Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

1 Dimer on Flyers vs Kings under 6 -115

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Long Island +31

The Arizona Wildcats are getting a lot of love coming into the NCAA Tournament after winning the Big 12 regular season title and backing it up with the Big 12 Tournament title.  I expect them to come into the NCAA Tournament a little 'fat and happy' and feeling like they can take a breather now with a big step down in class here against Long Island.

We saw it happen with Duke Thursday as the Blue Devils were life and death with Siena after winning the ACC regular season and tournament titles.  And while I don't expect Arizona to struggle as much as Duke, I do think the Wildcats will need to be on their 'A' game to come close to covering this inflated 31-point spread against Long Island.

Arizona failed to beat Utah Tech, Denver, Norfolk State and South Dakota State by more than 30 points in the non-conference and all four of those games were at home.  Illinois is the only team that beat Long Island by more than 22 points all season, and the Sharks actually played some stiff competition with the 119th-ranked non-conference schedule.

They beat La Salle, JMU, Missouri State and Lehigh in the non-conference.  They only lost by 4 at Mississippi State as 16.5-point dogs and by 15 at Georgia as 30.5-point dogs.  They rank 52nd in 3-point shooting at 36.1% and 62nd at defending the 3 at 31.9%.

The Sharks are led by four senior guards who are all averaging in double figures scoring.  Jamal Fuller (16.4 PPG), Malachi Davis (14.4 PPG) and Greg Gordon (14.1 PPG) are the leaders.  I trust these guys to handle the moment, and Arizona isn't known for pressure defense anyway.  I expect the Wildcats to win, but not as comfortably as this line indicates.  Bet Long Island Friday.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Blazers vs Wolves over 229½ -110

Friday Card has 4 big Tournament Plays Including the 1st Round Play of the year tonight on a TOP Side. We also have NBA and more. Comp play below

The Friday Comp play is on the Under in the Miami Ohio vs Tennessee match up at 4:25 eastern. The game fits an Under system that has gone under 50 of 63 times and today there is a perfect 7-0 subset that pertains to Miami Ohio as a team that come sin off a dog win  and the total is 151 or lower.  The Vols are on a 9-2 under run and the Red Hawks who likely will be in a scoring regression for this game after scoring 83+ in 2 straight games and now facing a tough SEC Team. Look for this game to stay under. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #759 Queens Royals +25.5 over Purdue Boilermakers (7:35p.m., Friday, March 20 TruTV) Purdue showed up in Chicago for the Big 10 Tournament but they have not played well during the second half of the season. We will grab the points with the Royals on Friday night in St. Louis, MO. Purdue is nowhere near as strong on defense this year and many of their stars are not shooting it well. They got a cakewalk to the Big 10 Finals by getting to play a depleted UCLA team on Saturday. They are overseeded and are not a strong two seed. The Royals can score points and should get hot at some point in this game to cover this spread. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in basketball, hockey, and other sports. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you.

The UFC Fight Night main event this Saturday at The O2 Arena in London pits undefeated featherweight contenders Movsar Evloev against hometown fighter Lerone Murphy in a high-stakes matchup with title implications looming. Evloev enters as the betting favorite, riding a perfect 19-0 professional record built largely on relentless grappling pressure and control. He has secured the majority of his victories by decision, 12 out of 19 overall, including all nine of his UFC wins, showcasing a grinding style that wears opponents down through takedowns, top control, and sustained pace rather than seeking early finishes. This approach has proven highly effective against elite competition, allowing him to dominate rounds and avoid risks that could lead to upsets.

Murphy, boasting a 17-0-1 record (with the draw in his UFC debut), counters with explosive finishing power and sharp striking. He has racked up eight knockouts in his career, including several first-round finishes, and his recent UFC performances highlight a knack for landing devastating shots like knees, elbows, and precise combinations. His ability to avoid damage while maintaining high output makes him dangerous in stand-up exchanges, and he thrives when fights remain at range where his reach and power can shine.

One compelling angle here is the historical trend of home-country fighters in UFC events held in the United Kingdom. UK-based competitors have occasionally defied expectations as underdogs, capitalizing on crowd energy, familiarity with the venue, and the psychological boost of performing in front of passionate fans. While not every home fighter wins, these bouts have produced notable upsets or closer-than-expected results, particularly when the underdog possesses knockout upside against a more methodical opponent. Recent UFC cards in the UK have shown that local fighters often perform with extra intensity, turning potential decisions into highlight-reel moments.

Betting trends in featherweight title eliminators and undefeated-vs-undefeated clashes further support looking at the underdog side when the price offers value. Favorites in grinding stylistic matchups can become overbacked due to their consistency and records, but underdogs with finishing tools have cashed at plus-money odds by catching opponents in exchanges or capitalizing on openings that the favorite's cautious approach leaves exposed. Murphy's active schedule compared to Evloev's longer layoff adds another layer, momentum and sharpness can play a role in five-round wars where early damage shifts momentum.

This spot presents a live underdog opportunity at around +195 to +205. Murphy's finishing power gives him a clear path to victory if he keeps the fight standing or stuffs takedowns effectively, while the home-crowd factor and his explosive style make him more than just a live dog, he's a fighter capable of turning the fight with one big shot. For bettors seeking value over chalky favorites in this card, backing Murphy outright offers strong potential in a matchup where the grinding favorite could be vulnerable to power if the pace isn't fully controlled.