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Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos Betting Preview October 9, 2016

October 9th, 2016

Atlanta Falcons (3-1) vs. Denver Broncos (4-0) Preview


Spread:  Denver -4.5 (5dimes)
Total: 46.5
Kickoff: 4:05 pm ET
Location: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
Television Broadcast: FOX

Preview

The best offense in the league meets one of the best defenses when Atlanta plays Denver. The Falcons are the only team in the league that averages over 400 yards a game and they’ve averaged a whopping 38 points. They lead the league in passing yards and scoring, winning their last three games and scoring at least 45 points in the last two. They tore up the Panthers last week 48-33 and had a 34-10 lead at one point in the game. Matt Ryan threw for over 500 yards and four TD’s in the game. No Manning, no problem as the Broncos are undefeated at 4-0.. Their defense has picked up where it left off last season and are ranked 2nd against the pass and 5th in total defense. They lead the league with 17 sacks and completely shut down the passing game of their last 2 opponents holding Dalton of the Bengals to 206 yards with no TD’s and a pick and then making it two straight weeks of not allowing a passing TD. They stopped Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston, holding him to 179 passing yards and two picks last week. The oddsmakers have the Broncos a 4.5 point favorite and the total at 46.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis the public is almost evenly split on both the side and total.
 

Previous Meetings

09/17/12: Broncos 21 @ Falcons 27
11/16/08: Broncos 24 @ Falcons 20
10/31/04: Falcons 41 @ Broncos 28

 

 

Trends

  • The Broncos are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
  • The Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
  • The under is 11-4-1 in Falcons last 16 road games.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available