Ohio State vs. Clemson Betting Preview 12/31/16 – Fiesta Bowl

December 28th, 2016

Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) vs. Clemson Tigers (12-1) Betting Preview

Line/Odds: Ohio State -3 (5dimes)
Total: 59
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Location: U of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale AZ.
Television Broadcast: ESPN

Betting Preview

Ohio State only lost one game this season but it cost them a chance at the big 10 title game. They lost to the eventual winner Penn State 24-21 which now makes them the first NCAA football team to be selected for the College Football Playoff who hasn’t won their conference championship. They finished the year winning their last five games but scored 30 points or less in three of them.

The Buckeyes faced four ranked teams this season and in three of those games were held to 30 points or less including the loss to Penn State. They have an offense that averages over 200 yards rushing and passing while scoring 42.7 points a game. Their defense is ranked in the top six in the country in passing, total defense and scoring defense (14.2 points allowed) as no opponent scored above 27 points all year.

Clemson also lost one game this year and have the chance to make up last year’s loss in the Championship game to Alabama where they were beaten 45-40. Their ninth ranked offense is led by quarterback Deshaun Watson who has thrown 37 touchdowns and passed for over 3900 yards.

The Tigers average over 500 yards and 40.2 points a game while finishing out the regular season with three straight wins where they outscored those opponents 133-55. They too have a good defense and are ranked 19th in total defense while giving up just 18.4 points a game.

The oddsmakers have made Ohio State a three point favorite and set the total at 59. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 61% of the public can’t resist the Tigers as a dog and are backing Clemson while 59% believe the offenses will be able to score and favor the over.

The total went over in five of the last six games Clemson has played.

Previous Meetings

01/03/14: Tigers 40 @ Buckeyes 35

Trends

The Tigers have covered the spread in their last five bowl games
The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last five games vs a team with a winning record
The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last five neutral site games

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Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Raiders vs Cardinals	Cardinals -5 -102	Free	23-21	Loss	-102	Show
This is a Free NFL play on the Arizona Cardinals. The Oakland Raiders are a hot mess, and a week without practice due to the wild fires in Northern California isn't going to help matters. They rank 24th in the NFL in total defense, allowing over 30 points per game. There's no doubt that this organization is tanking, focusing on the future. Arizona might not be going to the playoffs, but they have looked more competitive in recent weeks. Josh Rosen threw for 252 yards and two TDs on 23-of-40 passing in a win over San Francisco in his last home game. Once a fantasy football legend, it's been a quiet season for David Johnson. He's shown signs of returning to his former glory in recent weeks, coming off back to back games with 100+ total yards from scrimmage. The Raiders rank 29th in the NFL in rushing defense, so it figures to be a good matchup for Johnson. GL, Jesse Schule
Texas A&M vs Minnesota	UNDER 151½ -110	Premium	64-69	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Both these teams have played high scoring games early in the season, and because of that we see an inflated total for tonight's game. The Aggies are far from a run and gun team, despite averaging over 80 points per game so far. The majority of their points came in a 98-83 win over Savannah in their season opener. The have shot just over 22 percent from beyond the arc, and 66 percent from the free throw line. Minnesota scored 104 points against a Nebraska Omaha team that can't even think about playing defense, but then won by a score of 78-69 over Utah in their last game. I expect a similar score here tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
Eagles vs Saints	OVER 56 -103	Top Premium	7-48	Loss	-103	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Eagles will need to score plenty of points if they want to hang with the Saints at the Superdome on Sunday. That's even more true given all the injuries in the secondary for Philly. Carson Wentz might have some success against a Saints defense that was lit up for 391 yards by Jared Goff in a 45-35 win in their last home game. The Saints have scored 40+ in three of their four home games this season. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and Philly won the last meeting by a score of 39-17. I expect the Eagles to score their share here in a shootout in the BIG EASY! Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
Panthers vs Lions	Panthers -185	Premium	19-20	Loss	-185	Show
7*
Texans vs Redskins	Texans -133	Premium	23-21	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. Washington did it with "smoke and mirrors" last week, winning 16-3 at Tampa. The Bucs racked up over 500 total yards but turned the ball over four times and failed to capitalize on several opportunities. Washington is still severely shorthanded, with several injuries on the offensive line. That hurt Adrian Peterson last week, as he was held to 68 yards and no TDs on 19 carries. This doesn't bode well for Washington as they host the Houston Texans who are coming off a bye week. Houston is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and they should have their way with this banged up Redskins team. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
Vikings vs Bears	Vikings +3 -122	Top Premium	20-25	Loss	-122	Show
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule

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Ohio State vs. Clemson Betting Preview 12/31/16 – Fiesta Bowl

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