Handicapping Myths 1.2 – Parlays Are For Suckers.
Handicapping Myths 1.2 – Parlays Are For Suckers.
The business of betting on sports is a tricky one, just when you think you have it all figured out, you realize that you have so much more to learn. As a professional gambler by trade, I have been involved in serious sports betting since I was a kid. At the age of 37, I’m still learning, constantly looking for a new angle, or a trend that had yet to be exploited. I believe this is absolutely necessary to be successful, because the industry is constantly changing, and what works today, may not work tomorrow. If you stop learning, you will eventually fall behind, becoming obsolete, just like anything else in this life.
One of the most common mistakes that gamblers make, is setting out rules and guidelines that only limit their ability to turn a profit. I’m a firm believer that rules are meant to be broken, and following strict guidelines will only prevent you from taking advantage of every available opportunity. In this series of articles, I will discuss some of the most common “myths” that are associated with sports handicapping.
Myth #2: Parlays Are A Sucker Bet.
Unlike my last article, this particular myth isn’t completely false. For the most part, playing parlays isn’t a good idea. There are exceptions to every rule though, and I believe in certain situations a parlay could present better value than a straight bet.
I don’t play a lot of parlays, but when I do, it’s normally on the side and total of the same game as apposed to going for two outcomes in different games. The logic being that in certain cases, one outcome could directly influence the other, giving the player an added advantage on the house.
For example, if you have a team with a prolific offense taking on a team with a stellar defense, it would make sense that a low scoring game would favor the defensive team. It doesn’t always work out that way, but by focusing on these type of situations, you can improve your odds.
In the early days of online gambling, back in the mid 1990s, many sportsbooks didn’t allow you to parlay the side and total of the same game, because it was believed that this gave players too much of an advantage. I believe that these days almost all the larger casinos and sportsbooks accept such wagers.
The bottom line is, playing parlays isn’t something you should do every day, but don’t let anybody tell you that “only suckers play parlays”. Successful gamblers will bet on any game, any event, any situation when they have odds in their favor.
If you have any questions, comments or anything to add to the subject, feel free to give me a shout on Facebook.
Good Luck,
Jesse Schule
Check out the Iceman's Premium Picks
Jesse Schule
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF... +$36,190 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/17. +$62,690 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/16. +$67,330 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/15.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Football Picks (+5209) 703-546 L1249 56%
Top All Sports Picks (+5054) 802-637 L1439 56%
Top NCAA-B Sides (+5037) 274-197 L471 58%
Top Basketball Picks (+4749) 411-325 L736 56%
MLB Run Lines (+3939) 300-187 L487 62%
NCAA-F Picks (+3930) 346-261 L607 57%
NBA Totals (+3359) 215-168 L383 56%
NFL Picks (+2339) 79-46 L125 63%
Top NHL Money Lines (+2019) 68-36 L104 65%
Top Soccer Picks (+1416) 49-31 L80 61%
CFL Picks (+1285) 50-32 L82 61%
Short-Term Subcription Options
Get All The Iceman's plays with All Sports for one day - Only $88.
SPECIAL OFFER THIS WEEKEND ONLY!
From Now Until Midnight, Get ALL The Iceman's Premium Picks For The Entire Weekend (Fri-Mon) For ONLY $99. Exclusively
It's easy to see why THE ICEMAN is one of the most popular professional handicappers on the web. He's been fattening his client's wallets since his first day on the job. There's no better time to climb aboard Schule's GRAVY TRAIN than right now! He's owned both college and pro football, showing profits of +$32,460 with his last 512 NCAAF/NFL plays. Get EVERY SINGLE pick for seven days ... right here ... RIGHT NOW!
*This subscription currently includes 4 picks (2 NFL, 2 NCAA-F) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
If you act RIGHT NOW... you can get all The Iceman's NCAAB picks for 7 days just $99.99.
Long-Term Subcription Options
If you're serious about making money in this business, then there is no doubt that a LONG TERM subscription is the way to go. With a monthly ALL SPORTS package you will get EVERY SINGLE play for the entire month, at a cost of just over $16 per day. There's no better time to climb aboard Schule's GRAVY TRAIN than right now! He's ranked in the Top 3 on this site with college basketball ALL TIME!
*This subscription currently includes 4 picks (2 NFL, 2 NCAA-F) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF...
+$13,657 Last 72 Premium Soccer Picks.
+$14,667 Last 100 Premium Soccer Picks.
+$30,001 Last 226 Premium Soccer Picks.
Critics would be quick to point out that: "any handicapper can go on a good run"... But The Iceman isn't just "any handicapper". The thing that separates him from so many others, is that he does it with such consistency. He was 105-70 +$16,083 with NFL in 2014, and he was 90-66 +$9,663 in 2015!
*This subscription currently includes 2 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
THIS OFFER IS AVAILABLE ONLY UPON THE ICEMAN'S WRITTEN APPROVAL.
*This subscription currently includes 4 picks (2 NFL, 2 NCAA-F) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
You'll learn how the pros make a living via sports betting with EVERY PLAY released over the next 365 days. We are so sure we'll profit that we GUARANTEE it!
*This subscription currently includes 4 picks (2 NFL, 2 NCAA-F) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
PULVERIZING THE PIGSKIN ~ 80% WINNERS CFL 2015!
He's recognized as one of the sharpest football handicappers on the planet, and his abilities were on full display last season (11-3 OVERALL). Subscribe to all his 2018 season plays RIGHT NOW ... and you too could start PULVERIZING THE PIGSKIN!
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF...
+$19,446 Premium NCAAF Picks Since Jan 1, 2016.
+$20,802 Premium NCAAF Picks Since Jan 1, 2015.
+$28,308 Premium NCAAF Picks Since Jan 1, 2013.
*This subscription currently includes 2 NCAA-F picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
**2x Top 10 CBB handicapper!**
Currently on a 116-93 CBB run since 12/29/17.
This subscription includes EVERY CBB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
This subscription includes EVERY NHL PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the Stanley Cup! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
**Top 10 NBA handicapper in 2016**
Now on a 9-7 run with my last 16 and 154-132 run with my last 289 NBA picks!
This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF...
+$17,655 with NBA Premium Picks since 1/1/17.
+$32,705 with NBA Premium Picks since 1/1/16.
+$36,773 with NBA Premium Picks since 1/12/15.
IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN PERFECT!
The Iceman's PERFECT 5-0 Super Bowl LII card featured a play on the total, as well as a handful of player performance props. He's made a small fortune exploiting weak lines in the props and futures markets, and he sees INCREDIBLE value with one particular team to win next year's Super Bowl.
*This subscription currently includes 2 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Free picks
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The Notre Dame Irish have been cruising through a rather average schedule, and they are currently ranked #3 overall with their sights set on the College Football Playoffs. Standing in their way are the #13 ranked Syracuse Orange, who have lost two games by an average margin of 5.5 points. Their loss to Clemson by a score of 27-23 is more impressive than most of Notre Dame's wins. This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I'll take the points with Syracuse. Take CUSE. GL,
Jesse Schule
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs Bears | UNDER 45½ -115 | Premium | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | Show |
| Dolphins vs Packers | Packers -9½ -107 | Top Premium | 12-31 | Win | 100 | Show |
| BC vs Hamilton | UNDER 52 -108 | Top Premium | 8-48 | Loss | -108 | Show |
| Seahawks vs Rams | Seahawks +11½ -130 | Premium | 31-36 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Bills vs Jets | Bills +9½ -125 | Premium | 41-10 | Win | 100 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
GL,
Jesse Schule
The Dukes were 16-16 overall last season, and finished near the bottom of the Atlantic 10. They are off to a good start here in 2018, crushing William and Mary in their season opener by a score of 84-70. They will look to keep the ball rolling here in the Gotham Classic, hosting Illinois-Chicago. The Dukes shot 52.5 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from beyond the arc against the Tribe, while the Flames have shot just 43 percent from the field in back to back losses so far. The Dukes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they were 13-6 at home last season. They have done well in recent games against teams from the Horizon league, covering the spread in six of their last seven such contests. I'll take the home favorite here.
Take DUQ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Sean Higgs | $1,674 |
| Matt Fargo | $1,247 |
| Art Aronson | $598 |
| Sean Murphy | $593 |
| Jesse Schule | $529 |
| Dave Price | $519 |
| Zack Cimini | $448 |
| Marc David | $302 |
| Ben Burns | $237 |
| Big Al McMordie | $212 |
FireFan
Recent Articles
