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Memphis vs. Western Kentucky Betting Preview 12/20/16 Boca Raton Bowl

December 18th, 2016

Memphis Tigers (8-4) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-3) Betting Preview


Line/Odds: Western Kentucky -5 (5dimes)
Total: 79
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Location: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton FL.
Television Broadcast: ESPN


Betting Preview

Two of college football’s best quarterbacks and offenses face off in the Boca Raton Bowl. Memphis finished the season with a big win over Houston with quarterback Riley Ferguson leading an offense that gained over 550 total yards as he threw for over 400 yards and four touchdowns in the game. He is ranked 18th in the country, throwing for over 3300 yards and 28 touchdowns this season as he led the 17th ranked offense that averaged over 460 total yards and scored 39.5 points per game. They won three of their last four games and scored at least 42 .points in three of them. They have had some bad games defensively and gave up at least 42 points in their last three losses of the year.

The Hilltoppers are another great offense and maybe even better. Quarterback Mike White who is ranked fifth in the country threw for over 4000 yards and 34 touchdowns this season. He led an offense that averaged over 500 yards and 45 points a game and over their last nine games that jumped to 52 points a game. He is ranked second nationally with an average of 10.4 yards per completion. They finished the season strong winning their last seven games while their defense held three of their last five opponents to to 10 points or less.

According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 58% of the public think the Hilltoppers are the better team and are backing Western Kentucky, while not surprisingly 61% are pretty sure the total will go over with these two high scoring offenses.

In seven of both of these team’s last 10 games, the total went over.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available