The Iceman’s Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
If you’re betting on Major League Baseball, paying attention to split stats is an absolute must. Even the best players in the game have their weaknesses, and there may be situations when the overall numbers are misleading. For example, certain pitchers are better at night than they are in the day, or vice versa. While it’s more common for pitchers to have better numbers at home, there are some that have proven to be far better on the road. Today we will take a look at some of the most dramatic splits for pitchers over the first three months of the 2017 season.
1. Best Bet At Home – Jhoulys Chacin, San Diego Padres (4-1, 1.72 ERA in seven starts at PETCO)
With an overall record of 6-5, 5.10 ERA, there isn’t a lot of hype surrounding the right-hander. His numbers on the road are downright ugly, going 2-4 with a 10.27 ERA in seven starts. The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring, so Chacin may not be able to count on getting enough run support. Even though they have one of the worst records in the majors, they are just one game below .500 at home. Depending on the situation, you should be able to bet the Padres as a dog or a small favorite when Chacin pitches at PETCO.
2. Best Bet On The Road – Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (5-0, 2.89 ERA in seven starts on the road)
The Braves ace has struggled in Atlanta’s new ballpark, going 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA in seven home starts. He hasn’t yet lost on the road this season, and the Braves were a significant underdog in most of those games. The Braves actually have a better record (16-19) on the road than they do at home (13-17).
3: Best Bet In Day Games – Ivan Nova, Pittsburgh Pirates (5-1, 2.89 ERA in seven starts in day games)
The veteran right-hander has had a solid season for the Bucs, and he’s pitched well overall going 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 13 starts. His ERA is actually slightly lower when pitching at night, but he hasn’t been picking up wins, with a record of 1-3 in six starts. This will likely even out, and is probably a result of poor run support.
4: Best Bet At Night – Antonio Senzatela, Colorado Rockies (5-1, 2.75 ERA in six starts under the lights)
The rookie has quietly been one of the best in the majors so far this season, and what’s most impressive is that the majority of his starts have come at hitter friendly Coors Field. He’s a major reason why the Rockies are tied with the Dodgers at the top of the Division.
5: Best Bet First Time Through The Lineup – James Paxton, Seattle Mariners (0.84 ERA)
The Mariners southpaw is 5-1 with a 2.25 ERA in nine starts so far this season. He’s been one of the best in the majors posting an 0.84 ERA his first time through the lineup. This stat could prove to be useful for betting the first 5 innings when Paxton starts for the Mariners.
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Free picks
This is a free play on over.
The Mariners won two of three in a home series versus Houston, and they have been better than expected so far this season. They come into Game 1 of a home series versus the Dodgers sitting in first place in the AL West.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Dustin May, who is coming off a no decision versus Colorado. He's been solid in both his appearances this season, but wasn't able to pitch the full five innings to qualify for a win in his last start.
The Mariners hand the ball to Justus Sheffield, who hasn't been that impressive so far. He's allowed eight runs on 11 hits in 11 innings of work in two appearances.
The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings, and they have gone over in six of the last seven at Seattle.
GL,
Jesse Schule
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is an 8* play in under.
The White Sox have won two of three in this series at Fenway, and two of those three games went under. I expect another pitcher's duel in the series finale on Monday.
Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a flawless performance. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out eight in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out.
The Red Sox hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who is also having an outstanding season so far. Eovaldi (2-1, 2.08 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win at Minnesota his last time out.
The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
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- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
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