Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

1* Free Play on Suns -8½ -115

[1%] Free Play on Hornets under 231½ -105

3* on 49ers

*Free Play Under* The San Jose State Spartans have made a quarterback change, but I still view them as a short passing team that lacks weapons to create big plays in the passing game. San Jose State is terrible in the run game. The San Jose State defense has been much better than expected though. San Jose State has played in four straight games with a final total of 36 points or fewer.

Nevada's Carter Jones is banged up. He may play through the injury, but he is less than 100% healthy. I think Nevada is likely to run the football a lot in this one. The Nevada defense is good at limiting big plays.

The line has moved above a key number of 47, and I'm going to go to the low side here.

Take the under.

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Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Falcons +130 (ML) 

1* NFL - Dolphins/Jets NFL FREE PICK on Dolphins +4.5

Ricky's 1* play on CAL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Red Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

- The Flames are 3-1 in their last 4 games.

- The Red Wings are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rockets +1½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Colts +6½

The Vikings are 5-0 and the defense is real, allowing just 12.8 points a game.

No argument there.

But look at how those wins came: 23-16 over Tampa Bay, 9-3 in Chicago, 15-10 over Miami.

Three of five by a touchdown or less.

That profile wins games.

It doesn't cover big numbers.

Minnesota hasn't scored more than 23 points since the opener against Green Bay.

To cover 6.5, this offense needs to do something it hasn't done in over a month.

The Colts can score.

They're averaging 24 points through 6 games and have hit at least 19 in every one of their last 5.

Jonathan Taylor has 7 touchdowns and posted a season-high 151 scrimmage yards last week.

Keenan Allen has become the chain mover, with a 26-227-1 line on a team-high 40 targets.

Last week's loss to Tennessee was self-inflicted: three turnovers plus a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, and Indy still only lost by 6.

Clean up the giveaways and this offense travels fine.

Colts tight end Tyler Warren sits out a second straight game with a groin injury, but that's already priced in.

They scored 20 without him last week while handing Tennessee two free scores.

Kyler Murray is coming off a bye and completed 80 percent of his passes against New Orleans, so Minnesota winning wouldn't surprise me.

Winning and covering 6.5 are two different bets.

A short-score team laying this many points is a price I'll take the other side of every time.

I like the Colts

1 Unit FREE PLAY on SDSU/Colorado State OVER 61

The books can't set these Colorado State totals high enough. The Rams are 6-0 OVER in all games this season averaging 35.7 points per game on offense and giving up 43.2 points per game on defense. San Diego State is 5-2 OVER in all games this season with one of the worst defenses in the nation as well. The Aztecs give up 33.3 points per game. They also play fast at 11th in tempo this season. Colorado State is 37th in tempo. There will be a lot of possessions in this game and more opportunity for the offenses to score points against this terrible defenses. Give me the OVER.

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1* Best Bet on Predators +1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Warriors +7½ -110

Sunday card has the 2026 3X PERFECT AFC East TOTAL OF THE YEAR headlining along with a TOP Red Zone release, Sunday night Football and Early Season NBA Power systems. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on Arizona plus the points at 4:05 eastern. The Cards are off the big upset win over the Rams last week and should be tough here as well. Home dogs off a road dog win with a total higher than 38 are a perfect 6-0 to the spread since 200 vs an opponent like Denver that comes in off a Thursday home win. Denver has failed to cover 9 of 10 after a game with Seattle. Arizona has played well and despite red zone struggles should be in this game and cant pull another upset here. Take the points with Arizona. GL Rob V-

OVER 53.5

Detroit's offense is averaging nearly 33 PPG and Goff has been surgical with 12 TD passes and zero turnovers. Now he gets an extra week to prepare for a Green Bay defense whose recent improvement came against backup QBs and a struggling Dallas attack. That's a different assignment than dealing with this Lions offense. The problem for Detroit? Its defense is surrendering more than 400 yards per game, giving Love and Green Bay plenty of opportunities to answer. With Jacobs expected back, the Packers have another weapon to keep the scoreboard moving. This one has shootout written all over it. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 53.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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Tampa Bay Getting the Points in Charlotte Is the Quieter Ticket Against a Short Home Favorite

Tampa Bay is 1-5 and Carolina is 3-2. The number is sitting around a field goal at Bank of America Stadium. Carolina opened closer to 3.5 and has settled near 3 or 2.5. A short home favorite against a division road dog that can still run the ball is not a number that needs to be laid just because the building is in Charlotte and the Panthers are sitting atop the NFC South early. The points are the side if the hook stays at 2.5 or better.

Bryce Young and the Panthers are scoring 29.2 points a game and moving the ball at roughly 404 yards, ranking near the top of the league in both. Tampa is at 19.8 points and about 293 yards, but the run game remains viable at 128 yards and 4.8 a carry, with Bucky Irving carrying the bulk of the load. Baker Mayfield has been limited by the thumb injury and is expected back, though the Bucs have used other options and will be without key pieces like Emeka Egbuka. Carolina’s defense is allowing 24.6 points and has been soft against the run, giving up around 132 yards and over 5 yards a carry. Tampa does not need to win by a field goal. They need the final margin to stay inside the number. A competitive division game between two teams that have already traded results in this series more often than the short favorite covers is the profile.

Tampa Bay’s ground game is the clearest path. They rank in the top tier in rushing yards and yards per carry while their defense has held opponents to just 75.5 rushing yards per game, second in the league. Carolina’s offense is explosive—Bryce Young has been efficient and the unit ranks second in total yards—but their defensive front has not consistently shut down the run. That creates a structural edge for a road team that can control the clock and stay within a short number.

Recent series history supports the competitive script. The last meeting was a 16-14 Bucs win in Tampa. Before that, Carolina took a 23-20 decision in Charlotte. Those are not blowouts. Across the last several meetings the margins have often stayed inside a field goal or small window, even as the Bucs have taken the majority of recent results. The all-time series is essentially even. Division games between these clubs rarely produce the kind of one-sided outcome a short home favorite needs to cash cleanly.

The market has not moved the number off the short side despite Tampa’s record. Public money is still leaning Carolina. The points have been the quieter ticket when the favorite is being asked to cover a field goal or less against a road team that can control the ground game.

Bet the road underdog of three points or fewer in a division game. That look since the early 2010s: 19-10 ATS (65.5 percent). At -110, 19 wins and 10 losses is +7.6 units, ROI=26.2 percent. Tampa is getting the points. Carolina is laying the short number at home.

Bet against a short home favorite of three points or fewer when the underdog has shown it can run the ball at 4.5 yards or better. Tampa’s ground game is still functional. That situation since the early 2010s: 17-9 ATS (65.4 percent) for the dog. At -110 that is +6.5 units, ROI=25.0 percent.

Shop the hook. If it is +2.5 or +3, the value is cleaner. If it drops to +1.5 with heavy juice, the edge shrinks. Confirm Mayfield’s status and any late defensive news on both sides. A backup quarterback or missing offensive pieces changes the side more for the favorite than the dog here. The house does not care that Carolina is sitting atop the division early. The total and the short number are already on the sheet. The points are the quieter play.

My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over San Francisco at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We cashed a ticket fading the 49ers on Monday Night Football as they won but failed to cover against the Commanders. Still undefeated on the season, I think the Niners are ripe for the 'upset' as they head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is coming off a tough home loss to the Bears last week. That marked its second straight loss both SU and ATS and it has quickly fallen out of favor with most bettors following a brief surge that saw it win consecutive primetime games in Green Bay and New Orleans. I still think the Falcons are a good team with plenty of weapons on offense and a competitive defense led by an underrated coordinator in Jeff Ulbrich. Look for the Falcons to scheme up a gameplan to take San Francisco down to the wire at the very least on Sunday, noting that this will only be the Niners second true road game of the season (they won the other by a field goal in Seattle two weeks ago). Take Atlanta (8*).

1* on Warriors +9½

Marc David's NCAAF Free Pick

We really like the under in this matchup. The Rebels (5-1) bring a high-powered offense, but in their only true road test against a ranked opponent this season they were held in check in a blowout loss at Florida. Now they walk into Austin against the best defense they've seen all year.

The Longhorns (4-2) have dropped two straight 27-24 games and their offense has sputtered, but their defense is allowing just 272 yards per game.

The under hit for both teams last Saturday. A desperate Texas team that wants to shorten the game and an elite defense at home point to a grind. We like this one to stay under the number.

This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER.

FREE PLAY on Texas State -13½

PSP Data Driven 1* Ole Miss.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Ole Miss are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Ole Miss are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.

Tom is a perfect 3-0 in NBA Free Plays after going 2-0 on Friday. He also has 5 premium plays today: 2 CFB, 1 WNBA, 1 NBA and 1 NHL.

Atlanta Hawks -115 vs. Houston Rockets

It’s the Hawks home opener, and we’ve cashed Atlanta in both of its wins so far. We’re high on both of these teams this season, so this should be a fun one to watch.

Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back. Houston went into San Antonio and upset the Spurs. Atlanta beat Charlotte in Charlotte, its second straight road game, and now gets to come home.

The Hawks thrive on disruption. They force turnovers at an elite rate and pile up steals. A tired Houston team could get careless with the ball, and Atlanta’s active backcourt will punish that.

I’m a little concerned that Houston has won the last four meetings. I also don’t expect Fred VanVleet to play. Houston still has high-end frontcourt talent and a strong interior presence in Alperen Sengun. But a tired road team on a back-to-back, facing Atlanta’s aggressive perimeter defense, is a tough situational spot.

Look for the energetic home crowd at State Farm Arena to push the Hawks past a fatigued Rockets squad in a close one.

Take Atlanta Hawks -115.

Let’s cash some tickets!

I am looking at the Kentucky Wildcats hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kentucky’s five-game win streak has been dramatic: overtime victories over South Carolina and LSU, a road win at Texas A&M, and a gritty 21-13 comeback at Oklahoma last week that put them in first place in the SEC. They have often trailed late or needed late heroics. Now they return home as a double-digit favorite for the first time against an SEC opponent this season, with a bye the following week and College Football Playoff talk circulating. That combination frequently produces flatter efforts.

Stein has already flagged the danger, repeatedly referencing last year’s 45-17 humiliation in Nashville as motivation and warning that records can be deceiving. Previews have noted an understandable emotional letdown risk after the Oklahoma high. Should see big money pile on the ranked home favorite, which often leaves value on the dog when the favorite is due for a less-than-dominant performance.

Play on the Vanderbilt Commodores plus the points rotation #405 +10.5

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