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Clemson vs. Alabama Betting Preview 01/09/17 – NCAAF Championship Game

January 8th, 2017

Clemson Tigers (13-1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (14-0) Betting Preview


Line/Odds: Alabama -6.5 (5dimes)
Total: 50.5
Time: 8:00 pm ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL.
Television Broadcast: ESPN


Betting Preview

In a rematch of last year’s Championship Game Clemson will play Alabama and have a chance to redeem itself after last year’s 45-40 defeat.

The Tigers are led by quarterback Deshaun Watson who finished second in the Heisman Trophy balloting. Clemson got here with the 31-0 destruction of Ohio State last week where Watson passed for two touchdowns and ran for another. He had an amazing year leading a powerful offense that averaged 39.5 points a game and scored over 40 points in seven games. He threw for over 4100 yards while passing for over 300 yards in six games and throwing at least three touchdown passes in seven. Their defense was a force as well allowing 18.4 points and 314 total yards a game.

Alabama comes in undefeated and is looking for it’s 27th straight win. They are led by freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts who threw 22 touchdowns and was the second leading rusher on the team with over 800 yards and 12 rushing scores but passed for 189 yards total in Alabama’s last two games. This prompted Coach Saban to replace offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin with Steve Sarkasian as Kiffin took a job as head coach elsewhere.

It’s Alabama’s defense that will determine the winner of the game. They were first in the nation in yards allowed per game, rushing yards allowed and points allowed (11.8 points a game) while scoring 11 defensive touchdowns.

The oddsmakers have made the Tide a 6.5 point favorite and set the total at 50.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 60% of the public couldn’t resist Clemson as the dog and are backing the Tigers while 61% are ignoring the defenses and are behind the over.

The total went over in five of Clemson’s last seven games overall while it went under in five of Alabama’s last seven games.


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Previous Meetings

01/11/16: Clemson 40 @ Alabama 45
08/30/08: Alabama 34 @ Clemson 10

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SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available