Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos Betting Preview September 8, 2016
Carolina Panthers (0-0) vs. Denver Broncos (0-0) Game Preview
Spread: Carolina -3 (5dimes)
Total: 42
Kickoff: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Sports Authority Field, Denver Co.
Television Broadcast: NBC
PREVIEW: The 2016 season starts where the 2015 season left off, with a rematch of Super Bowl 50. The Broncos were a 4.5 point underdog in the last game, but they won outright by a score of 24-10. The Denver defense dominated the game from start to finish, forcing Panthers quarterback Cam Newton to make some ill advised throws. The intense pressure of the Broncos forced Newton to make poor decisions, and he turned the ball over several times. Situational handicappers will be looking at a revenge spot here, with Newton and Carolina having a chance to exorcise some demons. The public money is heavy on Carolina, according to Covers.com consensus analysis, 73 percent of bettors are backing the Panthers. History tells us that these two teams haven’t scored a lot of points in previous meetings, failing to reach the total in four of the last five games. The public has taken notice, with 64 percent of bettors favoring the under. Denver could be a bit shorthanded on defense though, with DeMarcus Ware’s status listed as questionable due to a sore back. The Panthers defense also took a big hit in the off-season, losing Josh Norman to the Redskins. Both teams were 2-2 in the pre-season, but Denver won handily (19-9 vs LA) in “dress rehearsal” week, while the Panthers lost at home to the Patriots.
Previous Meetings:
02/07/16: Panthers 10 @ Broncos 24
11/11/12: Broncos 36 @ Panthers 14
12/14/08: Broncos 10 @ Carolina 30
Trends:
– Carolina has failed to cover in each of it’s last four road games.
– The over is 12-5 in Carolina’s last 17 road games.
– The under is 5-1 in the Broncos last six games at Sports Authority Field.
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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| Service | Profit |
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| Stephen Nover | $302 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $202 |
| John Ryan | $153 |
| Matt Fargo | $30 |
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