Ohio State vs. Clemson Betting Preview 12/31/16 – Fiesta Bowl
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) vs. Clemson Tigers (12-1) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Ohio State -3 (5dimes)
Total: 59
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Location: U of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale AZ.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Preview
Ohio State only lost one game this season but it cost them a chance at the big 10 title game. They lost to the eventual winner Penn State 24-21 which now makes them the first NCAA football team to be selected for the College Football Playoff who hasn’t won their conference championship. They finished the year winning their last five games but scored 30 points or less in three of them.
The Buckeyes faced four ranked teams this season and in three of those games were held to 30 points or less including the loss to Penn State. They have an offense that averages over 200 yards rushing and passing while scoring 42.7 points a game. Their defense is ranked in the top six in the country in passing, total defense and scoring defense (14.2 points allowed) as no opponent scored above 27 points all year.
Clemson also lost one game this year and have the chance to make up last year’s loss in the Championship game to Alabama where they were beaten 45-40. Their ninth ranked offense is led by quarterback Deshaun Watson who has thrown 37 touchdowns and passed for over 3900 yards.
The Tigers average over 500 yards and 40.2 points a game while finishing out the regular season with three straight wins where they outscored those opponents 133-55. They too have a good defense and are ranked 19th in total defense while giving up just 18.4 points a game.
The oddsmakers have made Ohio State a three point favorite and set the total at 59. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 61% of the public can’t resist the Tigers as a dog and are backing Clemson while 59% believe the offenses will be able to score and favor the over.
The total went over in five of the last six games Clemson has played.
Previous Meetings
01/03/14: Tigers 40 @ Buckeyes 35
Trends
- The Tigers have covered the spread in their last five bowl games
- The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last five games vs a team with a winning record
- The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last five neutral site games
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is an 8* play on Toronto.
The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is an 8* play on Over.
Game 5 will feature the same pitching matchup as Game 1, and here is what I said prior to that game:
"Chris Sale will toe the slab for Boston, and he hasn't been himself since his return from injury. He was lit up for five runs in just one inning in his only appearance in the ALDS versus Tampa Bay. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who was 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season."
The over is 18-6-2 in Red Sox last 26 playoff home games.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is a 5* play on MUTD.
Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
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| Matt Fargo | $1,022 |
| Art Aronson | $495 |
| Ricky Tran | $474 |
| Alex Smart | $354 |
| Stephen Nover | $345 |
| Ray Monohan | $310 |
| Marc David | $306 |
| Tim Michael | $304 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $297 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $271 |
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