Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts
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Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Cal Poly +9½ -108
ProSportsPicks
1*
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Tamworth +104
Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Cal Poly +9½ -108
Kyle Hunter
*Free Play on Oregon State* The Sam Houston Bearkats just gave up 425 rushing yards to Louisiana Tech last week. LA Tech isn't even that good of a running team. Sam Houston lost at New Mexico State 37-10 to a below average CUSA team. They then lost 55-14 at LA Tech.
Now, Sam Houston who is winless on the season will take the long trip out to Corvallis to play Oregon State. The Beavers have been a covering machine at home in recent seasons. Oregon State has an interim coach now, and they have looked much better on defense. They held a pretty decent Washington State team to 7 points last week in their upset victory.
Sam Houston's defense is the worst defense in the nation. Oregon State's running game should be able to do some major work here. I think Oregon State sees this game as an opportunity and Sam Houston has no motivation for the long road trip. It's an ugly game, but I like the home team here.
Take Oregon State.
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Brian Bitler
For my best free pick on the board here for Saturday I am looking at Alabama hosting LSU. I know the news is out that LSU will not retain their head coach but this team is not just gonna roll over and especially against their most hated rival in the SEC. This is a very talented LSU team capable of beating any team in the country and getting this many points is a gift from the betting gods IMO. LSU losers of 2 straight and off an embarrassing home loss to Texas AM. Love them to keep this game under a 7 point lead for Alabama.
Play on LSU plus the points rotation #169
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Stephen Nover
Liberty is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games. So if there is a way to fade the Flames, I am on board such as going against them this week against Missouri State.
The oddsmaker is overrating the Flames here because Liberty has won three in a row. Those three victories, though, were against bad teams - Delaware, New Mexico State and UTEP.
Missouri State averages more yards per game than Liberty and has a much better run defense. The Bears are giving up nearly 40 fewer rushing yards per game than the Flames. The Bears also average nearly 60 passing yards more per game.
Behind seventh-year quarterback Jacob Clark, the Bears have the third best passing offense in Conference USA. Clark is savvy enough to mix in both the run and pass keeping Liberty off balance.
Missouri State's season statistics are skewed because of its first game, a 73-10 road loss to USC. Since then, the Bears have permitted just 20.4 points per game in seven games. They are 5-2 ATS during this span.
A straight-up victory against Liberty would not surprise.
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: San Jose State -5.5
I love the matchup for the San Jose State Spartans hosting the Air Force Falcons. The Spartans' offensive strength is the Falcons' biggest weakness defensively, while the Falcons' biggest offensive strength is the Spartans' biggest defensive strength.
San Jose State ranks 6th in passing averaging 331.5 passing yards per game. Air Force ranks dead last allowing 7.5 yards per play so it is a bad defense overall, but particularly poor against the pass. The Falcons rank 130th allowing 281.5 passing yards per game and dead last (136th) allowing 10.3 yards per pass attempt!
Air Force does have a great offense including ranking 4th in rushing at 270 yards per game and 22nd at 5.2 yards per carry. The Spartans are weak against the pass, but that won't come into play here. They have quietly been great against the run ranking 39th allowing 123.2 rushing yards per game and 42nd at 3.7 yards per carry. No question SJSU head coach Ken Niumatalolo has experience stopping the triple-option from his time at Navy, too.
San Jose State has now passed for at least 334 yards in five consecutive games coming in including 473 against Stanford and 458 against Hawaii. The Falcons aren't going to get any stops here, and the Spartans should continue to pour on the points. The Falcons will get theirs too, but I trust this SJSU defense to at least get a few stops which will be the difference. Bet San Jose State Saturday.
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Dave Price
Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on San Diego State/Hawaii UNDER 49
The Key: The weather will play a big role in keeping this game between San Diego State and Hawaii UNDER the total. There will be steady 20 MPH winds and a 100% chance of rain throughout. San Diego State already profiles as an UNDER team with one of the best defenses in the nation but also one of the worst offenses. The Aztecs have yielded 10 points or fewer in 6 of their 8 games this season. They are 2nd in scoring D yielding 10 PPG, 6th in total D yielding 246.2 YPG and 2nd yielding 3.8 YPP. But the Aztecs are only 85th in total offense at 367.1 YPG and starting QB Denegal is questionable to play with an injury. Hawaii has a sneaky good defense at 33rd in total D yielding 357.7 YPG. They only yield 132.2 RYPG and this game will likely be played on the ground given the forecast. SDSU yields just 88.5 RYPG. Take the UNDER.
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John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on West Virginia -6
The Colorado Buffaloes are on quit watch under head coach Deion Sanders. The Buffaloes are coming off consecutive blowout losses at Utah 53-7 and at home against Arizona 52-17. I don't expect them to be competitive with West Virginia on the road this week, either. The Mountaineers have a first-year head coach in Rich Rodriquez and will continue to fight no matter their record. They have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four games staying within 14 points of BYU as 20.5-point road dogs, only losing by 6 as 16.5-point home dogs to TCU and upsetting Houston 45-35 as 12.5-point road dogs last week. Freshman QB Scotty Fox is their QB of the future and proved that in leading the Mountaineers to 45 points and 403 total yards against a very good Houston defense last week. Fox threw for 157 yards and a TD while also rushing for 65 yards and two TD in the win. He takes a big step down in class here against this soft Colorado defense this week and should be primed for his best game of the season. Give me West Virginia.
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Rob Vinciletti
Huge Saturday Card has the SEC Game Of the YEAR Headlining along with 4 more best bets, and Early Season College Hoops and NBA Are killing it. We also have Soccer 3-0 This Week. Comp play below
The Comp play is on Kennesaw St at 4 eastern. The Owls have won 6 straight after a 1 point loss at Wake Forest and a loss at 2nd ranked Indiana where they hung around until mid way through the 3rd Quarter.. They moved up this year and have done well at 6-2 and they play sound football and do not turn it over. They take on a New Mexico St team that has lost 5 of the last 6 and has had trouble scoring. Kennesaw has extra rest here having over 10 days off. The Owls also fit a Late season system cashing over 75% long term for road favorites off back to back wins in this line range vs a team off 3 straight losses. Look for Kennesaw St to Cash. GL Rob V-
Matt Fargo
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our Saturday Free Play. Indiana opened at No. 2 in the first CFP ranking behind Ohio St. and the Hoosiers continue to keep on rolling as they are 6-2 over their last eight games. The two non-covers were against Michigan St. by one point and against Iowa by four points so they have been close even when not covering. That being said, Indiana is known for blowing teams out as the games they cover, they cover margin by a big amount but that has taken its toll in some regard to injuries and they have some key ones heading into this season. It has been a lost season for Penn St. as a three-game losing streak cost James Franklin his job and since then there have been two more losses at Iowa and at Ohio St. so the preseason No. 1 team in some places is possibly going to miss a bowl game. The number is this big for a reason but this is their season right here and this will be the inspirational game especially from the defense that has clearly underachieved. This will be the first home start for quarterback Ethan Grunkemeyer after the last two games and that can settle him down. Here, we play against road teams averaging 4.8 rushing ypc and after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game going up against teams allowing between 3.5 to 4.3 rushing ypc. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) since 2021. Play (146) Penn St. Nittany Lions
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Chip Chirimbes
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Florida State at Clemson 7:30 ET
*Tigers over Seminoles - A pair of disappointments meet Saturday as Clemson and Florida State once had high aspirations but now atre just looking to get eliigable for a bowl game. Seminoles won way big last week,they return to their norm here. Take CLEMSON!
Alex Smart
Kyle Shanahan’s outside zone + play-action passing attacks blitz-heavy, aggressive defenses—exactly what Sean McVay and his coordinators (Phillips, Staley, Morris, now McVay himself) love to run.The 49ers average 5.8 YPC on outside zone runs vs. LAR since 2019 (NFL high in rivalry).Rams rank bottom-5 in blitz rate vs. play-action.
:Rams overcommit =big plays = backdoor covers.
Market Bias Toward Star Power Rams often favored due to Stafford, Kupp, Donald, McVay hype. The Public loves betting the “sexier” team.Oddsmakers shade lines 1–2 points too high on LA.3. Physicality & Depth 49ers built to win in the trenches—especially on the road.Since 2021, SF is +18 in turnover margin vs. LAR.Rams often one-dimensional when trailing. Situational ATS Record Win Rate .ROI (Flat Bet) Shanahan as underdog vs. LAR 8–0 100%+72.7 +3 or more vs. LAR 7–0 100% +63.6 units
Sample: 10/13/19 (+3), 11/29/20 (+5.5), 1/30/22 (+3.5), etc.
Betting Takeaways If this seems like a Blind Bet on the Underdog in 49ers-Rams it sort of is. The underdog is 13–1 ATS since 2019.
Back Shanahan +3 or more...7–0 ATS.Fade the Rams as favorites of –6 or less ... 0–6 ATS when favored by 6 or fewer.
HC Shanahan now 8–0 ATS as a dog vs. LAR. Rams 1–5 ATS as favorites this season. History says take the points. I know some key players are out for the 49ers, Injuries do flip this from "hammer the dog" to "proceed with caution." Shanahan adapts (8–0 magic), but Purdy + Bosa out = 55/45 Rams cover (So this is a sprinkle the cash play and not a reg bankroll wager of 1% or 2%).
SF Injuries :
Nick Bosa: Torn right ACL (IR since Week 3)—huge loss for edge pressure.Brock Purdy: Questionable (turf toe/shoulder; DNP in practice). Mac Jones starts if sidelined, dropping SF's passing EPA by ~0.15 per dropback.Others: Fred Warner (ankle, season-ending), Brandon Aiyuk (ACL, PUP), plus rests/DNPs for Trent Williams, Christian McCaffrey (calf), and Jauan Jennings.In a parity-driven NFL, a 13–1 ATS trend is not noise....it’s signal. Until the market adjusts (and it hasn’t in 6 years), the 49ers-Rams underdog remains one of the sharpest bets on the board even with the 49ers injury list raising eyebrows..
Bet the dog. Trust the scheme.
Sean Murphy
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Penn State plus the points over Indiana at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Few will give Penn State any chance of handing Indiana its first loss of the season on Saturday. Of course, we don't need an 'upset' win to cash this ticket as the Nittany Lions are catching nearly two touchdowns against the Hoosiers. Penn State was handed a predictable 38-14 defeat on the road against Ohio State last Saturday. It's certainly been a trying campaign for the Nittany Lions and prior to last week's contest they had emptied the tank in consecutive one-point defeats against Northwestern and Iowa. Indiana checks into this game off back-to-back 50+ point performances in blowout wins over UCLA and Maryland. I simply feel the Hoosiers are laying too many points in a game where they could easily overlook down-trodden Penn State. Take Penn State.
ASA
#154 ASA FREE PLAY ON Eastern Michigan -2.5 over Bowling Green, Saturday at 1 PM ET - BG is definitely heading the wrong direction losing 5 of their last 6 games with their only win coming vs Toledo in a game the Falcons were outgained 429 to 226. They have massive problems at QB with starter Drew Pyne banged up and if he can’t go it’s most likely 4th stringer Hunter Najm. There is some turmoil in this program as well as 3 players were arrested last weekend and they fired their offensive coordinator this week. BG’s last 3 games have all been non-covers and not close with an average of loss of 21+ points vs the number. EMU is in a good spot at home and coming off a bye after covering 5 of their last 7 games. They went into the bye after playing one of the top teams in the MAC (Ohio) to the wire at home losing 28-21 on a Bobcat TD with under 1:00 minute remaining in the game. If we focus on MAC stats only (comparable teams) EMU has been the better team with better YPG, YPP, and point differentials. We like Eastern Michigan vs a team that seems to be in a bit of disarray.
Ricky Tran
1*
Juan Carlos Flores
Recommended Bet: Piast Gliwice +197
Oliver Smith
3* on over
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