Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts
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Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Royals -116
Matt Sullivan
1* Bet on Portland Fire -2½
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on BOS.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games.
- The White Sox are 1-3 in their last 4 games.
- The Red Sox are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.
Sal Michaels
Free Play on Pirates +120
Stephen Nover
The Angels are fully balanced. They can't hit and they don't have good pitchers.
Rookie Ryan Johnson, the Angels' worst starter, gets the call here against the Orioles.
I will take a plus price on Baltimore by laying 1 1/2 runs on the run line.
Why not? Johnson has a 7.63 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. The Angels are 2-6 in his starts. Each of those losses have been by multiple runs.
The Angels are averaging 2.5 runs in their last 17 games since the All-Star break. That would easily rank last in the majors if computed over the entire season. As it is, the Angels are well below average in every key offensive category.
Orioles starting pitcher Brandon Young has been respectable with a 3.31 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. He is 2-1 with a 2.85 when pitching at home.
William Burns
(#967) Athletics @ (#968) Cincinnati Reds | OVER | .
Mason Barnett (1-1, 4.85 ERA) vs. TBD.
Turning into a starter, for the meantime at least, Mason Barnett did not have a good July. Posting a 8.79 ERA over six outings during last month, I don't see much improvement coming from the 25 year old on Thursday. This is another hitter friendly ballpark and the struggles will continue against a hungry Reds lineup.
Despite still being quite a few games back, Cinci is still pushing to make a run at a wildcard spot. The Reds just announced that Hunter Greene will be heading to the IL, meaning this will probably be a bullpen game or a pitcher called up from the minor leagues. I expect lots of runs in this one on Thursday afternoon.
Burns' Prediction: 8-5 Reds.
Juan Carlos Flores
Recommended Bet: Cruz Azul +206
Nick Parsons
This is a FREE PLAY on the Royals.
Bailey Ober (7-3, 4.45 ERA) gets the call for the Twins, and he's just 2-3 with a 7.15 ERA on the road, compared to a 5-0, 2.72 ERA record at home.
He'll be opposed by Michael Wacha (5-8, 3.51 ERA), who is 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA at home.
Look for Wacha to anchor another solid performance from KC at home today; consider the ROYALS at this price and in this matchup.
Good luck, NP
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Royals -116
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Cardinals +1 -105
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cleveland Guardians +100
The Cleveland Guardians will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the New York Mets. I like their chances of bouncing back and taking Game 3 today with one of the most underrated starters in baseball on the mound.
Foster Griffin makes his Guardians debut after getting traded from the Nationals. It was just one of many big moves Cleveland made to try and make a run at a division title.
Griffin has gone 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 22 starts for the Nationals this season. He has been at his best on the road, going 6-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 10 starts away from home.
Nolan McLean is getting a lot of respect here as a road favorite. He is 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this season. The Guardians have stranded 26 runners on base in the first two games of this series. Look for them to capitalize on more opportunities today, plus get a dominant start from Griffin. Bet the Guardians Thursday.
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Panthers/Cardinals: under 35½
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Jeff Alexander
1* MLB - Mets/Guardians FREE PICK on Guardians -115
Dave Price
Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Twins/Royals UNDER 9
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the UNDER 9 today between the Royals and Twins. These are two handicapped offenses and this total of 9 is too high. The Twins have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 17 games. The Royals are scoring just 4.15 RPG this year. Michael Wacha is 3-3 with a 3.03 ERA in 9 home starts this year. Wacha is 4-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 6 lifetime home starts against Minnesota. Bailey Ober has yielded only 4 ER in 17 1/3 innings in his last 3 starts against Kansas City. Take the UNDER.
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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Panthers -1 +100
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Panthers/Cardinals under 35½ -108
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Twins +111
The Minnesota Twins have lost the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals. They will be motivated to avoid the sweep and I like their chances as underdogs. Bailey Ober has given up 4 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Royals for a 2.18 ERA. Michael Wacha has given up 9 earned runs and 3 home runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Minnesota for a 4.96 ERA. Give me the Twins.
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Timothy Black
1* Best Bet on Panthers -1
No analysis provided.
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Cruz Azul +180
Rob Vinciletti
Thursday Power Card has a TOP CFL Play and We are #1 ALL TIME in CFL. There is a HOF Game NFLX Specific totals system and MLB. WNBA Comp play below
The WNBA Comp play for Thursday is on Toronto plus the points at 10 eastern. Toronto is off a pair of road dog losses to a solid Golden St but should be tough here with home favored loss revenge on Portland. Rob notes that WNBA Home favorites of 10 or less with 3+ days rest that are off a home loss and are taking on a team off a road loss that has home loss revenge are 0-3 straight up the past 15 seasons. Portland has failed to cover both times this season as a home favorite with 2+ days rest. The Tempo have covered 2 of 3 on the road with home loss revenge and we will back them here tonight. GL Rob V-
R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Thursday 8-6-26
UNDER 7 1/2 Pittsburgh/Milwaukee
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Jim Feist
Take : WNBA: 609. LV Aces / Ind Fever OVER 195.5 (4 pt / 7 et)
Thursday’s matchup between the Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever has excellent odds to hit the OVER due to both teams having elite offensive weapons and the capability to play at a high pace.
Indiana has the best offensive rating and pace in the WNBA so far, led by Caitlin Clark dribbling up court and finding Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston. The Fever score nearly 94 points per game and last played in a 108-100 shootout with Minnesota.
Las Vegas scores nearly 90 points per game themselves and have shot up for 104 in their last game against New York. The Aces boast a big scoring advantage down low with A’ja Wilson while Chelsea Gray, Jackie Young and Jewell Loyd can attack Indiana from deep.
Las Vegas and Indiana combined for 184 points in their last matchup, with the Fever coming out on top at 109-75. Both offenses have enough firepower to score in the 90s once again with Indiana playing at home.
The only thing keeping me from making this a top tier play is that the oddsmakers have adjusted the total up quite a bit. I don't like fading that adjustment and while I look for this game to finish above 200 points, it's getting much closer to the line these days.
Take : 609. LV Aces / Ind Fever OVER
Brandon Lee
Thursday's Free MLB Pick
PLAY ON: Red Sox -1.5 (+110)
Alex Smart
Hamilton getting the points against BC is the lean that actually makes sense on this number, and the 2026 data plus the line movement only reinforce the caution on the home favorite.
The Lions sit at a messy 2-5 and have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the entire league. Hamilton is only 3-5 themselves, but they have shown more fight and have kept games competitive more often than the pure record suggests. The number opened closer to BC -5.5 and has drifted up toward -6.5 to 7, the kind of slow climb you often see when the public leans into the home side without real sharp conviction behind it. Laying six or six and a half with a club that has dropped five of seven already feels soft, and the upward movement has done nothing to make the price more attractive. Home field still carries weight in the CFL, but it has not been enough to turn this version of the Lions into a reliable cover machine. League-wide, home favorites sitting under .300 this season have been far from automatic against mediocre road teams, and BC fits that profile a little too cleanly.
The recent form tells a clearer story than the standings alone. BC has struggled to string together complete games on both sides of the ball and has been vulnerable to giving up leads or failing to finish. Hamilton has been outscored overall, sure, but they have hung around in enough contests to make the plus side interesting. When you look at how large home favorites have performed against .300-to-.400 road clubs in 2026, the cover rate drops off once the number climbs past a touchdown. The expected value on laying 6.5 with this Lions team simply does not jump off the page the way it does in cleaner mismatch spots, especially after the line has already moved against the underdog.
The math is straightforward. A 2-5 home team laying more than a touchdown against a 3-5 visitor creates a break-even threshold that demands a higher win-and-cover rate than BC has delivered so far. Even after adjusting for home-field advantage, the Lions’ inconsistency has produced enough stinkers to make the price feel a little rich. The fact that the number has stretched from the mid-fives into the sixes suggests the market is still buying the home side, yet the underlying form does not fully support that confidence. Hamilton’s ability to stay within one score in several of their losses gives them a realistic path to cashing the ticket, whether by keeping it close or straight-up stealing one if BC has another off night. League trends this year have shown that soft home favorites in the 6-to-7 range have been vulnerable when the underdog still has some fight left.
I like the underdog points here more than I like the favorite. This is the kind of spot where the market sometimes overrates the home team simply because the other side is not lighting the world on fire, and the line movement so far looks more like public steam than informed money. BC has not earned heavy trust at a larger number, and Hamilton has shown just enough resilience to make the plus side attractive. Grab the Tiger-Cats plus the points and let the inconsistency of the Lions do the rest, or wait for a better number if the line keeps drifting. Either way, this does not feel like a spot to hammer the chalk
Sean Murphy
My selection is on San Diego over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday.
It always requires a leap of faith of sorts backing the Padres when Walker Buehler takes the ball. If nothing else, he has eaten some innings for them lately and San Diego has actually reeled off victories in each of his last four starts. I do look for the Padres to rebound here off last night's blowout defeat. Their lineup figures to overpower Diamondbacks starter Kohl Drake, who will be making just his fourth big league start. San Diego owns the bullpen edge as well, especially with Arizona's relief corps depleted after placing Ryan Thompson on the I.L. with a lower back strain yesterday. The price is right to back San Diego in this rebound spot. Take San Diego (8*).
Mike Lundin
Twins vs Royals MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): Minnesota sends right-hander Bailey Ober (7-3, 4.45 ERA) to the mound, while Kansas City counters with veteran righty Michael Wacha (5-8, 3.51 ERA). With the Twins sliding down the standings and Ober struggling away from home 2-3 wtih a 7.15 ERA, I like the price we get on the Royals in this one.
The Bet: Royals (3%).
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Marc David
Marc David Sports' Free Pick
We really like the home team in this matchup. Cleveland looks to avoid the sweep against the visiting Mets, and newly acquired LHP Foster Griffin gets a favorable team debut. Griffin (12-3, 3.06 ERA) has had an outstanding All-Star campaign and steps in to give the Guardians a major edge on the mound. He steps into a prime spot against a New York squad that has struggled all season against southpaws, posting an 11-20 record versus left-handed starters.
The Mets will counter with RHP Nolan McLean (7-7, 3.29 ERA) as they look to finish off the road sweep. While McLean has been solid, he has struggled with his command lately giving up twp walks in four consecutive starts.
This is a FREE PLAY on the GUARDIANS!
Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Orioles -174
Oliver Smith
3* on under
ProSportsPicks
PSP Data Driven 1* Reds.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Reds has won 7 of their last 10 games. Oakland has loss 9 of their last 10 games.
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