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New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Preview September 18, 2016

September 14th, 2016

New York Jets (0-1) vs. Buffalo Bills (0-1) Game Preview

Spread: Buffalo -2.5 (5dimes)

Total: 40.5

Kickoff: 8:25 pm ET

Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo NY.

Television Broadcast: CBS

PREVIEW:
The Bills couldn’t get anything going on offense in a 13-7 loss at Baltimore in Week 1, gaining just 160 total yards. They host the Jets this week, and Buffalo has dominated this series in recent seasons. The Bills have won five straight in this series, and they covered the spread in all five of those victories. Rex Ryan has a long history of success against New York’s starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, dating back to when Ryan was coaching the Jets, and Fitzpatrick was starting for the Bills. The numbers aren’t pretty if you’re a Jets fan. Fitzpatrick has started 12 games against Ryan, and he’s completed just 47.3 percent of his passes, throwing for 16 TDs and 12 INTs. He was brutal when the Jets lost at Buffalo 22-17 in the final game of last season, throwing for 181 yards on 16-of-37 passing, with a pair of TDs and three INTs. Despite the history, the public is backing the Jets to the tune of almost 60 percent according to Covers.com Consensus Analysis.

 

Previous Meetings:
01/03/16: New York 17 @ Buffalo 22
11/12/15: Buffalo 22 @ New York 17
11/24/14: New York 3 @ Buffalo 38

 

Trends:

– The Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus Buffalo.

– The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games at Buffalo.

– The under is 4-1 in Buffalo’s last five home games versus New York.


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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available