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Colts vs. Jets Betting Preview 12/05/16 – Monday Night Football

December 3rd, 2016

Indianapolis Colts (5-6) vs. New York Jets (3-8) Betting Preview


Line/Odds: Colts -1.5 (5dimes)
Total: 49.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Met Life Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ.
Television Broadcast: ESPN


Betting Preview

After alternating wins and losses for six straight weeks, the Colts had their first two game winning streak snapped last week as quarterback Andrew Luck was sidelined with a concussion and their offense was shut down in a 28-7 loss.

The Colts are in a tight division race as just one game separates three teams and chances are if they don’t win the division they probably won’t make it as a wild card. They have a decent quarterback in Luck and a capable offense that scores 25 points a game but their defense is another story.

They are ranked 29th in total defense and 28th in points allowed as the give up over 27 points a game. In five of their six losses they gave up at least 28 points in the game.

The Jets are dead last in their division and are thinking about next year. They have a middle of the road defense that sometimes plays well but their biggest problems have been on offense and the quarterback. The Jets are ranked 28th in points scored (17.8 points a game) and quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns with 13 picks and just 10 touchdown passes.

The oddsmakers opened this game at pick’em but the line has moved to the Colts as a 1.5 point favorite as Andrew Luck is expected to play while the total has held at 49.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 59% of the public like the Colts chances with Luck’s return and are behind Indianapolis while 57% believe the total is too high and are backing the under.

The total has gone under in five of the last seven meetings between these teams with the Jets winning four of the last five games.

Previous Meetings

09/21/15: Jets 20 @ Colts 7
10/14/12: Colts 9 @ Jets 35
01/08/11: Jets 17 @ Colts 16

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

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- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

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- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

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