Auburn vs. Oklahoma Betting Preview 01/02/16 – Sugar Bowl Odds & TV
Auburn Tigers (8-4) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Oklahoma -3 (5dimes)
Total: 63.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans LA.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Preview
The one and only time these teams met was in the 1972 Sugar Bowl and the Sooners won that game 40-22. The Tigers will have a chance to even the score when they meet again in the 2017 Sugar Bowl.
The Tigers got off to a shaky start losing two of their first three games but then their offense with one of the best running games in the nation and their strong defense led them to six straight wins. Running backs Kamryn Pettway and Kerryon Johnson led a ground attack that averaged 278 yards a game which was sixth best in the nation.
The Tigers running game produced over 3300 yards and 32 touchdowns. They also had a solid defense that held 8 opponents below 20 points scoring and was ranked fifth allowing 15.6 points a game. Injuries really hurt them towards the end of the season when quarterback Sean White got hurt and missed two games and running back Kamryn Pettway was also injured missing two games around the same time. They finished the year losing 2 of their last 3 games.
The Sooners also started slow losing two of their first three and then finished with a flurry winning their last nine games in a row. They are led by quarterback Baker Mayfield who is ranked 10th in the country with over 3600 yards passing and 38 touchdowns while his 197.8 quarterback rating is the best in college football.They also have an excellent running game that amassed over 2800 yards and scored 27 touchdowns.
The Sooners offense averages over 550 total yards a game ranking them ninth while scoring 44.7 points a game which is third best in the country. They didn’t play good defense early in the season as they allowed three of their first five opponents to score at least 40 points resulting in a 2-3 record up to that point.
Their defense improved after that and they held six of their last seven opponents below 30 points while winning their last five games by double digits.
The oddsmakers have made the Sooners a 3 point favorite and set the total at 63.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 69% of the public think Oklahoma’s offense won’t be stopped and are backing the Sooners while 67% believe scoring will be fast and furious and are behind the over.
The Tigers have covered the spread in seven of their last nine regular season games.
Previous Meetings
NO RECENT MEETINGS
Trends
- The Sooners have failed to cover the spread in their last six neutral site games.
- The Tigers have covered the spread in their last five non-conference games
- The under is 5-2 in the Sooners last seven games overall
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This is a free play on Over 2.5.
After Bremen and Heidenheimer played a scoreless draw in the first leg of this relegation/promotion playoff, perhaps we see a bit of recency bias at play in the second leg. The total is taking back plus money betting the over 2.5, which seems like a bargain in a match that could be decided on away goals. While neither team scored in the fist leg, the previous two head to head meetings saw a combined eight goals. Bremen scored six goals the last time they were faced with a must win game, and I very much doubt they will be held off the score sheet in this match.
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This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.
West Ham is coming off a shocking 3-2 win over Chelsea, putting them three points clear of relegation. Newcastle is also coming off a favorable result, beating Bournemouth by a score of 4-1. We can expect plenty of chances in a match featuring two teams that aren't known for their defending. Newcastle won the last meeting between these teams by a score of 3-2, and I expect a similar score here on Sunday.
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