Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on A's +119

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Pittsburgh Pirates +102

The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the most improved offenses in baseball.  They are now scoring 5.2 runs per game this season after scoring 9 runs or more in four consecutive games coming in.  After blowing a 6-run lead to the Astros yesterday, look for the Pirates to come back highly motivated tonight.

The Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season, but they are missing nearly half their lineup due to injury.  They have managed to get by without some of these guys, but they are still just 28-35 on the season largely due to injuries and a very poor staff.  They are allowing 5.1 runs per game.

Kai-Wei Teng has not been able to go deep in games for the Astros, so their already tired bullpen will get exposed again today.  The Astros have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.33 ERA this season.  Their bullpen went 4 innings in Game 1 and 5 innings in Game 2 using five different relievers last night.

Jared Jones makes his 2nd start back from injury and should be much sharper than his first.  He posted a 2.89 ERA in five starts in the minors.  Jones is 6-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 23 career starts in the big leagues with 138 K's in 126 innings.  Bet the Pirates Thursday.

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Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

- Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* on Dodgers -130

This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER Knights/Canes Game 2.

I had a 5% play on the "OVER" in Game 1 and that was an easy victory in the Knights' 5-4 victory.

Now, though, I feel we're getting great value on the "under."

Las Vegas is filled with veteran talent and it continues to defy the odds, but I think Carolina will react similar to the way that it did in the last round after it dropped its opening Game (6-2 setback) to the Canadiens.

The Hurricanes then completely shut down the Habs and won the next four games.

Carter Hart and Frederik Andersen looked shaky in Game 1, but look for each team to double down defensively after that offensive explosion.

I say Game 2 is a much more defensive battle and I like the UNDER. But, what about you? Do you think it'll be another high-scoring "shootout?!"

Good luck, NP

Thursday Card has the 2X PERFECT Game 2 Stanley Cup Finals Play a LATE Undefeated WNBA TOTALS SYSTEM (WNBA #1 RANKED THIS YEAR) and MLB. Soccer Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp play is on the Over 2.5 goals in the Czech Republic vs Guatemala match at 8 eastern. Look for some scoring here especially from the Czech team to plays an attacking style and are off a nice 2-1 win over Kosovo. They are awaiting the World Cup after finishing 2nd in their Group. They are 41st in the ranking compared to 96th for Guatemala and will likely control the play here and generate numerous scoring chances. The Guatemala team is off a bad loss last out and this match is even tougher the most likely result here is a Czech win in a game that plays over. GL Rob V

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Dodgers/Diamondbacks under 9½ -114

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Royals/Twins OVER 9

The Key: The weather will be favorable for runs tonight in Minnesota with temps approaching 80 and light winds blowing out to left field.  Seth Lugo has yielded 16 ER and 3 HR in 13 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Twins.  He has yielded at least one HR in 3 consecutive starts coming in.  Andrew Morris is just an opener for the Twins as they will make this a bullpen game.  This is a very poor Minnesota bullpen with a 4.75 ERA on the year.  The Royals have been even worse with a 5.06 ERA as a bullpen.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -130

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be bigger favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight given their starting pitching and bullpen advantage.  Justin Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Ryne Nelson is 2-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks, and 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA in six home starts.  The Dodgers have a 3.21 ERA as a bullpen while the Diamondbacks have a 4.04 ERA.  Give me the Dodgers.

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1* Best Bet on Royals -1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on A's +120

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. International Friendlies Take Mexico -1.5 GL over Serbia (10 p.m. EST, Thursday June 4)Mexico is really shaping into stellar form ahead of the World Cup and have not lost in seven matches. They have won consecutive matches, 1-0 vs Australia and 2-0 vs Ghana. They also earned draws against heavyweights Belgium and Portugal. This is a big match as their final tune up before their World Cup opening match next Thursday vs South Africa. Serbia is suffering from a run of bad form and have lost two of their last three matches, 3-0 to both Cape Verde and Spain. This should be another bad loss for them against a strong side and a raucous crowd of supporters at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Both sides will tinker with the lineups a bit here, but Mexico will want to keep their momentum going and their players are very motivated right now. This is just another friendly match for Serbia, who missed out on the World Cup in qualifying.

Mercury vs Fire 
10 EST, Friday 
7-Unit bet on the Mercury priced as a –1.5-point favorite.

I prefer using the money line for this bet.

Betting on road teams with one day off and in a matchup where they and the foe are averaging 76 or more PPG and with the foe coming off a dismal loss by 15 or more points has earned a solid 32-15-1 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons of action.

OVER 9

Kansas City and Minnesota have value to the over. Kansas City sends out Seth Lugo, who has been up and down at times this season. He’s also had a tough career against the Twins, owning an ERA of 4.76. Minnesota counters with rookie Andrew Morris, who has typically worked out of the pen, but has had to step into the rotation to open games for bullpen days. This Twins bullpen is a struggle and we will see plenty of scoring opportunities both ways. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

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Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: A's +122

I’ve been following the CFL long enough to know that Week 1 is always a wild card, but this matchup between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders feels like one of those games where the numbers quietly scream value on one side. I’m rolling with the Blue Bombers -1.5 on the road, and here’s why it stands out when you dig into the trends, history, and stats that actually matter.

First off, let’s talk about how these two teams have danced over the years. The all-time series favors Calgary 81-57, but that’s the big-picture view. Zoom in on recent seasons and you see Winnipeg has been the more consistent program overall, especially when it comes to bouncing back and playing disciplined football. In 2025, Calgary finished 11-7 while Winnipeg went 10-8, but the Bombers have shown they can handle tough environments better than most West Division squads. Road favorites in this league have covered at a respectable clip in recent years when they bring that veteran core, and Winnipeg checks that box.

What really gets me excited here is the situational angle. Calgary has been solid at home historically , we’re talking winning percentages north of .700 in certain stretches , but they’ve shown vulnerability against Winnipeg’s style. Look at the scoring trends: these games often stay within a field goal. Winnipeg’s offense, built around efficiency rather than flash, has posted strong yardage-per-play numbers in recent campaigns, averaging over 6.8 yards per play in key stretches while keeping turnovers low (under 1.8 per game in solid seasons). Calgary, meanwhile, has had games where their defense gives up chunk plays, especially early in the year when timing isn’t quite there yet.

Another layer that makes this feel smart: Winnipeg’s ability to control the clock on the ground. In 2025, their lead back was pushing toward 1,100+ rushing yards with a healthy average, and that balance keeps games close on the road. Historically, when Winnipeg enters as a slight favorite away from home against divisional foes, they’ve performed well against the spread in low-total environments. This one is sitting around 48-49 points, which aligns perfectly with Winnipeg’s recent defensive trends , they’ve been stingy on third-down conversions (holding opponents under 40% in strong years) and excel at forcing punts in the first half.

Here’s where the math-geek side of me lights up. If you look at divisional road games since 2022, slight favorites like Winnipeg have hit the spread around 58% when the total stays under 50. Add in Winnipeg’s edge in turnover margin (often +0.4 or better in recent seasons) and you start seeing why laying 1.5 feels more like getting plus-money value in disguise. Calgary’s home success is real, but it’s often built on close wins rather than blowouts , they’ve covered as favorites at home less than 52% in certain recent samples against top competition.

Don’t get me wrong , Calgary will bring the heat, especially in front of their crowd. They’ve got playmakers who can flip a game with one big return or explosive pass. But that’s exactly why this spread feels right. Winnipeg doesn’t need to dominate; they just need to be the slightly sharper team in what should be a grind-it-out battle. I’ve seen too many Week 1 “home edge” narratives blow up when a battle-tested group like the Bombers shows up ready.

This one has all the ingredients of a classic cover: veteran road savvy, strong recent efficiency metrics, and a history of keeping things close in Alberta. I’m genuinely fired up about this pick , it feels like the smartest spot on the Week 1 slate. Let’s see if the Blue Bombers can kick off the season by spoiling Calgary’s home opener.

My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Minnesota at 9 pm et on Thursday.

Golden State is one of the WNBA's best defensive teams in my opinion yet it has been a boon for 'over' bettors in recent weeks. I look for a reversal of that trend moving forward, beginning with this matchup against Minnesota on Thursday. The Valkyries have held eight of nine opponents to fewer than 70 field goal attempts this season. They do check in off a strong shooting performance themselves, knocking down 32-of-69 field goal attempts last time out but that was against the expansion Fire. Minnesota has been elite defensively so far this season, especially in recent contests, as it has limited five straight opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals and four of those foes to 24 or less. Offensively, the Lynx have been terrific, but again, they're taking a step up in class here after a road trip that saw them face the Sky and Mercury - two of the league's weakest teams out of the gate this season. Take the under (8*).

Blue Jays vs Braves MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): The Atlanta Braves are 25–9 straight up and an impressive 23–11 against the runline sa favorites laying -130 or more on the season, showing how often they not only win but do so by margin. Chris Sale (8–3, 2.01 ERA) has been electric as usual, and the Braves are 7–2 against the runline as favorites with Sale on the mound, making this a spot where laying the runs is very much in play.

The Bet: BRAVES -1½ (3%). 

The results don’t lie: 69-48 (59%) +$16,830 for dime bettors dating back to April 26! Mike's dropping 3 MLB premium picks for Thursday, and he has a multi-pick pack that hands you ALL 3, including his 4% MLB TOP PLAY, at the standard top-play price! Don't sleep on this 3-FOR-1 DEAL STEAL!

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Free Pick on Twins +103

FREE PLAY on Valkyries/Lynx over 163½

For my best free pick on the board here for Thursday in WNBA basketball, I am looking at the Golden State Valkyries at the Minnesota Lynx. Minnesota has performed well above expectations, and I expect a regression coming soon. Minnesota is 8-1 ATS, and they have covered around 5 straight games, so you know the bandwagon guys will be out in full force for this one. Golden State, even away from home, is the better team here, and I love getting points from them here. Minnesota has beaten this team all 6 times they have faced off here; comes the first win, but a definite cover.

Play on Golden State Valkyries plus the points rotation #639