Pelicans vs Rockets Free Pick March 24, 2018 – Jesse Schule

Pelicans vs Rockets Free Pick March 24, 2018
The Rockets host the Pelicans on Saturday night, and these are two of the league’s hottest teams. They each rank among the highest scoring teams in the NBA, but I think there are several reasons to believe that they both fall short of their season averages here tonight. For the Pelicans, they are coming off a brief rest after playing a rare back-to-back-to-back, which makes this the fourth game in five nights. The Rockets on the other hand are looking at resting players, as they have a comfortable lead at the top of the Western Conference standings. Houston is four games clear of the Warriors, and Golden State is decimated by injuries to both Curry and Durant. These two teams have a history of falling short of the total, going under in six of the last eight meetings. They have failed to reach the total in four of the last five in Houston, and the under is 6-1 in the Rockets last seven home games. The Rockets have scored an average of 113.5 points per game this season, but have failed to score that many points in seven of their last nine overall. The Pelicans have given up 111 points per game this season, but have allowed less than that in five of their last six overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 6* play on the Blues.
St. Louis won their season opener at Colorado, but they were blown out by a score of 8-0 in their second game against the Avs. They won't like the stink of that embarrassing loss, and that will add a little extra motivation to beat up on an inferior San Jose team. The Sharks are 1-6 in their last seven road games, and they are 17-35 in their last 52 games as an underdog. The Sharks are 3-9 in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have lost five straight against the Blues.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on Van +1.5.
I had the Canucks in their last game against the Flames, and they lost 3-0. I expect a better effort here tonight. This is what I said prior to the last game: "The Canucks got themselves a veteran goaltender this off-season, and some might consider Braden Holtby an upgrade from Jacob Markstrom. Holtby got the win in the Canucks season opener, stopping 28-of-31 shots against the Oilers. Markstrom was on the losing end of a 4-3 overtime loss at Winnipeg. The Canucks are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, and I like their chances of getting the best of their former netminder."
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Louisville.
Louisville is coming off it's first loss in conference play on the road at Miami, and they are back home to host Florida State on Monday. The Seminoles aren't quite as formidable as they were a year ago when they finished first in the ACC, but they are just a half game back in the conference standings. Louisville is 23-1 in 24 home games since the beginning of last season, and I like their chances of adding to that total. The Seminoles have only played once on the road this season, losing to Clemson. This spread should be 3-4 points higher than it is.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 6* play on the Wings +1.5.
The Red Wings are obviously a young team in the middle of a rebuild, and it might be a few years before they can call themselves a contender. They have to be happy after splitting their first two games at home versus the Carolina Hurricanes. They host rivals Columbus on Monday afternoon, and six of the last 10 head to head meetings have been decided by just one goal. The Blue Jackets are 0-2 after losing both their games at Nashville. The Blue Jackets are 7-20 in their last 27 overall, and they had the most OT losses in the NHL last season.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Winnipeg Jets +1.5.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are the favorite to win the North Division, but Winnipeg is still a contender. They have a veteran lineup and a Vezina winning goaltender. The Jets won their season opener in overtime against Calgary. The Jets have won two of their last three versus Toronto, and both of those wins came in games decided by one goal. The Leafs have lost five straight coming off a win, and they are 4-14 in their last 18 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.The road team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams. \
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 6* play on the Sabres +1.5.
Buffalo is off to an 0-2 start, losing back to back games to the Washington Capitals. The Flyers are off to a 2-0 start, winning back to back games against the Penguins. It's understandable that Philly is a heavy favorite, but I think the Sabres are going to be competitive here. The under is 4-1-1 in the Sabres last six games as an underdog, and they have gone under in four of their last five overall. This should be a close game that could go either way.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available