Ohio State vs. Clemson Betting Preview 12/31/16 – Fiesta Bowl
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) vs. Clemson Tigers (12-1) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Ohio State -3 (5dimes)
Total: 59
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Location: U of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale AZ.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Preview
Ohio State only lost one game this season but it cost them a chance at the big 10 title game. They lost to the eventual winner Penn State 24-21 which now makes them the first NCAA football team to be selected for the College Football Playoff who hasn’t won their conference championship. They finished the year winning their last five games but scored 30 points or less in three of them.
The Buckeyes faced four ranked teams this season and in three of those games were held to 30 points or less including the loss to Penn State. They have an offense that averages over 200 yards rushing and passing while scoring 42.7 points a game. Their defense is ranked in the top six in the country in passing, total defense and scoring defense (14.2 points allowed) as no opponent scored above 27 points all year.
Clemson also lost one game this year and have the chance to make up last year’s loss in the Championship game to Alabama where they were beaten 45-40. Their ninth ranked offense is led by quarterback Deshaun Watson who has thrown 37 touchdowns and passed for over 3900 yards.
The Tigers average over 500 yards and 40.2 points a game while finishing out the regular season with three straight wins where they outscored those opponents 133-55. They too have a good defense and are ranked 19th in total defense while giving up just 18.4 points a game.
The oddsmakers have made Ohio State a three point favorite and set the total at 59. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 61% of the public can’t resist the Tigers as a dog and are backing Clemson while 59% believe the offenses will be able to score and favor the over.
The total went over in five of the last six games Clemson has played.
Previous Meetings
01/03/14: Tigers 40 @ Buckeyes 35
Trends
- The Tigers have covered the spread in their last five bowl games
- The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last five games vs a team with a winning record
- The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last five neutral site games
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This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win.
The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half.
Take CLE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.
The last time these two teams played, West Ham won by a score of 3-1. The Hammers are coming off three consecutive wins, scoring seven goals in those matches. Aston Villa scored twice in a home win over Everton in their last match at Villa Park, and given the history between these two teams I think it's unlikely that either side will post a clean sheet.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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