Monmouth Hawks vs Rider Broncs Free Pick January 29, 2018 – Jesse Schule
Monmouth Hawks vs Rider Broncs Free Pick January 29, 2018
The Rider Broncs sit in first place in the MAAC, but they haven’t really played like a first place team lately. While they have won four straight, all four of those games came against last place teams (St. Peters, Fairfield and Marist are all tied with a 2-7 conference record). All four of those wins came by four points or fewer, and only two of their eight conference wins come against teams with a winning record, and none of those were teams in the top four. Monmouth has had a far more challenging schedule, and four of their five losses in conference play have come against teams with a winning record. Three of those losses came in games decided by three points or less. The Hawks have also been without their leading scorer in four of their last nine games. Micah Seaborn played just 13 minutes on Saturday, scoring 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting. The junior guard is expected to be in the lineup for tonight’s game. Monmouth has won three straight at Rider, including a 74-69 win last February. The underdog has covered in five of the last seven meetings between these two teams, and I think the smart play is to take the points here tonight.
Take MONM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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This is a free play on Over 2.5.
After Bremen and Heidenheimer played a scoreless draw in the first leg of this relegation/promotion playoff, perhaps we see a bit of recency bias at play in the second leg. The total is taking back plus money betting the over 2.5, which seems like a bargain in a match that could be decided on away goals. While neither team scored in the fist leg, the previous two head to head meetings saw a combined eight goals. Bremen scored six goals the last time they were faced with a must win game, and I very much doubt they will be held off the score sheet in this match.
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