Raiders vs. Texans Betting Preview 01/07/17 – AFC Wild Card Game Odds
Oakland Raiders (12-4) vs. Houston Texans (9-7) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Houston -3.5 (5dimes)
Total: 36.5
Time: 4:35 pm ET
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston TX.
Television Broadcast: ESPN/ABC
Betting Preview
Both teams will have their quarterbacks in the spotlight for this game but for all the wrong reasons.
Rookie quarterback Conner Cook will be the first quarterback to have his first career start in the post season since the NFL started Super Bowl play. Derek Carr went down in Week 15 with a broken leg and then backup Matt McGloin was injured in the season finale which leaves Oakland with their third string quarterback starting his first game.
Carr led the Raiders to 12 wins with over 3900 passing yards and 28 touchdown passes before getting hurt. Cook was forced into action when McGloin was hurt in the final game of the year and will be facing the NFL’s best defense in his first start as a pro.
Brock Osweiler who was benched in favor of Tom Savage after starting 15 games for Houston will get another shot after Savage suffered a concussion in last week’s game. The Raiders made it to the playoffs thanks to the sixth best offense in the league while Houston’s number one defense got them into post season play. The Raiders were ranked 26th in the league in total defense and gives up 24.1 points a game while Houston’s offense is ranked 29th and score just 17.4 points a game. T
he oddsmakers have made the Texans a 3.5 point favorite and set the total at 36.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis the public is split 50-50 on the teams while 53% have no confidence in either of the offenses and are backing the under.
Oakland won their first meeting earlier in the season by a score of 27-20
Previous Meetings
11/21/16: Texans 20 @ Raiders 27
09/14/14: Texans 30 @ Raiders 14
11/17/13: Raiders 28 @ Texans 23
Trends
- The over is 4-1 in their last five meetings
- The road team has covered the spread in four of their last five meetings
- The over is 7-3 in the Raiders last 10 games overall
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
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Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
Take Under.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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