North Carolina vs Virginia Tech Free Pick January 22, 2018 – Jesse Schule
North Carolina vs Virginia Tech Free Pick January 22, 2018
The defending champion Tar Heels got off to a slow start, losing two of their first three games in the ACC. Both those losses came on the road against ranked teams (Virginia and Florida State). They will play at Virginia Tech tonight, and they won here by a score of 75-70 in 2016, failing to cover as a 12.5 point road favorite. The Tar Heels have won seven straight in this series, however they only covered the spread in two of those games. They are a much shorter favorite tonight than they had been in any of those prior seven meetings. The Hokies are just 2-4 in the ACC, with home losses to Virginia and FSU. They have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. History tells us that the underdog has been a good bet in this series, but with such a short line I think the smart money is still on the road favorite. It’s not uncommon to see a one-possession game turn into three possession game in the final minute when the team trailing starts to foul. If that happens here then the Tar Heels are in great shape. Joel Berry and Cameron Johnson are among the league leaders in free throw percentage, and between them they are 27-of-30 over their last five games. The Hokies shot just 8-of-15 from the free throw line in a 91-82 home loss to the Seminoles on Saturday.
Take UNC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 4* play on MIN.
Houston will be the favorite with a rookie pitcher on the mound in Game 1, but I like the Twins as the underdog.
J.P. France makes just his second start in Houston, and in his home debut he allowed six runs on nine hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings versus the Cubs.
The Twins hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who hasn't lost yet this season. He's 4-0 with a 1.82 ERA and a WHIP of 1.20.
The Twins are 8-2 ATS in Gray's 10 starts this season.
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Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on BAL.
The Orioles have picked up right where they left off last year, and they are in second in the AL East four games behind Tampa.
Tyler Wells will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA in five home starts. He's facing a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in MLB in runs scored.
The Guardians will hand the ball to Logan Allen, who boasts an ERA of 3.31. Don't let that fool you though, he's allowed at least eight base runners in each of his last four starts, and owns a WHIP of 1.44.
The Guardians are 1-7 in their last eight road games.
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Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on Texas.
The Rangers have won 12 of their last 17 overall, and they still sit in first place in the AL West. They appear to have a favorable matchup in Game 1 in Detroit.
Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been dealing in 2023. He went the distance in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start, and he's 4-1 with a 1.66 ERA in six road starts.
The Tigers hand the ball to Matthew Boyd, who has struggled at home. He's 0-3 with an 8.64 ERA in four home starts. He failed to make it out of the second inning, getting torched for six runs in a loss to Seattle in his last start in Detroit.
The Rangers are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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