Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts
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Matt Sullivan
1* Bet on Jacksonville State -3
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Wizards +10½ -115
Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Avalanche under 6½ -125
Oliver Smith
3* on under
Totals Guru
Free Total Annihilator On Lakers vs Clippers under 228½ -110
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Nuggets/Pelicans OVER 240.5
The New Orleans Pelicans are really an OVER team this season. They rank 8th in offensive rating and 23rd in defensive rating thus far while also ranking 5th in pace. They have gone 3-0 OVER in their first three games this season.
The Pelicans have had no problem putting up points with all their offensive talent, but getting stops is the issue which is why they are 0-3 on the season. They lost 123-120 to Indiana, 120-119 to Utah and 141-135 (OT) to Denver in a game that saw 252 combined points at the end of regulation.
Now the Pelicans get their shot at revenge on the Nuggets tonight and it should be another high-scoring affair. The Nuggets will always have one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA with Jokic and Murray running the show. But they have fallen off a cliff defensively this season.
The Nuggets rank 26th in defensive rating this season. They just allowed 134 points to the Warriors, who aren't an elite offensive team this season. That came after allowing 126 points to the Pelicans at the end of regulation.
Neither team shot the ball well from 3 with the Pelicans hitting 28.9% and the Nuggets 31.9%, so the 252 combined points at the end of regulation wasn't aided by lights out shooting. That's why I'm confident in a repeat shootout tonight and another OVER. The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings in this series. The Nuggets and Pelicans have combined for at least 238 points in six of their last seven meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.
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Brandon Lee
Wednesday's Free NBA Pick
PLAY ON: Clippers +4.5
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Wizards +10½ -115
Jeff Alexander
1* NBA - 76ers/Pacers FREE PICK on Pacers +5.5
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Pacers +5 -105
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Stephen Nover
The Avalanche should not be lacking in motivation for this game. They were upset as huge road favorites against the Predators this past Sunday in their previous game and also have short revenge for a 4-3 road loss to the Devils eight days ago.
Colorado is averaging 5.0 goals in six home games this season. The Avalanche draw New Jersey 36-year-old backup goalie Jake Allen, who has a 2.84 goals against average and an .886 save percentage.
The Devils might not have much left in the tank to beat the well rested Avalanche after impressively defeating the Stars in Dallas, 5-1, last night in the season debut of newly acquired three-time Vezina Trophy winning goalie Connor Hellebuyck.
The Avalanche are superior offensively to New Jersey, outranking the Devils in goals scored per game and shooting percentage. Colorado's task is made easier with Allen in goal.
Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Packers -3½
The Panthers travel to Green Bay on three days' rest, and the line hasn't caught up to how banged up they are.
Carolina just got run off its own field, 43-13 to Tampa Bay.
Panthers quarterback Bryce Young posted a season-low passing yardage total, completed under 52 percent of his throws for the second straight game, and tossed two picks that led to 10 Tampa Bay points.
Now the injuries.
Right tackle Taylor Moton fractured his fibula Sunday and is done for the year.
Monroe Freeling steps in cold, and guards Damien Lewis and Torricelli Simpkins are both questionable.
That's a patchwork line protecting a struggling quarterback on a short week.
The secondary is in worse shape.
Corners Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson are both on injured reserve, and fill-in starter Akayleb Evans is questionable.
Edge rusher Jaelan Phillips is trying to come back from a hamstring that already cost him a game.
Green Bay's defense is playing well, allowing just 17.8 points per game over its last 5.
At Lambeau the last two times out, the Packers beat Dallas 23-13 and buried Chicago 31-7.
The offense gets a boost too.
Josh Jacobs is back in the backfield, and Packers quarterback Jordan Love has thrown a touchdown in all 7 games this season.
He draws a Carolina team giving up 27.67 points per game.
Short week, road trip, depleted roster on both sides of the ball, against a rested-enough home team off a 3-point loss.
Lay the points.
I like the Packers
Dave Price
Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Warriors/Timberwolves OVER 227.5
The Key: This total has been adjusted down too much for the Anthony Edwards injury. The Timberwolves are still going to be a great offensive team with LaMelo Ball running the show and they will likely play even faster now without Edwards. They will miss his defense, though. The Warriors have proven to be capable offensively this season with Curry and potential rookie of the year Lendeborg. They just went for 251 combined points with the Suns and 248 with the Nuggets in their last 2 contests. The Timberwolves went for 237 combined points with the Heat and 252 with the Cavs. Take the OVER.
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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Toronto FC -101
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks -2
The Atlanta Hawks are one of the most balanced teams in the NBA this season as their top seven of Johnson, Alexander-Walker, McCollum, Wiggins, Daniels, Okongwu and Dort is about as good as it gets. They beat the Magic and Hornets on the road before consecutive competitive losses to the Rockets both home and away. Now they take a big step down in competition here against the Miami Heat, who are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS with blowout home losses to the Timberwolves by 25 and the Pistons by 17. They even lost to the short-handed Hornets on the road, the same Hornets team the Hawks beat by 47 on the road. And they came back with a home loss to the Mavs as 7.5-point favorites. This is a old, poor Miami roster that is relying on aging veterans in Giannis, Portis, Thompson, Wiggins and Hardaway Jr. It's going to take some time for Giannis and Adebayo to figure out how to play together. They don't have a lot of shooting surrounding these guys which is a major issue. And they are old and slow defensively. Give me the Hawks.
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Rocky Atkinson
Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Wednesday 10-28-26
Houston @ Milwaukee (8:10 PM EST)
Play On: Milwaukee +8 1/2
The Houston Rockets travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks on Wednesday night. Houston is 4-0 SU overall this year while Milwaukee comes in with a 1-3 SU overall record on the season. Bet on - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points - off an upset win as a home underdog, first half of the season. System applies to: Milwaukee. System's record since 2023: 40-14 (74.1%). Milwaukee is 5-1 SU last 6 games at home vs Houston. We'll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Timothy Black
1* Best Bet on 76ers -4½
No analysis provided.
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Middle Tennessee State -2½ -110
Doc's Sports
Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #135 Illinois Fighting Illini over Maryland Terrapins (12 p.m., Saturday, October 31 FS1). I don’t expect Maryland to get much of a spark after firing Mike Locksley. With the remaining staff facing uncertain futures in College Park, keeping this team focused could be a challenge. Illinois still has a bowl berth within reach, and this matchup represents one of its best remaining opportunities to pick up a win. The Illini have won the last two meetings with Maryland, taking last year’s matchup 24-6 after a 27-24 road victory in 2023. Bret Bielema brings the experience to keep Illinois moving forward, and his team has won two straight against opponents stronger than the Maryland squad it faces today. Take the Fighting Illini. Don’t miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Card, featuring top plays in the NHL, NBA, UFC, and Breeders’ Cup. Sign up now and put 55 years of handicapping experience to work for you!
Mikey Sports
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Wednesday 10-28-26
Golden State +4
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R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE NHL Over-Under Wednesday 10-28-26
OVER 6 1/2 Toronto/Seattle
R&R Totals has a TOP NHL Over-Under for Wednesday! Now an impressive 29-12 (71%) over his last 44 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $15,850 since October 08, 2026!
5-1 83% NBA this year! R&R Totals has a TOP NBA Over-Under for Wednesday! Now an impressive 29-12 (71%) over his last 44 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $15,850 since October 08, 2026!
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Jim Feist
The case for the over starts with two offenses that can score in bunches against defenses that are giving up points early. Atlanta is 2-2 and was averaging 130 points per game early in the season, second in the league in true shooting percentage with a top-six assist-to-turnover ratio, so this is a team moving the ball and finishing possessions. Miami is 0-4 and desperate, but the Heat are not playing slow - they lead the NBA in transition frequency at 28.3% of possessions, well ahead of second place, even if they rank last in points per possession in transition, which means more possessions and more chances for the score to climb.
The defensive numbers point the same way. Miami has a defensive rating of 118.8, ranking 24th, and has already surrendered 131 points to Minnesota and 128 to Detroit, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 5.0 assists, including a 29-point triple-double against Dallas, with Bam Adebayo anchoring the supporting cast. Last season's trends support the shootout angle as well: 41 Hawks games went over and 48 of 82 Heat games went over, and recent meetings between these Southeast rivals have produced 127-115 and 143-117 finals. With Atlanta at home, Miami pushing pace to break its losing streak, and both teams capable of getting into the 120s, 239.5 is a number this matchup can clear without either team needing a perfect shooting night.
Jim's Play: 541. HEAT /HAWKS OVER
Dustin Hawkins
1 Dimer on Wizards +10½ -115
Ray Monohan
OVER 6.5
Six and a half runs is a low bar for two offenses with enough firepower to put up crooked numbers. Milwaukee averaged better than 5 runs per game during the regular season and just hung 10 on Tampa Bay in Game 3. The Rays have Junior Caminero's power and a contact-heavy lineup that managed four hits in five innings against Jacob Misiorowski in Game 1. The bigger angle is the pitching situation. Both clubs needed 12 innings Tuesday, with Milwaukee burning through seven pitchers and Tampa Bay still sorting out its Game 5 starter. That creates opportunities for runs once the bullpens get involved. We don't need another 10-run explosion from either side. A couple of productive innings can get this total home. I'm taking the OVER. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 6.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Wednesday FREE MLB O/U Play
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Alex Smart
Hornets at Pistons Under 212.5: Slow Pace, Missing Creators, and a Short-Rest Home Side Keep the Number Clean
The total sits at 212.5 in a matchup that has already shown both teams can stay contained. Charlotte arrives at 3-1 averaging 104.0 points per game (28th) while allowing 111.0. Detroit is also 3-1, scoring 113.0 while holding opponents to 107.0 (top-10 early defensive rating). Both sides rank near the bottom of the league in pace (Hornets ~100.4, Pistons ~98.6–101). A 212.5 number against two half-court teams, with Detroit on the second night of a back-to-back after scoring only 97 in New York, is not a tax. The under is the work.
System vs System
Charlotte’s offense has been limited without secondary creation. Through four games they are shooting 41.4% from the field and 29.8% from three, with an offensive rating near 102–104. Their half-court sets rely on Brandon Miller’s volume and Naz Reid’s interior efficiency; the supporting cast has not consistently generated clean looks when those two are the focus. Detroit’s defense has already limited opponents’ effective field-goal percentage and points in the paint. Paul Reed has stepped into the center minutes left by Jalen Duren (out, hamstring) and has produced 13.8 points and 8.5 rebounds on high efficiency, but the overall scheme is built on length, help rotations, and forcing contested mid-range attempts rather than transition volume.
Both teams play below the league average in pace. Charlotte ranks 26th–28th; Detroit ranks 25th–27th. When two bottom-half pace teams meet early in the season and one side is short on rest, the possession count stays low. Detroit’s last game was a 97-point effort on the road. Charlotte has gone under the total in all four games this season (including an 81-point night). The combined early scoring profile does not require either team to play faster than it has already shown.
Player vs Player
Brandon Miller is averaging 24.3 points on 37% shooting with 4.8 rebounds. He will draw primary attention from Detroit’s wing length (Ausar Thompson is probable after playing 25 minutes last night). Miller has converted volume looks in Charlotte’s wins, but the supporting pieces—Grayson Allen (16.8 ppg) and Dennis Schröder (14.0 ppg, 4.5 apg)—have not produced efficient secondary creation when the primary option is contested. Naz Reid (19.5 ppg, 9.5 rpg) provides interior scoring and rebounding, yet the Hornets are missing Coby White, Kon Knueppel, and Grant Williams. That removes spacing and secondary ball-handling that normally keeps the defense from loading on Miller and Reid.
On the other side, Cade Cunningham is at 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 8.0 assists. He creates through pick-and-roll and can score at all three levels, but Detroit’s offense last night produced only 97 points against a New York front that limited second-chance opportunities. Duncan Robinson (17.8 ppg) provides shooting gravity, and Paul Reed has filled the glass and scoring role in Duren’s absence. Isaiah Joe is also out. The result is a half-court offense that can generate efficient looks when the primary creator draws help, but it has not yet produced high-volume nights on short rest. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 111.0 points per game; Detroit’s has held opponents to 107.0. Neither side has shown the secondary creation required to push both teams well above their early averages.
Supporting Trends
Home teams on the second night of a back-to-back that rank outside the top 20 in pace have gone under the total at a 29-18 rate (61.7%) since the early 2010s when facing an opponent that also ranks in the bottom 10 in offensive rating early in the season. At even money, 29 wins and 18 losses equates to +11.0 units and a 23.4% ROI. The average combined score in those situations has been 4.1 points below the posted total.
Road underdogs that have gone under in every game of the young season against a short-rest home favorite have stayed under at a 22-12 rate (64.7%) since 2015 when both teams rank bottom-half in pace. At -110, that record is +8.2 units and a 24.1% ROI. The average margin relative to the total has been -5.6 points.
Teams missing at least two rotation players who rank in the top eight of their team’s minutes have gone under at a 31-19 rate (62.0%) since the early 2010s when the opponent is also on the second night of a back-to-back and the total is set at 216 or lower. At even money, 31 wins and 19 losses equates to +12.0 units and a 24.0% ROI.
The 212.5 number does not require either team to dominate defensively. It requires them to continue the half-court efficiency they have already produced and to avoid a late transition spike. A move to 214.5 or higher reduces the value. Confirm the starter minutes before tip-off—any additional frontcourt limitation or unexpected rotation shift can alter the possession count. Shop 212.5 if available; 213.5 remains playable. The under remains the position.
Sean Murphy
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday.
I think 'over' bettors are taking quite a leap of faith with these two teams considering the total sits in the high-230's (at the time of writing). The 76ers got off to a red hot start but were cooled by the Pistons last time out, dropping a 106-93 decision at home. Of note, they've been limited to 42 or fewer made field goals in all four games this season. On the flip side, they've yielded more than 39 made field goals just once. Even in Sunday's loss they limited the Pistons to 38-of-87 from the field. The Pacers have been a mixed bag in the early going. I have seen positives from them defensively, however, as they've held three of four opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals. Unlike previous editions of this team, they've also had some success limiting their opponents' pace, allowing fewer than 90 field goal attempts in three of four contests to date while getting off more than 90 themselves only once. Take the under (8*).
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Mike Williams
1* on 76ers -5½
Mike Lundin
izards vs Cavaliers NBA Free Pick
**7-1 FREE PICK RUN**
The Angle(s): This is a tough scheduling spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers, who are on the second night of a back-to-back after needing overtime to beat Minnesota on Tuesday. Cleveland has also shown a habit of letting games slip, blowing a 24-point halftime lead in Philadelphia last week, and they covered just seven of 27 games (24%) as a favorite of nine points or more last season.
The Washington Wizards are a completely different team than the one that finished at the bottom of the league last season. Trae Young and Anthony Davis have given them a legitimate one-two punch, with wins over Milwaukee and Chicago behind 128 and 124 points. With fresher legs and the offense to keep pace, I like Washington to stay within the number.
The Bet: Wizards ATS (3%).
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ASA
ASAwins NBA Free play on OVER 228 LA Lakers at LA Clippers, 10:40pm ET
We love this spot for an OVER wager when the Los Angeles teams square off tonight in the Western Conference. We will start with pace of play numbers as both teams are playing faster this season than last. That makes sense when you consider the roster turnover for both teams. The Lakers got rid of LeBron who bogged down the offense and wanted the ball in his hands in half court sets. The same can be said for the Clippers who no longer have the aging Kahwi Leonard on the roster. Kahwi was obviously a great defender too. Last season the Clippers were 28th in pace at 96.5 possessions per game, the Lakers were 21st at 98.3. This season the Clippers are 12th in pace at 102.2, the Lakers are 16th at 101.3. The Lakers don’t need a ton of possessions to score though as they currently rank 2nd in offensive efficiency at 1.268 points per possession. The Clippers are 19th at 1.097PPP. The Clippers have solid overall defensive numbers with the 6th best defensive efficiency rating, the Lakers are 23rd allowing 1.201PPP. These two teams met last week and produced 242 total points going well OVER the set Total of 225.5. Both teams shot extremely well in that game and we don’t see that changing here. The Clippers are on a 17- 4 OVER streak when playing with 2 days rest, the Lakers were 9-5 OVER last season when playing without rest. Bet OVER!
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on MIL.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
- The Rays are 1-3 in their last 4 games.
- The Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 head to head meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.
Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Wizards +10½ -115
ProSportsPicks
PSP Data Driven 1* Under.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 5-3 in Middle Tennessee State last 8 games. The Under is 8-2 in Kennesaw State last 10 games.
Tom Macrina
Jacksonville State -3 (-118)
We’re taking the rested team in this spot. Jacksonville State hasn’t played since October 13, and that bye gives the Gamecocks time to heal up, game-plan, and prepare for the long trip to Las Cruces. New Mexico State has no such advantage.
The matchup points the same way. New Mexico State’s pass defense is giving up over 224 yards per game, and we expect Jacksonville State’s staff to attack that early, build a comfortable lead, and then lean on the ground game to close it out.
The ATS numbers back it up:
Jacksonville State is 4-3 ATS overall and a perfect 3-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 points or more. The team has handled being the expected winner.
New Mexico State is also 4-3 ATS overall, but just 1-3 ATS as a bigger underdog. The Aggies haven’t been able to keep up when they step up in class.
We think this number closes at -3.5, so grabbing -3 now gives us a little value.
Let’s cash some tickets!
Kevin Thomas
7 pm, anytime the (545) Philadelphia 76ers (3-1) are committed to getting their five starters on the court, you have to look that way. The (546) Indiana Pacers (2-2) are the contrarian play here, but I like the public’s thinking with the Sixers. Take the (545) Philadelphia 76ers laying the points.
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Above, you can find all available free picks from our handicappers. Most of our experts provide write ups, analysis and rationale for their free picks while other make their picks through pure modelling and and machine learning, making a break down of the game in words obsolete.
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