Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Diamondbacks -102

1* Bet on Mercury/Sky: over 178½

Ricky's 1* play on MIL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

- The Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 games.

- Bubba Chandler has loss 3 of his last 5 starts for the Pirates.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* Free Pick on Nationals +145

1* Free Play on Mercury/Sky over 178½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Pirates/Brewers OVER 8.5

Two teams that don't get enough credit for how good they are offensively this season square off when the Pittsburgh Pirates visit the Milwaukee Brewers for Game 1 of this series Monday. This total of 8.5 is too short.

The Pirates are one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game, while the Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season. Both offenses should have their way with these two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

Bubba Chandler is 3-8 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 20 starts and one relief appearance for the Pirates this season. He allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, in 4 innings of a 8-7 loss to the Diamondbacks in his last start. Chandler does not enjoy facing the Brewers, going 0-1 with a 13.49 ERA and 2.73 WHIP in two career starts against them while allowing 11 earned runs and 20 base runners in 7 1/3 innings.

Brandon Sproat is the weakest link in this Milwaukee rotation. He is 3-6 with a 5.05 ERA in 18 starts and two relief appearances this season, including 2-3 with a 5.98 ERA at home where he has allowed 27 earned runs and 9 homers in 40 2/3 innings. Sproat allowed 3 runs, 2 earned, in 3 innings of a 7-6 loss in his lone career start against the Pirates on July 11th. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

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1* Free Pick on Dodgers/Cubs: under 8½

The wind is the story at Wrigley tonight.

An 8 MPH wind from the east at Wrigley Field blows in from the lake, and that's the single strongest atmospheric run-suppressor in the sport.

Clear sky, 77 degrees, no rain.

Perfect pitcher's weather.

Dodgers lefty Justin Wrobleski takes the ball at 11-2 with a 2.88 ERA.

He's not the sexiest arm, but he's given the Dodgers length and kept runs off the board all season.

Cubs lefty Matthew Boyd counters at 6-1, 3.41 ERA, and he's in a groove.

Four of his last five starts went 6+ innings with 1 earned run or fewer, including a 7-inning shutout of the Cardinals on July 29.

Here's where the opposition pushes back: Boyd's 4.30 xERA is nearly a full run higher than his ERA, and his .411 xSLG says the Dodgers' lineup can wreck him.

Fair concern.

I hear it.

What that argument ignores is the park and the wind.

Wrobleski's peripherals don't matter tonight in the same way because the atmospheric conditions are doing half the work for both starters.

An east wind at Wrigley has historically turned would-be homers into warning-track outs.

Add in the Dodgers being without Will Smith, with rookie Dalton Rushing hitting 9th, and the away lineup loses a real middle-order bat.

Two lefties in form, wind blowing in, 77 degrees.

That's an Under recipe.

I like the Under

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Tampa Bay Rays -156

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Tampa Bay Rays tonight against the Colorado Rockies. This is the perfect opportunity for the Rays to bust out of their recent offensive funk and blast the Rockies. Michael Lorenzen is 3-9 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 22 starts for Colorado this year. Lorenzen is 1-4 with a 8.74 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 10 home starts, yielding 44 ER and 94 base runners in 45 1/3 innings. He yielded 4 ER and 2 HR in 5 2/3 innings of a 4-0 loss to the Rays in his last start against them. Take Tampa Bay.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Storm/Liberty over 181½ +100

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Dodgers/Cubs OVER 8

This total of 8 is pretty low for a matchup of two of the best offenses in the National League tonight. The Dodgers and Cubs are both scoring 5.1 runs per game this season. Justin Wrobleski gave up 5 earned runs and 4 home runs in 6 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Mariners in his last start. Matt Boyd has given up 6 earned runs and 3 home runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers. Give me the OVER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Nationals +140

Mikey Sports FREE WNBA play Monday 8-3-26

Phoenix +1 1/2

Mikey is passing with premium picks on Monday!  Check back Tuesday!

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 8-3-26

UNDER 8 1/2 San Diego/Arizona

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Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Rangers -104

My selection is on Washington over Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Monday.

Most bettors won't want any part of the Nationals on Monday after they were just swept in a four-game series in Atlanta to stretch their losing streak to five games. We'll back them, however, as I think they're the value side in the opener of this series in Philadelphia. The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the hill. He has been incredibly inconsistent this season having gone 3-9 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. I don't expect him to have an easy time trying to navigate a good Nationals lineup on Monday. The Phillies do check in off consecutive shutout victories in Baltimore but stringing together a third straight victory will prove difficult in my opinion. Keep in mind, prior to those two wins over the weekend, the Phils had lost four games in a row and they're just six games over .500 on the season. I don't believe the price is warranted despite them playing at home on Monday. Take Washington (8*).

Magic Mike's Dodgers vs Cubs MLB Free Pick

Current Free Pick Run: 1-0

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Dodgers to bounce back from three home losses to Boston. A team like the Dodgers, rarely loses four in a row, and they are 5-2, when coming off a loss and sending Justin Wrobleski (11-2, 2.88 ERA) to the mound. His win-loss record, ERA, and 1.02 WHIP sason numbers speak for themselves, and Wrobleski is also in a personal bounce-back spot after giving up five runs last time out.

The Bet: Dodgers (3%). 

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Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the home team in this matchup. The moneyline appears to be heavily influenced by Philadelphia RHP Aaron Nola (3-9, 5.61 ERA) struggling through an uncharacteristically rough campaign, but expecting a talented, championship-caliber squad to stumble on their home dirt against a divisional opponent is a massive market overreaction.

Despite Nola's inflated ERA, he remains a proven veteran anchor capable of delivering quality frames, especially when backed by a powerful Philadelphia order playing in front of an energetic crowd at Citizens Bank Park. The Nationals have exceeded most expectations this season, but they're stumbling into this series coming off five losses.

This is a FREE PLAY on the PHILLIES!

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FREE PLAY on Blue Jays +117

3* on over

PSP Data Driven 1* Astros.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Astros has won 9 of their last 10 games. The Astros has won 7 of the last 10 head to head meetings versus the Blue Jays.

Storm have dropped eight straight games outright — but they've covered 8 of their last 9 against the spread. That split tells the real story here.
Liberty, meanwhile, haven't covered a spread in nine straight games. I can't back a team on a cold streak like that, especially not as a big favorite.
This is a rematch — Storm already beat Liberty in their first meeting, and this is leg one of a home-and-home, with the two teams playing again Wednesday. Liberty are just off a road trip, coming home to their own building, and they've got the clear talent and offense edge. On paper, that's enough to lay points with. But 8.5 is a lot of points to trust a team that's failed to cover in over a month.
I saw this same setup Saturday with Mercury getting points against New York — gave that one out to cover, and it cashed. Seattle already won outright as a home dog this season, and they've consistently kept games tighter than the number suggests.
Play: Storm +8.5

Let's cash some tickets!

For my best free pick on the board here for Monday I am looking at the Chicago Sky hosting the Phoenix Mercury. Nice story for the Sky having covered 7 straight games and they do have a similar record to the Mercury but that is where the similarities stop between these two teams. Phoenix has a ton of veteran talent and we saw them come out and beat Golden State and give the Liberty all they can handle. Chicago embarrassed this Mercury team on their home floor and now is the opportunity for some payback.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury plus or minus the points rotation #655

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