|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-31-22||Kansas State v. Alabama -6.5||Top||20-45||Win||100||30 h 57 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Alabama -6½ -110
Bet Alabama (-6.5) laying less than a touchdown against Kansas State in Saturday's Sugar Bowl. This to me is a complete mismatch. It would be one thing if Alabama had a bunch of players opt out of this game, but the only guys who left the team are backups who didn't get a ton of playing time. For all those guys to decide to play and not opt out to prepare for the NFL draft, speaks to how serious the Crimson Tide are taking this game. It feels like Alabama is out to make a statement that they should have been in the 4-team playoff, despite their two losses. If that's what they want, I don't think there's anything K-State can do to stop them. Wildcats just don't have the offensive fire-power to keep this close. Play Alabama -6.5!
|12-30-22||Pittsburgh v. UCLA -5||Top||37-35||Loss||-110||32 h 6 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UCLA -5 -110
Bet UCLA (-5) laying less than a touchdown against Pittsburgh in Friday's Sun Bowl. I look for the Bruins to make easy work of the Panthers in this one. UCLA didn't have any significant opt-outs or players leave in the transfer portal, which tells me they are 100% locked in for this game. Bruins are a program on the rise under Chip Kelly and have a chance here to get to 10-wins. They have one of the best offenses in the country. I just don't see Pitt being able to keep pace. Panthers saw starting quarterback Kedon Slovis transfer to BYU. Quite a big dropoff from him to expected starter Nick Patti. Pitt also won't have star running back Isreal Abanikanda, plus two key pieces up front on the offensive line. Play UCLA -5!
|12-29-22||Minnesota -10 v. Syracuse||Top||28-20||Loss||-110||24 h 17 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Minnesota -10 -110
Bet the Gophers (-10) as a double-digit favorites against Syracuse in Thursday's Pinstripe Bowl. Syracuse is a bet of a mess going into this game. They lost both their offensive and defensive coordinators to other teams. Star running back Sean Tucker also opted out to prepare for the draft. Without Tucker, who really was the one consistent on offense for Syracuse, I have had a hard time seeing the Orange moving the ball against a very good Minnesota defense. I also don't like the matchup for Syracuse's defense, which is built more to stop the run than the pass. Orange have struggled against physical running teams, so I don't see them offering up much resistance on that side of the ball either. It all adds up to a lopsided affair. Play Minnesota -10!
|12-28-22||Ole Miss v. Texas Tech +4||Top||25-42||Win||100||24 h 56 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Texas Tech +4 -110
Bet Texas Tech (+4) as a short dog against Ole Miss in the Texas Bowl in Wednesday's college football bowl action. While this is technically a neutral site matchup, it's going to feel like a home game for the Red Raiders with the game being played in their home state. I also think there's a lot of motivation for these Power 5 programs when they get matched up with a team from the SEC. This is also a pretty good Texas Tech team, who can light you up on the offensive side of the ball. Ole Miss had their struggles against the better offenses they faced and I think the Rebels run-first offensive approach plays will struggle against a stingy Red Raiders defense. Play Texas Tech +4!
|12-27-22||East Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +7.5||Top||53-29||Loss||-110||33 h 55 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Coastal Carolina +7½ -110
Bet Coastal Carolina (+7.5) as more than a touchdown dog against East Carolina in Tuesday's Birmingham Bowl. This is just too many points for the Chanticleers to be catching in this one. Coastal Carolina's star quarterback Grayson McCall is playing in this game, despite the fact that he's announced he will be transferring to a new school for next season. That says a lot about how close this team is and how important it is for them to start what they finished. ECU is a quality team, but should not be laying this kind of number. Play the Chanticleers +7.5!
|12-26-22||New Mexico State +4 v. Bowling Green||Top||24-19||Win||100||9 h 30 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on New Mexico State +4 -110
Bet New Mexico State (+4) catching more than a field goal against Bowling Green in the Quick Lane Bowl. What an impressive job by first year head coach Jerry Kill to get this Aggies team to the postseason. New Mexico hasn't been to a bowl game since 2018 and had not finished better than 3-10 in the 4 years following. Kill got this team to 6-6 and did so by knocking off Toledo 42-35 as a 14.5-point road dog in the second to last game of the season. I don't see this team having much trouble against the Falcons. Bowling Green plays in the MAC, which is the worst of all the FBS conferences. They should not be laying more than a field goal in this game. Play New Mexico State +4!
|12-24-22||Middle Tennessee State v. San Diego State -6.5||Top||25-23||Loss||-110||28 h 35 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State -6½ -110
Bet the Aztecs (-6.5) as a decently priced favorite against Middle Tennessee in the Hawaii Bowl Saturday night. San Diego State will have no problem winning this game by at least a touchdown. The Aztecs have one of the best defenses in the Group of 5 and are facing an overrated Middle Tennessee offense. The Blue Raiders put up a respectable 29.2 ppg, but played an easy schedule. They actually underperformed against expectations, as their opponents for the season gave up an average score of 30.4 ppg. Blue Raiders can't run the ball or pass protect and Middle Tennessee quarterback Chase Cunningham has struggled. The Aztecs may find it tough to run on this Blue Raiders defense, but I like them to move the ball. This was a much improved offense once quarterback Jalen Mayden took over in Week 6. He at least gives them the ability to throw the ball. He's also a guy that can make plays with his feet. He finished with over 200 yards and 3 scores on the ground. Play the Aztecs -6.5!
|12-21-22||South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4.5||Top||23-44||Win||100||32 h 16 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Western Kentucky +4½ -110
Bet the Hilltoppers (+4.5) as a decently priced dog against S Alabama in the New Orleans Bowl. This line felt right when South Alabama opened at -1. Now there's too much value to pass up with WKU at 4.5. This game figures to be close the whole way. Sure the Hilltoppers are missing some guys, but they'll have their star quarterback in Austin Reed and stud wide out Malachi Corley. I know this South Alabama defense is good, but WKU put up 400 passing yards on the likes of Troy, who is exceptional on defense. I trust the Hilltoppers more when it comes to putting up points. Play WKU +4.5!
|12-20-22||Toledo v. Liberty +5||Top||21-19||Win||100||33 h 47 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty +5 -110
Bet Liberty (+5) as a decently priced dog against Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday. I just think the line here is a bit of an overreaction to the Flames losing head coach Hugh Freeze. Sure Freeze was great in his tenure with Liberty, but there has to be a lot of optimism this program can keep it going under new head coach Jamey Chadwell, who did big things at Coastal Carolina. I'm also not so sure what people see in this Toledo team that makes them think they should be favored by more than a field goal. Are people forgetting the Rockets play in the MAC. One of the worst FBS Conferences. Play Liberty +5!
|12-17-22||BYU v. SMU -3.5||Top||24-23||Loss||-110||33 h 19 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on SMU -3½ -110
|12-16-22||Miami-OH +10.5 v. UAB||Top||20-24||Win||100||17 h 26 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-OH +10½ -105
Bet the RedHawks (+10.5) as a double-digit dog against UAB in the Bahamas Bowl. There's just too much value with Miami (OH) at this price. There doesn't figure to be a ton of points scored in this one with these being two of the slowest paced teams in the country. UAB is also going to be down their biggest offensive threat in star running back Dewayne McBride. Blazers are also working under an interim head coach in this game, as they went out and hired Trent Dilfer to be their new head coach. Double-digit dogs have been a strong investment in bowl season and this is one where I think the dog has a legit shot to pull off the upset. Play Miami (OH) +10.5!
|12-10-22||Navy -2.5 v. Army||Top||17-20||Loss||-110||27 h 13 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Navy -2½ -110
Bet Navy (-2.5) as a small favorite against Army in Saturday's college football action. I don't think the Midshipmen are getting enough respect in this game. Navy is not as bad as their 4-7 record would lead you to believe. I thought this team improved a lot from the start of the year. Army has a better record at 5-6, but their 5 wins are against Villanova, Colgate, ULM, UConn and UMass. It's also worth noting that everyone is betting Army and yet this line has flopped from Navy going from +1 to -2.5. Play the Midshipmen -2.5!
|11-26-22||Southern Miss -3 v. UL-Monroe||20-10||Win||100||32 h 31 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Southern Miss -3 -110
Bet Southern Miss (-3) as a slim road favorite against Louisiana Monroe in Saturday's college football action. The Golden Eagles are the only team with something to play for, as they sit at 5-6. Needing a win here to get bowl eligible. ULM's shot at reaching bowl eligibility was put to rest in last week's 16-34 loss at Troy. Southern Miss failed to win in their last game, but covered as a 7.5-point dog. Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS last 3 seasons off a cover where they lost the game outright. Play Southern Miss -3!
|11-26-22||Memphis +4.5 v. SMU||Top||31-34||Win||100||33 h 19 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Memphis +4½ -105
Bet Memphis (+4.5) as a small road dog against SMU in Saturday's college football action. I like the value with the Tigers catching over a field goal in this one. Memphis comes into this game off back-to-back wins and covers. Tigers are 31-12 ATS in road games in the month of November. Tulsa comes in off a 24-59 blowout loss at Tulane. Golden Hurricane are just 9-24 ATS last 33 after a road loss by 28 or more points. Play Memphis +4.5!
|11-25-22||Utah State v. Boise State -17||Top||23-42||Win||100||28 h 57 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Boise State -17 -110
Bet Boise State (-17) as a big home favorite against Utah State in Friday's college football action. Most are going to just assume that Boise State won't show up for this game, as they already have a spot locked up in next week's MWC title game against Fresno State. Thing is, they are also playing for a bigger bowl, as a win here coupled with a win over the Bulldogs would make them 10-3 as a conference champ. Broncos have really dominated their conference rivals at home this year, where they are 3-0 and have won all 3 by at least 20 points, including a 22-point win over San Diego State and 20-point win over Fresno State. Utah State has been playing better of late, but are in for a long day. Play Boise State -17!
|11-19-22||Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -7||13-28||Win||100||34 h 33 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Oklahoma -7 -110
Bet Oklahoma (-7) as a touchdown favorite at home against in-state rival Oklahoma State in Saturday's college football action. I know it hasn't exactly been pretty for the Sooners in 2022, as they are just 5-5 and still in need of one more win to become bowl eligible. With a road game at Texas Tech on deck in the finale, this feels like one Oklahoma has to have. I think they get it and end up winning this one going away. Oklahoma State was able to squeak out a 20-14 win at home vs ISU last week, but that's now 3 straight games where the offense has scored 20 or fewer points. That's just not going to cut it against this high-powered Oklahoma offense. Play the Sooners -7!
|11-19-22||Duke +7.5 v. Pittsburgh||26-28||Win||100||24 h 13 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Duke +7½ -110
Bet Duke (+7.5) catching more than a touchdown on the road against Pitt in Saturday's college football action. No way should the Blue Devils be catching this many points in this matchup. Duke is having one of the bigger surprise seasons of any team in the country. Expectations couldn't have been much lower coming into this season, as the Blue Devils were coming off a 3-win season in 2021 and replacing their long-time great head coach David Cutcliffe. They have more than doubled that win total, as they come into this game 7-3. They have won 3 straight and are 7-3 ATS on the year. Pitt is a good team, but I feel they are overvalued off their 37-7 win at Virginia. Panthers are still just 4-6 ATS. Duke should not only cover this number, I give them a legit shot here to win this game outright. Play the Blue Devils +7.5!
|11-17-22||SMU +3.5 v. Tulane||Top||24-59||Loss||-110||33 h 19 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on SMU +3½ -110
Bet SMU (+3.5) catching more than a field goal on the road against Tulane in Thursday's college football action. Easy play here on the Mustangs. SMU is rolling coming into this game having won 4 of their last 5 and covering in each of their last 4. Their only loss coming by a mere 2-points to Cincinnati. As for Tulane, the Green Wave are coming off an ugly 31-38 loss at home to UCF, where they let the Knights rush for over 340 yards. I just don't see Tulane being able to keep pace offensively with the Mustangs, who are scoring over 40 ppg and averaging 6.5 yards/play. Play SMU +3.5!
|11-12-22||Florida State -7 v. Syracuse||38-3||Win||100||27 h 28 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Florida State -7 -115
Bet Florida State (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Syracuse in Saturday's college football action. These two teams are headed in opposite directions. The Seminoles come in off back-to-back blowout wins, beating Georgia Tech 41-16 and Miami 45-3. As for the Orange, things have unravelled quickly. Syracuse has now lost 3 straight after their perfect 6-0 start. It was a great story early on, but that strong start has really caused the Orange to be overvalued down the stretch. FSU is the better team in all areas and should win this game going away. Play the Seminoles -7!
|11-12-22||TCU +7.5 v. Texas||17-10||Win||100||27 h 58 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on TCU +7½ -110
Bet TCU (+7.5) as a more than a touchdown underdog against Texas in Saturday's college football action. The line here doesn't make a lot of sense, which is a bit concerning, but there's no way I'm passing up on the Horned Frogs at this price. TCU comes into this game undefeated and ranked No. 4 in the country. Sure they have had caught a lot of breaks along the way and had to rally in a number of their wins, but there's something to be said about a team that can find a way to win games. TCU is not going to go down without a fight and this not an elite Texas team by any means. Longhorns may win here, just not by more than a touchdown. Play TCU +7.5!
|11-12-22||New Mexico +21.5 v. Air Force||3-35||Loss||-110||22 h 17 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on New Mexico +21½ -110
Bet New Mexico (+21.5) as a huge road dog against Air Force in Saturday's college football action. The Lobos are not a good football team, but their 3-5 ATS mark is very misleading. Three different times this season New Mexico's offense has a turnover late in the game that the defense returned for a touchdown to cause them to not cover. It has them way undervalued right now in the betting market. There's simply too much value with them at this price. New Mexico has a decent run defense and their DC knows how to defend the triple-option. There's also a total in the high 30's for this game, which makes the three touchdown spread that much more valuable. Play New Mexico +21.5!
|11-12-22||Northwestern +18 v. Minnesota||Top||3-31||Loss||-110||24 h 58 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Northwestern +18 -110
Bet Northwestern (+18) as a big road dog against Minnesota in Saturday's college football action. No way should the Gophers be laying more than 3 scores against the Wildcats. Gophers have been a major disappointment this year and it's shown in their betting results. Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Home teams who have been beaten by the spread by 49 or more points in their last 5 games are just 19-50 (27.5%) ATS in Weeks 10 thru 13 over the last 5 seasons. Play Northwestern +18!
|11-12-22||Purdue v. Illinois -6.5||31-24||Loss||-110||20 h 9 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Illinois -6½ -110
Bet Illinois (-6.5) laying less than a touchdown at home against Purdue in Saturday's college football action. I like the Fighting Illini to bounce back from last week's surprising 15-23 loss at Michigan State as a big 16-point favorite. Illinois certainly won the boxscore against the Spartans, outgaining Michigan State 441-294. I expect them to do the same against Purdue. The Boilermakers offense struggled to get anything going against Iowa's stingy defense last week and now face an even better Illinois defense. We also saw a bad Hawkeyes offense have their way with the Boilermakers defense. Illini has the edge here on both sides of the ball and should easily win here by 7 or more. Play Illinois -6.5!
|11-10-22||Georgia Southern v. UL-Lafayette -3.5||Top||17-36||Win||100||26 h 21 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette -3½ -105
Bet the Ragin' Cajuns (-3.5) to cover at home against Georgia Southern. Lafayette has covered 4 of their 5 home games (1-3 ATS on the road) and I just think they have the big edge in this one with both teams on just 4 days of rest. It's hard on defenses to play well with so little time to prepare and recover and Georgia Southern was in a dogfight last week with S Alabama. Ragin' Cajuns are also the better defenses team and it's not close. Lafayette is giving up just 21.7 ppg and 5.1 yards/play. Georgia Southern is allowing 31.2 ppg and 6.7 yards/play. Play the Ragin' Cajuns -3.5!
|11-05-22||South Carolina v. Vanderbilt +7||38-27||Loss||-110||33 h 17 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Vanderbilt +7 -110
Bet the Commodores (+7) as a touchdown dog at home against South Carolina in Saturday's college football action. South Carolina is simply getting way too much respect from the books and the media. We saw that last week when the Gamecocks were somehow ranked in the Top 25 and laying 3.5-points to Missouri, who they proceeded to lose to 10-23. Now they have to go on the road against a Vandy team that is better than people think and ready to go coming off of their bye week. Commodores are just 1-5 in their last 6 but 4 of those have come on the road and the other two were against ranked teams in Wake Forest and Ole Miss at home. Play Vanderbilt +7!
|11-05-22||James Madison +7.5 v. Louisville||10-34||Loss||-110||33 h 13 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on James Madison +7½ -110
James Madison (+7.5) is worth a look catching over a touchdown on the road against Louisville in Saturday's college football action. This is the perfect spot to fade the Cardinals. Louisville just played and beat a Top 10 opponent last week in Wake Forest and have their biggest game of the season looming on deck next week against undefeated and No. 4 ranked Clemson. It will be tough for Louisville to show up ready to play and that's a recipe for disaster against a talented and what should be a very motivated James Madison team. Play the Dukes +7.5!
|11-05-22||Houston v. SMU -3||63-77||Win||100||33 h 17 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on SMU -3 -110
Bet SMU (-3) as a slim home favorite against Houston in Saturday's college basketball action. Houston comes in having won their last 3, but one of those was a fluke 33-32 win at Memphis, where they got an onside kick and turned a double-digit deficit into a win in the final minutes of regulation. The other two were against a couple of bad teams in Navy and USF. I just think it's created some real value here with the Mustangs only laying a field goal on their home field, especially in a prime time spot under the lights in Dallas. Play SMU -3!
|11-05-22||South Florida -3.5 v. Temple||Top||28-54||Loss||-102||33 h 58 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on South Florida -3½ -102
Bet USF (-3.5) as a short road favorite against Temple in Saturday's college football action. This is a great buy-low spot on the Bulls, who have played an absolute gauntlet of schedule to start the year. USF is just 1-7, yet those 7 losses have come against the likes of BYU, Florida, Louisville, E Carolina, Cincinnati, Tulane and Houston. On top of that, 5 of the 7 have been on the road. Temple is the worst team they have faced all season outside of their game against FCS foe Howard in Week 2. I just think the Bulls poor record has them way undervalued against a team they should easily beat by at least a touchdown. Play USF -3.5!
|11-05-22||North Carolina -7 v. Virginia||31-28||Loss||-110||25 h 13 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110
Bet North Carolina (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Virginia. UNC is a team that I think doesn't get the hype they deserve. Sure the defense is bad, but the offense is elite behind one of the best signal callers in the country. Tar Heels are scoring 41.8 ppg and putting up on average 12.7 more points than what their opponents allow. It's the exact opposite for Virginia, who has one of the worst offenses in the country. Cavaliers are scoring 16.9 ppg vs teams that allow 22.7 ppg. I just don't see Virginia being able to do enough offensively to keep this game close. Bet North Carolina -7!
|11-01-22||Ball State v. Kent State -6.5||Top||27-20||Loss||-110||28 h 8 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Kent State -6½ -110
Bet Kent State (-6.5) as less than a touchdown favorite at home against Ball State in Tuesday's college football action. I just don't see the Cardinals being able to slow down this Kent State offense. The Golden Flashes are one of the best rushing teams in the country and this offense has put up some incredible numbers in their 3 home games this year, as they are averaging 42.3 ppg, 582 ypg and 7.9 yards/play. I just don't see Ball State being able to keep pace. The Cardinals are only scoring 16.7 ppg on 363 ypg in road game this season. Ball State is also giving up 36.3 ppg and 461 ypg in road games. Play Kent State -6.5!
|10-29-22||Missouri +4 v. South Carolina||23-10||Win||100||30 h 47 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Missouri +4 -110
Bet Missouri (+4) as a small road dog against South Carolina in Saturday's college football action. I really like the Tigers in this spot. I also feel like it's the perfect time to fade South Carolina, who is all the sudden ranked in the Top 25. I'm not sure what the Gamecocks have done to guarner this much respect. They have 3 cupcake non-conference wins over Georgia State, Charlotte and S Carolina State. Their two conference wins are against a Kentucky team that didn't have their starting quarterback and a Texas A&M team that's in shambles. Play Missouri +4!
|10-29-22||Illinois v. Nebraska +7.5||26-9||Loss||-110||26 h 3 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Nebraska +7½ -110
Bet Nebraska (+7.5) as a big home dog against Illinois in Saturday's college football action. The Fighting Illini have simply went from being one of the best betting values on the board to being way over-priced. Just last time out, Illinois was a 4.5-point home dog to Minnesota. Now they are laying more than a touchdown on the road against a hungry Nebraska team that is coming off a bye week. If the Cornhuskers can take care of the football, I think they got a legit shot here to win outright. Play Nebraska +7.5!
|10-29-22||Wake Forest -3 v. Louisville||Top||21-48||Loss||-110||30 h 14 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Wake Forest -3 -110
Bet Wake Forest (-3) as a short road favorite against Louisville in Saturday's college football action. The Demon Deacons continue to get no love from the books. Wake Forest is 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They have covered each of their last 4 games. Louisville is off a couple of wins and covers against Virginia and Pitt, but this team has failed to deliver against the upper-tier of the ACC. I don't see today being any different. Cardinals simply won't be able to keep pace offensively against this juggernaut of a WF offense. Play the Demon Deacons -3!
|10-29-22||Miami-FL -2.5 v. Virginia||14-12||Loss||-110||21 h 60 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL -2½ -110
Bet Miami (-2.5) as a short road favorite against Virginia in Saturday's college football action. This is the time to buy-low on the Hurricanes. Miami just lost 21-45 as a 10-point home favorite to Duke last week and have now failed to cover 6 straight. This is still a decent football team and one that should be able to beat a Cavaliers team that can't score. Virginia has not scored more than 20 points in a game since putting up 34 in their opener against FCS foe Richmond. Play Miami -2.5!
|10-28-22||East Carolina v. BYU -3||Top||27-24||Loss||-110||23 h 30 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on BYU -3 -110
Bet BYU (-3) to cover as a slim home favorite against East Carolina in Friday's college football action. This just feels like a great buy-low spot on the Cougars. BYU has lost 3 in a row and failed to cover each of their last 6 games. The Pirates on the other hand are fresh off a 34-13 win at home against UCF as a 6-point dog. Thing with BYU is 3 of their 4 losses have come away from home with the only exception being against a SEC team in Arkansas. This has all the makings of a get right game for the Cougars at home in a prime time spot. Play BYU -3!
|10-22-22||Arizona State +3 v. Stanford||14-15||Win||100||32 h 48 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Arizona State +3 -110
Bet Arizona State (+3) as a short road dog against Stanford in Saturday's college football action. We will look to fade Stanford after their big upset win on the road against Notre Dame. I just don't think this Cardinal team is any good. The offense has not scored more than 28 points against a single FBS opponent and prior to holding a bad Notre Dame offense to just 14 points Stanford had allowed 38.5 ppg over their previous 4, all 4 coming against Pac-12 foes. Cardinal are giving up 7.3 yards/play in conference games. Play the Sun Devils +3!
|10-22-22||Northern Illinois -2.5 v. Ohio||17-24||Loss||-110||33 h 58 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois -2½ -110
Bet Northern Illinois (-2.5) as a slim road favorite against Ohio in Saturday's college football action. This line might seem off, as you have a 2-5 Huskies team laying points on the road against a 4-3 Bobcats team. Thing is, Northern Illinois' record is a bit misleading. Huskies only loss by more than 10 points came against the best team in the MAC in Toledo. We have seen this team lose by just 3 at Tulsa, 10 to Vandy and by 8 on the road at Kentucky. Ohio lost by 36 at Penn State and by 33 at Iowa State, scoring just 10 points in both of those defeats. Their 4 wins have come against the likes of FAU, Fordham, Akron and W Michigan. Play Northern Illinois -2.5!
|10-20-22||Troy v. South Alabama -3||Top||10-6||Loss||-110||33 h 20 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on South Alabama -3 -110
Bet South Alabama (-3) to cover the short number at home against Troy in Thursday's college football action. Really good matchup here in the Sun Belt. Troy is 5-2 riding a 4-game winning streak. Only two losses on the road vs Ole Miss and App State. South Alabama is 5-1 with their only loss coming 31-32 at UCLA, who currently ranked No. 9 in the country. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on the Jaguars at home. Play South Alabama -3!
|10-15-22||Washington State +4 v. Oregon State||10-24||Loss||-110||33 h 58 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Washington State +4 -110
Bet Washington State (+4) as a short road dog against Oregon State in Saturday's college football action. Love the value we are getting with Cougars catching more than a field goal, as I really like Washington State to win this game outright. The Cougars are 4-2 with their only two losses coming at home to Oregon by a score of 41-44 and on the road at USC. Oregon State isn't as good as what they are getting credit for. Their mere 3-point win over Fresno State looks less and less impressive the more we see the Bulldogs play and the Beavers should have lost at Stanford last week. Play Washington State +4!
|10-15-22||Alabama -7 v. Tennessee||49-52||Loss||-110||28 h 23 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Alabama -7 -110
Bet Alabama (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Tennessee in Saturday's college football action. Everyone is jumping on the Vols bandwagon and taking the points in this one, as there's a lot being made about the uncertainty of Alabama quarterback Bryce Young and the struggles the Crimson Tide have had on the road of late. I just think it all is setting up for Alabama to go into Knoxville and lay it on Tennessee Saturday afternoon. Not saying the Vols aren't a good team, but their 3 best wins are against LSU, Florida and Pitt. Only one of those, last week's 40-13 win at LSU, did they dominate. Play Alabama -7!
|10-08-22||Purdue v. Maryland -3||31-29||Loss||-110||28 h 15 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Maryland -3 -110
Bet Maryland (-3) at home against Purdue in Saturday's college football action. The Terps are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS. They have covered each of their last 4 games. Their only loss on the season is a 7-point defeat at Michigan as a 17-point dog. For whatever reason, no one wants to give this Maryland team any respect. Purdue is a good team and off an impressive 20-10 win at Minnesota as a double-digit dog, but road underdogs off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more vs an opponent off a conference win by 10 or more are just 32-75 (30%) ATS going all the way back to 1992. Play Maryland -3!
|10-08-22||TCU -6.5 v. Kansas||38-31||Win||100||26 h 25 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on TCU -6½ -110
Bet TCU (-6.5) as a near touchdown favorite on the road against Kansas in Saturday's Top 25 matchup out of the Big 12. Kansas was fortunate to stay undefeated with last week's 14-11 win over ISU. Jayhawks could only muster 215 total yards of offense in that game and I'm not sure Iowa State could have played any worse. I just think reality is about to set in on Kansas' improbable start to the season. TCU might just be the best team in the Big 12. They have been an absolute juggernaut on offense and pretty good on the defensive side of the ball. KU won't be able to keep up. Play the Horned Frogs -6.5!
|10-08-22||Tennessee v. LSU +3||Top||40-13||Loss||-110||33 h 18 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on LSU +3 -110
Bet LSU (+3) as a small home dog against Tennessee in Saturday's college football action. The Tigers aren't getting enough respect on their home field in this one. LSU is a play away from being 5-0. The Tigers already have a big win at home as a dog, as they knocked off a very good Mississippi State team 31-16 as a 3-point home dog a few weeks back. Tennessee is 4-0, but their two best wins are against what I think are mediocre teams in Pitt and Florida. They were a bit fortunate in both of those wins, beating the Panthers 34-27 and the Gators 38-33. New LSU head coach Brian Kelly is 38-21 (64%) ATS as an underdog as a head coach. Bet LSU +3!
|10-05-22||SMU +3 v. Central Florida||Top||19-41||Loss||-110||25 h 6 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on SMU +3 -110
SMU (+3) is worth a look catching a field goal on the road against UCF in Wednesday's college football action. I'm not so sure the right team is favored in this one. UCF is 3-1, but haven't really played anyone. Their best win is a 27-10 win over Georgia Tech, who just fired their head coach. Their lone loss was at home to a Louisville team that has not played close to expectations in 2022. As for SMU, no one was really talking about this team as a threat in the ACC, but they look like they could be. While they are 2-2, their two losses have come against what looks to be two of the most improved Power 5 teams this year in Maryland and TCU. The Terps only loss is a 7-point setback at No. 4 Michigan and the Horned Frogs are 4-0 having just destroyed Oklahoma last week. I just think SMU is better on both side of the ball. Play the Mustangs +3!
|10-01-22||Central Michigan +7.5 v. Toledo||Top||17-38||Loss||-110||32 h 1 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Central Michigan +7½ -110
Central Michigan (+7.5) is worth a look as a more than a touchdown dog on the road against Toledo in Saturday's college football action. The Chippewas are just 1-3 coming into this game, but two of those losses have come on the road against Oklahoma State and Penn State. Because of their poor record, Central Michigan has come into the season undervalued and stayed undervalued. Chippewas are 3-1 ATS. It's the exact opposite for Toledo. The Rockets were overhyped coming in and are just 1-3 ATS to start the year. Also a tough spot for Toledo after back-to-back road games at Ohio State and San Diego State. Play Central Michigan +7.5!
|09-30-22||Washington v. UCLA +3.5||Top||32-40||Win||100||32 h 56 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UCLA +3½ -110
UCLA (+3.5) is worth a look catching a field goal and a hook at home against Washington. No one is giving the Bruins any love in this game because of their soft schedule, but I not only think they cover, I like them to win here outright. Washington has quickly become a big public play after their 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS start to 2022. They just rolled Michigan St and Stanford at home in their last two games, but both of those teams appear to be down this year, especially on the defensive side. This will be Washington's first true road game and their first real test offensively against a UCLA defense that is giving up just 18 ppg and 301 ypg. Play UCLA +3.5!
|09-24-22||Florida Atlantic +17.5 v. Purdue||26-28||Win||100||33 h 36 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Florida Atlantic +17½ -110
FAU (+17.5) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Boilermakers in Saturday's college football action. I think we are getting some decent value with the Owls in this one. FAU is being undervalued coming off last week's ugly 14-40 loss to UCF. On the flip side, this is a really tough spot for Purdue, who suffered yet another heart-breaking loss last week at Syracuse, giving up a 25-yard TD with 7 second left to lose 29-32 to the Orange. They also have a massive game on deck against undefeated Minnesota. Look for FAU to hang around and keep this within the number. Play the Owls +17.5!
|09-24-22||Texas -6.5 v. Texas Tech||34-37||Loss||-110||32 h 4 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Texas -6½ -110
Texas (-6.5) is worth a look laying less than a touchdown on the road against Texas Tech. I think we are getting some great value here with the Longhorns. This is not your same Texas team from previous year. Longhorns should be 3-0, as they had Alabama on the ropes in a 19-20 loss to the Crimson Tide. They could have easily came out flat last week at home against UTSA and they won that game 41-20, covering as 13.5-point favorite. It just feels like the injury to starting quarterback Quinn Ewers has the Longhorns way undervalued right now. Texas is the better team across the board in this matchup. Play the Longhorns -6.5!
|09-24-22||TCU -1.5 v. SMU||Top||42-34||Win||100||29 h 43 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on TCU -1½ -110
TCU (-1.5) is worth a look as a slim road favorite against SMU in Saturday's college football action. I think we are getting some great value here with the Horned Frogs laying less than a field goal in this matchup. The Mustangs just lost 27-34 on the road to Maryland, who I don't have rated nearly as high as I do TCU. The Horned Frogs are a much improved team in 2022 and have a huge edge here playing on no rest. I also think people assume they won't be locked in because they got Oklahoma on deck, but this is a team still trying to prove its worth. I don't see SMU's defense being able to get enough stops for them to sniff a win. Play TCU -1.5!
|09-17-22||Michigan State v. Washington -3||28-39||Win||100||32 h 10 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Washington -3 -110
Washington (-3) is worth a look laying just a field goal at home against Michigan State in Saturday's college football action. The betting public will be left scratching their heads seeing No. 11 Michigan State getting points against an unranked Washington team. Huskies were one of the biggest disappointments in the country last year. Even though they have looked much better in their 2-0 start, there's still some unknown given they have played two cupcakes in Kent State and Portland State. I'm one that thinks Washington is a different team in 2022 and being way undervalued here against a Spartans team that isn't quite as good as what people think and their ranking suggests. Play Washington -3!
|09-17-22||Kansas +9 v. Houston||48-30||Win||100||25 h 43 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Kansas +9 -110
Kansas (+9) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against Houston. This is your Jayhawks team from years past where they are lucky to win a non-conference game or two and get rolled against Power 5 opponents. Kansas is no longer a pushover and they showed it last week in a 55-42 win at West Virginia as a 14-point dog. Houston is 1-1 and I think one of the more overrated teams in the country. People were thinking this team could be this year's Cincinnati team. They just aren't that good and shouldn't be giving more than a touchdown in this one. Play Kansas +9!
|09-10-22||UTSA v. Army +3||41-38||Push||0||24 h 46 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Army +3 -110
Army (+3) is worth a look as a short home dog against UTSA in Saturday's college football action. The Roadrunners are getting a lot of love for their near upset win over Houston in a Week 1, but this is going to be a real tough spot for UTSA to bounce back. It had to take a lot out of the Roadrunners both physically and emotionally in that 3OT setback to Houston. A game they have to feel like they let slip away after taking a 21-7 lead into the 4th quarter. On top of that, they have just a few days here to prepare for the triple-option attack of Army. I like the Black Knights to win this one at home. Play Army +3!
|09-10-22||North Carolina -7 v. Georgia State||Top||35-28||Push||0||31 h 58 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110
The Tar Heels (-7) are worth a look as a mere touchdown favorite on the road against Georgia State. Yes, UNC had a scare last week on the road against App State, as they had to hold on for a 63-61 win. It was as bad a 4th quarter defensively as the Tar Heels could play, as they gave up 40 points. People forget they had a 41-21 lead going into the 4th quarter. Georgia State is going to put up some points, but not at the rate that App State was able to and I don't see the Panthers being able to slow down this juggernaut Tar Heels offense. Look for UNC to win this one by double-digits rather easily. Play the Tar Heels -7!
|09-04-22||Florida State +3.5 v. LSU||Top||24-23||Win||100||28 h 58 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State +3½ -110
The Seminoles (+3.5) are worth a look as a small road dog against LSU in Sunday's college football action. Love the value here with Florida State catching a field goal and a hook, as I think they got a great shot at winning this game outright.
LSU made a splash hire at head coach with Brian Kelly and I think people just assume the Tigers are going to rebound from a very disappointing 2 seasons. I like the hire, but there's a lot that Kelly needs to fix on both sides and he's installing new schemes on both sides of the ball.
Florida State is a team that I think people are sleeping on. The Seminoles had that horrific start to last season, but got better and better as the season went on. Now in year 3 under Mike Norvell, FSU could be ready to explode. They got 16 returning starters, including a very underrated dual threat QB in Jordan Travis. Play the Seminoles +3.5!
|09-03-22||Utah State +42 v. Alabama||0-55||Loss||-110||33 h 16 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Utah State +42 -110
The Aggies (+42) are worth a look as a massive road dog against No. 1 Alabama in Saturday's Week 1 college football action. The betting public is going to lay it with the Crimson Tide no matter the cost and the books know it. This line has been jacked way up to where there's simply too much value to pass up with Utah State. Don't be shocked if Alabama jumps out to a big lead early and then pulls their starters with a massive game against Texas on deck next week. Backdoor is going to be wide open for the Aggies to keep this within the number. Play Utah State +42!
|09-03-22||Cincinnati v. Arkansas -6.5||Top||24-31||Win||100||31 h 56 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas -6½ -110
The Razorbacks (-6.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown at home against Cincinnati. This line might seem a bit off to some, as the Bearcats are coming off a season where they made the CFB Playoffs. Thing is, Cincinnati lost a TON from that team and while they recruit well, they don't recruit to the level that they can lose that much talent and not regress. They are also facing an Arkansas team that had one of the biggest turnarounds in the country last year and look to be even stronger in 2022. Play the Razorbacks -6.5!
|09-03-22||North Carolina v. Appalachian State -1||63-61||Loss||-110||25 h 17 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Appalachian State -1 -110
The Mountaineers (-1) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Tar Heels in Saturday's college football action. A lot of people will probably question how is UNC a dog in this one, but it's more than deserving if you ask me. Appalachian State has won at least 9 games in every season going back to 2015. They have routinely proven that they can hang with the big boys. Back in 2018 they lost in OT on the road at No. 10 Penn State to open the season. Last year they lost 23-25 on the road at then No. 22 Miami. Mountaineers have 12 starters back. That includes starting QB, Chase Brice, who threw for over 3,300 yards and 27 TDs last season. UNC won their opener 56-24 over Florida A&M. A solid win, but I was not impressed with the defense at all. Play Appalachian State -1!
|09-02-22||Virginia Tech v. Old Dominion +7||Top||17-20||Win||100||32 h 59 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Old Dominion +7 -110
The Monarchs (+7) are worth a look as a home dog against the Hokies in Friday's MLB action. Old Dominion is going to be no pushover in 2022. The Monarchs bring back 17 starters from a team that made a bowl game last year. This is also a team that got better as the season progressed, winning 5 straight to close out the regular-season after a 1-6 start. Va Tech to me is a team in a bit of rebuilding mode playing in the first year of a new head coach (Brent Pry - previously DC at Penn St). Only 11 starters return for the Hokies with just 4 on the offensive side of the ball. Play Old Dominion +7!
|09-01-22||Penn State v. Purdue +3.5||Top||35-31||Loss||-110||33 h 23 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Purdue +3½ -110
The Boilermakers (+3.5) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Nittany Lions in Thursday's NCAAF action. Purdue has thrived in the roll of a home underdog and it seems like the public perception is that the Nittany Lions are just going to bounce back after last year's disappointment. I also think people are down a little on Purdue given the losses of their best offensive (WR, David Bell) and defensive (DE, George Karlaftis) player on both side of the ball. I don't see the Boilermakers taking a step back. They get back 14 starter, including one of the Big Ten's best signal callers in Adan O'Connell. Give me the Boilermakers +3.5!
|01-10-22||Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama||Top||33-18||Win||100||33 h 14 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Georgia -2½ -104
Georgia (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim favorite against Alabama in Monday's National Championship Game. The betting public is going to be all over the Crimson Tide after what happened when these two teams just played in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama won that game going away 41-24. The big thing that everyone overlooks with that result, is what was at stake. Alabama needed to win to make the playoffs, where the Bulldogs were in the playoffs no matter what. It's a big reason why everyone was sleeping on Georgia in their semifinal matchup with Michigan. Play Georgia -2.5!
|01-04-22||LSU v. Kansas State -6.5||Top||20-42||Win||100||29 h 54 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Kansas State -6½ -110
The Wildcats (-6.5) are worth a look in Tuesday's Texas Bowl matchup against LSU. The Tigers aren't in great spot going into their bowl game. They are transitioning into a new era after bringing in Brian Kelly from Notre Dame to be the new head coach. They also have major quarterback questions with Max Johnson going into the transfer portal and Myles Brennan not expected to play either.You also got other players who have entered the portal and some key defensive guys opting out. Play Kansas State -6.5!
|12-27-21||Western Michigan v. Nevada +7||Top||52-24||Loss||-110||1 h 53 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Nevada +7 -110
Nevada (+7) is worth a look here as a touchdown dog against Westering Michigan in Monday's Quick Lane Bowl. It looks like a bit of a miss for the Wolf Pack with all the coaches and players that won't be suiting up, but this line move just is too much. This is still a pretty sub-par team in Western Michigan and I just don't think they should be laying this many points. Nevada isn't going to just throw in the towel. Play the Wolf Pack +7!
|12-21-21||San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA||Top||38-24||Win||100||33 h 44 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State -2½ -110
San Diego State (-2.5) is worth a look as a short favorite against UTSA in the Frisco Bowl on Tuesday. This line has flipped from the Roadrunners being favored to the Aztecs and for good reason. UTSA has had several key guys opt out of playing, including stud running back Sincere McCormick. Look for that San Diego State defense to be the difference without McCormick to shoulder the load for the Roadrunners. Aztecs are also extremely motivated here to get their 12th win. Play San Diego State -2.5!
|12-18-21||Eastern Michigan v. Liberty -9.5||Top||20-56||Win||100||29 h 18 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty -9½ -110
Liberty (-9.5) is worth a look as a big favorite against Eastern Michigan in the LendingTree Bowl on Saturday. The Eagles don't belong on the same field as the Flames. I look for Liberty's stud QB, Malik Willis to have a field day against this Eastern Michigan defense. I don't see the Eagles being able to keep pace. Play the Flames -9.5!
|12-17-21||Toledo v. Middle Tennessee State +10.5||Top||24-31||Win||100||12 h 53 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Middle Tennessee State +10½ +100
Middle Tennessee (+10.5) is worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. Toledo definitely looked better down the stretch, but no way should by laying this kind of number. No one is giving the Blue Raiders a shot in this game and I think we see them come out with a chip on their shoulder. The Middle Tennessee defense is better than people think this Toledo defense isn't anything special. Give me the Blue Raiders +10.5!
|12-04-21||Prairie View A&M v. Jackson State -7||Top||10-27||Win||100||25 h 9 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Jackson State -7 -110
*All FCS picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*
|11-27-21||Oregon State v. Oregon -6.5||Top||29-38||Win||100||33 h 40 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Oregon -6½ -110
The Ducks (-6.5) are worth a look as a less than a touchdown favorite at home against rival Oregon State. Yes, the Ducks playoff hopes took a huge hit with last week's loss to Utah. As tough as that will be to swallow, I just don't see the Ducks throwing away a shot at getting back to the Pac-12 title game to set up a rematch with the Utes. It's been a good season for Oregon State, but if the Ducks show up they are by far the better team. Give me Oregon -6.5!
|11-25-21||Fresno State v. San Jose State +7.5||Top||40-9||Loss||-110||28 h 16 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on San Jose State +7½ -110
|11-23-21||Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +4||Top||42-21||Loss||-110||30 h 46 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois +4 -110
Northern Illinois (+4) is worth a look as a home dog against the Broncos in Tuesday's college football action out of the MAC. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line, as the books are assuming that the Huskies are going to just be a complete no show given they have already locked up a spot in next week's MAC title game. What they overlook is that there's not a lot for the Broncos to play for either because of how little game means to Northern Illinois. I still think the Huskies find a way to win this one outright. Play Northern Illinois +4!
|11-20-21||Minnesota v. Indiana +7.5||35-14||Loss||-107||33 h 44 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Indiana +7½ -107
The Hoosiers (+7.5) are worth a look as more than a touchdown dog at home against the Gophers in Saturday's college football action. We are getting max value here with Indiana off their ugly 38-3 loss at home to Rutgers. It was as bad as Indiana could play, as they turned it over 6 times and managed just over 260 total yards against a bad Rutgers team. We should see a much better effort from the Hoosiers in this one and it's a bad spot for Minnesota off a big rivalry game against Iowa and an even bigger game on deck at home against a top ranked Wisconsin team. Play the Hoosiers +7.5!
|11-20-21||Arkansas State +17 v. Georgia State||20-28||Win||100||31 h 59 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas State +17 -110
The Red Wolves (+17) are worth a look as a big road dog against Georgia State in Saturday's college football action. Great spot here to fade the Panthers coming off their big upset win over Coastal Carolina. Even with that win, Georgia State really doesn't have a shot at overtaking App State in the East to make the Sun Belt title game, as they lost the head-to-head to the Mountaineers and would need them to lose out to even have a shot. Look for a flat Panthers team to struggle to put away a bad Arkansas State team. Play the Red Wolves +17!
|11-20-21||Texas State +24.5 v. Coastal Carolina||21-35||Win||100||30 h 4 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Texas State +24½ -110
The Bobcats (+24.5) are worth a look as a big road dog against Coastal Carolina in Saturday's college football action. This is a tough spot for the Chanticleers after last week's 40-42 loss as a 12-point home favorite to Georgia State. That setback all but eliminated CCU from the Sun Belt title game, as they would need to win out and have App St lose their last two to even have a shot and that's unlikely. The Mountaineers could lose at Troy, but hard to see them losing at home to Georgia Southern next week. I just think it will be tough for the Chanticleers to get up for this game. Play Texas State +24.5!
|11-20-21||Texas v. West Virginia -2.5||Top||23-31||Win||100||33 h 16 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on West Virginia -2½ -115
The Mountaineers (-2.5) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Longhorns in Saturday's college football action. Texas has completely fallen flat on their face this year and it doesn't appear they care about turning this thing around. That was evident in last week's 56-57 loss to Kansas as a 31-point favorite. I don't see them flipping the switch on the road against West Virginia, who is going to get up for this game, as every team in the Big 12 wants to lay it on the Longhorns with them moving to the SEC. Play the Mountaineers -2.5!
|11-13-21||Central Florida +7.5 v. SMU||28-55||Loss||-110||27 h 12 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Central Florida +7½ -110
UCF (+7.5) is worth a look as a road dog against SMU in Saturday's college football action. The Knights aren't getting enough respect here. The Mustangs have been a big public team and I think we are once again seeing them overpriced. Not any easy spot for SMU coming off those two tough losses at Houston and Memphis that all but knocked them out of the AAC title game. Play UCF +7.5!
|11-09-21||Ohio +6.5 v. Eastern Michigan||Top||34-26||Win||100||29 h 29 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Ohio +6½ -110
Ohio (+6.5) is worth a look as a 6.5-point road dog against the Eagles in Tuesday's college football action. The Bobcats are nowhere near as abad as their 2-7 record and we saw that in last week's 35-33 win as a 7-point home dog against Miami (OH). Eagles are a respectable 6-3 overall, but are just 3-2 in MAC play and only one of those MAC wins have come by more than 3-points and that was against a bad Bowling Green team. Play Ohio +6.5!
|11-06-21||California v. Arizona +12||3-10||Win||100||30 h 2 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Arizona +12 -110
The Wildcats (+12) are worth a look as a double-digit home dog against the Golden Bears in Saturday's Pac-12 action. I get Arizona is in rebuilding mode and haven't won a game this season, but the Wildcats have covered each of their last two games. Cal is also not a team that should be laying double-digits on the road in a conference game. Golden Bears are just 16-37 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite. Play Arizona +12!
|11-06-21||Liberty +10 v. Ole Miss||Top||14-27||Loss||-110||31 h 59 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty +10 -110
Liberty (+10) is worth a look as a double-digit road dog against Ole Miss in Saturday's college football action. This might seem like a short number for the Rebels to be laying against a non-power 5 team, but you know you are getting a big effort here out of the Flames. This Liberty team is going to play their hearts out for former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze and the Flames have a QB that can put up big numbers against the Rebels defense. Also, while Matt Corral is expected to play, he's not going to be 100%. You also got Lane Kiffin taking points off the board with all the 4th downs he goes for. Play Liberty +10!
|10-28-21||Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina||Top||28-35||Win||100||31 h 26 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Troy +18½ -110
Troy (+18.5) is worth a look as a big road dog against Coastal Carolina in Thursday's college football action. This is just too many points for the Chanticleers to be laying in this matchup. We just saw Coastal Carolina lose 27-30 on the road to App State last week and the biggest problem for the Chanticleers in that game was they couldn't run the ball. That's going to be problem again, as Troy is giving up just 95 ypg and 2.6 yards/carry vs the run this year. They also won't be able to throw it as much, as it's going to be windy and rainy over the duration of this game. Play Troy +18.5!
|10-23-21||Syracuse +3.5 v. Virginia Tech||41-36||Win||100||28 h 56 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Syracuse +3½ -110
The Orange (+3.5) are worth a look as a short road dog against Virginia Tech. Syracuse should be favored here, but it's no surprise the books are undervaluing this team. The Orange have covered 5 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Va Tech on the other hand is an overvalued team. They have gone just 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Hokies injuries on defense and lackluster run defense is going to be a problem against this elite Syracuse rush attack. Play the Orange +3.5!
|10-16-21||Central Florida +22.5 v. Cincinnati||Top||21-56||Loss||-110||30 h 26 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Central Florida +22½ -110
The Knights (+22.5) are worth a look as a huge road dog against the Bearcats in Saturday's college football action out of the American Athletic. This is a game that a lot of people thought could be a potential slip up spot for Cincinnati, but that's no longer the case with UCF losing starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel. While it's unlikely the Knights pull off the upset, I think we have seen a massive overreaction to the line here. There's more than enough talent for UCF to keep this within 22-points. Play the Knights +22.5!
|10-15-21||San Diego State v. San Jose State +9||Top||19-13||Win||100||33 h 17 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on San Jose State +9 -101
San Jose State (+9) is worth a look as a near double-digit home dog against San Diego State in Friday's Mountain West football action. Good buy low spot here on the Spartans. No one is going to want to bet San Jose State after seeing they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5, especially against an Aztecs team that is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season. No doubt this line is super inflated. You play this kind of value long-term and you will make a lot of money. Play San Jose State +9!
|10-12-21||Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +3.5||Top||13-41||Win||100||33 h 25 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette +3½ -110
The Ragin' Cajuns (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Mountaineers in Tuesdays college football action. Huge Sun Belt matchup here and I think we are getting a gift with Lafayette catching more than a field goal at home. I'm not so sure they should be favored at all in this game. Mountaineers are a run first team and could be down their top back in Nate Noel, who has 511 yards and is averaging 6.4 yards/carry. They do got a good backup in Camerun Peoples, but it's just not the same when you don't have that 1-2 punch. Play the Ragin' Cajuns +3.5!
|10-09-21||San Jose State v. Colorado State -2.5||14-32||Win||100||31 h 20 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Colorado State -2½ -110
Colorado State (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim home favorite against San Jose State in Saturday's college football action. I've liked what I've seen out of this Rams team. They beat Toledo on the road 22-6 and gave a really good Iowa team all they could handle in a 14-24 loss. Spartans are just 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Colorado State has huge edge off bye. Play the Rams -2.5!
|09-30-21||Virginia v. Miami-FL -5||Top||30-28||Loss||-110||33 h 22 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL -5 -110
The Hurricanes (-5) are worth a look as less than a touchdown favorite at home against Virginia in Thursday's college football action. I know Miami hasn't had the best start, but they have played a really tough schedule. Their two losses are against Alabama and Michigan State. They got a win over App St. Virginia started strong and has a great QB, but they got no defense. Cavaliers lost 39-59 at UNC two weeks ago and last Friday were embarrassed at home 17-37 by Wake Forest. Play Miami -5!
|09-25-21||Texas A&M v. Arkansas +5.5||10-20||Win||100||29 h 25 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas +5½ -110
The Razorbacks (+5.5) are worth a look as a dog against the Aggies in Saturday's big SEC showdown at Jerry's World. I'm buying stock in Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman and I'm not really sure this line shouldn't be closer to a pick'em. If we lived in a world where there was no offseason talk about these teams and we just evaluated them only on what we have seen for this season, there's no way the Aggies are +5.5 in this game. There was a ton of chatter that Texas A&M had the team to dethrone Alabama in the SEC West this year. They would be if they had any kind of talent at quarterback, but unfortunately for them they don't. At least not right now. Play Arkansas +5.5!
|09-25-21||UTSA +3.5 v. Memphis||Top||31-28||Win||100||33 h 45 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UTSA +3½ -110
The Roadrunners (+3.5) are worth a look catching a field goal with the hook at Memphis in Saturday's college football action. I think the Tigers are a bit overrated this year and even more so now that they just beat Mississippi State. The refs won them that game. They did really put up a fight against the Bulldogs, which in turns makes this a bit of a letdown spot. UTSA is also 3-0, but not a school a lot of people follow that closely. They haven't gotten near the exposure as Memphis. The Roadrunners are legit and I like them to win this game outright. Play UTSA +3.5!
|09-18-21||Utah v. San Diego State +9||31-33||Win||100||33 h 53 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State +9 -110
The Aztecs (+9) are worth a look as a near double-digit home dog against the Utes. I think the public perception here is that Utah has to bounce back after that ugly loss to BYU last week. I'm sure the Utes will play better. The problem is they are facing a talented and well coached San Diego State team that is going to be jacked up for this game on their home field. Play the Aztecs +9!
|09-18-21||East Carolina +10 v. Marshall||42-38||Win||100||31 h 41 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on East Carolina +10 -110
East Carolina (+10) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against Marshall in Saturday's college football action. I know ECU had that crushing loss to South Carolina last week. I see that as a positive. It speaks volumes to just how much talent is on the Pirates team. I don't think they will have as much trouble as you might think getting back up for this game. I'm also not reading much into Marshall's 2-0 starts, as they have beat Navy and NC Central. Play East Carolina +10!
|09-18-21||Arkansas State +17.5 v. Washington||3-52||Loss||-110||30 h 40 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas State +17½ -110
Arkansas State (+17.5) is worth a look as a 3-score dog on the road against Washington in Saturday's college football action. Washington should not be laying this kind of number. The Huskies have went from playoff contender to completely out of it, just two games into the season. They could win out and they ain't getting in. They lost 7-13 to Montana at home and 10-31 at Michigan. They can't score. Play Arkansas State +17.5!
|09-18-21||Coastal Carolina v. Buffalo +14||Top||28-25||Win||100||31 h 60 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Buffalo +14 -110
Buffalo (+14) is worth a look as a two touchdown dog at home to Coastal Carolina. Make no mistakes this is a very good Coastal Carolina team. They just aren't flying under the radar anymore. The Chanticleers are ranked No. 16 in the country. They just destroyed KU at home 49-22. You are paying a tax with this team. Buffalo's not a great team, but they competed on the road last week with Nebraska. They will be up for this one. Play the Bulls +14!
|09-17-21||Maryland v. Illinois +7.5||Top||20-17||Win||100||29 h 9 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Illinois +7½ -110
The Fighting Illini (+7.5) are worth a look here catching more than a TD at home against Maryland. I just don't think the Terps have done enough to warrant being this big a road favorite. It feels like to me that we are seeing a big overreaction with this line after Illinois' ugly loss last week to Virginia. They are getting back starting QB Brandon Peters for this game and you can't underestimate the edge of playing at home in these prime time weekday games. Wouldn't be shocked here at all if Illinois won this game. Play the Fighting Illini +7.5!
|09-16-21||Ohio v. UL-Lafayette -20||Top||14-49||Win||100||21 h 5 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette -20 -110
The Ragin' Cajuns (-20) are worth a look as a big home favorite against Ohio in Thursday's college football action. I think this is a good buy low spot on Lafayette, who has fallen out of the Top 25 and failed to cover their first two. They lost by 20 at Texas in a game they were only a 8.5-point dog and then barely beat Nicholls State 27-24 as a 25.5-point favorite. They are better than they have shown and should have a field day here against a really bad Ohio team. One that lost by 20 to a bad Syracuse team and lost outright as a 28.5-point favorite to Duquesne. Play the Ragin' Cajuns -20!
|09-11-21||Iowa v. Iowa State -4||27-17||Loss||-110||33 h 33 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Iowa State -4 -110
Iowa State (-4) is worth a look as a short home favorite against the Iowa Hawkeyes. I think a lot of people are taking Iowa in this matchup simply cause they destroyed a ranked Indiana team in Week 1, while the Cyclones squeaked out a 16-10 win at home over UNI. I just have too much trust in Matt Campbell and the talent at ISU to think they are going to play anywhere close to that bad against the Hawkeyes. They haven't beat Iowa with Campbell. That changes today. Play ISU -4!
|09-11-21||Wyoming -6.5 v. Northern Illinois||Top||50-43||Win||100||31 h 44 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Wyoming -6½ -110
Wyoming (-6.5) is worth a look as a decently priced road favorite against Northern Illinois. The MAC is the worst FBS conference now a days and from what we have seen out of the MAC so far in 2021, their might be a sizable gap between them and the likes of C-USA and the Sun Belt. N Illinois was one of the few to look good, as they pulled off a shocking 22-21 upset on the road at Georgia Tech in Week 1. Wyoming on the other hand, only beat Montana State by a score of 19-16. It just has this line a lot lower than it should be. Play the Cowboys -6.5!
|09-11-21||Western Kentucky v. Army -5||35-38||Loss||-110||28 h 60 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Army -5 -110
Army (-5) is worth a look as a small home favorite to WKU in Saturday's college football action. Not only do I think Army is the better team, but this is a really big game for the Black Knights with it being the 20th anniversary of 9/11. Even without that extra motivation, Army was in prime position here to win by at least a touchdown. WKU gave up over 200 rushing yards to Tenn-Martin. That's a really bad sign when facing a team like the Black Knights. Play Army -5!
|09-04-21||LSU -2.5 v. UCLA||27-38||Loss||-110||33 h 46 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on LSU -2½ -110
LSU (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim 2.5-point favorite on the road against UCLA. I think people we are seeing a bit of an overreaction here with the Bruins after last week's 44-10 thrashing of Hawaii. No question the Bruins are headed in the right direction under head coach Chip Kelly and could surprise in the Pac-12, but beating an SEC power like LSU is going to be really tough. The Tigers have something to prove and I'm not so sure having Max Johnson under center is a bad thing. I don't quite know if they are 2019 good, but they are closer to that than last year's 5-5 team. Play LSU -2.5!
|09-04-21||Stanford +3.5 v. Kansas State||7-24||Loss||-110||23 h 11 m||Show|
15* SHARP PLAY on Stanford +3½ -110
Stanford (+3.5) is worth a look as a 3.5-point road dog against Kansas State. I got a lot of respect for K-State's head coach Chris Klieman, but I just think the Cardinal are just a better football team. I think people are sleeping on Stanford this year. They finally got the offensive line to execute that offense and this is as good as they have been defensively in a few years. No one is giving this team much of a shot in the Pac-12 this year and I think they come out looking to make a statement and put everyone on notice. Play the Cardinal +3.5!
|01-11-21||Ohio State +9 v. Alabama||Top||24-52||Loss||-109||12 h 18 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Ohio State +9 -109
Ohio State (+9) is worth a shot as a big dog against Alabama in the National Championship Game tonight. Not saying the Crimson Tide shouldn't be favored, but no way should they be laying more than a touchdown in this one. Buckeyes showed just how good they are in their 49-28 thrashing of Clemson, while I think more was to be expected from Alabama in their game against Notre Dame. Buckeyes have also gone 21-7 ATS in their last 28 as a dog of 3.5 to 10 points. Play Ohio State +9!
|12-29-20||Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5||Top||37-34||Loss||-105||31 h 23 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL +2½ -105
The Hurricanes (+2.5) are worth a look here as a dog against the Cowboys. I know Miami has some key guys sitting out on defense, but the Hurricanes still have more than enough talent on that side of the ball to keep this Oklahoma State offense in check. Miami also has a massive edge at the most important position on the field with their quarterback D'Eriq King going up against the Cowboys Spencer Sanders. The wrong team is favored here. Play the Hurricanes +2.5!
|12-25-20||Marshall +5.5 v. Buffalo||Top||10-17||Loss||-110||27 h 22 m||Show|
20* SHARP PLAY on Marshall +5½ -110
The Thundering Herd (+5.5) are worth a look here as a pretty big dog against the Bulls. Buffalo put up some crazy stats against a soft schedule in their 5 MAC games, but were a complete no show in the title game against Ball State. I just think people are forgetting how bad the MAC is. Marshall didn't look much better losing to UAB in the C-USA title game, but in terms of talent the Herd are the much stronger team and I like them to win this game outright. Play Marshall +5.5!