Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Stars +131

1* Free Play on Suns +10½ -108

Recommended Bet: Manchester City +110

3* on under

1* Free Pick on Hornets +8½ -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Hornets +8½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Sharp Play on Avalanche -135

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #209239 Atlante/Pumas UNAM DRAW (+235) (11 p.m., Friday, October 16 Fox Sports Deportes) Liga MX.

We see value in the draw between two sides struggling to find consistency. Atlante has shared the points in five of its first 11 league matches, including three of five at home. With just one home victory, the hosts have had trouble turning competitive performances into wins. Pumas UNAM has defensive concerns of its own, conceding 11 goals over its last five matches. That makes the visitors difficult to trust to claim all three points on the road. We expect a closely contested matchup with chances for both teams, but neither side doing enough to pull away. At +235, take the draw. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring top plays in football, hockey, UFC and soccer. Sign-up with a long term package and let 55 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Wyoming -7.5

Locking this in early.

Saturday FREE NCAAF ATS Play

 UCLA is laying 2.5–3 at home against a 4-1 Wisconsin team on Saturday night at the Rose Bowl, with the total sitting in the low-to-mid 40s. The number has been short and relatively stable in that range. Wisconsin is the better ATS side this season, and a short home favorite against a team already 4-1 is the tax. The points are the work.

UCLA is 5-0 (3-0 Big Ten) and ranked around No. 12, averaging 39.2 points while allowing 18.0. The Bruins have covered in every game so far (5-0 ATS) and have wins over California, San Diego State, Purdue, Maryland, and a 17-15 road upset at Oregon as double-digit underdogs. Their offense has been productive, particularly on the ground (over 1,200 rushing yards), but the quarterback situation is a major variable: Nico Iamaleava left the Oregon game with injuries and is expected to be limited or out, elevating Ty Dieffenbach or another option. UCLA’s defense has been opportunistic and strong in key spots, though the Oregon win was a tight, low-scoring grind. They are 3-2 on the total.

Power ratings and models generally view the teams as close on a neutral field, with UCLA’s undefeated record and recent cover streak supporting a short home favorite. Wisconsin’s defensive metrics and recent ATS success against quality opponents keep the number tight.

This is a physical Big Ten road test at the historic Rose Bowl. Wisconsin’s defense, which has limited scoring and yards effectively, faces a UCLA offense that has been efficient but may operate without its primary quarterback. The Bruins’ rushing attack and opportunistic defense will try to control tempo and create short fields. Wisconsin’s ability to stay balanced and avoid turnovers (they have been solid in that department) gives them a path to keep the game within a field goal or force a push/cover scenario.

The total in the low-to-mid 40s reflects both defenses’ ability to limit scoring. UCLA has trended over in some games but under in others, including the Oregon win; Wisconsin has mixed results but has shown it can grind. Weather at the Rose Bowl looks warm and clear. Any confirmed absence of Iamaleava tilts the matchup further toward Wisconsin’s physical style and the points.

UCLA leads the all-time series roughly 7-4. The teams have not met since 2000, when Wisconsin won 21-20. Wisconsin has taken the last three meetings overall (1993, 1998, and 2000). Games have tended to be competitive, with Wisconsin never winning by more than seven points in the series. Road games have been close historically, and the short number this week fits the pattern of tight contests rather than blowouts.

Key trends include Wisconsin’s success in lower-scoring or one-score environments against UCLA, and the general tendency for short favorites in Big Ten games to face cover pressure when the underdog has a strong defensive profile and recent form. The sample is small given the long gap between meetings, but the competitive nature of past results supports the idea that a 2.5–3 point home favorite is not a large edge.

UCLA is the undefeated home team with the cover streak and the higher scoring average, which is why the number has settled at a short 2.5–3 rather than something larger. Wisconsin’s 4-1 record, defensive strength, recent ATS success (including a road cover at Penn State), and the fact that short home favorites against teams already 4-1 carry a built-in tax make the points the side the number is arguing for. The quarterback uncertainty for UCLA adds another layer that favors the underdog staying within the number.

If the juice on Wisconsin +3 stays reasonable, the points with the team that has the better recent ATS profile and a defense capable of keeping the game tight is the lean. Shop the number (it has moved between 2.5 and 3.5 in spots) and monitor the UCLA quarterback situation through the week. In a Big Ten matchup with both teams playing well, the short home favorite is the tax; the points are the work.

My selection is on Sam Houston State plus the points over Western Kentucky at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

These two teams posted much different results last week as Western Kentucky rolled to a 34-13 win over Missouri State while Sam Houston State got drilled 35-3 by Liberty. The Bearkats will look to shake off back-to-back losses, keeping in mind both of those came on the road in impossible spots against Texas Tech and aforementioned Liberty. Western Kentucky carries the better reputation with most bettors into this matchup but it's a rebuilding year for the Hilltoppers, noting that prior to last week their lone victory had come against FCS squad Mercyhurst and they had gone 2-3 ATS over their first five games. Sam Houston State was 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS prior to back-to-back blowout losses on the road. Last year, the Hilltoppers rolled to a lopsided victory at home against the Bearkats. Look for Sam Houston State to flip the script at home this time around. Take Sam Houston State.

Stars vs Avalanche NHL FREE PICK

The Angle(s): This is the second half of the home-and-home, and I like the Dallas Stars to get their revenge in Denver. The Stars didn't play badly last night. They lost a one-goal game, 3-2, and the difference was a Colorado goal on a five-on-three power play. Dallas got plenty of looks during a sloppy Avalanche first period, and Mackenzie Blackwood had to bail Colorado out repeatedly.

The road team in this rivalry has now won five straight meetings, including all four last season and Colorado’s win in Dallas yesterday, when we cashed a ticket on the Avs. Tonight, the price says the value is on Dallas.

The Bet: Stars ML (3%). 

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 4-2 in Manchester City last 6 games.

- The Under is 11-5 in PSG last 16 games.

- Manchester City have conceded only 3 goals in their last 6 games.

Verdict: Goals should be hard to come by in this game.

PSP Data Driven 1* Kennesaw State.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Missouri State are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Missouri State are 1-3 in their last 4 home games.