Mike Lundin Premium Picks

Rangers vs Angels August 21, 2026 Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Angels are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games, while the Texas Rangers arrive on an eye-popping 10-0 run to the under. The Angels are coming off an explosive 18-3 victory over Houston, but history repeatedly shows that explosive offensive outputs from volatile offenses often lead to immediate letdowns the following game.

The Angels hand the ball to left-hander Reid Detmers (4-8, 3.78 ERA), who has been a bankable under engine all season. Los Angeles has seen the total stay under in eight of Detmers' last nine starts. Texas counters with southpaw MacKenzie Gore (7-9, 4.45 ERA), whose starts have yielded a 1-3 over/under record across his last four outings. Furthermore, both pitchers possess a strong track record against today's opposition; Detmers has held active Texas batters to a .194 average over 94 at-bats, while Gore has suppressed Halos hitters to a .234 average across 77 at-bats.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

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4% Packers/Broncos TGIF NFLX TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Green Bay Packers enter this matchup eager for a bounce-back after dropping an ugly 28-9 decision to Pittsburgh in their preseason opener. Head coach Matt LaFleur has a proven track record of adjusting quickly, compiling three consecutive winning preseason campaigns prior to this summer.

Sean Payton’s Denver Broncos opened their slate in style with a 27-7 victory over Atlanta. Payton brings a reputation for taking August games seriously, leading Denver to back-to-back 3-0 straight-up preseason runs, but giving this many points in an August exhibition matchup gives us substantial value on the underdog.

The Bet: Packers (4%). 

Tigers/Royals MLB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Angle(s): Left-hander Noah Cameron (7-8, 4.16 ERA) takes the mound for Kansas City amidst the absolute best stretch of his young career. Ever since Cameron took over his own pitch calling in late July, he has unlocked a completely new level, highlighted by a dominant, 1-hit complete-game shutout in his last outing. Over his last four starts, he has limited opposing lineups to one run or fewer in three of them.

The Detroit Tigers have struggled massively against left-handed starters all season, limping to a 15-23 record (-26% ROI) in that split. Detroit turns to righty Troy Melton (7-1, 1.49 ERA), whose shiny numbers make the Tigers an inflated road favorite, but support the under.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

Tigers/Royals MLB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Angle(s): Left-hander Noah Cameron (7-8, 4.16 ERA) takes the mound for Kansas City amidst the absolute best stretch of his young career. Ever since Cameron took over his own pitch calling in late July, he has unlocked a completely new level, highlighted by a dominant, 1-hit complete-game shutout in his last outing. Over his last four starts, he has limited opposing lineups to one run or fewer in three of them.

The Detroit Tigers have struggled massively against left-handed starters all season, limping to a 15-23 record (-26% ROI) in that split. Detroit turns to righty Troy Melton (7-1, 1.49 ERA), whose shiny numbers make the Tigers an inflated road favorite.

The Bet: Royals (3%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Washington Nationals were a moneymaker for us earlier in the season, but they have cooled off significantly and are just 4-12 (25%) as underdogs this month. The Miami Marlins are a solid 34-18 (+13% ROI) as favorites on the season, and right-hander Ryan Gusto (0-3, 4.70 ERA) has, unlike Washington, heated up with the summer and allowed a total of just five runs (3.07 ERA) across three starts this month. Nats turn to right-hander Brad Lord (5-2, 4.04 ERA) as an opener for a bullpen game. Their bullpen has been a weakness all season long (27th in MLB ERA), and asking a heavily taxed bullpen to cover 8+ innings favors Miami big time.

The Bet: Marlins (4%).