Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview September 15, 2016
Houston Cougars (2-0) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (2-0) Game Preview
Spread: Houston -7.5 (5dimes)
Total: N/A
Kickoff: 7:30 pm ET
Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati OH.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
PREVIEW: The Cougars are sitting sixth in the AP Top 25 rankings after winning their first two games of the 2016 season. This team is heavily favored to win the AAC, and one of the few teams that could possibly stand in their way is Cincinnati. The Bearcats pushed the Cougars to the brink in Houston last year, but came up short losing 33-30. Gunner Kiel threw for a career high 523 yards and four TDs in that game, but he’s since passed the torch to sophomore Hayden Moore. The Cougars didn’t have starting quarterback Greg Ward Jr. last week, and backup Kyle Postma didn’t look all that sharp. Postma threw for 125 yards and an INT on 14-of-25 passing versus lowly Lamar. He did run for over 100 yards and a pair of TDs, but the Cougars will hope to have their starter back for this big divisional game. Houston is favored to win by more than a touchdown, despite the fact that it has failed to cover in each of the last four meetings between the two teams. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis, 75 percent of bettors are backing Houston.
Previous Meetings:
11/07/15: Cincinnati 30 @ Houston 33
12/06/14: Houston 31 @ Cincinnati 38
11/23/13: Cincinnati 24 @ Houston 17
Trends:
– The Cougars are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.
– The Bearcats have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games.
– The Bearcats are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games.
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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