Raiders vs. Texans Betting Preview 01/07/17 – AFC Wild Card Game Odds

January 6th, 2017

Oakland Raiders (12-4) vs. Houston Texans (9-7) Betting Preview

Line/Odds: Houston -3.5 (5dimes)
Total: 36.5
Time: 4:35 pm ET
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston TX.
Television Broadcast: ESPN/ABC

Betting Preview

Both teams will have their quarterbacks in the spotlight for this game but for all the wrong reasons.

Rookie quarterback Conner Cook will be the first quarterback to have his first career start in the post season since the NFL started Super Bowl play. Derek Carr went down in Week 15 with a broken leg and then backup Matt McGloin was injured in the season finale which leaves Oakland with their third string quarterback starting his first game.

Carr led the Raiders to 12 wins with over 3900 passing yards and 28 touchdown passes before getting hurt. Cook was forced into action when McGloin was hurt in the final game of the year and will be facing the NFL’s best defense in his first start as a pro.

Brock Osweiler who was benched in favor of Tom Savage after starting 15 games for Houston will get another shot after Savage suffered a concussion in last week’s game. The Raiders made it to the playoffs thanks to the sixth best offense in the league while Houston’s number one defense got them into post season play. The Raiders were ranked 26th in the league in total defense and gives up 24.1 points a game while Houston’s offense is ranked 29th and score just 17.4 points a game. T

he oddsmakers have made the Texans a 3.5 point favorite and set the total at 36.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis the public is split 50-50 on the teams while 53% have no confidence in either of the offenses and are backing the under.

Oakland won their first meeting earlier in the season by a score of 27-20

Previous Meetings

11/21/16: Texans 20 @ Raiders 27
09/14/14: Texans 30 @ Raiders 14
11/17/13: Raiders 28 @ Texans 23

Trends

The over is 4-1 in their last five meetings
The road team has covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
The over is 7-3 in the Raiders last 10 games overall

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Oilers vs Kings	Oilers -135	Top Premium	4-2	Win	100	Show
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Oilers. The Kings have lost two of three since trading their leading scorer to the Vancouver Canucks. Tonight they will play their second game of a back to back at home against the Edmonton Oilers. Edmonton has gone 3-2-1 without their leading scorer Connor McDavid, but he is expected to return to the lineup soon. The Oilers are just three points back of division leaders Las Vegas, but they are only three points up on ninth place Nashville. They find themselves (like most teams in the Western Conference) on the playoff bubble. With or without McDavid, this is a game that Edmonton desperately needs to win, and they couldn't ask for a more suitable opponent. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule
Pelicans vs Warriors	Pelicans -8 -110	Premium	115-101	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. I had the Pelicans in their win over Portland on Friday, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall." They are in Golden State tonight, and the Warriors have lost five straight. This couldn't be a bigger mismatch. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule
Pacers vs Raptors	Raptors -4½ -105	Premium	81-127	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Feb 24 '20, 9:05 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NBA | Suns vs Jazz

Play on: Jazz -7½ -115 at betonline

Game Analysis

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

Utah has come out of the All Star break and lost back to back home games to San Antonio and Houston. I will forgive them for their sloppy start to the second half (post All Star), and I don't think there is any way in hell they drop a third consecutive home game tonight versus Phoenix. The Suns are coming off a road win at Chicago, after losing by double digits to Toronto. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah. Expect the home team to win by double digits.

Take UTAH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Feb 24 at 12:21 am

Feb 24 '20, 7:35 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NBA | Magic vs Nets

Play on: Nets -148 at pinnacle

Game Analysis

This is a 5* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

The Nets got some great news last week, when they learned Kyrie Irving will miss the remainder of the season. Kyrie has been the biggest flake in the league ever since he told us the earth was flat in 2018. The Celtics are glad to be rid of him, and Brooklyn has been a better team without him. Now it's time for players like Caris Lavert and Garrett Temple to step up. Tonight they host an Orlando Magic team that is brutal on the road, and has lost 11 of it's last 15 overall. The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 overall. Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in it's last five home games, and 7-1 ATS in it's last eight as a favorite.

Take BKN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Feb 24 at 12:20 am

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

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