Al McMordie Premium Picks

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes minus the points over Harvard.  Last year, the Crimson blew out Marist, 79-66.  We'll take Marist to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 63% since 1990 when favored over a non-conference foe that defeated Marist the previous season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen minus the points over Central Connecticut St.  The Minutemen are 2-1 on the season, and play this game with revenge from a 73-69 defeat to the Blue Devils last year.  UMass has cashed 59% the last 36 seasons at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss, if UMass owned a winning record.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over Loyola-Maryland.  We played on the Greyhounds yesterday, and got the $$$ in their blowout of Stonehill.  But Loyola-Maryland is an ugly 0-7 ATS off a win by 7+ points (and 4-18 SU and 6-16 ATS off a win by any margin).  Take Fairfield minus the points.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  This is the Ravens' 3rd straight road game.  I like playing against NFL teams in this situation, and especially if they won and covered their previous two road games.  Since 1980, these road-weary teams have cashed just 38%.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals gave up a whopping 44 points to the Seahawks last week, in a 44-22 loss.  The good news for the Cards is that they're 12-1 ATS off a loss in which they allowed 44+ points, including 9-0 ATS at home.  And the 49ers are 0-11 ATS vs. division foes that allowed 31+ points in their previous game.  Take the Cardinals.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  I like playing the Unders in competitively-priced division games, with point spreads below 5 points, if both teams are good teams with at least a .500 record, and the Over/Under is relatively-high with a total of 47+ points.  These games have gone 62% under since 1980.  Take the Rams and Seahawks UNDER.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Seattle.  The Seahawks blew out Arizona, 44-22, last Sunday.  But Seattle is a soft 19-34-2 ATS off a win by more than 20 points, including 6-20 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take the Rams.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Houston Texans.  Tennessee comes into this game off its Bye week.  And NFL Bye weeks often favor the league's worst teams.  Indeed, rested teams on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak have cashed 60% as underdogs, including 46-26 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take the Titans.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Denver Broncos.  The Chiefs had last week off following their upset loss at the hands of Buffalo.  We played against KC in that game, but will switch gears and ride with Patrick Mahomes & Co. today, in Denver, against the 8-2 Broncos.  The Chiefs are generally a great bet off a straight-up loss, provided they're not laying more than 7 points.  In that situation, KC is 20-7 ATS since 2015, including a spectacular 10-1 ATS vs. the league's elite teams that have a win percentage of .666 (or better).  Look for the Chiefs to rout the Broncos.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Pittsburgh game.  The Bengals lost to the Bears last week, 47-42, in a very high-scoring game.  Cincy has now gone over the total five straight, but we'll look for a much lower-scoring game here, vs. the Steelers.  Admittedly, the first meeting this season totaled 64 points in a 33-31 Bengals triumph.  But rematches of games that totaled 64+ points tend to go UNDER the total (57.1% since 1980), and this game should follow that 46-year trend.  The UNDER also falls into 69-34 and 87-50 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  Buffalo was upset last week, 30-13, by its division rival, Miami.  We'll take Buffy to bounce back this afternoon, as it's an awesome 72-22 SU and 60-31-3 ATS as a favorite of 13 or less points (or PK) off a SU loss, including 13-4-2 ATS off a loss by 17+ points.  The Bills also fall into one of my favorite NFL systems, which is 168-88 ATS, which plays on certain teams favored off losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hokies are 3-0 SU/ATS to start the season, while Charlotte enters off a 62-55 upset loss to Davidson.  We'll lay the points with Va Tech, as the Hokies are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings with the 49ers.  And Virginia Tech also falls into a 'momentum' system of mine (which has cashed 63% since 1990) which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS wins vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Auburn.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over Merrimack and Wofford.  They'll now take on Houston, which they defeated a year ago, 74-69, as a 5.5-point underdog.  We'll take the revenge-minded Cougars, as they're 42-19 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, if Houston is not.  And the Coogs also are 58-27 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, in an early game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Miami.  The Dolphins upset the Buffalo Bills last week, 30-13, as an 8-point underdog.  We'll fade Miami off that win, as it is 9-31 ATS off an upset division win the previous week, including 4-18 ATS as a favorite.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the UNDER in the Commanders/Dolphins match-up.  Washington comes into this game with a porous defense which is allowing 28 ppg.  Not surprisingly, it has gone Over the total in a majority of its games this season.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game overseas on this Sunday, as NFL teams with defenses that allow 28+ points have gone UNDER the total 56% since 1980 at Game 9 forward.  Also, the UNDER falls into 105-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.