Dolphins vs. Steelers Betting Preview 01/08/17 – NFL Wild Card Odds
Miami Dolphins (10-6) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pittsburgh -10 (5dimes)
Total: 45.5
Time: 1:05 pm ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh PA.
Television Broadcast: CBS
Betting Preview
In Week 5 Miami was sitting with a 1-4 record and quarterback Ryan Tannehill had thrown more interceptions (7) than touchdowns (6) and the season looked lost.
But then the Dolphins went on a six game winning streak and had a legitimate shot at making the playoffs. The streak started with a win against these Steelers 30-15 and was also the first of three 200 yard games this season for running back Jay Ajayi. Tannehill also turned his season around with nine touchdown passes and just one interception over those six games.
In Week 14 Tannehill was lost for the season after being injured but veteran quarterback Matt Moore has filled in nicely and Miami won two of their last three games of the regular season.
In that game the Steelers lost to Miami, Big Ben was injured and they dropped their next three games. With a 4-5 record, Pittsburgh had to make a move and they did by running the table with seven straight wins to close out the season. Roethlisberger finished the season passing for over 3800 yards while throwing 29 touchdowns.
The oddsmakers have made Pittsburgh a 10 point favorite and set the total at 45.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 52% of the public believe that Miami is better than that and are backing the Dolphins while 56% think the teams will have no problem scoring and are backing the over.
The road team has won three of the last four games these teams have played each other.
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Previous Meetings
10/16/16: Steelers 15 @ Dolphins 30
12/08/13: Dolphins 34 @ Steelers 28
10/24/10: Steelers 23 @ Dolphins 22
Trends
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
- The over is 6-0 in the Dolphins last six games overall
- The Steelers have covered the spread in six of their last seven home playoff games
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Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5.
The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays.
Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings.
The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts.
Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5.
Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series.
Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season.
The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings.
The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5.
It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field."
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Alex Smart | $786 |
| Trev Rogers | $783 |
| Steve Janus | $747 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $546 |
| Doc's Sports | $486 |
| Dave Price | $407 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $392 |
| Ben Burns | $290 |
| Mike Lundin | $243 |
| Marc David | $211 |
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