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Bucs vs. Cowboys Betting Preview 12/18/16 – Sunday Night Football Odds

December 17th, 2016

Tampa Bay Bucs (8-5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (11-2) Betting Preview


Line/Odds: Dallas -7 (5dimes)
Total: 46.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX.
Television Broadcast: NBC


Betting Preview

The Buc’s chances of making the playoffs didn’t look to promising at the half way point in the season when they were 3-5 and gave up 43 points in their last loss to Atlanta. But they have since dramatically turned things around and have won five straight games.

Quarterback James Winston has led a very capable offense with over 3300 yards passing and 23 touchdowns and is helped by a rushing game that averages over 104 yards a game. The biggest improvement though has been their defense.

In their first eight games the defense allowed five opponents to score at least 27 points but in their last five games they have not allowed more than 21 points in any game and give up an average of 23 a game. This has allowed them to be sitting in first place in their division tied with Atlanta.

The Cowboys suffered their second loss and had their 11 game winning streak snapped in a 10-7 loss to the Giants in their last game. It was the Giants that also gave them their first loss in the opening game of the season.

Rookie quarterback Dak Prescott didn’t have a very good game against the Giants and it was the first time all year he threw more interceptions than touchdowns in a game. It was also the third straight game he had passed for under 200 yards in a game. Rookie running back Ezekiel Elliot leads the league in rushing on a team that is ranked second in the NFL running the ball while averaging over 26 points a game.

The oddsmakers have made Dallas a seven point favorite and set the total at 46.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 63% of the public are behind the red hot Bucs while 55% believe the defenses will not be able to keep the total under.

Dallas has won five of their last six meetings while the total has gone under in eight of the last 10 games between these teams.

Previous Meetings

11/15/15: Cowboys 6 @ Bucs 10
09/23/12: Bucs 10 @ Cowboys 16
12/17/11: Cowboys 31 @ Bucs 15

Trends


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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available