Pittsburgh vs Chicago Free Pick April 10, 2018 – Jesse Schule

April 10th, 2018

Pittsburgh vs Chicago Free Pick April 10, 2018

The Cubs return home after taking three of four in a series versus the Brewers in Milwaukee, and I like Chicago in Game 1 versus division leaders Pittsburgh.

Ivan Nova will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he’s struggled on the road in recent seasons. Nova (0-1, 6.10 ERA) was 3-12 with a 5.02 ERA in 19 starts on the road last season. He allowed seven runs on eight hits over 9 2/3 innings while going 1-1 in two starts at Wrigley last season.

The Cubs will hand the ball to Tyler Chatwood, who has pretty dramatic day/night splits. The 28 year old is 10-5 with a 3.01 ERA in his last 15 starts in afternoon games, but his ERA at night during that span is over 5.00.

The Cubs have won 10 of their last 14 at Wrigley, while the Pirates have lost 13 of their last 19 at Wrigley.

Take CHI.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -159	Premium	81-82	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
Oregon vs Arizona	OVER 139½ -110	Top Premium	73-72	Win	100	Show
10*
76ers vs Bucks	Bucks -8½ -106	Premium	98-119	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
Aston Villa vs Southampton	Southampton -141	Premium	0-2	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on Southampton. One of the reasons that Aston Villa is flirting with relegation is due to their shoddy play on defense. They have conceded a Premier League worst 50 goals this season. To be fair, Southampton hasn't been a lot better in that regard, conceding a whopping 48 goals of their own. Villa is coming off a terrible home loss to Tottenham, conceding the game winning goal in injury time. They are just 2-2-9 this season in 13 away matches. Southampton has out-scored Villa a combined 15-6 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches. Take SAINTS. GL, Jesse Schule
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Sheffield United	UNDER 2½ -145	Premium	1-1	Win	100	Show
This is a 5* play on Under 2.5. The news that Manchester City will be banned from Champions League play next season has opened the door for some teams to climb up into a Champions League spot. One of those teams is Sheffield United, who currently sit in sixth in the table just one point back of Tottenham. Sheffield has allowed just 24 goals in 26 matches this season, only Liverpool has conceded fewer goals. They will host Brighton, and two of the last three meetings between these teams have finished with a 1-0 score. Brighton is 2-3-8 in 13 away matches, scoring just 14 goals in those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
Aston Villa vs Southampton	OVER 2¾ -132	Premium	0-2	Loss	-132	Show
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. One of the reasons that Aston Villa is flirting with relegation is due to their shoddy play on defense. They have conceded a Premier League worst 50 goals this season. To be fair, Southampton hasn't been a lot better in that regard, conceding a whopping 48 goals of their own. Villa is coming off a terrible home loss to Tottenham, conceding the game winning goal in injury time. They are just 2-2-9 this season in 13 away matches. Southampton has out-scored Villa a combined 15-6 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

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TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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