Packers vs. Falcons Betting Preview 01/22/17 – NFC Title Game
Betting Preview
Two of the league’s best quarterbacks face off in what many believe will be a high scoring shootout when the Packers play the Falcons in the NFC Championship game.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers of Green Bay was the fourth ranked quarterback in the league as he threw for over 4400 yards and a league leading 40 touchdowns. It didn’t look like the Packers were going anywhere except home after the season when they were sitting with a 4-6 record after having lost their fourth straight game. That was the last game the Packers lost as Rodgers led them to six straight wins to close out the season. He threw 15 touchdown passes without an interception and had three of his six 300 yard games over those last six games.
Quarterback Matt Ryan of Atlanta was ranked second in the league with over 4900 yards and 38 touchdown passes as he led the highest scoring team in the NFL (33.8 points a game) to their fifth straight win last week over the Seahawks in the Division Playoff. It was also the fifth straight game the Falcons have scored over 30 points in a game. Both teams defenses are pretty much equal with the Falcons giving up 25 points a game and the Packers 24 points a game. The Packers have the edge stopping the run but that might not matter in this game.
The oddsmakers have made Atlanta a 5.5 point favorite and set the total at way up at 60.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 64% of the public like the idea of Green Bay as an underdog and are behind the Packers while 61% believe the quarterbacks will put points on the board and are backing the over.
The Falcons won the first meeting at the end of November in an exciting 33-32 victory.
Previous Meetings
10/30/16: Packers 32 @ Falcons 33
12/08/14: Falcons 37 @ Packers 43
12/08/13: Falcons 21 @ Packers 22
Trends
- The underdog has covered the spread in eight of their last 10 meetings
- The over is 9-0 in the Falcons last nine home games
- The Packers have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings in Atlanta