Red Sox vs Astros Free Pick June 17, 2017 – Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings."

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Packers.

Green Bay has been lighting it up on offense during a 2-0 start, scoring 43 in Week 1 at Minnesota, and 42 at home against the Lions last Sunday. They are getting points on the road at New Orleans, and the Saints look like they may have lost a step. Drew Brees has struggled without top target Michael Thomas. He threw for 312 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to the Raiders. Alvin Kamara isn't exactly picking up the slack, running for less than 100 yards so far this season. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and with the line on the wrong side of a field goal, they look overvalued in this spot.

Take GB.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks.

After two weeks Russel Wilson is the odds on favorite to win the MVP award. The 31 year old has thrown for 610 yards with nine TDs and just one INT. The Cowboys needed a lot of luck to rally to win last week at home versus Atlanta. A late score followed by an onside kick recovery set up a game winning field goal. This could set them up for a let down here on the road in Seattle. Dallas hasn't been a good bet against Seattle, failing to cover in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Seahawks have covered in five of their last six when asked to cover points.

Take SEA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Atlanta.

The Chicago Bears are 2-0, but they will be an underdog heading into a road game at Atlanta this week. Their 2-0 start hasn't been all the convincing, beating Detroit with a fourth quarter comeback, and winning a home game against the Giants by a score of 17-14. Atlanta is 0-2, but they should be 1-1. Last week they suffered a complete meltdown in the fourth quarter versus Dallas, blowing a 15 point lead. The good news for the Falcons is that Matt Ryan has thrown for over 700 yards with six TDs and just one INT in two games so far. Mitch Trubisky isn't likely to match serves with Matty Ice.

Take ATL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Cardinals.

Have you heard of the sophomore jinx? Kyler Murray wouldn't know much about that, he's lighting it up in his second year in Arizona. The former Oklahoma Sooner has thrown for 515 yards and a pair of TDs and he's run for 158 yards and three more. He's facing a struggling Lions offense at home this week, and Detroit has allowed an average of 34.5 points in back to back losses to start the season. With all the injuries, and a poor start, it might be just a matter of time before the Lions are tanking for Trevor. The Lions are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The home team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 head to head meetings.

Take ARZ.

GL,

Jesse Schule