Miami Beach Bowl Tulsa vs. Central Michigan Betting Preview 12/19/16

December 18th, 2016

Tulsa Chippewas (9-3) vs. Central Michigan Golden Hurricane (6-6) Betting Preview

Line/Odds: Tulsa -12.5 (5dimes)
Total: 69
Time: 2:30 pm ET
Location: Marlins Park, Miami, FL.
Television Broadcast: ESPN

Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was 29 years ago. The only reason the Chippewas are here is because of a controversial win over Oklahoma State. The officials made a mistake by giving them an extra untimed down with no time left on the clock and they scored on that last play of the game to win. They come into this game having lost four of their last five regular season games while finishing fifth in their division out of six teams.

The Chippewas are ranked 75th in the country in total offense and score 27.7 points a game. Their defense is ranked 39th giving up an average of 28.3 points a game but dropped six of their last nine while giving up at least 34 points in five of those games.

Tulsa finished the regular season winning five of their last six games and doing it with their high scoring offense that averages over 520 yards a game. They scored at least 40 points in those wins and are ranked 11th nationally averaging over 41 points a game.

The Golden Hurricane are led by quarterback Dane Evans who has thrown for over 3000 yards and 27 touchdowns. They also have an exceptional running back in James Flanders who is ranked ninth in the country with over 1500 yards and 17 touchdowns which is seventh best nationally.

The oddsmakers opened with Tulsa as an 11 point favorite but has since been bet up to 12.5 and they set the total at 69. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 60% of the public believe Tulsa’s offense can’t be stopped and are behind the Golden Hurricane while 61% think points will be a dime a dozen and are backing the over.

In Tulsa’s last 10 games of the regular season the total went over in eight times.

Previous Meetings

10/17/87: Golden Hurricane 18 @ Chippewas 41
10/18/86: Chippewas 6 @ Golden Hurricane 42

Trends

The Golden Hurricane have covered the spread in six of their last seven games overall
The Chippewas have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games overall.
The under is 6-1 in the Golden Hurricane’s last seven neutral site games

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Jesse Schule

HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF... +$2,017 March 2019 (74-51 Overall) +$10,368 March 2018 (85-53 Overall) +$6,007 March 2017 (63-49 Overall) +$17,533 March 2016 (72-40 Overall)

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Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Heat vs Celtics	UNDER 209½ -108	Premium	106-101	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Under. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1." A late collapse by the Celtics allowed the Heat to force OT, and the total went well over. I expect a tighter defensive game here in Game 2. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
Cardinals vs Pirates	Cardinals -158	Premium	1-5	Loss	-158	Show
This is an 8* play on the Cardinals. With a win today in Pittsburgh, the Cardinals can get back to .500 on the season. The starting pitching matchup certainly favors St. Louis. Dakota Hudson will toe the slab for the Cardinals, and he's been on a good run. The right-hander has appeared in four straight wins, allowing two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Pittsburgh will hand the ball to Steven Brault, who has trended in the opposite direction. Four of his last five appearances have been losses for the Pirates, and he's allowed three or more runs in three of his last four starts. The Pirates have hit a combined .199 over 63 at bats in previous meetings versus Hudson. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule
Bengals vs Browns	Browns -6 -102	Premium	30-35	Loss	-102	Show
This is an 8* play on the Browns. Those of you who have followed my predicitions in the past are likely familiar with the saying "History Repeats Itself". We saw evidence of that being the case in Week 1, when the Browns lost by 30+ points on the road at Baltimore. They had lost in Week 1 last year by 30 points at home versus Tennessee. They came back the next week and beat the Jets by a score of 23-3, and I am expecting a similar bounce back here at home against the Bengals. Joe Burrow showed some promise in a Week 1 loss to LA, but he also showed that he's still a rookie. He threw for 193 yards and a pick on 23-of-36 passing. Joe Mixon ran for a rather pedestrian 69 yards on 19 carries. That isn't going to cut it on the road in Cleveland, against a team with significantly more offensive weapons than the Chargers team they faced just four days ago. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule

Miami Beach Bowl Tulsa vs. Central Michigan Betting Preview 12/19/16

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