NCAAF Exposing The Top 25 – Pre-Season 2016
Most Underrated Top 25 Team – Ole Miss Rebels (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS)
The Rebels are coming off a 10-win season that saw them upset Alabama for the second straight year. They crushed Oklahoma State by score of 48-20 in the Sugar Bowl, and Chad Kelly threw for 302 yards with four TDs and one INT on 21-of-33 passing in the victory. Kelly led the SEC in passing last season, and he threw a conference best 31 TD passes. He wasn’t exactly padding his stats against weak opposition either, as his best games came against Alabama and LSU.
Mississippi will open the season playing four of their first games at home. It’s biggest challenge will be mid September clash against Alabama, who they beat 43-37 in Tuscaloosa last year, and 23-17 in Oxford in 2014. The Crimson Tide have to replace a lot of talent from last year’s championship squad, and if they stumble it could open the door for the Rebels to emerge as the team to beat in the SEC.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team – Notre Dame Irish (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS)
The Irish won 10 games in 2015, but they were just 2-3 versus ranked teams. Their two wins versus Top 25 teams came against Georgia Tech and Temple, who are both unranked heading into 2016. If the Irish are going to reach double digit wins this year, they are going to have to earn it. They face the Longhorns in Texas in Week 1, and they have tough home game against Michigan State two weeks later. They host Stanford and Miami in October, and in November they host Virginia Tech before traveling to California to face USC in their season finale.
Notre Dame only returns eight starters on both sides of the ball, and while they have a pair of talented quarterbacks, they have to replace star WR Will Fuller. The losses on defense include linebackers Jaylon Smith and Joe Schmidt, tackle Sheldon Day, end Romeo Okwara, cornerback KeiVarae Russell and strong safety Elijah Shumate. This team has no business being ranked in the Top 10.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Texas A&M Aggies (8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS)
The Aggies have won their first five games in each of the last two seasons, but have fallen apart against the top teams in the conference in October and November. Last year they held opponents under 30 points in all but one of their games, with the exception a 41-23 loss at Alabama. The defense that allowed 21.6 points per game in 2015 should be even better with Myles Garrett and Daeshon Hall looking to improve on last season’s total of 19/5 sacks combined.
Trevor Knight gives them some much needed experience at quarterback, and he’ll have one of the top receiving corps in the conference. If Knight can re-discover the magic that saw him throw for 348 yards and four TDs in a 45-31 win over Alabama in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, the Aggies will be a force to be reckoned with.
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 4* play on the Padres.
A strong finish will be too little, too late for the Padres, but they look to wrap up with a win in Chicago in their final game of the season. They come in as winners of 13 of their last 15 overall.
Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't pitched in a win this season. Urena is 0-3 with a 5.31 ERA in his time with Chicago, and his team has lost in every one of his 13 appearances this season.
The Padres hand the ball to 26 year old Pedro Avila, who is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 13 appearances.
The Friars bats have been hot at the end of the year.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on BUF.
The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on CLE.
The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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| Service | Profit |
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| Dana Lane | $1,479 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $1,196 |
| Jeff Alexander | $840 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $728 |
| John Ryan | $654 |
| Dan Kaiser | $651 |
| Ricky Tran | $650 |
| Will Rogers | $496 |
| Rocky Atkinson | $321 |
| Nick Parsons | $314 |
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