Michigan vs. Ohio State Betting Preview 11/26/16 – Odds & TV
Betting Preview
The top two teams in the Big 10 east face off when these teams play on Saturday. Both are 7-1 in conference and 10-1 overall and the similarities don’t end there. The offenses for both teams average over 450 total yards a game with Michigan averaging 42.3 points a game and Ohio State averaging 43.8 points a game.
They are two of the best defensive teams in the country with Michigan ranked first and the Buckeyes ranked fifth. The Wolverines give up an average of 10.9 points a game and have held eight teams to 14 points or less scoring while Ohio State gives up an average of 13 points a game and have held seven teams to 20 points or less scoring.
The Wolverine quarterback Wilton Speight missed the last game as the Wolverines scored 20 points in the win and is questionable for this game. The offense has sputtered lately as they only scored 13 points in their prior game where they suffered their only loss 14-13 to Iowa.
The Buckeyes have won four straight games since their only loss to Penn State but were held to 17 points last week on the road against Michigan St. It was their lowest scoring game of the year. The oddsmakers have made the Buckeyes a 6.5 point favorite at home and set the total at 45.5.
According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 59% of the public like the Wolverines as a dog and are backing Michigan while the total is split down the middle 50%-50%.
The Buckeyes have won nine of the last 10 meetings between these schools and four of the last five games went over the total.
Previous Meetings
11/28/15: Buckeyes 42 @ Wolverines 13
11/29/14: Wolverines 28 @ Buckeyes 42
11/30/13: Buckeyes 42 @ Wolverines 41
Trends
- The Wolverines have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last nine meetings
- The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings
- The Buckeyes have covered the spread in five of their last seven home games
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This is a 5* play on Over.
Game 1 went way under the total of 231.5, and the opening number for Game 2 was 225.5. That has been bet down even further to 220.5. I think this is an over-correction. While we know scoring is down in the playoffs, and unders have cashed at a phenomenal rate so far, let's not forget who the Pacers are. They led the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per game, almost three points per game more than #2 Boston. The ranked second in the league in possessions per game behind the Washington Wizards. Prior to Game 1, the Pacers last game at Milwaukee had a total of 262. Four of five regular season meetings saw totals of 250 or higher. The Pacers had scored 119 or more points in nine straight versus Milwaukee before Game 1.
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