Lions vs. Seahawks Betting Odds 01/07/17 – NFC Wild Card Game Preview
Detroit Lions (9-7) vs. Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) Betting Odds
Line/Odds: Seattle -8 (5dimes)
Total: 43
Time: 8:15 pm ET
Location: Century Link Field, Seattle WA.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Betting Preview
The Lions have lost their last three games as they start their post season play. Their defense gave up 73 points total in their last two games after not allowing an opponent to score more than 20 points in any of their previous eight games. That stretch also included a five game winning streak where they were led by quarterback Matt Stafford who passed for over 4300 yards and threw 24 touchdowns this season.
The Lions had a chance to win their division and home field advantage but lost their final game to Green Bay last week. Stafford injured a finger on his throwing hand which might explain why he only threw three touchdowns with five interceptions over their last four games which resulted Detroit not scoring more than 24 points in any of those games.
Seattle is also having problems finishing the season 3-3 over their last six games and not winning two straight games since mid November. Their defense was strong for most of the year and were ranked fifth overall giving up just 18.3 points a game but gave up 72 points total in their last two losses. Their offense was led by quarterback Russell Wilson who threw 21 touchdowns and passed for over 4200 yards but Seattle only managed to score an average of 22.1 points a game.
The oddsmakers have made the Seahawks an eight point favorite and set the total at 43. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 61% of the public think that is too many points to give Detroit despite the Seahawks 7-1 home record while 58% believe the offenses will control the game and are behind the over.
The home team has won seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
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Previous Meetings
10/05/15: Lions 10 @ Seahawks 13
10/28/12: Seahawks 24 @ Lions 28
11/08/09: Lions 20 @ Seahawks 32
Trends
- The home team has covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
- The under is 8-2 in the Lions last 10 games overall
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in four of their last five home games
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Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5.
The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays.
Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings.
The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts.
Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5.
Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series.
Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season.
The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings.
The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5.
It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field."
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Alex Smart | $786 |
| Trev Rogers | $783 |
| Steve Janus | $747 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $546 |
| Doc's Sports | $486 |
| Dave Price | $407 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $392 |
| Ben Burns | $290 |
| Mike Lundin | $243 |
| Marc David | $211 |
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