Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

1* FREE INFO PLAY Fatih Karagumruk +212

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Jaguars/Texans UNDER 37.5

The Houston Texans are dead nuts UNDER team.  The Texans are 5-2-1 UNDER in their eight games this season.  They have arguably the best defense in the NFL, but one of the worst offenses largely due to having one of the worst offensive lines.

Both the Jaguars and Texans profile as UNDER teams this week due to injuries to both teams on offense.  The Texans just lost CJ Stroud to a concussion last week and will be going with Davis Mills, who is a big downgrade.  Mills will be playing behind an offensive line that lost two starters to injury last week in RT Tytus Howard and RG Ed Ingram.

The Jaguars will be without their two best receivers in Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter.  They will also be without TE Hunter Long, and they were already without starting TE Brenton Strange, so they won't get anything out of the TE position.  LG Ezra Cleveland has been ruled out along the offensive line.

Houston ranks 1st in scoring defense at 15.1 points per game, 1st in total defense at 267.4 yards per game and 3rd at 4.9 yards per play allowed.  Jacksonville is improved and healthy on defense right now ranking 17th in scoring at 23.0 points per game.

The Jaguars should be able to shut down Mills, who was terrible in Stroud's place once he exited last week.  Both teams struggle to finish drives in the red zone, too.  The Texans rank dead (32nd) last in red zone TD percentage (36.4%) while the Jaguars rank 23rd (51.9%).

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will be a rematch from a 17-10 win by the Jaguars on September 21st at home in their first meeting this season.  These teams combined for just 27 points and 562 total yards in that contest.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in this AFC South rivalry.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Cardinals/Seahawks OVER 45

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the OVER 45 between the Cardinals and Seahawks given all the defensive injuries to both teams coming into this contest.  The Cardinals will be without 3 starters in LB Mack Wilson, CB Max Melton and CB Will Johnson.  The Seattle Seahawks will be without 4 starters in DE Jarran Reed, LB Earnest Jones, CB Josh Jobe and FS Julian Love.  The Seahawks have one of the best offenses in the NFL scoring 28.9 PPG this year and just added Rasheed Shaheed from the Saints at the trade deadline to give Sam Darnold another weapon.  The Cardinals have thrived offensively since switching to Jacoby Brissett at QB.  They put up 27 points on the Colts, 23 on the Packers and 27 on the Cowboys in his 3 starts.  It will be a nice afternoon in Seattle with temperatures in the 60's, no wind and no rain.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Browns/Jets OVER 37.5

The New York Jets look like more of an OVER team moving forward.  They traded away their two best defensive players from an already poor defense in Williams and Gardner.  This will look like the Jets defense we saw last year after they fired Robert Saleh, which was one of the worst defenses in the NFL in the 2H of the season.  The Browns have notoriously been much worse defensively on the road than they have been at home with Jim Schwartz as coordinator.  The Browns are giving up 32.5 points per game in their four road games this season.  Both teams are coming off bye weeks so they should be sharp offensively with some new wrinkles.  The Jets are coming off their best output of the season with 39 points and 502 total yards on the Bengals.  That was without Garrett Wilson, and now Wilson is expected back and they added WR AD Mitchell from the Colts in the Gardner trade.  He is a great talent and I think the Jets will get the most out of him.  WR Cedric Tillman makes his return from IR for the Browns to give them a much-needed weapon outside.  This total of 37.5 is very low for today's NFL.  Give me the OVER.

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Sunday Card has an early TOP TIER 1 NFL Side, along with the NFC Total of the Month and NFC West Game of the Year. There is Sunday night Football as well as A 100% NBA Totals System and a Game 3 100% CBB System. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on Houston at 1 eastern. 4 point line swing with Stroud out but the Texans should still do well here at home. Rob notes that conference teams that scored less than 21 points and attempted 5 or more field goals cover 80% of the time if the total is 45 or less and they are off a home loss and are taking on a team like the Jags that are off a win. Mills has plenty of weapons and the Texans have same season revenge here. The Jags are off the wild over time win over Vegas last out but we will back Houston here to get the win. GL Rob V-

Seahawks -6.5

The Cardinals (3-5) roll into Lumen Field to take on the Seahawks (6-2) in a big Week 10 divisional tilt, and I’m laying the -6.5 with Seattle. The Seahawks have been firing on all cylinders, blending smart offense with a defense that’s become one of the stingiest in football. They enter Week 10 leading the league in total DVOA, proof of how balanced and well-coached this group is. Defensively, Seattle’s been rock solid—ranking near the top in EPA per play allowed and giving up just 18.8 PPG. That kind of consistency has helped spark a 4-1 run and a 5-1 ATS mark when favored by at least five at home. The matchup history doesn’t do Arizona any favors either. Seattle’s taken 7 straight from the Cards and covered in 6 of them, including a game where their pass rush got to Kyler Murray 6 times. With Jacoby Brissett now stepping into that same chaos, it’s hard to see Arizona keeping pace. Between the pass rush, home-field edge, and overall momentum, Seattle -6.5 feels like the right side to ride.

Sunday 5* Free NFL ATS Play

Kyle Shanahan’s outside zone + play-action passing attacks blitz-heavy, aggressive defenses—exactly what Sean McVay and his coordinators (Phillips, Staley, Morris, now McVay himself) love to run.The 49ers average 5.8 YPC on outside zone runs vs. LAR since 2019 (NFL high in rivalry).Rams rank bottom-5 in blitz rate vs. play-action.

 :Rams overcommit =big plays = backdoor covers.

Market Bias Toward Star Power Rams often favored due to Stafford, Kupp, Donald, McVay hype. The Public loves betting the “sexier” team.Oddsmakers shade lines 1–2 points too high on LA.3. Physicality & Depth 49ers built to win in the trenches—especially on the road.Since 2021, SF is +18 in turnover margin vs. LAR.Rams often one-dimensional when trailing.  Situational ATS Record Win Rate .ROI (Flat Bet) Shanahan as underdog vs. LAR 8–0 100%+72.7   +3 or more vs. LAR 7–0 100% +63.6 units

Sample: 10/13/19 (+3), 11/29/20 (+5.5), 1/30/22 (+3.5), etc.

Betting Takeaways If this seems like a Blind Bet on  the Underdog in 49ers-Rams  it sort of is. The underdog is 13–1 ATS since 2019.

Back Shanahan +3 or more...7–0 ATS.Fade the Rams as favorites of –6 or less ... 0–6 ATS when favored by 6 or fewer.

 HC Shanahan now 8–0 ATS as a dog vs. LAR. Rams 1–5 ATS as favorites this season. History says take the points. I know some key players are out for the 49ers, Injuries do flip this from "hammer the dog" to "proceed with caution." Shanahan adapts (8–0 magic), but Purdy + Bosa out = 55/45 Rams cover (So this is a sprinkle the cash play and not a reg bankroll wager of 1% or 2%).

SF Injuries :

In a parity-driven NFL, a 13–1 ATS trend is not noise....it’s signal. Until the market adjusts (and it hasn’t in 6 years), the 49ers-Rams underdog remains one of the sharpest bets on the board even with the 49ers injury list raising eyebrows..

Bet the dog. Trust the scheme.

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday.

I think Carolina is one of the league's bigger 'paper tigers' at 5-4 on the season. The Panthers staged a massive 'upset' win on the road against the Packers last Sunday. They did little offensively in that game but massaged their way to a 16-13 victory. Now they're laying more than a field goal at home against a divisional opponent and I look for this one to be a grind. New Orleans was blown out on the road against the Rams last Sunday. Few are expecting much from the Saints as they've essentially waved the white flag at 1-8 as they've sold off plenty of key parts - most recently WR Rashid Shaheed. With that being said, NFL players have a lot of pride and I think we see the Saints rise to the occasion in this spot. Off four straight losses both SU and ATS we'll grab all the points we can get with a New Orleans squad that will have to play spoiler the rest of the way. Take New Orleans.

3* on Texans