Auburn vs. Alabama Betting Preview 11/26/16 – Odds & TV
Auburn Tigers (8-3) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Alabama -17 (5dimes)
Total: 47
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Location: Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL.
Television Broadcast: CBS
Betting Preview
Auburn opened the season losing two of their first three games and then won six straight before losing their third game to Georgia two weeks ago. They bounced back nicely last week amassing over 700 yards of offense in a 51-14 thrashing of Arkansas State. Their offense is led by running back Kamryn Pettway and a running game that averages almost 300 yards a game and has scored 32 touchdowns. They have an outstanding defense that has held nine opponents to less than 20 points scoring and they average giving up just 14.3 points a game.
Alabama keeps rolling over opponents winning their 11th straight game without a loss. They have won their last eight games by double digits while their amazing defense has given up an average of six points in their last five wins and just six points total in their last three. Their well balanced offense is led by quarterback Jalen Hurts who has thrown 19 touchdowns and is also the second leading rusher on the team with over 800 yards and a team leading 11 rushing touchdowns.
The oddsmakers have made Alabama a 17 point home favorite and set the total at 47. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 59% of the public feel the line is too high and are backing Auburn despite the fact Alabama has covered the spread in eight of the nine games they were a 30 point favorite or less.
Alabama has won four of the last five meetings between these schools winning by double digits each time.
Previous Meetings
11/28/15: Crimson Tide 29 @ Tigers 13
11/29/14: Tigers 44 @ Crimson Tide 55
11/30/13: Crimson Tide 28 @ Tigers 31
Trends
- The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings
- The favorite has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings
- The Tigers have covered the spread in nine of their last 12 games.
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Free picks
This is a Free play on Chelsea.
Chelsea got off to a solid start, but with all the money spent on high end talent in the offseason expectations were not met. Recent struggles have cost manager and former star player Frank Lampard his job, and former PSG manager Thomas Tuchel will take over. This is an opportunity for young Chelsea players to make an impression with their new manager, and we should see a solid effort from the Blues at home versus Wolves. Wolverhampton is not a strong away side, with a goal differential of -7 in nine matches. Chelsea has a solid home record, with a goal differential of +8 in nine home matches.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Southampton.
Arsenal was knocked out of the FA Cup losing 1-0 to Southapmton over the weekend, and Aubameyang did not play due to personal reasons. Southampton has the fourth best home record in the Premier League, earning points in six of nine home games. They have also earned points in three of their last four matches against Arsenal. This looks like a pretty even matchup, and a draw would be no surprise here. These two teams are separated by just two points in the table, and by just one goal in goal differential.
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This is an 8* play on the Under.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have averaged just 57 points per game in their last four, and they are 2-2 during that span. They are excellent on defense, holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game this season. The Temple Owls know a thing or two about playing defense, and we can expect a real defensive battle here in Philly. The under is 8-2 in the Owls last 10 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Owls have gone under in seven of their last eight versus teams with a winning record.
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Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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| Big Al McMordie | $717 |
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| Will Rogers | $495 |
| Ricky Tran | $449 |
| ASA | $359 |
| Ray Monohan | $322 |
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