Bengals vs. Texans Betting Preview 12/24/16 – Saturday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals (5-8-1) vs. Houston Texans (8-6) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pick';em (5dimes)
Total: 41
Time: 8:25 pm ET
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX.
Television Broadcast: NFL
Betting Preview
The Bengals post season has disappeared after losing for the fourth time in their last six games. Their offense can’t seem to put any points on the board and in five of their last six games they have been held to 23 points or less and are now ranked 23rd in points scored (20.4 points a game). Quarterback Andy Dalton has thrown just 16 touchdowns all year and never more than two in a game. Over the last six games he has thrown for at least 300 yards just once and tossed a meager seven touchdowns along with four interceptions. In his last two games he hasn’t even been able to reach 200 passing yards in either game. Their defense has held strong allowing just 20.9 points a game.
Houston’s come from behind win last week allowed them to remain tied with Tennessee atop their division. Houston had better figure out their quarterback problem if they hope to go anywhere in the post season let alone win their division. Quarterback Brock Osweiler has been ineffective all season and has thrown a total of only 14 touchdowns and 16 interceptions while never reaching 300 yards passing in any game. In his last 4 games he has passed for just two touchdowns and thrown six interceptions. Last week he was pulled in the second quarter with 8:31 left in the first half after passing for 48 yards and getting intercepted twice. His replacement Tom Savage came in and eventually led Houston in a fourth quarter comeback for the win. Their tough defense which allows 21 points a game has pretty much got Houston this far.
The oddsmakers opened the game with Houston as a three point favorite but because of the quarterback problems it has been bet down to a Pick’;em with the total set at 41. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 54% of the public like Houston anyway with their 6-1 home record while 54% like the over despite the two teams struggling with their offense.
Houston has won six of the last seven meetings between these two teams.
Previous Meetings
11/16/15: Texans 10 @ Bengals 6
11/23/14: Bengals 22 @ Texans 13
01/05/13: Bengals 13 @ Texans 19
Trends
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight meetings
- The under is 6-2 in their last eight meetings
- The under is 8-3 in the Texan’s last 11 home games
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win.
The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half.
Take CLE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.
The last time these two teams played, West Ham won by a score of 3-1. The Hammers are coming off three consecutive wins, scoring seven goals in those matches. Aston Villa scored twice in a home win over Everton in their last match at Villa Park, and given the history between these two teams I think it's unlikely that either side will post a clean sheet.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
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- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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