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New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Preview October 9, 2016

October 9th, 2016

New England Patriots (3-1) vs. Cleveland Browns (0-4) Preview


Spread:  New England -10.5 (5dimes)
Total: 46.5
Kickoff: 1:00 pm ET
Location: First Enedrgy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Television Broadcast: CBS

Preview

Life without Brady wasn’t so bad for New England who went 3-1 in his absence. Garappolo was tested the very first game and led them to a victory against Arizona on the road. They won their next two games before suffering their first loss of the season last week versus Buffalo. Even when Garoppalo was hurt 3rd string quarterback Jacoby Brissett filled in against a tough defensive Houston club but the Patriots won with defense and forced TO’s. They couldn’t solve Buffalo’s defense and had just 13 first downs all game. Cleveland has blown leads in three of their four losses, and it’s defense has allowed a whopping 28.8 points per game. They used three different starting QB’s in three different games but had the same result. They gave up 14 points in the fourth quarter in last week’s loss to Washington, and they committed three turnovers in the game. It’s not surprising that with the return of Brady, the public is lining up to bet on the Patriots. The bookmakers have adjusted the line several points since it opened, but According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 65 % of bettors are backing New England, and roughly the same are betting over 46.5.
 

Previous Meetings

12/08/13: Browns 26 @ Patriots 27
11/07/10: Patriots 14 @ Browns 34
10/07/07: Browns 17 @ Patriots 34
 

Trends

  • The home Team is 5-2 ATS in last seven meetings.
  • The over is 4-0 in last four meetings.
  • The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available