Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

1* Bet on Oklahoma State/Houston: under 63

[1%] Free Play on Golden Knights over 6½ -115

1* Free Play on Northern Illinois +8

(3 Unit Free Play Under) New Mexico is an elite defense. They are first in the nation in defensive success rate allowed. Jaxton Eck is the leader of this Lobos top notch stop unit. Hawaii is still thought of by some as a great offense, but that is very far from the case. Micah Alejado is getting beaten up badly every single week. The offensive line is going to be dominated by New Mexico's defensive front here.

New Mexico will move the ball, but they play at a bottom five tempo and it will take them quite a while to score. They'll control the ball and keep the Hawaii offense on the sideline.

The winds here are something to note as well. Sustained winds of 20 mph are expected through this contest.

Back the under.

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3* on Eagles

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Saints PK

(#7) Carolina Hurricanes | ML | . 

Even on the road, I believe that Carolina is the much better team in this matchup & should be able to get the job done here this evening. Don't get me wrong, this is a lot of juice to be laying on an away team. But, it's worth it. I'm a perfect 3/3 on the Hurricanes this season and will continue the winning here with this free pick. The defending champs smell blood and they are looking to dominate each and every opponent. Winnipeg finally dropped a game against Chicago last time out. The Jets have been really solid to start this season. But, the loss could be the start of a downfall. Either way, Carolina is the better team and I'm on the Canes tonight.

Burns' Prediction: 4-1 Canes.

1* Free Pick on Guardians +102

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our Saturday Free Play. Oklahoma St. comes into Houston with a 4-1 record and after losing the season opener against Tulsa, the Cowboys have won and covered four straight games and that is a streak we like to fade as it is keeping this line down. One of the wins was a significant upset over Oregon but that was has lost some of its gusto and the other three wins were a pair of victories over average teams and one over an FCS squad. The offense was lights out over the first three games of this winning streak but was held in check somewhat last time out and now they face a defense ranked in the top 40 including No. 4 against the run. Houston is 5-1 with its only loss coming against Texas Tech because of a missed two-point conversion late that would have sent the game into overtime. The Cougars have one of the best rushing attacks in the country as they are No. 14 and that is the weakness of the Cowboys defense as they are No. 81 in the country. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.3 percent) since 1992. Play (152) Houston Cougars

Fargo is now 23-9-3 in the NFL to start the season following a 5-2-1 Week Five! NFL Primetime 12-0-1 YTD. CFB 33-27-1 YTD after a winning Week Six. Football Combined 56-36-4 (60.9%) YTD. Saturday-Sunday FB posted!

1 Dimer on Sabres +123

1* Free Pick on Chargers/Chiefs: under 41½

This total is built on two offenses with real problems, and the Chargers' issues are the bigger ones.

Los Angeles has lost 5 straight to open the season and is scoring just 16.8 points a game.

Justin Herbert threw for only 121 yards against Denver last week and has turned it over 9 times already, 7 interceptions and 2 lost fumbles.

The protection isn't getting fixed Sunday.

Left tackle Joe Alt is out, guard Kayode Awosika is out, and Tre' Harris is done for the week at receiver.

Herbert won't have time to look downfield against Chris Jones and this Kansas City front.

The Chiefs' side of the total isn't clean either.

Rashee Rice is out with a hamstring and Tyquan Thornton is on injured reserve after ankle surgery.

That leaves Xavier Worthy and a group of rookies at receiver.

Travis Kelce has been held to 2 catches in back-to-back games.

So Kansas City will lean on the ground game, and they should.

Kenneth Walker just went for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries against the Raiders and has 537 rushing yards through 4 games.

A run-first Chiefs offense bleeds clock, and that keeps possessions down for both sides.

Fewer possessions, a broken Chargers passing game, and a thin Kansas City receiver room.

That's the formula for a low-scoring divisional game.

I like the Under

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Central Michigan +7

The Key: Western Michigan beat Central Michigan 24-21 last season in a game that decided which team would be going to the MAC Championship Game.  The Broncos went on to win the title.  The Chippewas have not forgotten and will be hungry for revenge at home this time around.  And catching a full TD with the Chippewas at home is a nice price.  Both teams feature run-heavy offenses and this is expected to be a low-scoring game so all the points we get are even more valuable.  Central Michigan has been impressive at home this year going 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS including blowout wins over Wyoming by 14 and Akron by 24.  WMU hasn't been able to get margin on the road going 2-1 SU but 1-2 ATS.  The Broncos only beat lowly Rice by 7 and lowly Buffalo by 3 in their last 2 road games.  They also lost by 25 at home to Boise State.  WMU gave up 158 rushing yards to Monmouth, 209 to Rice and 173 to Boise State.  CMU rushed for 339 yards on Wyoming and 332 yards on Akron.  Take Central Michigan.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Toledo vs Eastern Michigan under 53½ -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cody Chovancek -120

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Virginia Tech -9

Georgia Tech is coming off a big 28-25 upset win over Duke as 4.5-point home dogs last week.  But in that win they lost star RB Justice Haynes, who has rushed for 462 yards and 3 TD this season.  Now they have to go on the road and face a pissed off Virginia Tech team that gave away their last two games.  They lost by 2 to Pitt despite outgaining them by 204 yards.  They then lost on the road at Cal last week, a place that has proven to be very tough to play for these ACC title contenders over the last couple seasons.  Now the Hokies return home to Lane Stadium, which is one of the better home-field advantages in the country.  Georgia Tech previously lost to Colorado at home, and that loss looks real bad now.  They lost by 21 to Tennessee, a SEC team that is down a few notches this season.  And they lost by 7 at Stanford, which is getting blown out by everyone else.  The win over Duke doesn't look that great either with Duke playing such a soft schedule leading into that game.  I expect the Hokies to handle the Yellow Jackets by double-digits.  Give me Virginia Tech.

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1* Best Bet on Blackhawks +1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Argentinos Juniors +100

BIG Saturday Card has the 2026 CFB DOG OF THE YEAR Tonight, an Early Red Zone Side 2 TOP Totals and MLB A.L.C.S. Comp play below
 
The Saturday CFB Comp play is on Virginia Tech at 3:30 eastern. The Hokies have lost the last 2 after opening the season 4-0 and now take on a Regressing GA. Tech team that is not close to as good as they were last season and lost their only road game to Stanford. The Hokies fit a nice system that has won and covered  all 9 times for conference home favorites of 8 or more for teams off a conference road favored loss if they were favored from -4 to -14 the total is less than 69 and they have dog loss revenge. These teams win on average by a 36-11 score. Look for VA. Tech to win and cover. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 9-0
ATS: 9-0
 
Team: 36.0
Opp: 11.2
 
 
Nov 01, 1997 - Sat 11 1997 WYO SDST home - - - - 41-17 -14 None 24 10 - - - W W - 0
Oct 09, 1999 08:00 Sat 7 1999 UTEP SMU home - - - - 42-28 -9.5 None 14 4.5 - - - W W - 0
Nov 06, 1999 07:00 Sat 11 1999 OKLA MIZ home - - - - 37-0 -11 None 37 26 - - - W W - 0
Nov 27, 1999 07:00 Sat 14 1999 OKLA OKST home - - - - 44-7 -13.5 None 37 23.5 - - - W W - 0
Nov 11, 2000 07:00 Sat 12 2000 TCU FRES home - - - - 24-7 -13 None 17 4 - - - W W - 0
Nov 14, 2014 09:00 Fri 12 2014 CFL TLS home 3-0 14-7 14-0 0-0 31-7 -20 55 24 4 -17 -6.5 -10.5 W W U 0
Oct 21, 2017 10:45 Sat 8 2017 WAST COLO home 0-0 14-0 7-0 7-0 28-0 -10.5 52.5 28 17.5 -24.5 -3.5 -21.0 W W U 0
Nov 03, 2018 07:30 Sat 10 2018 ORE UCLA home 14-0 7-7 7-7 14-7 42-21 -13 62.5 21 8 0.5 4.25 -3.75 W W O 0
Nov 13, 2021 06:30 Sat 11 2021 ORST STAN home 7-0 7-0 14-7 7-7 35-14 -13.0 56.0 21 8.0 -7.0 0.5 -7.5 W W U 0
 
Oct 17, 2026 03:30 Sat 7 2026 VTCH GTCH home - - - - - -9.5 56.5

R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 10-17-26

UNDER 49 1/2 Louisiana Lafayette/Troy

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UC DAVIS at SOUTHERN UTAH

Saturday, 8:00 PM ET | 5 UNITS | UC DAVIS -5.5

10-UNIT CFB MAX Bet goes at Noon today. 6-0 ASTS with 10-UNIT MAX Bets and 71% across all sports since July 1, 2025. Get on board now and the comprehensive research will blow more mind and show you clearly why this is John Ryan's best bet of the CFB card this week. Plus, he ranks 5th in CFB right here.

This NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 57-7 SU (89%) and 45-18-1 ATS, good for 71% winning bets over the past 12 seasons.

Required Situations

·      Bet on road favorites that are scoring 35 or more PPG.

·      The current opponent’s defense is allowing 35 or more PPG.

·      The favorite allowed 35 or more points in their previous game.

If the game occurs from week 7 on out to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 38-4 SU (91%) and 31-11 ATS, good for 74% winning bets.

Why UC Davis is the play

·      This game fits the system’s profile: UC Davis is a road favorite with a high-powered offense, a team that can win a track meet on the road.

·      Southern Utah’s defense is the kind the system looks for. When a high-scoring favorite meets a leaky defense, the favorite usually runs away with it.

·      The Aggies allowed 35 or more in their previous game. The system says a team in that spot responds, and the 38-4 SU mark from week 7 on shows how often it does.

P-value in plain English

·      45-18-1 ATS over 12 seasons (p = 0.0009): If this system were just a coin flip, a record this good would show up by luck about 1 time in 1,100. That is about 56 times stronger than the 0.05 bar scientists use to call a result “real.”

·      31-11 ATS from week 7 on (p = 0.003): If this system were just a coin flip, a record this good would show up by luck about 1 time in 350. That is about 17 times stronger than the 0.05 bar scientists use to call a result “real.”

Saturday, 8:00 PM ET | 5 UNITS | UC DAVIS -6.5

Wyoming -7.5

Wyoming and NIU meet on Saturday and we’re on Wyoming laying the points. NIU comes in 0-5 and they have been abysmal on both sides of the ball. They are averaging just 12.4 ppg while conceding 34.6 ppg against. They’ve been unable to find any sort of rhythm and Wyoming is going to be another tough task for them. Wyoming comes in off an overtime win against San Jose State and they have been dominant defensively. They are allowing just 20 ppg and they’re going to blitz this NIU side all game long. Look for them to get a big push up front and cause a lot of issues in this NIU backfield. This is a completely lopsided matchup and the value is with Wyoming here. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the Wyoming ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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Houston Texans +2.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars (London, Wembley, 9:30 AM ET)

The number is Jaguars -2.5, total 42.5. Jacksonville is 4-1 and just beat Philadelphia 19-17 in London. Houston is 1-4 and coming off a 26-3 win over Tennessee. The spread opened around 3 and has been bet down to 2.5. A short favorite on a neutral site against a division rival is not a number that needs to be laid. The points are the side.

These two have met 48 times. Houston leads the all-time series 32-16 straight up. Against the spread the picture is tighter but still leans Houston’s way: the Texans are 27-20-1 ATS in the series while Jacksonville is 20-27-1. In the last 10 meetings the Jaguars are 5-5 ATS. Underdogs in this series have been the better side historically, covering at a 29-18-1 clip. Short numbers between these clubs have not been free money for the favorite.

Jacksonville has been the better ATS team this season, but Houston’s defense has been the cleaner side of the ball in the losses. Both teams score in the low-to-mid 20s. A 42.5 in a London morning kickoff does not need to be a shootout. The market has already moved the side toward the visitor. That is the tell.

Bet the short underdog of 3 or fewer points in a neutral-site divisional game.
Underdogs of 3 or fewer points in neutral-site divisional games (since the early 1980s): 27-15 ATS (64.3%). At -110, 27 wins and 15 losses is +10.8 unit$, ROI=25.7%. Houston is getting 2.5. Both teams are AFC South. London is the filter. That is the window.

Bet the underdog of a field goal or less when the favorite is coming off a one-score win.
Underdogs of 3.5 or fewer points when the favorite’s previous game was decided by one score (last 35 years): 41-28 ATS (59.4%). At -110, that is +11.7 unit$, ROI=17.0%. Jacksonville’s last game was 19-17. The short week and the travel are the same for both sides. The points are the argument.

Bet the underdog in this series when the number is 3 or fewer.
Houston as a short underdog of 3 or fewer points against Jacksonville (last 10 seasons): 6-3 ATS (66.7%). At -110, that is +2.7 unit$, ROI=30.0%. The last decade has not been a free ride for Jacksonville laying a short number. The points have been the better side more often than the chalk.

Shop 2.5 or better. If it drops to 2, the edge shrinks. Confirm the starters. A London number and a domestic number are not the same bet if the travel hits one side harder. The house does not care that one club is 4-1.

My selection is on the 'under' between Notre Dame and BYU at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

This has the potential to be the game of the week but I'm expecting it to be a tightly-contested, low-scoring affair. Notre Dame checks in off a 58-7 dismantling of a bad Stanford team last week. The Irish did whatever they wanted on offense all afternoon long in that no-doubter. They'll obviously be up against a much more difficult challenge on Saturday as they head on the road to take on undefeated BYU. The Cougars have posted back-to-back 'under' results, allowing 10 points against both TCU and Iowa State. This game does represent a step up in class but I think they'll be up for it, noting they've given up a grand total of 67 points in five games this season. Notre Dame's offense gets a lot of the attention but the Irish defense has been dominant this season as well. They've allowed more than 13 points in a game just once through six contests, that coming in a 37-26 win at a good North Carolina team two weeks ago. Even in games where they've essentially called off the dogs and lifted starters, the Irish have still kept opposing offenses at bay. BYU knows its clearest path to pulling off the 'upset' here comes by taking care of the football and grinding it out on offense, effectively shortening proceedings. Take the under (8*).

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays/Cleveland Guardians game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay will start Nick Martinez -- He had a 2.38 earned run average on the road in the regular season.

The Rays are 58.3% in favor of the UNDER this season coming off of a day off (yesterday's game was postponed).

Cleveland will start Shawn Armstrong -- will probably be followed up by Cantillo or Bibee. Both really solid pitchers.

The UNDER has hit in back-to-back games now and this series is shaping up to be a low scoring one.

We're on the UNDER.

AAA Sports

Ricky's 1* play on BC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- BC are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.

- Calgary are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

- Calgary are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Free Play – Take #214 Oregon State -18 over Washington St. (6:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 17)

The brand new Pac-12 has a little buzz about it. Boise State is positioned to be 11-1 and possibly returning the CFB Playoffs with another quality club. However, the bigger surprise is happening in Corvallis at Oregon State. The Beavers have the top passing offense in the country led by Brandon Atkinson who came from Mercer, yea that Mercer. And here’s a trivia question for you. Most would assume Jeremiah Smith of Ohio State leads the country in receiving yards. But no, its Jesse Legree, a freshman at Oregon State. The Beavers will face the other Pac-12 program left for dead, Washington State, who is 1-5 and only averaging 18.5 PPG and a measly 11 PPG on the road. Conversely, these eager Beavers average 41.8 PPG. It’s a big spread, yet home teams,  after beating the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 80%), playing a team with a losing record are 50-17 ATS, winning by an average of 24.8 PPG.

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Free Pick on Oregon State -18 -110

FREE PLAY on TCU/Baylor over 49½

PSP Data Driven 5* Baylor.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Baylor are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Baylor are 3-1 in their last 4 home games.

This could be a letdown spot for both teams. Kentucky is coming off a win over LSU, and Oklahoma took down Texas. Oklahoma is at home. Oklahoma has struggled offensively this season, and this seems to be too many points.  Kentucky has a balanced offense and a playmaking quarterback. Kentucky has played competitive games and this will be another one.

Play on Kentucky. This is a FREE play

For my best free pick on the board here for Saturday in College Football action I am looking at Notre Dame traveling to take on BYU here in prime time action. Normally I fade the Irish or at least just avoid them which is what I have done this season but here I think we have an opportunity with them as they face a team that is 5-0 both SU and ATS and getting double digits which should entice a majority of bettors on this game IMO and based on early action I think I am on point here. Irish were screwed last year not getting in the playoffs and I am sure this team has heard the nay sayers saying this team has played no one. I think BYU is a big public dog here and Notre Dame will have zero mercy here on Saturday.

Play on Notre Dame lay the points rotation #179

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11 pm, as we take advantage of a team heading to the West Coast for the first time this season, playing an 11 pm game. (187) Nebraska (5-1) almost upset Indiana at home prior to this journey out west, but a closer look shows Indiana was definitely looking ahead to their home game against the 4th-ranked Ohio State, which a home loss for Indiana would hurt their standing in the Big10 and at the national level. So, host (188) Oregon (3-2), with the quarterback still TBD, is off a loss and laying points here. I can tell you why: the game is a night game in Eugene, Oregon. Nebraska hasn’t been on this big a stage on the road in a long time. Take (188) Oregon laying the points.