Giants vs. Packers Betting Odds 01/08/17 – NFC Wild Card Game
New York Giants (11-5) vs. Green Bay Packers (10-6) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Green Bay -4.5 (5dimes)
Total: 44.5
Time: 4:40 pm ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI.
Television Broadcast: FOX
Betting Preview
The Giants started out the season a little sluggish going 2-3 after five games. With an offense that isn’t very good, they managed to finish out the rest of the season winning nine of their last 11 games. The credit has to be given to their defense which is ranked 10th in total defense but only gave up 17.8 points a game ranking them second in points allowed.
If the Giants weren’t anything else they were consistent as they never scored 30 points in any one game or allowed any opponent to score 30 points in a game. Quarterback Eli Manning had a good year, throwing 26 touchdowns and passing for over 4000 yards as he led an offense that averaged only 19.4 points a game and was ranked 29th in rushing.
The Packers had a fantastic second half of the year as they ran the table winning their last six regular season games. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers led the way with 15 of his league leading 40 touchdown passes during that streak while passing for over 4400 yards which was good for fourth best in the NFL this season.
Green Bay’s offense was on fire when it counted as they scored at least 30 points in each of their last four games. They averaged 27 points a game for the season which was fourth best in the league.
The oddsmakers have made the Packers a 4.5 point favorite and set the total at 44.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 54% of the public have faith in that consistent Giant defense and are behind New York while 61% think there will be enough scoring to go around and are backing the over.
The total has gone under in seven of the Giants last eight games overall while in eight of Green Bay’s last 10 games overall, it has gone over.
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Previous Meetings
10/09/16: Giants 16 @ Packers 23
11/17/13: Packers 13 @ Giants 27
11/25/12: Packers 10 @ Giants 38
Trends
- The Giants have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
- The Giants have covered the spread in their last nine playoff road games
- The under is 10-4 in the Packers last 14 home games
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
Take Under.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
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