Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Diamondbacks -102

1* Free Play on Padres +104

1* Bet on Mercury/Sky: over 178½

1* Free Play on Mercury/Sky over 178½ -110

1* Free Pick on Dodgers/Cubs: under 8½

The wind is the story at Wrigley tonight.

An 8 MPH wind from the east at Wrigley Field blows in from the lake, and that's the single strongest atmospheric run-suppressor in the sport.

Clear sky, 77 degrees, no rain.

Perfect pitcher's weather.

Dodgers lefty Justin Wrobleski takes the ball at 11-2 with a 2.88 ERA.

He's not the sexiest arm, but he's given the Dodgers length and kept runs off the board all season.

Cubs lefty Matthew Boyd counters at 6-1, 3.41 ERA, and he's in a groove.

Four of his last five starts went 6+ innings with 1 earned run or fewer, including a 7-inning shutout of the Cardinals on July 29.

Here's where the opposition pushes back: Boyd's 4.30 xERA is nearly a full run higher than his ERA, and his .411 xSLG says the Dodgers' lineup can wreck him.

Fair concern.

I hear it.

What that argument ignores is the park and the wind.

Wrobleski's peripherals don't matter tonight in the same way because the atmospheric conditions are doing half the work for both starters.

An east wind at Wrigley has historically turned would-be homers into warning-track outs.

Add in the Dodgers being without Will Smith, with rookie Dalton Rushing hitting 9th, and the away lineup loses a real middle-order bat.

Two lefties in form, wind blowing in, 77 degrees.

That's an Under recipe.

I like the Under

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Tampa Bay Rays -156

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Tampa Bay Rays tonight against the Colorado Rockies. This is the perfect opportunity for the Rays to bust out of their recent offensive funk and blast the Rockies. Michael Lorenzen is 3-9 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 22 starts for Colorado this year. Lorenzen is 1-4 with a 8.74 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 10 home starts, yielding 44 ER and 94 base runners in 45 1/3 innings. He yielded 4 ER and 2 HR in 5 2/3 innings of a 4-0 loss to the Rays in his last start against them. Take Tampa Bay.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Dodgers/Cubs OVER 8

This total of 8 is pretty low for a matchup of two of the best offenses in the National League tonight. The Dodgers and Cubs are both scoring 5.1 runs per game this season. Justin Wrobleski gave up 5 earned runs and 4 home runs in 6 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Mariners in his last start. Matt Boyd has given up 6 earned runs and 3 home runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers. Give me the OVER.

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Mikey Sports FREE WNBA play Monday 8-3-26

Phoenix +1 1/2

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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 8-3-26

UNDER 8 1/2 San Diego/Arizona

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Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Rangers -104

Magic Mike's Dodgers vs Cubs MLB Free Pick

Current Free Pick Run: 1-0

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Dodgers to bounce back from three home losses to Boston. A team like the Dodgers, rarely loses four in a row, and they are 5-2, when coming off a loss and sending Justin Wrobleski (11-2, 2.88 ERA) to the mound. His win-loss record, ERA, and 1.02 WHIP sason numbers speak for themselves, and Wrobleski is also in a personal bounce-back spot after giving up five runs last time out.

The Bet: Dodgers (3%). 

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Free Play – Take #910 Houston -127 over Toronto (8:10 p.m. ET, Monday, August 3)

Baseball, what a sport. Houston was not in any conversation to win the AL West or making the playoffs up to the All-Star break. Out of nowhere, the Astros have gotten hotter than an August day and night in Houston, reeling off 10 wins in 11 tries to take over first place in the AL West as the only club with a winning record. Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena are having sensational seasons, and the Houston offense has moved into the Top 10 in scoring. The Astros staff as a whole has improved. Tonight’s starter, Cristian Javier (1-1, 7.17 ERA), has a dreadful ERA, but in his last five outings, including one start, his ERA is 3.00. Toronto has won two series, but at 52-60, they need an Astros streak to get back into the wild card picture. Shane Bieber (2-2, 5.74 ERA) has mostly pitched really well or horribly in his return, and who knows what he’ll do against a white-hot Astros lineup. With Houston playing this well and 15-7 at home vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less RPG, against the Jays who are 16-25 away facing RH starters, grab the home squad.

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FREE PLAY on Blue Jays +117

3* on over

PSP Data Driven 1* Astros.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Astros has won 9 of their last 10 games. The Astros has won 7 of the last 10 head to head meetings versus the Blue Jays.

For my best free pick on the board here for Monday I am looking at the Chicago Sky hosting the Phoenix Mercury. Nice story for the Sky having covered 7 straight games and they do have a similar record to the Mercury but that is where the similarities stop between these two teams. Phoenix has a ton of veteran talent and we saw them come out and beat Golden State and give the Liberty all they can handle. Chicago embarrassed this Mercury team on their home floor and now is the opportunity for some payback.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury plus or minus the points rotation #655

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