Alabama vs. Florida Betting Preview 12/03/16 – SEC Championship Game

SEC Championship Game Betting Preview

Alabama is looking to repeat as National Champions and a win today will keep their record perfect and bring them one step closer to that repeat. They have won all 12 of their games and won by double digits in their last nine. Their defense has been almost impenetrable holding eight of their last nine opponents to 14 points or less and giving up just 18 points total in their last four games.

What makes Alabama so tough to beat is an offense that averages almost 500 yards and over 39 points a game which compliments their suffocating defense. They are led by quarterback Jalen Hurts who has thrown 21 touchdowns and is the second leading rusher on the team with over 800 yards and 12 rushing scores.

The Gators have been plagued with injuries to their quarterback Luke Del Rio who missed six games and to their once very tough defense. They are still ranked fifth in the league and give up an average of 14.6 points a game but have given up over 30 points in two of their last four games. All three of their losses happened when they allowed over 30 points in a game.

The oddsmakers have made Alabama a huge 24 point favorite and set the total at 40, a pretty low number for college football. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 60% of the public feel Florida deserves more respect and are backing the Gators while 62% think the total is unusually low and are behind the over.

Alabama has won the last five meetings between these teams by double digits with the total going over in four of those games.

Previous Meetings

12/05/15: Gators 15 @ Crimson Tide 29
09/20/14: Gators 21 @ Crimson Tide 42
10/01/11: Crimson Tide 38 @ Gators 10

Trends

The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings
The under is 5-0 in the Gators last 5 games overall.
The Gators have covered the spread in six of their last seven neutral site games

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