Packers vs. Lions Betting Preview 01/01/17 – Sunday Night Football
Betting Preview
This is the final game of the regular season and it will decide the winner of the NFC North Division.
Green Bay who was sitting at 4-6 after a four game losing streak have turned it around and won five straight games. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has also turned his season around throwing 11 touchdowns without an interception during the streak capped by four of those touchdown passes last week in a win over Minnesota. The defense has also played much better. After allowing at least 31 points in each game during their four game losing streak, they have held three of their last five opponents to 13 points or less.
The Lions on the other hand have dropped 2 straight games after having their five game winning streak broken by the Giants three weeks ago. Quarterback Matthew Stafford who injured a finger on his throwing hand has thrown just one touchdown and four interceptions in his last three games. The Lions offense hasn’t scored more than 21 points in four of their last five games and their defense gave up 42 points to Dallas last week which is the most they have given up all season.
The oddsmakers have made the Packers a 3.5 point favorite with the total now at 49.5 after being bet up from the opening of 46.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 65% of the public are behind Green Bay despite Detroit’s 6-1 home record while a whopping 71% still favor the over even after the total has risen.
The margin of victory has been by seven points or less the last three times these two teams have met.
Previous Meetings
09/25/16: Lions 27 @ Packers 34
12/03/15: Packers 27 @ Lions 23
11/15/15: Lions 18 @ Packers 16
Trends
- The Packers have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 meetings
- The home team has covered the spread in six of their last eight meetings
- The under is 8-1 in the Lions last nine games overall