Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview September 29, 2016

Miami Dolphins (1-2) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) Preview


Spread: Bengals -6.5 (5dimes)
Total: 44
Kickoff: 8:25 pm ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati OH.
Television Broadcast: ESPN

Preview

The Dolphins got in the win column in Week 3, but it’s tough to be too impressed with an overtime victory over the Browns. Ryan Tannehill threw for 319 yards and three TDs, but he was picked off twice, with one of those interceptions returned for a TD. The Browns had an edge in total yards (430-426), as well as time of possession (37:22-29:12). Needless to say, Miami will need to be better to have any hope of upsetting the Bengals in Cincinnati. Early signs are that the public is backing the Bengals, with 62 percent of bettors backing Cincinnati according to Covers.com Consensus Analysis. History favors the Dolphins, who have covered the spread in each of their last four visits to Paul Brown Stadium. History also suggests this could be a low scoring game, as the Dolphins have trended under at a rate of 7-0-1 in their last eight appearances on Thursday Night Football. Cincinnati is also riding several under trends, including six straight unders versus sub .500 opponents.
 

Previous Meetings

10/27/13: Bengals 20 @ Dolphins 22
10/07/12: Dolphins 17 @ Bengals 13
10/31/10: Dolphins 22 @ Bengals 14
 

Trends

  • The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games at Cincinnati.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings.
  • The under is 10-4 in Cincinnati’s last 14 overall.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available