Mike Lundin Premium Picks

Raptors vs Wizards October 23, 2026

The Angle(s): The Toronto Raptors look like a different team with Kawhi Leonard back in the fold. Toronto led by as many as 48 points in its opening rout of Chicago, forcing 27 turnovers, and Leonard, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley each scored 23 points without logging 30 minutes. The Raptors have also won four of the last five meetings with Washington.

The Washington Wizards opened with a double-digit win over a Milwaukee team that just traded away Giannis Antetokounmpo, and I think the market is overreacting to it. Washington trailed for most of that game, shot 6-for-28 from deep and leaned heavily on the free-throw line. Top pick AJ Dybantsa remains sidelined, and Toronto's long, switchable defense is a far tougher test.

The Bet: Raptors ATS (3%). 

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Lightning v Avs NHL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Angle(s): The Tampa Bay Lightning have built their hot start on structure as much as skill, allowing just 23 goals through nine games, and Andrei Vasilevskiy is rounding into form after stopping 32 of 34 shots in Tuesday's 6-2 win at Vegas. He's also been a wall against Colorado, turning aside 31 of 33 shots in a 4-2 win last January. Tampa Bay has been a notoriously slow starter on the road, too, failing to win the first period in 12 of its last 13 road games.

The Colorado Avalanche return home after dropping both contests of a road back-to-back in Philadelphia and New Jersey, and I expect tired legs to show. The market is already leaning this way with the under juiced, and I'm happy to follow.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S Wolves v Magic NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Angle(s): The Minnesota Timberwolves made a loud statement in their opener, rolling past Miami 131-106 on the road as Anthony Edwards poured in 45 points with nine threes. Edwards already looks like he's in midseason form, and the new-look backcourt alongside LaMelo Ball gives Minnesota a dynamic attack that Orlando will struggle to contain.

The Orlando Magic are shorthanded to begin the season, with Anthony Black, Jonathan Isaac, Noah Penda and Izaiyah Nelson all ruled out. Losing Black and Isaac strips away two of their best perimeter defenders, which is a problem against Edwards. Orlando also dropped its opener to Atlanta after blowing a fourth-quarter lead. I'll back the Wolves at this short price.

The Bet: Wolves ML (3%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S Pistons v Heat NBA BOOKIE BU$TER

The Angle(s): The Miami Heat opened the Giannis Antetokounmpo era with a 131-106 home loss to Minnesota, and the market has overreacted. Miami was a short favorite for this game, yet this line has drifted to a pick'em, with some books even making Detroit the favorite. One ugly night against an Anthony Edwards explosion (45 points, nine threes) doesn't change what this roster is.

The Detroit Pistons are coming off an emotional comeback win over Boston, and I like the Heat to bounce back in a spot where they have far more to prove.

The Bet: Heat ML (3%). 

4% Mavs v Pacers NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Tyrese Haliburton plays his first game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in almost 500 days, and I expect the Indiana Pacers to feed off a raucous home crowd. Haliburton looked like himself in the opener, posting 23 points and 12 assists in a road win at New Orleans, while Indiana exploded for 37 points in the fourth quarter.

The Dallas Mavericks are in rough shape after getting manhandled in Houston. They were outscored 38-12 in the second quarter, trailed by as many as 37 points, and Kyrie Irving was limited to 24 minutes. Dallas is also banged up. I'll lay the points with the home side.

The Bet: Pacers ATS (4%). 

Rays v Brewers World Series G1 BOOKIE BREAKER

The Angle(s): The Tampa Bay Rays hand the ball to Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA), and I like the matchup more than this price suggests. Martinez posted a 2.38 ERA in 16 road starts this season, and he already handled Milwaukee in late March, holding the Brewers to two runs over six innings in a Rays win. His elite command and soft-contact profile are a strong fit against a lineup that has leaned heavily on the long ball.

The Milwaukee Brewers counter with Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA), but he hasn't escaped the fifth inning in either postseason start and is now working on 11 days' rest. With the Brewers' bats also sitting idle for over a week, I'll take the plus money on the hotter club.

The Bet: Rays ML (3%).