The Iceman’s Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
If you’re betting on Major League Baseball, paying attention to split stats is an absolute must. Even the best players in the game have their weaknesses, and there may be situations when the overall numbers are misleading. For example, certain pitchers are better at night than they are in the day, or vice versa. While it’s more common for pitchers to have better numbers at home, there are some that have proven to be far better on the road. Today we will take a look at some of the most dramatic splits for pitchers over the first three months of the 2017 season.
1. Best Bet At Home – Jhoulys Chacin, San Diego Padres (4-1, 1.72 ERA in seven starts at PETCO)
With an overall record of 6-5, 5.10 ERA, there isn’t a lot of hype surrounding the right-hander. His numbers on the road are downright ugly, going 2-4 with a 10.27 ERA in seven starts. The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring, so Chacin may not be able to count on getting enough run support. Even though they have one of the worst records in the majors, they are just one game below .500 at home. Depending on the situation, you should be able to bet the Padres as a dog or a small favorite when Chacin pitches at PETCO.
2. Best Bet On The Road – Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (5-0, 2.89 ERA in seven starts on the road)
The Braves ace has struggled in Atlanta’s new ballpark, going 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA in seven home starts. He hasn’t yet lost on the road this season, and the Braves were a significant underdog in most of those games. The Braves actually have a better record (16-19) on the road than they do at home (13-17).
3: Best Bet In Day Games – Ivan Nova, Pittsburgh Pirates (5-1, 2.89 ERA in seven starts in day games)
The veteran right-hander has had a solid season for the Bucs, and he’s pitched well overall going 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 13 starts. His ERA is actually slightly lower when pitching at night, but he hasn’t been picking up wins, with a record of 1-3 in six starts. This will likely even out, and is probably a result of poor run support.
4: Best Bet At Night – Antonio Senzatela, Colorado Rockies (5-1, 2.75 ERA in six starts under the lights)
The rookie has quietly been one of the best in the majors so far this season, and what’s most impressive is that the majority of his starts have come at hitter friendly Coors Field. He’s a major reason why the Rockies are tied with the Dodgers at the top of the Division.
5: Best Bet First Time Through The Lineup – James Paxton, Seattle Mariners (0.84 ERA)
The Mariners southpaw is 5-1 with a 2.25 ERA in nine starts so far this season. He’s been one of the best in the majors posting an 0.84 ERA his first time through the lineup. This stat could prove to be useful for betting the first 5 innings when Paxton starts for the Mariners.
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
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This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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