Miami Beach Bowl Tulsa vs. Central Michigan Betting Preview 12/19/16
Tulsa Chippewas (9-3) vs. Central Michigan Golden Hurricane (6-6) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Tulsa -12.5 (5dimes)
Total: 69
Time: 2:30 pm ET
Location: Marlins Park, Miami, FL.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played each other was 29 years ago. The only reason the Chippewas are here is because of a controversial win over Oklahoma State. The officials made a mistake by giving them an extra untimed down with no time left on the clock and they scored on that last play of the game to win. They come into this game having lost four of their last five regular season games while finishing fifth in their division out of six teams.
The Chippewas are ranked 75th in the country in total offense and score 27.7 points a game. Their defense is ranked 39th giving up an average of 28.3 points a game but dropped six of their last nine while giving up at least 34 points in five of those games.
Tulsa finished the regular season winning five of their last six games and doing it with their high scoring offense that averages over 520 yards a game. They scored at least 40 points in those wins and are ranked 11th nationally averaging over 41 points a game.
The Golden Hurricane are led by quarterback Dane Evans who has thrown for over 3000 yards and 27 touchdowns. They also have an exceptional running back in James Flanders who is ranked ninth in the country with over 1500 yards and 17 touchdowns which is seventh best nationally.
The oddsmakers opened with Tulsa as an 11 point favorite but has since been bet up to 12.5 and they set the total at 69. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 60% of the public believe Tulsa’s offense can’t be stopped and are behind the Golden Hurricane while 61% think points will be a dime a dozen and are backing the over.
In Tulsa’s last 10 games of the regular season the total went over in eight times.
Previous Meetings
10/17/87: Golden Hurricane 18 @ Chippewas 41
10/18/86: Chippewas 6 @ Golden Hurricane 42
Trends
- The Golden Hurricane have covered the spread in six of their last seven games overall
- The Chippewas have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games overall.
- The under is 6-1 in the Golden Hurricane’s last seven neutral site games
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
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