Penn State vs Northwestern Free Pick January 20, 2018 – Jesse Schule

Penn State vs Northwestern Free Pick January 20, 2018

The Wildcats have lost back to back games as underdogs, but the last time they appeared as a home favorite they crushed Minnesota by a score of 83-60. I bet on Northwestern in that game, and I expect a similar result here today. Penn State may have a better record, but they haven’t been playing their best ball lately. Their last game was a home loss to the same undermanned Minnesota team that the Wildcats handled easily. They have lost their last two road games at Indiana and at Maryland, and they are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus the BIG10. They are absolutely abysmal as a road underdog, going 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wildcats are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They have also been a solid bet when coming off a loss, covering the spread in eight of their last 11 such situations. The Wildcats are hitting better than 75 percent of their free throws at home, and that could prove to be the difference here as the Nittany Lions are struggling from the free throw line lately.

Take NW.

GL,

Jesse Schule


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