In three starts, he's 0-2 while giving up 12 earned runs in just 15 innings pitched. On the other hand, Morton owns a 1-0 record (3.18 ERA) in his first two starts. The play is on the Braves. Score Prediction: 8-3 Braves (good until -165) | |||||||
04-13-24 | Rockies v. Blue Jays -180 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
#(921) Colorado Rockies @ (#922) Toronto Blue Jays - 3:07pm EST Toronto Blue Jays -180 It's been an up-and-down sort of start for the Jays as they can't seem to get into a rhythm. Having said that, they just called up their secret weapon in Yariel Rodriguez who's expected to pitch here in today's game. Just bringing him up and having him pitch should fuel this lineup and make them want to play better. Colorado hasn't been good either. In fact, they've been even worse than the Jays. They own just a 4-10 record and haven't been very good over the past few years. Toronto should be able to hit well against Hudson, who's already lost both of his first two starts. I'm willing to lay the big price here as I believe this is a good bounce back spot for Toronto. At home, expect them to turn things around here with a big win on Saturday. Score Prediction: 7-3 Blue Jays (good until -200) | |||||||
04-12-24 | Cubs v. Mariners -117 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
(#977) Chicago Cubs @ (#978) Seattle Mariners - Consensus Line Seattle Mariners -117 Having gotten off to an awful start, to their standards, the Mariners finally made some noise in the 10th inning of Wednesday's game. The day off should help them figure everything out and come into this one feeling well. Chicago wasn't at their best in their last game as they gave up 10 runs in a blowout loss. Although their lineup is solid, their pitching group isn't all that talented. They've got a few great arms, but other than that, they aren't the strongest in that category. The M's needed that win and I believe that they won't look back now. Their bats should wake up in no time and what better way than to face against a pitcher who's had a bit of trouble in his first two starts. Score Prediction: 7-4 M's (good until -150) | |||||||
04-11-24 | Pirates v. Phillies -138 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
(#905) Pittsburgh Pirates @ (#906) Philadelphia Phillies - 6:40pm EST Philadelphia Phillies -138 Over the past few seasons, Pittsburgh always seems to start the year off with a flurry of wins. They still aren't a very strong baseball team, especially pitching wise. Yes, Jared Jones (22yrs old.) has looked alright so far in his his first two MLB starts. However, he's now tasted defeat and doesn't have much experience whatsoever. Looking at the Phillies, yesterday's win should help them moving forward. It hasn't really been the start that they were looking for, but there's plenty of season still ahead of us. With a 6-6 record, it definitely could be worse. In two starts this season so far, Suarez has yet to lose. Look for Philly to build on yesterday's victory today as they look to hunt down the Braves. It's still early, but they want to start the season off strongly. Suarez has dominated the Pirates in the past. Look for him to do it again today. Score Prediction: 6-2 Phillies (good until -175) | |||||||
04-10-24 | Diamondbacks -135 v. Rockies | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
(#953) Arizona Diamondbacks @ (#954) Colorado Rockies - 3:00pm EST Arizona Diamondbacks -135 Action It was a hard fought 3-2 win for the Diamondbacks in yesterday's game. I believe that win to light a spark in the organization as they are good enough and should be fighting for yet another playoff spot at the very least. Yes, they are dealing with some injuries that might not make their team quite as dominant. However, this team is still extremely good. Hitting @ Coors Field should help them get out of this slump as well. Even though the runs haven't been piling up (in this series) like expected, a big game is incoming today. Arizona's still tied for third in runs per game (6.0.) This play is on them to win this game against Colorado no matter the pitching matchup. Score Prediction: 8-2 Diamondbacks (good until -155) | |||||||
04-09-24 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
(#921) Oakland Athletics @ (#922) Texas Rangers - 8:40pm EST Texas Rangers -1.5 (-110) Taking a home team at -1.5 isn't ideal, but I believe that there's still value here. Even off consecutive defeats, the Rangers have looked strong this season so far. They've won six out of four games to start and could very well make that nine out of thirteen with a sweep here in this series. In their last eight meetings with the A's, the Rangers have won six of them - five of them by more than a run. Talking about Oakland, they've looked poor once again to begin the year. Yes, they've won back to back games. However, they are still batting just .212 while averaging just 3.0 runs a game over their first 10 games. Texas, on the other hand, is hitting .277 while averaging 5.8 runs per game right now. Now, Eovaldi is coming off a career best season and dominated his last start against Tampa. Expect the 34yr old to look sharp against one of the worst lineups in baseball on Tuesday. This play is on the Texas Rangers to win by two runs or more against Oakland in the first game of the series. Score Prediction: 7-2 Rangers (good until -1.5 -135) | |||||||
04-09-24 | Orioles -136 v. Red Sox | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
(#913) Baltimore Orioles @ (#914) Boston Red Sox - 2:10pm EST Baltimore Orioles -136 With Corbin Burnes on the mound, the Orioles should like their chances today. Both teams had the day off yesterday, and will be ready to go for the home opener at Fenway. The O's may not be looking like the team that won 101 games last season, but, there's still plenty of time to figure things out. A win here would go a very long way. Boston's Shortstop Trevor Story landed on the 10-Day IL after he dove on top of his shoulder and came down injured a couple of days ago now. That should limit the damage of the Red Sox over this series as the O's have much better pitching than the Angels (Boston's last matchup.) Having said that, a big game from Burnes is key to them winning this game. Brayan Bello is expected to start for the Red Sox today. He's looked alright through two starts, but definitely has some improvement to do. He gave up four runs in five innings against the A's in his last start. Bello owns a 5.23 ERA in two starts against the O's. Baltimore is the play, today. Score Prediction: 7-4 Orioles (good until -155) | |||||||
04-08-24 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
(#959) Chicago Cubs @ (#960) San Diego Padres - 9:40pm EST Total Over 7.5 (-115) Flying high, the Cubs have been one of the highest scoring teams so far this season. Averaging 6.4 runs per game, they currently rank 2nd in that category. On Base Percentage is the thing that they've focussed on as they've got the highest % in the league. Yes, Darvish has looked solid. But, we've seen the occasional collapse from him and another one might be on the cards tonight. Javier Assad will make his second start of the season for the Cubs. Although he looked dominant, he's still in his learning faze in the MLB. In spring, the Padres hit him quite well. Now it hasn't been pretty for this Padres lineup so far, they've still been producing at a decent rate. Both lineups look good and the play is on the “over” in today's game. Score Prediction: 6-4 Padres (good until 8.0) | |||||||
04-08-24 | Diamondbacks -167 v. Rockies | 5-7 | Loss | -167 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
(#957) Arizona Diamondbacks @ (#958) Colorado Rockies - 8:40pm EST Arizona Diamondbacks -167 Even though the Diamondbacks have lost four consecutive games, I still believe that they are the much stronger side. They are dealing with a lot of injuries right now, which has forced them to play guys that they normally wouldn't have. However, they still should be able to beat the Rockies, who are still in rebuild mode. Zac Gallen is the expected pitcher tonight for the DBacks. Expect more greatness as he's looked like a Cy Young candidate once again to start this season. Yes, this game is in Colorado. But, Gallen has absolutely dominated the Rockies in the past. In 14 starts against them, he owns a 7-1 record and 2.41 ERA. On the other hand, we've got Kyle Freeland taking the mound. He's gotten absolutely rocked in his first two starts allowing 17 total runs in just 5.2 innings pitched. I don't expect numbers this bad throughout the season from him. But, he's definitely not on his game right now. Playing in COL should help the bats of Arizona to wake up as well. Having said all of that, don't be surprised when the DBacks dominate here on Monday. Score Prediction: 9-4 Diamondbacks (good until -190) | |||||||
04-08-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Twins | 4-2 | Win | 115 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
(#975) Los Angeles Dodgers @ (#976) Minnesota Twins - 7:40pm EST Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+115) It was truly an embarrassing performance for Bailey Ober in his first start against the Royals. He gave up nine hits and eight earned runs in just one inning and a third. Things get tougher for him today as he's facing an even stronger lineup. Yes, the Dodgers are coming off a complete dud yesterday. However, this team is built like no other and should be able to bounce back without much trouble. Even though there's still lots of room for improvement, James Paxton (LAD's projected starter) was great in his first start. He didn't allow a single run in five innings against the Giants. Missing yesterday's game (postponed) could mess up the rhythm of the Twins as they've played five less games than LAD. I believe that there is plenty of value of grabbing the Dodgers on the run line here today at + money. Score Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers (good until -1.5 -110) | |||||||
04-06-24 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
(#961) San Diego Padres @ (#962) San Francisco Giants - 9:05pm EST Total Under 8.0 (-105) One might look at these two pitchers and expects an “over” because of inflated ERA's from their first start. Well, I'm here to tell you that one start doesn't define any pitcher in the world. Both of these guys are more than capable of putting together a strong performance. In fact, Michael King has dominated over the past couple of seasons, more as a relief guy, but he's earned his way into SD's starting rotation. On the other hand, we've got a new talent in Keaton Wynn, who's got nasty swing and miss stuff. The Padres love to swing and I expect a lot of misses today. This line is too high - ride the “under." Score Prediction: 3-2 Padres (good until 7.5 -110) | |||||||
04-06-24 | Mariners +108 v. Brewers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 108 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
(#977) Seattle Mariners @ (#978) Milwaukee Brewers - 7:10pm EST Seattle Mariners +108 There's no question that it's been a rough start to the season for the Mariners. Their bats aren't performing and the pitching has been quite poor (for these guys' standards.) However, I believe that this pitching matchup is a favorable one for Seattle. Although Miller's got an inflated ERA from his first start, he should be able to have a better start here today in his second of the season. Milwaukee have been dominant ever since their first game of the season so far. Having said that, I don't think it's something that we can get too crazy about quite yet. This rotation is far worse than last season and although their hitting did get better, it's not a lineup that we can call crazy good either. I believe that Seattle is going to come ready for this game as they try to break out of this three game slide that they are currently in. They are the better overall team and expect them to come to play. This is top play on the M's at + money in Milwaukee. Score Prediction: 7-3 M's (good until -135) | |||||||
04-05-24 | Phillies -172 v. Nationals | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
(#907) Philadelphia Phillies @ (#908) Washington Nationals - 6:45pm EST Philadelphia Phillies -172 Patrick Corbin has now had a few rough season's in a row. The southpaw is now 34yrs of age and just doesn't have the velocity and command to dominate like he did at the beginning of his career. He was poor in his opening start against the Reds and I expect him to be poor again against an even better hitting lineup in Philly. Talking about the Phillies, they aren't really performing up to their standards quite yet. But, this is an excellent matchup for them to get back on track and start winning again. Look for Aaron Nola to pitch a masterclass here today. Score Prediction: 8-2 Phillies (good until -185) |
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