Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Reds -145

Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Giants under 7½ -125

1* Bet on Golden State Valkyries/Lynx: under 159½

1 Dimer on Pirates +105

Ricky's 1* play on CHW.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The White Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

- Kumar Rocker is 0-4 in his last 4 starts for the Rangers.

- Jose Urquidy is 3-0 in his last 3 starts.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

3* on Rays

(#952) Washington Nationals | ML | . 

Ryan Feltner (5-7, 5.97 ERA) vs. Cade Cavalli (11-5, 3.22 ERA) . 

For many years in a row now, it's been a struggle for starting pitchers of the Rockies to get anything going. Playing at Coors Field doesn't help. But, Colorado never seems to get a guy that's so dominant that it doesn't matter. Ryan Feltner owns a 1-4 record & 5.54 in road games this season which just isn't going to cut it when you have to play in the elevation in the other games. Playing against the highest scoring team in baseball, it's going to be difficult for him this evening. Cade Cavalli hasn't really gotten the respect that he deserves. He's gone consecutive starts without giving up a run (14.0 total innings) and is probably the best pitcher in this rotation at the moment. Up against a dreadful Rockies team, give me the Nats to win big in the series opener.

Burns' Prediction: 7-3 Nationals.

The second-year Golden State Valkyries have been an amazing success story. They made the WNBA playoffs in their inaugural season and own the second-best record in the league this year at 25-11.

There is just one thing the Valkyries have been unable to do - beat Minnesota. They are 0-9 lifetime against the Lynx. This includes an 0-3 mark this season.

The Lynx are the best team in the WNBA because they have superstars Napheesa Collier and Olivia Miles, along with a deep bench and an excellent coach. They should have won in the WNBA Finals against the Liberty two years ago, but were homered on the road in the deciding game by horrendous officiating.

The Valkyries can't match the star power of Collier and Miles, but they have the coaching, depth and top-ranked defense to make this a very close game if not pull the outright upset.

Golden State should be the more motivated team, too. The Lynx are on the verge of clinching  the No. 1 seed in the WNBA playoffs. The Valkyries are battling four other teams in a close race for the No. 2 seed.

There is a key injury here that also sets up this game for the Valkyries. Minnesota will be without starting guard Courtney Williams. She is out with a foot injury. Williams does not get the attention of Collier and Miles, but she is a three-time All-Star and a steady anchor for the Lynx.

Williams is averaging 14.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists. This is the first game she is going to miss since joining the Lynx in 2024.

Cubs -137

Chicago is worth a free move here. The Cubs send out Kevin Gausman, who needs to produce for this rotation. Chicago got him to help bolster this rotation at the deadline and they need him to start improving. He pitched decent last timeout before being removed with hand cramps. Kelly owns an ERA above 5 and has allowed 6 runs in each of his last two starts. Chicago’s offense will get to him early, allowing Gausman to settle in. Back the Cubs. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the CUBS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE MLB ML Play

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1* Free Play on Golden State Valkyries/Lynx under 159½ -105

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Rangers/White Sox OVER 8

Both the Texas Rangers and Chicago White Sox should get their bats going tonight against these two suspect starting pitchers.  Both lineups are very healthy right now, and both teams are fighting to win their divisions.

Kumar Rocker is 4-10 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 22 starts and two relief appearances for the Rangers this season.  Rocker has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 innings in his last three starts for a 7.62 ERA during this stretch.  The OVER is 6-2 in Rocker's last eight starts with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight starts.

Jose Urquidy is 2-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season, including 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.20 WHIP in three home outings.  He will be making his first start of the season after serving as a long reliever up to this point.  Urquidy has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

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1* Free Pick on Golden State Valkyries/Lynx: under 160½

The last time these teams played on August 19, Golden State held Minnesota to 77 points.

That's the same Lynx offense putting up 94.3 PPG over their last 10.

That wasn't a fluke.

The Valkyries own a 103 defensive rating over their last 10 games.

They defend, they slow the tempo, and they force half-court possessions.

Now Minnesota is down starting guard Courtney Williams (14.4 PPG, 30.6 MPG) with a lower right leg injury.

Williams is the primary ball-mover next to Olivia Miles, and this is the first game without her.

Rotations get shortened, ball movement gets choppier, and the fast-break points that fuel a 118.3 offensive rating dry up.

The opposition case is real.

Minnesota is shooting 50% from the field and 43% from three over the last 10 with four players averaging 15+ PPG.

That offense is legit.

But it was legit five days ago too, when Golden State locked them at 77.

Golden State's own offense isn't scaring anyone at 84.2 PPG on a 111.7 offensive rating.

Both teams have 3 days rest, no back-to-back grind, so coaches get full prep to game-plan.

That favors the defensive side of the ball, not free-flowing pace.

Add Kiah Stokes and Kayla Thornton clogging the paint against a Lynx frontcourt that just lost its top playmaker, and you get exactly the low-90s versus mid-70s script we already saw.

At +100 on the under, I'm getting plus money on the side with the recent blueprint.

I like the Under

1* MLB - Mariners/White Sox FREE PICK on White Sox -129

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Cleveland Guardians -158

The Key: The Cleveland Guardians have gone 4-0 in their last 4 games overall to pull within 3.5 games of the White Sox for the AL Central lead.  Now they get a series with the Angels to try and pull even closer.  Ace Parker Messick will get the ball in Game 1 tonight.  Messick is 9-8 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 25 starts this year, and 6-5 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 12 road starts.  George Klassen is 2-1 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 5 starts for the Angels this year.  Take Cleveland.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Golden State Valkyries/Lynx under 159½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cincinnati Reds -152

The Cincinnati Reds have a big starting pitching advantage tonight over the San Francisco Giants.  Chase Burns is 14-2 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 24 starts for the Reds this season.  Carson Whisenhunt is 3-4 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in seven starts for the Giants this season.  The Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 games overall and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 12 of their last 14 games.  Give me the Reds.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 8-24-26

Philadelphia @ Seattle  (9:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Philadelphia -110

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Seattle to take on the Mariners on Monday night.  Philadelphia is 73-58 SU overall this year while Seattle comes in with a 62-70 SU overall record on the season.  Philadelphia is 6-0 over the past week.  Seattle is 24-45 this year when the money line is +125 to -125.  Zack Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.92 ERA overall this year.  He is 6-2 with a 2.67 ERA on the road this season.  He is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in inter-league play this year.  Logan Gilbert is 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA overall vs Philadelphia the past 3 years and he is 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA in his career against the Phillies.  He has a 6.21 ERA in inter-league play this year.  We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Free Sharp Play on A's +135

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 8-24-26

UNDER 7 1/2 Pittsburgh/San Diego

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1* Free Pick on Twins -145

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Phillies -110 

Looking at the Week 0 board this year, one number keeps staring me right in the face. TCU laying a touchdown against North Carolina over in Dublin feels like the cleanest play on the early slate.

I have been on this one for a while now. TCU has the more settled roster, especially in the trenches, and that continuity matters more than most people want to admit in Week 0. North Carolina is still sorting through a heavy overhaul in Belichick’s second season, with a new offensive coordinator trying to install a system on the fly and a pile of new bodies who have not taken meaningful snaps together yet. In college football, that gap tends to show up early, especially when both teams have to fly across the ocean for a noon kick.

Neutral-site openers have always been kind to the more physical, more experienced side. Over the last fifteen years, favorites laying between six and eight points in true neutral-site season openers have covered right around 58 percent of the time. At standard juice you only need to hit 52.4 percent to break even, so that edge is real. When you tighten the filter to games that involved long-haul or overseas travel, the favorite’s cover rate climbs closer to 61 percent and the under hits nearly 60 percent of the time. The average total in those spots has finished almost four points under the number. Jet lag is no joke, and neither is limited practice time before a transatlantic flight.

TCU has been the more consistent outfit under Sonny Dykes. His teams usually play with a clear physical identity and they do not mind grinding it out early in the season. North Carolina, meanwhile, has spent the last couple of years looking like a roster still trying to figure out who belongs where. Historical trends for ACC teams opening against Big 12 competition on neutral fields lean toward the side with better line continuity, and TCU checks that box. Favorites in this exact range that also held a clear edge up front have covered better than 60 percent since the mid-2010s. That is the kind of number that keeps the lights on if you stay disciplined.

I will take the under as a secondary piece if the total sits near 48. Early-season scoring is often suppressed when teams are still installing, traveling, and playing a little tight. Both sides prefer a physical brand of football, and that style rarely produces fireworks in the first half of a Week 0 game on foreign soil.

Hawai’i getting points at Stanford and Memphis as a small dog against UNLV are fine secondary looks if you like chasing value on the dog side. I generally leave the massive numbers alone unless the total is screaming. This TCU spot is different. It is the kind of early-season situation where the sharper side of the board usually cashes, and the travel factor only adds another layer of protection.

I have been wrong before and I will be wrong again, but this one sits right with me. Continuity, trenches, travel, and the historical numbers all point the same direction. If the line drifts a half-point either way I am still on it. Good luck if you decide to ride along.

Note: I bet this selection while was able to get -7. But it s still good at this number.

Please unless your a weekend warrior do not buy off the hook.

BUYING OFF THE HOOK 

Buying off the hook is one of those moves that feels smart in the moment and slowly bleeds you over time. I have watched plenty of sharp money and square money both fall into the same trap, and the long-term numbers do not lie. You are paying extra juice to move the line half a point or a full point so a common final margin turns into a push or a win instead of a loss. Classic example is laying the three and a half instead of the three, or taking the plus three and a half instead of the plus three. The hook disappears, your ticket looks safer, and the price quietly climbs from minus one-ten to minus one-twenty or worse.

That extra juice is the real problem. Standard minus one-ten needs you to cash about fifty-two point four percent just to break even. Jump to minus one-twenty and you need roughly fifty-four and a half percent. At minus one-thirty you are staring at fifty-six and a half percent. Those two to four extra points of required win rate add up fast across a season. The probability of a game landing exactly on the number you bought off is almost never high enough to cover the cost over hundreds of plays.

Football is where the conversation gets loudest because the key numbers actually matter. Three and seven have historically been the biggest hooks in both the NFL and college game. League-wide data over the last decade shows finals of three happening in the high teens percentage range and sevens in the low double digits. Buying off those numbers is the only spot where the math gets closer to break-even. Even then you are usually still overpaying. Outside of those true keys the half-points become pure juice leaks. Teams that routinely buy from three and a half to three or from seven and a half to seven have shown thin or negative edges once you factor in the price.

Basketball is a different animal. NBA and college totals and spreads move around half-points constantly, but the distribution of final margins is flatter. Landing exactly on a three or a four happens less often than football’s big keys, so the value of buying the half-point is even thinner. Same story in baseball with the run line. Buying from one and a half to one or two and a half to two costs you juice that the frequency of those exact margins rarely repays. Soccer worldwide, whether Premier League, La Liga, Serie A or the big South American leagues, runs mostly on Asian handicaps where the half-goal and quarter-goal moves are already priced aggressively. Buying further off the number there is usually just giving the book more of your money for protection you do not need.

I have seen the same pattern in hockey, tennis, and the rest of the major venues. The public loves the feeling of being off the hook. The long-term winners almost never make it a habit. They would rather shop for the best available number, take the standard juice, and live with the occasional hook loss. The ones who grind out profits treat buying points like a last resort, not a regular tool. Only when the price is unusually soft on a true key number does the play even enter the conversation, and those spots are rare.

The bottom line is simple. Occasional, selective buys off a real key number at a fair price can be tolerable. Making it standard operating procedure is a slow leak that compounds against you. The juice almost always costs more than the protection is worth. Stay patient, shop the numbers, and let the hooks fall where they fall. That approach has kept more bankrolls healthy than any amount of buying ever will.

Alex Smart

My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Monday.

We just saw this same matchup here in Los Angeles on Thursday and the result was a 124-88 laugher in favor of the Dream. The total hasn't been adjusted much, if at all, for this quick rematch despite that contest reaching 212 total points. Remember, the first meeting between these two teams this season was also relatively high-scoring, reaching 193 total points in another Dream victory back on July 13th. The Sparks did bounce back on Saturday, delivering a 77-68 win over the Sun here at home. That result had everything to do with a poor shooting night from Connecticut as it could make good on only 26-of-74 field goal attempts. I don't think the Sparks will be so fortunate here as the Dream are rolling offensively, knocking down 32, 46 and 37 field goals on their current road trip. The good news for the Sparks is they do currently have 'all hands on deck' and I'm confident they can put forth an offensive showing that's on par or better than we saw against the Dream last week. There's certainly threat of a letdown from the Dream as they're already 3-0 on their current road trip, which wraps up tonight. Take the over (8*).

Our selection is on the Atlanta Dream to defeat the Los Angeles Sparks on Monday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Atlanta has turned up it's levels lately with a three game win streak and wins in five of it's L6 games.

The Dream are one of the top road teams as well this year with a 12-7 record in these contests. They just beat LAS by 36 points.

It's pretty obvious that Los Angeles has given this season as it had lost in six straight games before it finally beat Connecticut (a nine win team).

The Sparks are already eliminated from the playoffs for this upcoming season and do not have a lot to play for.

We're on the Dream to blow the Sparks out for the second time in less than a week.

AAA Sports

Pirates vs Padres MLB FREE PICK

**12-2 PREMIUM PICK RUN**

**100% PERFECT 5-0 FREE PICK RUN**

The Angle(s): The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to display a glaring, persistent weakness when opposing left-handed starting pitchers, carrying a brutal 12-27 record (.308 win percentage) against southpaw starters this season. That flaw presents a massive disadvantage as they prepare to face Padres veteran lefty Robbie Ray (11-7, 3.20 ERA).

Ray has been dominant over his recent stretch, posting a sharp 2.67 ERA across his past five starts. Moreover, Ray has completely had Pittsburgh's number across prior encounters, current hitters on this Pirates roster are batting a combined .205 over 39 career at-bats against him. Facing a locked-in Ray on the road makes Pittsburgh exceptionally vulnerable to another quiet offensive performance.

The Bet: Padres (3%). 

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

106-86 (55%) +$15,240 since June 5 in All Sports!

We really like the road team in this matchup. The Mariners (62-68) have struggled to build momentum down the stretch, and the Phillies (72-58) hand the ball to RHP Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.92 ERA) who has been an absolute nightmare for the current Mariners roster, holding them to a microscopic .172 BAA over a combined 58 career at-bats.

Seattle counters with RHP Logan Gilbert (10-7, 3.35 ERA), who has pitched well overall but faces a brutal task against a surging Philadelphia lineup. With the Phillies coming in red-hot—winning nine straight games, Philadelphia is in prime position to handle business on the road and set the tone for this interleague series.

This is a FREE PLAY on the PHILLIES!

PSP Data Driven 1* Marlins +.1.5

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Marlins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The Marlins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

The Chicago Cubs are 75–56 overall and 37–29 on the road. The Cubs have lost three of their last four games. Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Cubs. Gausman is 6–11 with a 4.58 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and 143 strikeouts in 142 innings. Kevin Gausman has allowed four or more earned runs in three of his last five starts. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 69–62 overall and 38–28 at home. They have won three of their last four games. The Diamondbacks will send Merrill Kelly to the mound. Kelly is 8–11 with a 5.37 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and 84 strikeouts in 129 innings pitched. Kelly has allowed six earned runs or more in two of his last three starts. Neither pitcher has been great lately, but the Cubs have the No.1 scoring offense in baseball.

Play on Chicago Cubs. This is a 3% play.