Dolphins vs. Jets Betting Preview 12/17/16 – NFL TV & Odds

Betting Preview

The Dolphins kept their playoff chances alive after being crushed two weeks ago in Baltimore 38-6 with a big win last week against Arizona. They have now won seven of their last eight games after losing four of their first five games of the season. The Fins have been led by quarterback Ryan Tannehill who had turned his season around throwing 13 of his 19 touchdown passes in his last seven games after throwing just five touchdowns and seven interceptions in his first five games. They have also had a better than average running game that averages over 109 yards a game thanks to running back Jay Ajayi who is ranked 10th in the league with over 950 yards and seven touchdowns.

Unfortunately they received a huge blow when quarterback Ryan Tannehill was lost for the season last week due to a knee injury.

The Jets have struggled all year offensively mainly because of problems at quarterback. Their first string quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has led an offense ranked 26th in the league in passing and 28th in scoring (17.6 points a game). He has thrown just 10 touchdowns and 14 interceptions which has him tied for third highest in the league. Their second string quarterback Bryce Petty hasn’t done much better with only two touchdowns and four interceptions.

The oddsmakers have made the Dolphins a 2.5 point favorite despite them losing their starting quarterback and set the total at 38. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 64% of the public agree with the oddsmakers and are backing Miami while 52% believe points will be hard to come by and are behind the under.

The road team has won seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams.

Previous Meetings

11/06/16: Jets 23 @ Dolphins 27
11/29/15: Dolphins 20 @ Jets 38
10/04/15: Jets 27 @ Dolphins 14

Trends


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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

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TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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