The Iceman’s Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
Top 5 MLB “Jekyll & Hyde” Pitchers of 2017
If you’re betting on Major League Baseball, paying attention to split stats is an absolute must. Even the best players in the game have their weaknesses, and there may be situations when the overall numbers are misleading. For example, certain pitchers are better at night than they are in the day, or vice versa. While it’s more common for pitchers to have better numbers at home, there are some that have proven to be far better on the road. Today we will take a look at some of the most dramatic splits for pitchers over the first three months of the 2017 season.
1. Best Bet At Home – Jhoulys Chacin, San Diego Padres (4-1, 1.72 ERA in seven starts at PETCO)
With an overall record of 6-5, 5.10 ERA, there isn’t a lot of hype surrounding the right-hander. His numbers on the road are downright ugly, going 2-4 with a 10.27 ERA in seven starts. The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring, so Chacin may not be able to count on getting enough run support. Even though they have one of the worst records in the majors, they are just one game below .500 at home. Depending on the situation, you should be able to bet the Padres as a dog or a small favorite when Chacin pitches at PETCO.
2. Best Bet On The Road – Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (5-0, 2.89 ERA in seven starts on the road)
The Braves ace has struggled in Atlanta’s new ballpark, going 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA in seven home starts. He hasn’t yet lost on the road this season, and the Braves were a significant underdog in most of those games. The Braves actually have a better record (16-19) on the road than they do at home (13-17).
3: Best Bet In Day Games – Ivan Nova, Pittsburgh Pirates (5-1, 2.89 ERA in seven starts in day games)
The veteran right-hander has had a solid season for the Bucs, and he’s pitched well overall going 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 13 starts. His ERA is actually slightly lower when pitching at night, but he hasn’t been picking up wins, with a record of 1-3 in six starts. This will likely even out, and is probably a result of poor run support.
4: Best Bet At Night – Antonio Senzatela, Colorado Rockies (5-1, 2.75 ERA in six starts under the lights)
The rookie has quietly been one of the best in the majors so far this season, and what’s most impressive is that the majority of his starts have come at hitter friendly Coors Field. He’s a major reason why the Rockies are tied with the Dodgers at the top of the Division.
5: Best Bet First Time Through The Lineup – James Paxton, Seattle Mariners (0.84 ERA)
The Mariners southpaw is 5-1 with a 2.25 ERA in nine starts so far this season. He’s been one of the best in the majors posting an 0.84 ERA his first time through the lineup. This stat could prove to be useful for betting the first 5 innings when Paxton starts for the Mariners.
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This is an 8* play on Toronto.
The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa.
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Jesse Schule
5*
This is an 8* play on Over.
Game 5 will feature the same pitching matchup as Game 1, and here is what I said prior to that game:
"Chris Sale will toe the slab for Boston, and he hasn't been himself since his return from injury. He was lit up for five runs in just one inning in his only appearance in the ALDS versus Tampa Bay. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who was 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season."
The over is 18-6-2 in Red Sox last 26 playoff home games.
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Jesse Schule
5*
This is a 5* play on MUTD.
Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest.
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Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Matt Fargo | $1,022 |
| Art Aronson | $495 |
| Ricky Tran | $474 |
| Alex Smart | $354 |
| Stephen Nover | $345 |
| Ray Monohan | $310 |
| Marc David | $306 |
| Tim Michael | $304 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $297 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $271 |
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