Patriots vs. Steelers Predictions & Odds 10/23/16
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Since quarterback Tom Brady has returned to the Patriots starting the last two games, they have scored over 30 points in back to back games for the first time this season. They have also increased their passing yards per game average from 210 to 380 yards a game. He has now thrown 6 touchdown passes which is two more than the four thrown in the first four games. Couple that with their defense which is ranked second in the NFL in points allowed (15.2) the Patriots seem to be a force to be reckoned with.
Pittsburgh who lost to Miami last week also lost starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger for about four weeks after surgery on his knee. Prior to last week the Steelers had put together two straight strong games where the won both outscoring their opponents 74-27.
The oddsmakers have made the Patriots an eight point favorite and set the total at 45.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 69% of the public feel New England will win by double digits for the third straight week and are solidly behind them while 67% think the Patriots will continue to put points on the board and with Pittsburgh’s help will go over the total.
The Patriots have won three of the last four times these teams have met and beat the Steelers by at least seven points in each win.
Previous Meetings
09/10/15: Steelers 21 @ Patriots 28
11/03/13: Steelers 31 @ Patriots 55
10/30/11: Patriots 17 @ Steelers 25
Trends
- The over is 8-3 last 11 meetings
- The Steelers have covered the spread in their last six home games
- The Patriots have covered the spread in their last six games overall
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
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- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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