Army vs. Navy Betting Preview 12/10/16 – College Football Odds
Betting Preview
The annual Army – Navy game gets underway with two of the three top rushing teams in the country. Army is ranked second averaging 328 yards a game and Navy is third right behind with 327 yards a game.
Unfortunately for Navy their offense has been decimated with injuries. Quarterback Will Worth their leading rusher with 25 rushing touchdowns is out as well as their third leading rusher Toneo Gulley. Their second leading rusher Chris High was also hurt and is questionable so he won’t be 100% even if he plays. That leaves the Midshipmen with second string quarterback Zach Abey who completed just seven passes all year with two picks and no touchdowns.
Army comes in with a win in their last game where they scored 60 points and rushed for over 500 yards. Quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw is their second leading rusher but isn’t a very good passer with just four touchdown passes and eight picks. Their defense has played well and are ranked second in total defense while giving up just 19 points a game.
The oddsmakers opened this game with Navy as an eight point favorite but that has dropped to six. The total also tumbled opening at 51 but is now down to 47.5.According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis a surprising 68% of the public are still behind Navy with all of their injuries while 67% feel that both teams will put on a show and are backing the over.
Navy has won 14 straight games between these teams while the last 10 games have all gone under the total.
Previous Meetings
12/12/15: Navy 21 @ Army 7
12/13/14: Navy 17 @ Army 10
12/14/13: Amy 7 @ Navy 34
Trends
- The under is 10-1 in their last 11 meetings
- The home team has covered the spread in their last four meetings
- The under is 7-1 in Navy’s last eight neutral site games.
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This is a 2* play on MIN.
The Nuggets failed to sweep the Lakers, giving Minnesota even more motivation to get the job done here in Phoenix in Game 4. Unlike the Lakers, the Suns have shown very little sign that they are capable of extending this series.
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Jesse
This is a 5* play on Over.
I had the over in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game:
“Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.”
I think Game 1 was an anomaly, and we should see high scores in this series moving forward. The Pacers scored 67 points in the first half of Game 3, and the injury to Damian Lillard should not slow them down here in Game 4. Keep in mind that while 222 points were scored in regulation in Game 3, Siakam, Haliburton and Nesmith all struggled shooting the ball. Perhaps some positive regression here.
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Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on SEA.
The Mariners have put a slow start behind them, coming into Game 3 of this series versus Arizona as winners of nine of their last 11 overall.
Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lights out so far this season. The 26 year old tossed six scoreless innings, striking out six and allowing just two hits in a win at Texas his last time out.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Brandon Pfaadt, who hasn't been the same pitcher he was in last year's playoffs. He's allowed seven runs on 10 hits and four walks in 11 innings in two losses on the road so far.
The Mariners bullpen ranks 1st in the majors with a 2.40 ERA among relief pitchers.
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Jesse Schule
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