Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

Free Total Annihilator On Packers vs Broncos over 40½ -125

Ricky's 1* play on Over.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Over is 7-3 in the Rockies last 10 games.

- The over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 head to head meetings.

- The Over is 4-2 in in the Rockies last 6 home games.

Verdict: We should see plenty of Runs in this game.

The Padres have been playing good baseball winning eight of their last 11. They hold a starting pitching matchup edge today with Randy Vasquez facing the Twins' Connor Prielipp.  Prielipp is having control issues. He has allowed 14 runs in his last 15 1/3 innings walking 10 batters in this time span.  San Diego holds a huge bullpen edge, too. The Padres have the fifth lowest bullpen ERA at 3.58, while the Twins have the fifth highest bullpen ERA at 4.71.  This is the Twins' first road game since Aug. 9. Minnesota is 2-6 in its last eight away games. This also is the Twins' first trip to California this season. I don't see it going well.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover's Friday card is headed by his AL Central top play, his strongest of the season. Stephen also has a WNBA play looking to go 37-25 on his last 62 premium/free WNBA plays.)

3* on Cowboys

1* Free Play on Packers/Broncos under 41 -110

Free Play on Toronto Tempo +3 -110

(#928) San Diego Padres | ML | . 

Connor Prielipp (3-6, 5.34 ERA) vs. Randy Vasquez (8-6, 4.30 ERA) . 

Don't get me wrong, Minnesota has continuously proved me wrong from the start of the season with its ability to beat strong opponents. However, I believe that this is a bad matchup for the Twins. Connor Prielipp has not been great this year with an especially bad 0-3 record & 6.15 ERA in road starts.

On the other hand, the Padres will turn to Randy Vasquez who is quite solid. No, he didn't have his best stuff last time out. However, Vasquez has been great at home lately, allowing just two earned runs here over his past couple of starts. San Diego is also fighting for a playoff spot so each and every game matters. Give me SDP.

Burns' Prediction: 5-2 Padres.

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Friday’s FREE WINNER: Denver Broncos.

Game 410.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Denver Broncos are expected to compete for Conference titles this season. Green Bay looks to be one of the top teams in the NFC, predicted to win 10.5-games. Denver is touted to win 9.5-games this season. In Week 1 of this preseason, the Packers took a beatdown on the road at the Steelers, 28-9. Meanwhile, also on the road, the Broncos thumped the Falcons, 27-7. Denver head, Coach, Sean Peyton reported his starters will play around 14 snaps in this “tune up” game. So. quarterback Bo Nix is expected see his first action since going down with a busted ankle in the divisional round last year. Behind him is Jarrett Stidham and Sam Ehlinger. Both looked good in the opening exhibition win. In their preseason opening loss, the Packers used some of their first teams, including quarterback, Jordan Love for just one series. Head coach, Matt LeFleur told the media his stars were once again be lightly used, limiting them to a drive or so in Denver. You know playing in Mile High Stadium isn’t easy for any visitor. It is one of the places that truly gives the home team a big advantage. Case in point, the Broncos are 7-0, straight up and 6-1 against the spread their last seven preseason games played at home. Just over the last three preseasons, they own a 7-0 SU overall record. Meanwhile, going back several August campaigns, the Packers are barely above .500 at 7-6 SU. Reports are Green Bay is going to be taking a large look at their third-string quarterback, Kyle McCord, while giving limited reps to Love and veteran backup, Taylor. You know, the Packers offensive line allowed five sacks in a week ago. I feel they’re in for another long night here tonight playing in one of the toughest places to play for any traveling team. I know this is a big number. But I expect the Denver Broncos to win by more than a touchdown. Take Denver. Thank you.

Cubs -102

The Cubs are worth a free move. Chicago goes with Matthew Boyd, who is off his worst start of the season. Boyd has been as consistent as they come for the most part in this rotation and this is a great matchup for him against a reeling Seattle team. The Mariners counter with Emerson Hancock, who has lost 3 of his last 4 starts. The Cubs offensively are stacked top to bottom and the Mariners continue to struggle. Seattle has dropped to 8 games below the .500 mark and things don’t look to be turning around. Back the Cubs. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the CUBS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Friday FREE MLB ML Play

1-2 Thursday! EN FUEGO! 388-325 54% +2934 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.” 

1* Free Pick on Commanders +115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Arizona Diamondbacks -140

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs -102

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 8-21-26

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle  (10:10 PM EST)
Play On:  Chicago Cubs -102

The Chicago Cubs travel to Seattle to take on the Mariners on Friday night.  The Chicago Cubs are 74-54 SU overall this year while Seattle comes in with a 60-69 SU overall record on the season.  The Cubs are 46-27 at night this year.  The Cubs are 34-17 overall over the past 2 months.  Seattle is 9-18 overall over the past month.  Seattle is 22-44 this year when the money line is -125 to +125 including 6-15 at home.  Matt Boyd is 8-2 with a 4.02 ERA overall this year.  Boyd is 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA on the road this season.  Boyd is 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA in inter-league play this year.  Boyd is 6-1 with a 3.25 ERA overall over the past 2 months.  Emerson Hancock is 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA overall past 3 years vs Cubs.  We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago Cubs tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Friday Card led by the 100% NFL Preseason Game of the Year as well as 2 Perfect totals systems and an Undefeated Late season WNBA System + MLB- CFL Play below

 The CFL Play for Friday is on Winnipeg plus the points. Game 673 at 9:30 eastern. The Bombers have home loss revenge here on Edmonton and as such they fit a powerful system that ha cashed every time for road dogs of 4 or more that are off a home win and are taking on a team like Edmonton that is also off a home win and our road team has same season home favored loss revenge. Winnipeg has a solid chance to win this one but we will Grab the 5+ points. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Soccer Take Tigres UANL -1.5 over Atlante (9 p.m. EST, Friday August 21) Tigres have sone work to do as they are all the way down in position No. 16 in the table (of 18 sides). This is a perennial championship contender, and we have no doubt they will rise up the standings as the season progresses (13 matches left). This looks like a good spot for them. Atlante is new to The Liga and they were promoted from Liga MX Expansion and also they took on Mazatlán’s infrastructure when that side was disbanded after last season. They have been impressive with points in three of four matches so far. They have played a lot in Mexico City, where they reside, but this will be a tough road tilt for them. The last time they went on the road outside of Mexico City was their only loss of the season, to Necaxa, a team that is much worse than Tigres. They suffered a couple really bad losses in Leagues Cup, where they were beaten by Salt Lake and Minnesota in the USA with a goal differential of -6. These sides haven’t played in a long time, but Tigres have won the last three meetings by two goals each. It’s not time to panic yet, but Tigres desperately need three points here, and this looks like a great spot at home for them to get back on track. And the value is at the lowest point it will probably be all season for this side, and we will strike while the value is there.

Friday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Diamondbacks -141

Looking at the Week 0 board this year, one number keeps staring me right in the face. TCU laying a touchdown against North Carolina over in Dublin feels like the cleanest play on the early slate.

I have been on this one for a while now. TCU has the more settled roster, especially in the trenches, and that continuity matters more than most people want to admit in Week 0. North Carolina is still sorting through a heavy overhaul in Belichick’s second season, with a new offensive coordinator trying to install a system on the fly and a pile of new bodies who have not taken meaningful snaps together yet. In college football, that gap tends to show up early, especially when both teams have to fly across the ocean for a noon kick.

Neutral-site openers have always been kind to the more physical, more experienced side. Over the last fifteen years, favorites laying between six and eight points in true neutral-site season openers have covered right around 58 percent of the time. At standard juice you only need to hit 52.4 percent to break even, so that edge is real. When you tighten the filter to games that involved long-haul or overseas travel, the favorite’s cover rate climbs closer to 61 percent and the under hits nearly 60 percent of the time. The average total in those spots has finished almost four points under the number. Jet lag is no joke, and neither is limited practice time before a transatlantic flight.

TCU has been the more consistent outfit under Sonny Dykes. His teams usually play with a clear physical identity and they do not mind grinding it out early in the season. North Carolina, meanwhile, has spent the last couple of years looking like a roster still trying to figure out who belongs where. Historical trends for ACC teams opening against Big 12 competition on neutral fields lean toward the side with better line continuity, and TCU checks that box. Favorites in this exact range that also held a clear edge up front have covered better than 60 percent since the mid-2010s. That is the kind of number that keeps the lights on if you stay disciplined.

I will take the under as a secondary piece if the total sits near 48. Early-season scoring is often suppressed when teams are still installing, traveling, and playing a little tight. Both sides prefer a physical brand of football, and that style rarely produces fireworks in the first half of a Week 0 game on foreign soil.

Hawai’i getting points at Stanford and Memphis as a small dog against UNLV are fine secondary looks if you like chasing value on the dog side. I generally leave the massive numbers alone unless the total is screaming. This TCU spot is different. It is the kind of early-season situation where the sharper side of the board usually cashes, and the travel factor only adds another layer of protection.

I have been wrong before and I will be wrong again, but this one sits right with me. Continuity, trenches, travel, and the historical numbers all point the same direction. If the line drifts a half-point either way I am still on it. Good luck if you decide to ride along.

Note: I bet this selection while was able to get -7. But it s still good at this number.

Please unless your a weekend warrior do not buy off the hook.

BUYING OFF THE HOOK 

Buying off the hook is one of those moves that feels smart in the moment and slowly bleeds you over time. I have watched plenty of sharp money and square money both fall into the same trap, and the long-term numbers do not lie. You are paying extra juice to move the line half a point or a full point so a common final margin turns into a push or a win instead of a loss. Classic example is laying the three and a half instead of the three, or taking the plus three and a half instead of the plus three. The hook disappears, your ticket looks safer, and the price quietly climbs from minus one-ten to minus one-twenty or worse.

That extra juice is the real problem. Standard minus one-ten needs you to cash about fifty-two point four percent just to break even. Jump to minus one-twenty and you need roughly fifty-four and a half percent. At minus one-thirty you are staring at fifty-six and a half percent. Those two to four extra points of required win rate add up fast across a season. The probability of a game landing exactly on the number you bought off is almost never high enough to cover the cost over hundreds of plays.

Football is where the conversation gets loudest because the key numbers actually matter. Three and seven have historically been the biggest hooks in both the NFL and college game. League-wide data over the last decade shows finals of three happening in the high teens percentage range and sevens in the low double digits. Buying off those numbers is the only spot where the math gets closer to break-even. Even then you are usually still overpaying. Outside of those true keys the half-points become pure juice leaks. Teams that routinely buy from three and a half to three or from seven and a half to seven have shown thin or negative edges once you factor in the price.

Basketball is a different animal. NBA and college totals and spreads move around half-points constantly, but the distribution of final margins is flatter. Landing exactly on a three or a four happens less often than football’s big keys, so the value of buying the half-point is even thinner. Same story in baseball with the run line. Buying from one and a half to one or two and a half to two costs you juice that the frequency of those exact margins rarely repays. Soccer worldwide, whether Premier League, La Liga, Serie A or the big South American leagues, runs mostly on Asian handicaps where the half-goal and quarter-goal moves are already priced aggressively. Buying further off the number there is usually just giving the book more of your money for protection you do not need.

I have seen the same pattern in hockey, tennis, and the rest of the major venues. The public loves the feeling of being off the hook. The long-term winners almost never make it a habit. They would rather shop for the best available number, take the standard juice, and live with the occasional hook loss. The ones who grind out profits treat buying points like a last resort, not a regular tool. Only when the price is unusually soft on a true key number does the play even enter the conversation, and those spots are rare.

The bottom line is simple. Occasional, selective buys off a real key number at a fair price can be tolerable. Making it standard operating procedure is a slow leak that compounds against you. The juice almost always costs more than the protection is worth. Stay patient, shop the numbers, and let the hooks fall where they fall. That approach has kept more bankrolls healthy than any amount of buying ever will.

Alex Smart

My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Blue Bombers closed as four-point favorites at home against the Elks in the first meeting between these two teams this season but ultimately lost that game 23-18. So Winnipeg will be out for revenge in Edmonton on Friday and I think the Elks are quite simply laying too many points. Casual bettors will look at last week's 42-12 Elks win over the Argonauts and assume they're rightfully installed as considerable favorites here. Keep in mind, Edmonton took advantage of four Toronto turnovers in that game. In fact, the Elks have been cleaning up in the turnover battle for much of the season but as I've stated time and time again, turnovers aren't something we can accurately predict. For the most part this season, the Elks haven't met a close game they didn't like, with four of their seven victories coming by five points or less. It's been an up and down season for the Bombers but I think they're capable of taking this game down to the wire at the very least. Take Winnipeg (8*).

Our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers/Edmonton Elks game to finish OVER the total on Friday at 9:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Winnipeg is trying to keep up with Edmonton/Saskatchewan, so this is a big game for it to stay in the race for the top seed in the division.

The Blue Bombers are 3-0 on the road this season, scoring 80 points over those three games.

Edmonton is the higher scoring team between these two sides.

The Elks average 30.1 points a game and an even better 31.8 points a game here at home.

Tonight, we're anticipating a lot of points.

The play is on the OVER.

AAA Sports

1* on Twins +131

Rangers vs Angels August 21, 2026 Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Angels are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games, while the Texas Rangers arrive on an eye-popping 10-0 run to the under. The Angels are coming off an explosive 18-3 victory over Houston, but history repeatedly shows that explosive offensive outputs from volatile offenses often lead to immediate letdowns the following game.

The Angels hand the ball to left-hander Reid Detmers (4-8, 3.78 ERA), who has been a bankable under engine all season. Los Angeles has seen the total stay under in eight of Detmers' last nine starts. Texas counters with southpaw MacKenzie Gore (7-9, 4.45 ERA), whose starts have yielded a 1-3 over/under record across his last four outings. Furthermore, both pitchers possess a strong track record against today's opposition; Detmers has held active Texas batters to a .194 average over 94 at-bats, while Gore has suppressed Halos hitters to a .234 average across 77 at-bats.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

Coming off a 100% PERFECT 3-0 MLB THURSDAY, Mike's looking to make it an even bigger Friday, as he's back with 3 NEW MLB PICKS + an NFLX TOP PLAY"

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

103-80 (56%) +$18,450 with premium picks since June 5!

8-5 (62%) last 13 Free Picks!

We really like the home team in this matchup. The line appears to be highly influenced by the Guardians' superior overall record, but we think this is an overreaction. The Guardians (62-66) have struggled as road favorites, posting a poor 7-11 record against the spread in that spot.

Colorado hands the ball to RHP Tanner Gordon (0-3, 5.55 ERA), and the Rockies (50-77) have actually won in Gordon's last two starting appearances, and he returns to the rotation after previously spending time in a long-relief role, with his last formal start coming on July 10.

Cleveland counters with LHP Joey Cantillo (9-7, 3.87 ERA), who has been far better at home than on the road, and the Guardians' inconsistent bats on the road should allow Colorado to stay competitive.

This is a FREE PLAY on the ROCKIES +1.5!

Marc David Sports has three strong 4% plays across MLB, NFLX and WNBA Friday night!

The Detroit Tigers are 61–66 overall and 29–35 on the road. Detroit has lost five of the team’s last seven games. Troy Melton gets the start for the Tigers. He is  7–1 in 14 starts with a 1.71 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP and 73 strikeouts in 84.1 innings pitched. KC is 55–74 overall and 33–30 at home.  KC has won five in a row. Noah Cameron will get the start. He is 7–8 in 23 starts, with a 4.16 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and 122 strikeouts in 138.1 innings pitched. KC is playing better right now, but I will back Melton, as he has been pitching really well. This is getting to be must-win time for the Tigers, and I expect them to get a win here.

Play on Detroit. This is a FREE PLAY!