Raiders vs. Texans Betting Preview 01/07/17 – AFC Wild Card Game Odds
Betting Preview
Both teams will have their quarterbacks in the spotlight for this game but for all the wrong reasons.
Rookie quarterback Conner Cook will be the first quarterback to have his first career start in the post season since the NFL started Super Bowl play. Derek Carr went down in Week 15 with a broken leg and then backup Matt McGloin was injured in the season finale which leaves Oakland with their third string quarterback starting his first game.
Carr led the Raiders to 12 wins with over 3900 passing yards and 28 touchdown passes before getting hurt. Cook was forced into action when McGloin was hurt in the final game of the year and will be facing the NFL’s best defense in his first start as a pro.
Brock Osweiler who was benched in favor of Tom Savage after starting 15 games for Houston will get another shot after Savage suffered a concussion in last week’s game. The Raiders made it to the playoffs thanks to the sixth best offense in the league while Houston’s number one defense got them into post season play. The Raiders were ranked 26th in the league in total defense and gives up 24.1 points a game while Houston’s offense is ranked 29th and score just 17.4 points a game. T
he oddsmakers have made the Texans a 3.5 point favorite and set the total at 36.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis the public is split 50-50 on the teams while 53% have no confidence in either of the offenses and are backing the under.
Oakland won their first meeting earlier in the season by a score of 27-20
Previous Meetings
11/21/16: Texans 20 @ Raiders 27
09/14/14: Texans 30 @ Raiders 14
11/17/13: Raiders 28 @ Texans 23
Trends
- The over is 4-1 in their last five meetings
- The road team has covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
- The over is 7-3 in the Raiders last 10 games overall
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available