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Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Preview 12/25/16 – Sunday Night Football Odds

December 24th, 2016

Denver Broncos (8-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) Betting Preview


Line/Odds: Kansas City -3 (5dimes)
Total: 37.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO.
Television Broadcast: NBC


Betting Preview

This is a big game for two teams looking for a chance to play in the post season this year. Denver is looking to make it as a wild card team but they have hurt their chances by losing three of their last four games. Their offense has really struggled lately by scoring 20 points or less in their last three games and totaling just 13 points in their last two games which resulted in losses.

Quarterback Trevor Siemian has thrown only six touchdowns in his last four starts and has just 16 touchdown passes all year. Second stringer Paxton Lynch has played in three games and has two touchdown passes and has thrown for at least 200 yards in just one of those games. Their running game which is horrible was only able to run for 74 yards total in their last two games and is now ranked 27th in the league.

The Chiefs have won eight of their last 10 games and have been very consistent on defense holding opponents below 20 points scoring in seven of their last 10 games. This has allowed an offense that averages 23 points a game scoring to win six games by eight points or less out of their last eight victories.

The oddsmakers have made the Chiefs a three point favorite and set the total at 37.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis, 67% of the public are behind KC and their 5-2 home record while 54% believe the total is too low even for these teams and are backing the over.

The road team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams.

Previous Meetings

11/27/16: Chiefs 30 @ Broncos 27
11/15/15: Chiefs 29 @ Broncos 13
09/07/15: Broncos 31 @ Chiefs 24

Trends


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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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