Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

Recommended Bet: Minnesota United +200

Ricky's 1* play on WPG.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Winnipeg are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games.

- Saskatchewan are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

- Winnipeg are 4-2 in the last 6 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

(#219) Clemson Tigers | ATS | . 

This should be a closer game than the oddsmakers are expecting. With the total close to 50 points, LSU would need to score around 30 to cover the spread. I don't expect that to happen on Saturday. All season long a year ago, LSU failed miserably to put up points. I understand that this is a new offense with a new HC & QB (and good one's at that.) However, this is a very difficult opening game to have to start with.

Clemson's defense is also getting under appreciated in my eyes. Dabo Swinney always seems to have his guys ready for a real fight, especially in these games early on in the season. I wouldn't be shocked if the road Tigers upset LSU here given all of the emotions. Grab the points in the ABC game on Saturday evening.

Burns' Prediction: 20-17 LSU.

3* on UCLA

1* Free Pick on Central Michigan/New Mexico over 46 -128

Saturday's Free CFB Pick

PLAY ON: Clemson +10 

1* Free Pick on Washington State/Washington: over 50½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Central Michigan vs New Mexico over 46 -128

I like UCLA to win and cover the short spread here on Saturday.  The Bruins have the more proven quarterback in Nico Iamaleava, and new head coach Bob Chesney brings a strong winning background after taking James Madison to the College Football Playoff last season. UCLA also added 45 transfers, including explosive running back Wayne Knight, who produced 2,039 all-purpose yards in 2025.

Cal has talent, particularly at quarterback, but it is also debuting a new head coach and rebuilt roster. In what should be a close rivalry game, I give UCLA the edge in quarterback experience, offensive versatility and coaching track record.

Jim's Play: UCLA

Louisville +7 in Nashville is the side I want you holding. Not because Ole Miss is a mirage. Because 7 is too much juice to lay in a rented building before either offense has taken a real snap. Neutral site, ranked-on-ranked, first Sunday of the year. That is how hooks get fat.

You are not fading the Rebels to lose. You are fading them to win by more than a touchdown while both staffs are still installing. That is a different ticket. 27-24 Ole Miss cashes. 24-21 cashes. 23-20 Louisville is the gift. The moneyline is a dart. The number is the work. Public money will hammer the higher logo because it travels and it is on ABC. That is how plus-7 gets to the window looking like value instead of a prayer.

Do not buy this down to +6.5 and pay extra juice to sleep better. The 7 is the reason I am writing it. Sit on your hands. Let the first-game rust show up on both sidelines. If Ole Miss is up 14-0 at the half and still cannot punch the second one in, that hook starts earning its keep.

Bet Louisville plus the number as an underdog of 4.5 to 8.5 on a neutral site.
That spot since 2023: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average spread of +6.3. (+4.4 units, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the dog in Week 1 ranked-on-ranked games posted between 4.5 and 8.
That spot since 2022: 16-10 (61.5%) with an average spread of +6.1. (+4.8 units, ROI=16.8%)

Bet against a favorite of 6 to 7.5 in a neutral-site opener.
That spot since 2023: 18-11 (62.1%). (+5.7 units, ROI=17.9%)

If the Rebels hang 35, we tip the cap and move on. If this thing lives in the 20s, the points do what we paid them to do. That is the bet. Take the 7. Do not overthink the logo.

#184 ASA FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade and their spread record during that time is 48-68-2 ATS. Even when the oddsmakers throw up a big spread against this team they don’t cover as the Warhawks are just 1-7 ATS their last 8 times as a dog of 20+ points. MSU should be able to name their score here. The Dogs will dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball vs a ULM offensive line that ranks 125th in returning snaps and a defensive line that only brings back 44 total snaps from last season (dead last in the nation). The Warhawks rank 127th in freshmen + portal additions so they don’t have much talent replacing those lost snaps. Mississippi State should run at will here and should hang a huge number in this game. The Dogs have one of the top QB’s in the SEC returning (Davis) who will put extra pressure on ULM’s D as he is very athletic and can put up big games on the ground and through the air. We rate Monroe’s offense and defense outside the top 125 entering this season so we look for huge success on both sides of the ball for MSU. Last year ULM lost their 2 games vs Power 4 teams 73-0 vs Alabama and 42-7 vs Northwestern (one of the worst teams in the Big 10 LY). In fact, going back 4 years, the Warhawks have faced 7 Power 4 teams and they’ve been outscored in those games 363 to 33 (an average score of 51.8 to 4.7! Lastly, while Monroe has struggled cashing as a big underdog, Mississippi State has been a bully vs lower tier competition going 15-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 or more (since 2017). Let’s lay it.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 9/5:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Clemson Tigers plus the points versus the LSU Tigers. Clemson (0-0) covered 4 of their 5 games on the road last season. They have also covered the point spread in 14 of their 20 games under head coach Dabo Swinney as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. LSU (0-0) has the reputation of being a tough play to play at home in “Death Valley” — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games at home and have not covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home when the total is set in the 49.5-56 point range. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams outside the SEC. Take Clemson plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer is still on a 21 of 33 (64%) College Football run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays in the regular season, despite not winning his afternoon play on Houston! Frank remains on a 34 of 55 (62%) CFB featured plays run in the regular season — and, after CA$HING the San Jose State-Eastern Michigan Under last night, he bounces back with a SUPER O/U SITUATION for Saturday night! CA$H-IN Frank’s Saturday Night Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

Free Pick on Western Kentucky +1 -115

FREE PLAY on UNLV/Hawaii over 55½

The Washington Nationals are 67-76 overall. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Cade Cavalli gets the start for Washington. He is 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA and 177 strikeouts this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers are 84-57 overall. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers. He is 4-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Glasnow is 3-1 with a 5.85 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals. Cavalli allowed 22 hits and 7 earned runs in 36 innings in August. The Nationals have won 5 straight games in which Cavalli has pitched.

Play on Washington. This is a FREE play!.

Florida Atlantic +26.5 (-110)

This is a market-and-trends play, not a pick-to-win. FAU has covered its last two meetings with Florida, and they're 5-1 against the spread in their last six outings versus SEC competition. As a large underdog, this is exactly the spot where they've performed well.

Florida projects as the better team long-term, and a resurgence feels like it's coming — just not necessarily this year. Big spreads like this have historically been a soft spot for the Gators, and 26.5 points is a lot of real estate to defend for four quarters.

The ask here isn't for FAU to win. It's to keep it within the number. Give me the points.

Play: Florida Atlantic +26.5 (-110)

Let's cash some tickets!

For my best free pick on the board here for Saturday, I am looking at the Nevada Wolfpack hosting the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Western Kentucky is off a nice 9-4 season, while Nevada struggled to a 3-9 year, and early on this line opened at -4 Western Kentucky. And despite some big action on the Hilltoppers, we have seen this line drop to close to a pick ‘ em on Saturday. Love Nevada to be good at home this season and for Western Kentucky to take a step back this season.

Play on the Nevada Wolfpack plus any points rotation #206

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