Cowboys vs. Giants Betting Preview 12/11/16 – Sunday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys (11-1) vs. NY Giants (8-4) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Dallas -3 (5dimes)
Total: 47.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Met Life Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Sunday Night Football Betting Preview
The Cowboys with the best record in the NFL look to avenge their only loss this year which came in the first game against the Giants. They have won 11 straight games since with offense and defense.
Two rookies are responsible for their success. Quarterback Dak Prescott in his first season has led an offense that is second in the league in rushing and he himself has thrown for over 2900 yards and 19 touchdowns. The other rookie is running back Ezekiel Elliot who leads the league with 1285 yards and 12 touchdowns.
Their defense is second in the league stopping the run while being ranked 5th in points allowed giving up 19 a game. They haven’t done as well against the pass which has resulted in them giving up the most points in a game this year in two of their last four games.
The Giants had their six game winning streak broken last week in a loss to Pittsburgh 24-14. Critics will say the Giants had four of those wins at home and three of them against teams with a combined 7-29 record. Still quarterback Eli Manning has thrown for over 3000 yards and 22 touchdowns while their defense is ranked eighth in points allowed giving up just under 20 a game.
The oddsmakers have made the Cowboys a three point favorite and set the total at 47.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 66 % of the public are behind the Cowboys despite the Giant’s 5-1 home record while 60% believe the total will go over.
Four of the last six games they have played ended by three points or less.
Previous Meetings
09/11/16: Giants 20 @ Cowboys 19
10/25/15: Cowboys 20 @ Giants 27
09/13/15: Giants 26 @ Cowboys 27
Trends
- The over is 7-21 their last 10 meetings in New York
- The Cowboys haven’t covered the spread in their last four meetings
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games overall.
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This is a free play on Over 2.5.
After Bremen and Heidenheimer played a scoreless draw in the first leg of this relegation/promotion playoff, perhaps we see a bit of recency bias at play in the second leg. The total is taking back plus money betting the over 2.5, which seems like a bargain in a match that could be decided on away goals. While neither team scored in the fist leg, the previous two head to head meetings saw a combined eight goals. Bremen scored six goals the last time they were faced with a must win game, and I very much doubt they will be held off the score sheet in this match.
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Jesse Schule
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This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.
West Ham is coming off a shocking 3-2 win over Chelsea, putting them three points clear of relegation. Newcastle is also coming off a favorable result, beating Bournemouth by a score of 4-1. We can expect plenty of chances in a match featuring two teams that aren't known for their defending. Newcastle won the last meeting between these teams by a score of 3-2, and I expect a similar score here on Sunday.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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