Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Preview 12/25/16 – Sunday Night Football Odds
Denver Broncos (8-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Kansas City -3 (5dimes)
Total: 37.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Betting Preview
This is a big game for two teams looking for a chance to play in the post season this year. Denver is looking to make it as a wild card team but they have hurt their chances by losing three of their last four games. Their offense has really struggled lately by scoring 20 points or less in their last three games and totaling just 13 points in their last two games which resulted in losses.
Quarterback Trevor Siemian has thrown only six touchdowns in his last four starts and has just 16 touchdown passes all year. Second stringer Paxton Lynch has played in three games and has two touchdown passes and has thrown for at least 200 yards in just one of those games. Their running game which is horrible was only able to run for 74 yards total in their last two games and is now ranked 27th in the league.
The Chiefs have won eight of their last 10 games and have been very consistent on defense holding opponents below 20 points scoring in seven of their last 10 games. This has allowed an offense that averages 23 points a game scoring to win six games by eight points or less out of their last eight victories.
The oddsmakers have made the Chiefs a three point favorite and set the total at 37.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis, 67% of the public are behind KC and their 5-2 home record while 54% believe the total is too low even for these teams and are backing the over.
The road team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams.
Previous Meetings
11/27/16: Chiefs 30 @ Broncos 27
11/15/15: Chiefs 29 @ Broncos 13
09/07/15: Broncos 31 @ Chiefs 24
Trends
- The Broncos have covered the spread in six of their last seven meetings in KC
- The road team has covered the spread in their last six meetings
- The under is 8-2 in the Chiefs last 10 games overall
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This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The Notre Dame Irish have been cruising through a rather average schedule, and they are currently ranked #3 overall with their sights set on the College Football Playoffs. Standing in their way are the #13 ranked Syracuse Orange, who have lost two games by an average margin of 5.5 points. Their loss to Clemson by a score of 27-23 is more impressive than most of Notre Dame's wins. This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I'll take the points with Syracuse. Take CUSE. GL,
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The Dukes were 16-16 overall last season, and finished near the bottom of the Atlantic 10. They are off to a good start here in 2018, crushing William and Mary in their season opener by a score of 84-70. They will look to keep the ball rolling here in the Gotham Classic, hosting Illinois-Chicago. The Dukes shot 52.5 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from beyond the arc against the Tribe, while the Flames have shot just 43 percent from the field in back to back losses so far. The Dukes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they were 13-6 at home last season. They have done well in recent games against teams from the Horizon league, covering the spread in six of their last seven such contests. I'll take the home favorite here.
Take DUQ.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
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- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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