Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts
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Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Rays +128
Brody Vaughn
1* Free Play on over 8½
Dustin Hawkins
1 Dimer on Giants vs Dodgers under 9 +100
Oliver Smith
3* on under
Mike Williams
1* on Diamondbacks +119
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Monday: San Francisco Giants +165
Trevor McDonald has been dominant with his limited opportunity in the big leagues thus far. He has gone 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA and 0.72 WHIP, allowing just 4 earned runs and 18 base runners in 25 innings with 23 K's.
McDonald held the Padres to one earned run and 2 base runners in 7 innings with 8 K's in his lone start this season. He also faced the Dodgers at the end of last season, holding them to one earned run in 6 innings of a 3-1 victory as a +180 road dog.
The Dodgers are really struggling at the plate right now scoring 2 runs or fewer in seven of their last 11 games overall. They were held to a total of 13 hits in their 3-game series with the Braves over the weekend.
Los Angeles shouldn't be this big of a favorite with their hitting woes, coupled with how poor Roki Sasaki has been to start the season. Sasaki is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs, 8 homers and 48 base runners in 28 2/3 innings. Bet the Giants Monday.
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Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on SEA.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Seattle is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against Houston.
- Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
- Houston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Seattle.
Verdict: The value is on the Road favorite.
Totals Guru
Free Total Annihilator On Giants vs Dodgers under 9 -105
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rays +116
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Jeff Alexander
1* MLB - Giants/Dodgers FREE PICK on Giants +165
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Rays +128
Joseph D'Amico
Today we start a new week off with 2 BIG WINNERS: I have my 75% (9-3) NBA LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE along with my NHL 14-4 ICEBREAKER. Get both, go 2-0, and start your week off right.
Monday’s FREE WINNER: Oklahoma City Thunder.
Game 511.
7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.
Normally, I would love to play a team like the Lakers at home facing elimination after losing the first three games of a best-of-seven series. But to be quite honest, I don’t think LA can say face at all, and I think they’ve thrown in the towel on the season. To say Oklahoma City has had their number, would be an understatement. The Thunder has taken eight straight meetings with the Lakers, both straight up and against the spread. This season alone, they have won and covered all seven matchups. It doesn’t matter if they’re at home or on the road. They’ve won the last eight meetings by 16, 9, 9, 43, 36, 18, 18, and 23-points. OKC knows that if they finish this series up today, they would have several extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the winner of the San Antonio/Minnesota series. Please remember, Los Angeles has been overvalued lately, not only dropping five of their last games SU, but five of those last six games, ATS, as well. As I mentioned earlier, I feel the Lakers have thrown in the towel on the season. Therefore, this game will get ugly. Take the Thunder. Thank you.
Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Rays +128
The Rays are sitting in a prime spot as a road underdog in Toronto tonight.
Tampa has won seven of their last ten games and the market still isn't giving them enough credit.
The Blue Jays are coming off a grueling weekend series that left their bullpen completely exposed.
They used their primary closer and setup man in high-leverage situations on both Saturday and Sunday.
That leaves a massive hole in the late innings for a team that already struggles with relief consistency.
Tampa’s lineup specializes in wearing down starters and getting to the soft underbelly of an exhausted relief core.
The pitching matchup favors the visitors much more than the current line suggests.
Tampa’s starter is carrying a FIP nearly a full run lower than his actual season ERA.
He is due for some serious positive regression and matches up well against this specific Jays order.
Toronto ranks near the bottom of the league in contact rate against high-velocity right-handers this month.
The Rays' hitters are also seeing the ball extremely well and making loud contact.
They have posted a top-five wRC+ in the American League over the last two weeks of play.
Tampa has historically performed well in this divisional matchup when playing as a road underdog.
They are 12-5 in their last 17 games at Rogers Centre and seem to thrive in this environment.
The Blue Jays' offense has been stagnant lately, averaging fewer than three runs per game over their last five.
You cannot trust this Toronto lineup to cover this price against elite, disciplined pitching.
The value here is strictly on the visitors who have the better rested bullpen and the hotter bats.
I expect Tampa to control the tempo early and pull away once the Toronto middle relief takes over.
Grab the plus-money with the more disciplined team that is currently playing better baseball.
The Rays are the sharper play in every statistical category that matters for this Monday matchup.
I like the Rays ML (+128).
Today's premium card features two releases across MLB and the NBA as I continue to identify high-value opportunities on the board. You can view my full slate of expert selections and daily analysis by visiting my premium picks page.
Dave Price
Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on New York Yankees -146
The Key: The Yankees were just swept by the Brewers over the weekend. Look for them to come back hungry for a win Monday in Game 1 of this series with the Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees have a big edge on the rubber in this one. Ryan Weathers is 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA in 7 starts this year for the Yankees. Weathers held the Orioles to one ER in 5 innings of a 9-4 victory on May 2nd. Brandon Young is 3-1 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 starts this year. That includes 1-1 with a 9.31 ERA in 2 home starts. The Yankees are 9-0 in their last 9 matchups with the Orioles. Take New York.
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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Rays +128
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Mariners/Astros UNDER 9
The Seattle Mariners are 6-2 UNDER in their last eight games with 9 or fewer combined runs in seven of them, and 7 runs or fewer in six. The Astros are struggling at the plate with all their injuries scoring 3 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. George Kirby is 4-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in eight starts this season. Peter Lambert is 2-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in four starts this season. The Astros are working their magic on yet another young starter in Lambert. Kirby has given up 2 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Houston. Lambert has given up 2 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Give me the UNDER.
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Rocky Atkinson
Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 5-11-26
Tampa Bay @ Toronto (7:05 PM EST)
Play On: Toronto -125 (Rasmussen/Gausman) Listed
The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays on Monday night. Tampa Bay is 26-13 SU overall this year while Toronto comes in with an 18-22 SU overall record on the season. Toronto is 4-1 SU last 5 home games. Toronto is 4-1 SU last 5 games at home vs Tampa Bay.
Bet against - Road teams - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
System applies to: Tampa Bay.
System's record since 2017: 73-32 (69.5%)
We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Rays +128
Rob Vinciletti
Monday card has the NHL PLAYOFF Round 2 Game of the Year headlining along with NBA and MLB. Comp play below
The SERIE A Soccer Comp Play is on Napoi at 2:45 eastern. The Host team Napoli has dominated the series with Bologna and have won 9 of the last 11 here at home against them. Napoli is battling for a top 4 bid in the table to secure a Champions League entry next season. They have won 20 with 7 draws and just one loss at home and Bologna. In fact they pulled a 2-0 clean sheet win in their most recent meeting in the Super Cup. Bologna is not a terrible road team but they are led by their top goal scorer Orsolini and do well when he finds the back of the net. That said he has never scored against Napoli spanning 13 matches. Look for Napoli to bag the three points. GL Rob V-
R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 5-11-26
OVER 7 1/2 LA Angels/Cleveland
R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Monday! Now an impressive 1229-1049 (54%) over his last 2487 MLB picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $96,580 since October 09, 2013!
John Ryan
Diamondbacks vs Rangers
5:05 EST
7-Unit bet OVER the total currently priced at 7.5 runs.
MLB Betting Algorithm: Inter-League May Matchups
Overview and Criteria
This MLB betting algorithm targets a specific set of game circumstances and has proven highly effective over the past five seasons. The core requirements for qualifying bets are:
The game is played in May.
The posted total is 7.5 runs or fewer.
The matchup is inter-league, meaning teams from different leagues compete.
Performance Results
Under these conditions, the algorithm has produced a record of 146-90-4 when betting the OVER, resulting in a 62% win rate. This track record demonstrates a consistent edge for bettors seeking value in tightly priced, low-total games during May inter-league contests.
Enhanced Results Against Strong Opponents
The algorithm further refines its criteria when the opposing team has won at least 60% of its games. In these scenarios, the OVER has achieved a remarkable 28-9-1 record, translating to a 76% win rate and a 47% return on investment (ROI). This highlights the algorithm’s ability to capitalize on high-performing teams in inter-league May matchups.
Ray Monohan
Avs -124
Colorado is the move as they look to bounce back in Game 4. Colorado was a bit shell shocked in Game 3 as they struggled out of the gates in what was eventually a 5-1 loss. They have bounced back all season long after losses and this is another case where they’re going to get out of the gates early. Expect them to set the tone and come out aggressive from the start. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the AVS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Monday FREE NHL ML Play
0-3 Sunday! Still 254-216 54% +1721 since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.
Brandon Lee
Monday's Free MLB Pick
PLAY ON: Astros +127
Alex Smart
With only one NHL game on the schedule tonight, the spotlight falls squarely on the Western Conference Semifinals as the Colorado Avalanche visit the Minnesota Wild in Game 4. Colorado currently holds a 2-1 series lead, and after digging into the historical trends and playoff angles that actually matter, I’m leaning toward the Avalanche on the moneyline as the best play available.
What immediately stands out is the long-standing success of teams that take a 2-1 lead in a best-of-seven series. Historically, those clubs have gone on to win the series at a rate just under 69 percent. That’s a pretty powerful edge, and it speaks to how tough it is to overcome that deficit once a team has grabbed the early momentum. The Avalanche earned that 2-1 advantage the hard way, winning the first two games before dropping Game 3 in Minnesota. Now they get another crack at it away from home, and history says that position is worth respecting.
Playoff road favorites have been a fascinating story in recent years. Sure, everyone talks about home-ice advantage like it’s some unbreakable fortress, but the numbers tell a more nuanced tale. Over the last several postseasons, home teams overall have won roughly 53-55% of games, but that edge shrinks significantly once you factor in the betting lines, favorites get juiced up, and the returns for blindly backing the home side often turn negative for bettors.
Home underdogs, in particular, have had their struggles in the postseason. All-time and in recent playoff samples, they hover around a .400-.460 win rate depending on the window, with some deeper looks showing even lower success when facing stronger opponents on the road (like the Avalanche here). The Wild will be in that exact spot tonight, home underdog trying to even the series against a battle-tested favorite. The crowd in Minnesota will be electric, no doubt about it, nothing quite like a Wild home playoff game when the building is rocking. But history has a funny way of reminding us that loud crowds don’t always translate into wins when facing a deeper, more experienced group.
The Avalanche have shown they can handle the road environment well throughout these playoffs, and they’ve carried a stronger regular-season pedigree into this matchup. Minnesota proved they can push back, which was a much-needed statement win at home. No one is counting the Wild out. Still, when you combine the 2-1 series lead data with the tendency of road favorites to hold their own (and often outperform expectations) in these high-stakes spots, the value feels like it’s sitting with Colorado tonight.
This isn’t about guarantees, playoff hockey has a habit of delivering chaos when you least expect it, and one bad bounce or heroic goaltending performance can flip the script in a hurry. But if I’m putting my money down on one side in this lone game, I’m comfortable backing the Avalanche to bounce back and take a commanding 3-1 series lead.
These nights are exactly why we love the playoffs, the tension, the stakes, and that little bit of edge you can find when you look at the trends closely.
Sean Murphy
My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Baltimore at 6:35 pm et on Monday.
We'll lay the extra run with the Yankees on Monday as they look to bounce back following a series sweep at the hands of the Brewers in Milwaukee. While New York's vaunted offense struggled in that weekend set, it still checks in ranked eighth in the majors in xwOBA over the last week - nine spots ahead of Baltimore over that stretch. The Yankees will hand the ball to left-hander Ryan Weathers on Monday. He's been an interesting study as far as home-road splits go not only this season but over the course of his career as he owns an ERA over a run lower away from home. The O's rank middle-of-the-pack in terms of wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Meanwhile, the Yanks are top-three in wOBA against righties and will face a struggling one in Brandon Young on Monday. He owns a 4.81 FIP and 1.45 WHIP on the season and those poor numbers are actually an improvement over his stats from a year ago. For his big league career, Young has logged a 5.21 FIP and 1.52 WHIP in 16 appearances, posting a 4-8 record along the way. The Yankees bullpen hasn't been the issue lately as they've recorded a collective 2.35 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over the last week and a 3.25 ERA and 1.26 WHIP overall this season. In stark contrast, the O's 'pen has posted a 4.44 ERA and 1.34 WHIP overall and a 3.56 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over the last week. Take New York -1.5 runs (8*).
Mike Lundin
Giants vs Dodgers MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): Here we get a chance to back the Los Angeles Dodgers in a rare two-game skid and in a "double-revenge" spot after dropping two of three to the Giants back in April. Los Angeles right-hander Roki Sasaki (1-3, 5.97 ERA) has had early bumps, but he’s in this rotation for a reason, and facing a San Francisco lineup averaging only about 3.3 runs per game should help him get right, especially with a Dodgers offense putting up just over 5 runs per game backing him. Giants righty Trevor McDonald (1-0, 1.29 ERA) was excellent in his season debut, but he’s still sitting on only five big league outings (three starts) since 2024, so we’re happy to bet that L.A.’s bats eventually figure out a very inexperienced arm over a full nine.
The Bet: DODGERS -1½ (3%).
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Marc David
Marc David Sports' Free Pick
We really like the under in this matchup. The Angels have been held to three runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games and in 22 of 41 games. Cleveland LHP Joey Cantillo held the Royals to one run on three hits in five frames his last time out, and as far as the Guardians' run production, they've been held to under four runs in half of their games.
This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER!
Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Wild +128
Cole Faxon
FREE PLAY on Avalanche -135
Juan Carlos Flores
Recommended Bet: Tottenham Hotspur -125
ProSportsPicks
PSP Data Driven 1* Rays.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Tampa Bay is 8-1 in its last 9 games. Toronto is 2-5 in its last 7 games.
About our Free Picks Page
Above, you can find all available free picks from our handicappers. Most of our experts provide write ups, analysis and rationale for their free picks while other make their picks through pure modelling and and machine learning, making a break down of the game in words obsolete.
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With the free picks, you'll get an insight into how our experts make their picks and what to expect from their premium picks. Each of our expert handicappers analyzes a matchup in a different way and takes different factors into account. There are also handicappers who focus mainly on sides, like moneylines, spreads and runlines while others focus solely on totals.
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