Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview October 7, 2016

Boise State Broncos (4-0) vs. New Mexico Lobos (2-2) Preview

Spread:  Boise State -17 (5dimes)
Total: 61.5
Kickoff: 9:00 pm ET
Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque NM.
Television Broadcast: CBS


The Broncos quest to run the table continues Friday, and they will be a huge road favorite at New Mexico. This game comes with a bit of a revenge factor, as last year the Lobos won outright at Boise State as a 31 point underdog. Despite the fact that Boise State has failed to cover in five straight meetings with this Mountain West rival, they are asked to win by three scores here on the road. This comes after their offense managed just 21 points at home to Utah State last Saturday. New Mexico won both it’s home games so far, totaling an impressive 96 points in those games, albeit against weak opposition. The Lobos did score 49 points, covering the spread in their last home game against the Broncos. New Mexico ranks second nationally averaging 347 rushing yards per game. They ran for 446 yards and five scores at home to San Jose State last week. Despite the fact that the trends seem to favor the home underdog, the public is all over Boise State here. According to Consensus Analysis, 68 percent of bettors are backing the road favorite. As is often the case, the average Joes are also pounding the over to the tune of 70 percent.

Previous Meetings

11/14/15: Lobos 31 @ Broncos 24
11/08/14: Broncos 60 @ Lobos 49
11/30/13: Lobos 17 @ Broncos 45


  • The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.
  • The over is 4-0 in the Lobos last four home games.
  • The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available