Arkansas Razorbacks vs. TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview September 10, 2016
Arkansas (1-0) vs. TCU (1-0) Game Preview
Spread: TCU -7.5 (5dimes)
Total: 58.5
Kickoff: 7:00 pm ET
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Ft. Worth Tx.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
PREVIEW: These two teams haven’t met for 25 years so this week will be a little different for everyone. Last week the Razorbacks had to score a fourth quarter TD to pull out a 21-20 win vs LA-Tech while TCU amassed over 600 yards (400 passing) in a 59-41 win over So. Dakota St. But that isn’t new as they averaged over 560 yards a game and 42.1 points last season but their defense gave up over 450 yards with over 300 through the air. TCU had a very balanced attack with over 200 yards in the air and on the ground. If Arkansas can get a good passing game going TCU could be in trouble because that would open up the running. The public is evenly split on the line of at 50-50 according to Covers.com consensus analysis but 2/3 of bettors like the total to go over the number. TCU scored at least 45 points in six games last year and have put 59 on the board in their first game.
Previous Meetings:
10/05/91: Arkansas 22 @ TCU 21
10/06/90: TCU 54 @ Arkansas 26
10/07/89: Arkansas 41 @ TCU 19
Trends:
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Road games.
Overis 4-0 in last 4 TCU non conference games.
Arkansas is 4-0 in last 4 road games against teams with a winning record
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
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| Scott Rickenbach | $586 |
| Alex Smart | $396 |
| Tim Michael | $330 |
| Ray Monohan | $300 |
| Ricky Tran | $266 |
| Ben Burns | $259 |
| Marc David | $196 |
| Kyle Hunter | $180 |
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