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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Preview September 26, 2016

September 26th, 2016

Atlanta Falcons (1-1) vs. New Orleans Saints (0-2) Preview


Spread: New Orleans -2.5 (5dimes)
Total: 54
Kickoff: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA. 
Television Broadcast: ESPN

Preview

The Saints host the Falcons on Monday Night Football, and the boomakers are expecting an old fashioned shootout. The total for tonight’s game opened at 52.5, but all the money is on the over, and it’s since been bet up a couple points. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis, 75 percent of the public is betting the over. The Saints defense really did stink last year, and it didn’t look like anything hand changed in a Week 1 home loss to Oakland. Last week on the road in New York, they showed signs of improvement, limiting the Giants offense to just three field goals. The Falcons offense is coming in hot, after putting up 528 total yards on the road in a 35-28 win at Oakland. History doesn’t seem to support such an inflated number here for tonight’s game, as only once in the last seven meetings have these two teams pushed the total over the number. The Falcons have failed to cover in four of their last five at the Superdome, and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
 

Previous Meetings

1/03/16: Saints 20 @ Falcons 17
10/15/15: Falcons 21 @ Saints 31
12/21/14: Falcons 30 @ Saints 14
 

Trends

  • The favorite has failed to cover in five straight meetings.
  • The under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.
  • The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

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- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

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- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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