North Carolina vs Virginia Tech Free Pick January 22, 2018 – Jesse Schule

January 22nd, 2018

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech Free Pick January 22, 2018

The defending champion Tar Heels got off to a slow start, losing two of their first three games in the ACC. Both those losses came on the road against ranked teams (Virginia and Florida State). They will play at Virginia Tech tonight, and they won here by a score of 75-70 in 2016, failing to cover as a 12.5 point road favorite. The Tar Heels have won seven straight in this series, however they only covered the spread in two of those games. They are a much shorter favorite tonight than they had been in any of those prior seven meetings. The Hokies are just 2-4 in the ACC, with home losses to Virginia and FSU. They have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. History tells us that the underdog has been a good bet in this series, but with such a short line I think the smart money is still on the road favorite. It’s not uncommon to see a one-possession game turn into three possession game in the final minute when the team trailing starts to foul. If that happens here then the Tar Heels are in great shape. Joel Berry and Cameron Johnson are among the league leaders in free throw percentage, and between them they are 27-of-30 over their last five games. The Hokies shot just 8-of-15 from the free throw line in a 91-82 home loss to the Seminoles on Saturday.

Take UNC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -159	Premium	81-82	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
Oregon vs Arizona	OVER 139½ -110	Top Premium	73-72	Win	100	Show
10*
76ers vs Bucks	Bucks -8½ -106	Premium	98-119	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
Aston Villa vs Southampton	Southampton -141	Premium	0-2	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on Southampton. One of the reasons that Aston Villa is flirting with relegation is due to their shoddy play on defense. They have conceded a Premier League worst 50 goals this season. To be fair, Southampton hasn't been a lot better in that regard, conceding a whopping 48 goals of their own. Villa is coming off a terrible home loss to Tottenham, conceding the game winning goal in injury time. They are just 2-2-9 this season in 13 away matches. Southampton has out-scored Villa a combined 15-6 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches. Take SAINTS. GL, Jesse Schule
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Sheffield United	UNDER 2½ -145	Premium	1-1	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on Under 2.5. The news that Manchester City will be banned from Champions League play next season has opened the door for some teams to climb up into a Champions League spot. One of those teams is Sheffield United, who currently sit in sixth in the table just one point back of Tottenham. Sheffield has allowed just 24 goals in 26 matches this season, only Liverpool has conceded fewer goals. They will host Brighton, and two of the last three meetings between these teams have finished with a 1-0 score. Brighton is 2-3-8 in 13 away matches, scoring just 14 goals in those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
Aston Villa vs Southampton	OVER 2¾ -132	Premium	0-2	Loss	-132	Show
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. One of the reasons that Aston Villa is flirting with relegation is due to their shoddy play on defense. They have conceded a Premier League worst 50 goals this season. To be fair, Southampton hasn't been a lot better in that regard, conceding a whopping 48 goals of their own. Villa is coming off a terrible home loss to Tottenham, conceding the game winning goal in injury time. They are just 2-2-9 this season in 13 away matches. Southampton has out-scored Villa a combined 15-6 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

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Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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