Alabama vs. Tennessee Betting Preview October 15, 2016

October 12th, 2016

Take a look at this top-10 matchup from the SEC in Jesse Schule's Alabama vs. Tennessee Betting Preview for Saturday October 15, 2016.

Line/Odds: Alabama -13 (5dimes)
Total: 57
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville TN
Television Broadcast: CBS

Alabama vs. Tennessee Betting Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (5-1)

The Vols fell behind by more than two touchdowns for the third straight game against the Aggies last week but couldn’t come back and win as they had the previous two weeks. The Crimson Tide have won by at least 19 points in five of their six wins and are a 13 point favorite in this game. Last year against the eventual National Champions, the Vols played them tough before finally losing by just five points. Alabama has won nine straight meetings between these schools with only one other game being closer than a 14 point win for the Tide, while in six of the games Alabama won by at least 20 points.

This would explain why 56% of the public think Alabama will cover as a 13 point favorite according to Covers.com Consensus and Analysis and with Tennessee’s star running back Jalen Hurd questionable for the game, they might be right. They are even more confident the total will go over 57 as 65% of them are backing the over.

Previous Meetings

10/24/15: Tennessee 14 @ Alabama 19
10/25/14: Alabama 34 @ Tennessee 20
10/26/13: Tennessee 10 @ Alabama 45

Trends

Alabama is 6-1 ATS last 7 games in Tennessee
Alabama 8-3-1 ATS last 12 meetings
Road Team is 10-4-1 ATS last 15 meetings

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Canadiens vs Bruins	UNDER 5½ +106	Top Premium	3-2	Win	106	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Habs will play the Bruins in Boston tonight, and both these teams are riding hot goaltenders. Carey Price is coming off a shutout win over Colorado, while Tukka Rask has conceded a total of seven goals while winning his last five starts. The under was 4-0-1 in those games. History certainly tells us that a low scoring game should be expected. These teams have gone under in six straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Habs have gone under in seven straight overall, and four straight at Boston. The Bruins have also failed to reach the total in four straight overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
Pistons vs Jazz	Jazz -8 -108	Premium	94-100	Loss	-108	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Pistons won 109-104 at LA on Saturday, and Blake Griffin scored 44 points against his former team. This sets up Detroit (and Griffin) for a let down here on the road at Utah. Detroit rarely wins on the road, with a record of 7-13. The Jazz have won five of six, and four straight at home. History certainly favors the home team, as Utah has won five straigh versus Detroit. The Jazz also covered the spread in all five of those victories. The Jazz are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Pistons are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have a long history of losing to Utah. Going back more than a decade, the Pistons are 8-21 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Jan 15 '19, 9:05 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NBA | Warriors vs Nuggets

Play on: UNDER 228 -110

Game Analysis

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.

The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Jan 15 at 01:03 pm

Jan 15 '19, 7:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-B | Rutgers vs Purdue

Play on: OVER 140 -110 [Won: $100]

Game Analysis

This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.

The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Jan 15 at 02:45 am

Jan 15 '19, 7:35 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NHL | Ducks vs Red Wings

Play on: UNDER 5½ -101 [Won: $100]

Game Analysis

This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.

The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Jan 15 at 02:43 am

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

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- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

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The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

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