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20* SHARP PLAY on Bucs

Bet the Bucs (+2.5) as a small home dog against the Cowboys in Monday's NFL Wild Card matchup. I just don't trust Dallas to go on the road and take out Tom Brady and the Bucs. I know it's been a disappointing season for Tampa Bay and they are only in the playoffs because the rest of the NFC South was awful, but it doesn't matter how you get to the playoffs. It's a whole new season once you get there. 

The biggest thing that was holding back TB this season is they just couldn't get anything going on offense. The lack of a running game forced Brady to throw it just about every snap (set NFL record for pass attempts in a season). It felt like they started to get some things figured out down the stretch. Dallas has some good players on defense, but I think that unit is way overrated. I'm pretty confident in Brady moving the ball on them. I can't say the same about Dak and the Cowboys offense against this Tampa Bay defense. Bucs aren't going to let Dallas get the running game going and Dak has been prone to giving the ball away. Give me the Bucs +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants

Bet the Giants (+3) as a small road dog against the Vikings in Sunday's Wild Card action. I just don't trust this Minnesota team at all. The Vikings had one of the luckiest seasons I can remember in terms of winning close games they shouldn't have. I don't trust Kirk Cousins in big games and the defense is one of the worst in the league. The Giants should have won at Minnesota in Week 16 when these two teams faced off. Vikings pulled out a 27-24 win, despite getting outgained 445 to 353. New York was a dreadful 3 of 11 on 3rd downs in that game and were -2 in the turnover department. Two areas I think they can improve on in the rematch. Give me New York +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Saints -3½ +100

Bet the Saints (-3.5) as a small home favorite against the Panthers in Sunday's NFL action. New Orleans comes in having won 3 straight, including back-to-back road wins over Cleveland and Philadelphia. The defense for the Saints has been outstanding down the stretch run, giving up 20 or fewer points in each of their last 7 games. Even with nothing to play for, I like them to show up and give a big effort here at home in Week 18. I can't say the same for Carolina, who is in a really tough spot coming off last week's crushing loss to the Bucs. A game that was for the NFC South title. This is a massive flat spot for the Panthers. Play the Saints -3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Commanders -2 -110

Bet the Commanders (-2) as a slim home favorite against the Browns in Sunday's NFL action. Washington currently hold the third and final wild card spot in the NFC, but are just 1/2-game up on the Seahawks, Packers and Lions. This is essentially a playoff game for the Commanders. Browns have nothing but pride to play for after they were eliminated from the playoffs with last week's loss to the Saints. I just don't see Cleveland being very motivated for this road matchup against Washington and this Browns offense has just not performed well at all since Watson took over at quarterback. Play the Commanders -2!

20* SHARP PLAY on Chiefs -14 -110

Bet the Chiefs (-14) as a huge road favorite against the Texans in Sunday's NFL action. This might seem like a few too many for Kansas City to be laying, given the Chiefs barely held on for a 34-28 road win at Denver last week as a 8.5-point favorite and the Texans barely lost at Dallas 23-27 as a 17-point dog. Thing is, that was a big flat spot for Chiefs coming off their gut-wrenching loss at Cincinnati. Houston isn't going to catch KC off guard in this one. Look for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to have their way in this one. Play Kansas City -14! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +3½ -115

Bet the Seahawks (+3.5) against the 49ers on Thursday Night Football to kickoff Week 15 of NFL action. We are getting too much value here with Seattle as a 3.5-point dog. Everyone is talking about Brock Purdy and the 49ers right now. Thing is, one game doesn't make a career. The jury on Purdy is still up in the air. This will be his first road start in one of the toughest places to play for opposing QBs. He's also dealing with a rib injury that he's had just 3 days to rest up. Deebo Samuel is also out of the lineup. I expect a much closer game than expected. Play Seattle +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +7 +100

Bet the Giants (+7) as a touchdown dog at home against the Eagles. This is just way too many points to pass up with New York. The Giants are going to be extremely motivated here, as they have to feel a bit disrespected being a 7-point dog at home with a 7-4-1 record. Philly is also a bit overvalued in the market off their 35-10 blowout win over the Titans. Eagles are just 3-8 ATS as a road favorite with Jalen Hurts. New York is also 7-1 ATS as a dog this season. Play the Giants +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Falcons +1 -110

Bet the Falcons (+1) at basically a pick'em at home against the Steelers in Sunday's NFL action. I just think this is a great spot to sell-high on Pittsburgh after their 24-17 win and cover at Indianapolis on Monday Night Football in Week 12. Sure the defense has been improved since T.J. Watt returned to the lineup, but the offense is still one of the worst in the league. I just don't think an offense as bad as the Steelers should be getting this much respect on the road. Atlanta is a sneaky good bet at home. The Falcons are 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS at home this year, where they are scoring 26.3 ppg. Both losses came by a field goal or less. Steelers are just 2-10 ATS last 12 after a game where they covered the spread. Play the Falcons +1

15* SHARP PLAY on Bears +3 -115

Bet the Bears (+3) catching a field goal on the road against the Falcons in Sunday's NFL action. I really like what I've seen out of this Bears team the last month or so, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Chicago has figured out how to get the best out of Justin Fields, as he's using his legs to generate a ton of offense. Bears have rushed for at least 240 yards in 5 straight games. No reason to think they won't get over 200 in this one, especially after watching Atlanta give up 232 rushing yards last week to the Panthers. As for a struggling Bears defense, I think the Falcons run-heavy offense is a great matchup for them, as it's more the passing defense that has been the problem of late. Play Chicago +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans +3 +100

Bet the Titans (+3) as a small road dog against the Packers in Thursday's NFL action. I just think people are overreacting to Green Bay's OT win against the Cowboys last week. Sure they won, but they also trailed by 14 points in the 4th quarter of that game and Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy did all he could to throw that game for the Cowboys. I still think this GB offense is broken and are really dependent on the run. That's a problem in this matchup, as Tennessee is one of the best in the league against the run. I also think the Titans pass rush will be able to get to Rodgers and limit the explosive plays in the pass game. Play Tennessee +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +4½ -110

Bet the Bears (4.5) as a decently priced home dog against the Dolphins in Sunday's Week 9 NFL action. With Justin Fields and the offense seeming to figure things out, this Chicago team is going to be a sneaky good bet the rest of the way. This team has put up monster offensive numbers the last two weeks against a couple of really good defenses in the Bucs and Cowboys. They should continue that against what I think is an overrated Dolphins defense. I also think playing at home really helps them in this matchup, as the sloppy and poor conditions of Soldier Field should keep Hill and Waddle from running all over their defense. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Chicago won this game outright. Play the Bears +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jets +2½ -108

Bet the Jets (+2.5) as a short home dog against the Patriots in Sunday's NFL action. No one wants to give this New York team any love. The Jets come in having won and covered 4 straight, yet are a home dog to a New England team that just got blown out at home by the Bears, giving up 33 points and nearly 400 yards to an anemic Chicago offense. Yes, the Jets lost a huge piece to their early season success in rookie running back Breece Hall, but they quickly went out and traded for James Robinson, who quietly has over 2,100 yards and 18 TDs in his first 3 seasons in the NFL (35 games). Play the Jets +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Patriots -8 -110

Bet the Patriots (-8) as a big home favorite against the Bears on Monday Night Football. Don't love laying a big number like this in a prime time game, but I just don't see how New England doesn't win here by double-digits. The Bears are lucky to even be a 2-4 football team. Chicago has one of the worst offenses I have seen, especially in today's NFL. The Bears have a mere 63 completed passes in 6 games. That's fewer than Mac Jones has (64) and Jones has missed 3 games. I look for Belichick and that Patriots defense to make life a living hell for Fields and that Bears offense. Play the Patriots -8! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Packers -7½ -105

Bet the Packers (-7.5) as a big home favorite against the Jets in Sunday's NFL action. Great spot here to buy-low on Green Bay after last week's 22-27 upset loss to the Giants as a 8.5-point favorite and sell high on the Jets after their shocking 40-17 win at home over the Dolphins as a 3-point home favorite. Big thing to note with New York's win over Miami, is the Dolphins were down to their 3rd string QB, which greatly impacted the outcome of that game. You also got to factor in just how good Aaron Rodgers and company are after a loss. Play the Packers -7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears PK -110

Bet the Bears (PK) as a pick'em at home against the Commanders on Thursday Night Football in the NFL. As limited as the Bears are offensively with Justin Fields at quarterback, this team has competed in the majority of their games. Even with no threat of a passing game, I trust Chicago's offense a lot more playing at home on 3 days rest against a bad Washington defense than I do with the Commanders offense against a stingy Bears defense. Play the Bears -110! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Titans -1½ -110

Bet the Titans (-1.5) as a small road favorite against the Commanders in Sunday's Week 5 NFL action. This is more a fade of Washington than it is a play on Tennessee. The Commanders are a bad football team right now. The defense isn't the same without Chase Young on the field and the offense has struggled just to get first downs. Carson Wentz is not the answer and it doesn't help Washington can't run the football. I've been impressed with the Titans the last couple of weeks, beating the Raiders at home 24-22 and going on the road and beating the Colts 24-17. Derrick Henry is starting to get going and this is still one of the better coached teams in the league. Play the Titans -1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Broncos -3 -115

The Colts (-3) is worth a look as a short home favorite against the Colts on Thursday Night Football. Neither of these teams are what we thought coming into the year. However, I don't see the Colts turning this thing around. They can't run the ball or protect Matt Ryan and now they are without the engine that makes their offense run in Jonathan Taylor. You also got to give Denver a big edge here at home in a game that's being played on just 3 days of rest. Maybe this is the game Russell Wilson and this Denver team changes the narrative on them. Play the Broncos -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Bears +3 -115

The Bears (+3) are worth a look as a field goal underdog on the road against the Giants in Sunday's NFL action. What a matchup we have here, as we are somehow going to go into Week 5 with one of these two teams at 3-1. I don't think either of these teams are any good, but I have to take the points with Chicago in this one. The Giants just haven't impressed me and they are down to scraps at wide receiver. This to me is going to come down to which team can run the ball and I have a lot more confidence in Chicago in that department. Play the Bears +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals -4 -110

The Bengals (-4) are worth a look as a home favorite against the Dolphins in Thursday's NFL action. The betting public is going to be quick to grab the points with the 3-0 Dolphins against the 1-2 Bengals, but this is an awful spot for Miami. The Dolphins are coming off a huge upset win against the Bills in a game that went right down to the wire and was played in over 100 degree heat index. I also think Miami might be a little overvalued here. They needed a huge comeback against the Ravens in Week 2 and were thoroughly outplayed by the Bills in the boxscore last week. Play the Bengals -4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Ravens -3 +100

The Ravens (-3) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the Patriots in Sunday's NFL action. New England is simply getting too much respect in this one. Sure the Patriots are coming off a win against the Steelers, but that's not saying a whole lot. Pittsburgh is way down this year. New England is going to be able to put some points on the board at home against a leaky Ravens defense, I just don't see them being able to keep pace with what Lamar Jackson and that Baltimore offense is going to put. Play the Ravens -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Colts -3 -110

The Colts (-3) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Jaguars in Sunday's NFL action. Indy is coming off a surprising 20-20 tie in Week 1 against the Texans. Just looking at the score, 20 points against a Houston team that isn't expected to be very good is pretty underwhelming. However, the Colts greatly underperformed in that game offensively, as they put up 517 total yards. They were a dismal 2-5 in the red zone. This is a very good offense and I look for them to have no trouble here moving the ball against a Jaguars team that gave up 28 to the Commanders in Week 1. Jacksonville played well in Week 1 against Washington and are going to be improved, but they are not on the same level as Indy. Play the Colts -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +7 -115

The Seahawks (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home on Monday Night Football against the Broncos. Love the value here with Seattle. I think we got a matchup here of an overrated Denver team facing an underrated Seattle team. Not only that, the Seahawks get a huge edge here playing at home in a prime time game. Everyone is expecting Russell Wilson to light up his old team, but I think there's just as good a chance he struggles. Play the Seahawks +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +7 -115

The Bears (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the 49ers. I just feel like there's a few too many unknowns with San Francisco quarterback Trey Lance for them to be laying this big of a number on the road. Chicago might not be a playoff team, but I don't think they are as completely outmatched here as the media is making it seem. Bears will be out to prove something in Week 1 and if Lance isn't right, I could see Chicago pulling off the upset. Play the Bears +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +4 -110

The Bengals (+4) are worth a look as a dog against the Rams in the Super Bowl. LA may have the more talented team from top to bottom, but Cincinnati has the edge at quarterback with Joe Burrow. I also think that the Bengals defense doesn't get near enough respect. I not only think Cincinnati keeps this close enough to cover, I got them winning outright. Play the Bengals +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +7 +100

The Bengals (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog on the road against the Chiefs in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. These two teams played in Week 17 and the Bengals won outright 34-31. KC's secondary had no answer for Burrow and Chase in that game. While I could see KC adjusting their scheme to prevent Chase from having a big game, they don't have enough cover guys to stop all the Bengals' weapons. I got this one going right down to the wire. Play the Bengals +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans -3 -110

The Titans (-3) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Bengals in Saturday's NFL action. Joe Burrow has been great and is going to be a problem in the AFC for years to come, but I don't think his time is now. Not against a rested Tennessee team that has got all their horses back for a playoff push. Titans also have a vastly underrated defense. One that I think could exploit a bad Bengals offensive line and keep this Cincinnati offensive show in check. Play the Titans -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Eagles +8½ -110

The Eagles (+8.5) are worth a look getting more than a TD against the Bucs in Sunday's early NFC Wild Card matchup. Mother Nature is going to play a big role in this game, as there's going to be winds north of 20 mph throughout. It's going to force both teams to run the football more than they would like and with the wind blowing straight down the field, one team is going to be handcuffed every quarter. You also got to look at the lack of weapons that Brady has right now. He's lost Brown and Godwin. He also doesn't have his top two backs in Fournette and Jones. If the Bucs run defense isn't on point, the Eagles may very well win this game. Play Philadelphia +8.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Raiders +5½ -110

The Raiders (+5.5) are worth a look in Saturday's AFC Wild Card matchup with the Bengals. Las Vegas needed some breaks to get to the postseason, but now that they are here I think they could make some noise. Cincinnati did win the regular-season meeting between these two teams 32-13, but it was a 16-13 game until the Bengals made it 22-13 with just 5 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Total yards was basically the same with Cin just +10 (288 to 278). This line should be closer to a field goal. Play the Raiders +5.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texans +10½ -110

The Texans (+10.5) are worth a look as a double-digit home dog against the Titans. Everyone is going to just assume that Tennessee is going to dominate this game. The Titans have to win to keep the No. 1 seed in the AFC, where Houston has nothing to pride to play for in the finale of a really frustrating season that was really derailed before it ever started with Watson not being able to play. I expect a big effort here from the Texans and wouldn't be shocked at all if this was a one score game in the 4th quarter. Play Houston +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers +3½ -110

We clearly got a great price on the Steelers (+3.5) in this one, but this is still a recommond play at the current line. This is an easy fade of the Browns, who were officially eliminated from postseason play with the Chargers win on Sunday. So on one side you have a team that has zero motivation and on the other a Steelers team that needs to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Play Pittsburgh! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +2½ -105

The Saints (+2.5) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. Most are going to just assume New Orleans is dead in the water because they have to start Ian Book at quarterback. I don't got a lot of trust in Book, but this Saints defense just shutout Tom Brady. They can do it again against a pretty average Miami offense. Book and the Saints running game does enough to get the win. Play New Orleans +2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Lions +13 -110

The Lions (+13) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Cardinals in Sunday's NFL action. I know Detroit followed up their first win of the season with an absolute dud last week against the Broncos, but that was to be expected. The Lions celebrated that first win like they had just won the Super Bowl. Look for the focus to be back here against one of the NFC's best in Arizona and I'm just not sold on the Cardinals being as good as what people think. Play the Lions +13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cowboys -4½ -110

The Cowboys (-4.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown on the road against the Football Team. Washington is being way overvalued right now after winning their last 4. Yes, the defense has played better, but a lot of that is who they have played. The Cowboys are finally getting healthy and this just feels like a statement spot for Dallas in a division game they really need to have. Play the Cowboys -4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +4½ -110

The Saints (+4.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Cowboys. Everyone is on Dallas here and I believe out of principal you got take New Orleans. Hill gives that offense some life, as they looked lost the last couple weeks with Siemian. It will also help facing this soft Cowboys defense. I also like that Saints defense to play well at home in a prime time stand alone game. Play the Saints +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +11 -110

The Giants (+11) are worth a look as a double-digit road dog against the Bucs on Monday Night Football. I just think the books have inflated this line on TB to where you got to take New York. The Giants have been covering machines as road dogs the last couple of seasons and the Bucs are just not playing great football. Nothing speaks more to that than Tampa Bay losing by double-digits as a double-digit favorite at Washington out of their bye week. Until the Bucs get healthy, I think they are going to have a hard time blowing teams out. Play the Giants +11! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Colts +7 +100

The Colts (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown underdog on the road against the Bills. This is just too many points for Buffalo to be laying in this matchup. Indy's without question one of the more talented teams who don't currently have a winning record and while the Bills come in at 6-3, they really haven't beat anyone outside of the Chiefs when KC was playing their worst football of the season. It's also not going to be ideal conditions to throw the ball with winds around 15 mph and a chance of rain. That's a big deal for a Bills' offense that can't run the football. Colts on the other hand have a top tier rushing attack. Play Indianapolis +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 49ers +3½ -110

The 49ers (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Rams on Monday Night Football. LA is a massive public play here in a prime time game, which should immediately have you looking the other way. This just feels like the ultimate buy low spot on the 49ers after that ugly 17-31 home loss to the Cardinals, who were without starting quarterback Kyler Murray. I think the 49ers defense can hold their own here, especially with the Rams losing a key cog to their offense in Robert Woods earlier this week in practice. I also like the 49ers offense to be able to move the ball at home against this Rams defense. Play San Francisco +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns +2½ -110

The Browns (+2.5) are worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Browns and Bengals. This is a good time to buy low on Cleveland. Everyone is writing off Cincy after last week's ugly loss at home to Steelers and all the off the field stuff with OBJ. Thing is, that was a tough matchup last week for the Browns offense against that strong Pittsburgh front. They should have a much easier time moving the ball against this Bengals defense. I also feel like OBJ is addition by subtraction. Cleveland reminds everyone how good they are. Play the Browns +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +4½ -110

The Saints (+4.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Bucs in Sunday's NFL action. Not many are giving New Orleans much of a shot in this game and I think that only adds to the fire for the Saints in this game. New Orleans beat Brady and the Bucs in both meetings last year. This Tampa Bay team has also been decimated with injuries on both sides. I like the Saints defense to be able to contain Brady, while Winston has a surprising big day against that bad and injury depleted Bucs secondary. Bet the Saints +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Packers -8 -110

The Packers (-8) are worth a look as big home favorite against the Football Team on Sunday. This just doesn't feel like near enough points for Washington on the road. The Football Team has been nothing like the team we thought we were going to see this year. The offense is a mess and the defense has been a huge disappointment. Green Bay on the other hand seems like they are a little under the radar right now. Aaron Rodgers should have his way in this one. Play the Packers -8! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Colts +7 +100

The Colts (+7) are worth a look catching a touchdown on the road against the Ravens on Monday Night Football. Time to sell high on Baltimore. The Ravens have managed a 3-1 start, but are a bit fortunate to not have a losing record. They stole a game at home against the Chiefs 36-35 in Week 2 and won on a record setting field goal in a 19-17 win at the Lions. Colts are just 1-3, but they got that elusive first win last week and it wouldn't surprise me at all if they won this game. Big thing here is the Colts have the defense that can slow down Lamar Jackson. Play Indianapolis +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Packers -3 +100

The Packers (-3) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Bengals in Sunday's Week 5 NFL action. I like Joe Burrow and this Bengals team, but my money is on Aaron Rodgers at this price. Rodgers is locked in right now and I'm not so sure this Cincinnati team is as good as we think. Their 4 wins are against the Vikings, Bears, Steelers and Jags. Still major concerns with the o-line in Cincinnati and that defense could get exposed. Play Green Bay -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +2½ -110

The Seahawks (+2.5) are worth a look at basically a pick'em at home against the Rams on Thursday Night Football. Everyone is running to back LA at less than a field goal. I will gladly go the other way. I like Seattle in the role of a home dog and I'm pretty confident that Russell Wilson and that Seahawks offense can move the ball against that Rams defense. Play Seattle +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Dolphins -2 -110

The Dolphins (-2) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Colts. There's just too much value to pass up with Miami laying less than a field goal at home. No Tua. No problem. Brissett isn't that big of a drop off. The Dolphins nearly won at Vegas last week with him under center. Plus, Indy is starting a backup in Wentz who is banged up. Colts as a whole have been hit hard with injuries early. Play the Dolphins -2! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Rams +1½ -110

The Rams (+1.5) are worth a look as a slim home dog against the Bucs. Books are begging you to take Tampa Bay as a short favorite, but I think this is a really tough matchup for Tom Brady and the Bucs. The biggest weakness for TB's defense is their secondary and this Rams team will be able to expose that with Stafford and all their weapons. I also think LA's defense has what it takes to slow down this Bucs offense. Look for Aaron Donald to show up in a big way in this game and we know that the only way to slow down Brady is to get pressure up the middle. Bet the Rams +1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Texans +8 -110

The Texans (+8) are worth a look as more than a touchdown home dog against the Panthers on Thursday Night Football. No one gave Houston a chance coming into this season and they went out and beat the Jags 37-21 in Week 1 as a 3-pt dog and covered as a 13.5-pt dog in last week's 21-31 loss at the Browns. That was with starting QB Tyrod Taylor going out with an injury. Now no one is giving them a shot here with rookie Davis Mills. Weird things happen in these Thursday games and the home team has too big an edge to not play Houston at this price. Play the Texans +8! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Steelers -6 -110

The Steelers (-6) are worth a look as a near TD favorite at home against the Raiders in Sunday's NFL action. Both teams off impressive wins as dogs in Week 1, but the situation here heavily favors Pittsburgh. The spot here is brutal for Las Vegas, as they are on short rest after playing MNF and also in a letdown spot after how they won that game against the Ravens. You also got to factor in that Baltimore wasn't anywhere close to full strength in that game. Pittsburgh's defense will be the difference. Play the Steelers -6! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Dolphins +3½ -110

The Dolphins (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Bills in Sunday's NFL action. No one wants to give this Miami team any love. Do the Dolphins win ugly? No doubt. The thing is they have done it enough now that you can't say it's a fluke. Buffalo will be desperate to avoid the 0-2 start, but winning on the road in the division is not an easy ask for any team. Wrong team favored in this one. Play the Dolphins +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on 49ers -8 -110

The 49ers (-8) are worth a look as a big road favorite against the Lions in Week 1. Laying this big of number on the road isn't a wise move long-term, but this is an absolute mismatch. The 49ers are a legit Super Bowl contender with all their guys back from injury. The Lions are one of the least talented and worst run teams in the NFL. I never liked Jared Goff in LA. I think he's going to regress a lot, as it just felt like it was more McVay and his scheme than anything with the Rams. Give me the 49ers -8! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bucs -8 -110

The Bucs (-8) are worth a look as a pretty big home favorite against the Cowboys in Thursday's NFL season opener. I just don't trust this Dallas team. Sure the offense is going to be potent with Dak Prescott back under center, but he's been banged up all training camp and facing one of the best defenses in the league. The even bigger issue here for Dallas is their defense. They got no shot at slowing down Tom Brady and this high-powered TB offense. Bucs win this one by double-digits easy. Play Tampa Bay -8! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bills +3½ -115

The Bills (+3.5) are worth a look here as a road dog against the Chiefs in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. As difficult as it may be to bet against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs at Arrowhead in a game of this magnitude, I believe Buffalo is built to take down the defending champs. The Bills have a defense that can keep KC from throwing it all over them and an offense that has been one of the best in the league down the stretch. Bills are also 9-1 ATS last 10 games, while the Chiefs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9. Play Buffalo +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns +10½ -113

The Browns (+10.5) are worth as a big road dog against the Chiefs in Sunday's AFC Divisional matchup. While Mahomes and KC offense figure to be able to move the ball against a suspect Browns defense, I think Baker Mayfield and that Cleveland offense will be able to do their part when they have the ball. Chiefs kind of have a way of coming out flat in these playoff games before rallying to win. I just don't see this turning into a blowout. Play the Browns +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Packers -6½ -110

The Packers (-6.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown at home on Saturday against the Rams. LA had an impressive win at Seattle over Wild Card weekend, but they had a number of guys get banged up. Aaron Donald is going to play but will he be 100%? It seems unlikely. Goff is also playing at less than 100%. That's the Rams two most important players. Green Bay is healthy and fresh after getting a bye and I just don't see them having much trouble here. Play the Packers -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Packers -4½ +102

The Packers (-4.5) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Bears. Green Bay needs this game to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC, while the Bears can earn a Wild Card spot with a victory. The fact that Chicago has something to play and have looked good over the last month, I think it has the Bears getting too much respect here. Chicago's simply feasted on some bad teams, who all play little to no defense. Aaron Rodgers is just too good to lose a game like this. Play Green Bay -4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cowboys -1 -115

The Cowboys (-1) are worth a look as they go on the road to face the Giants in a big game that could propel one of these teams to a division title if Washington were to lose at Philadelphia later tonight. Dallas comes in having won 3 straight and have scored 30+ points in each of those victories. The Giants have lost 3 straight and scored a combined 26 points in those 3 games. I just don't see New York being able to keep pace offensively in this one. Play the Cowboys -1! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bills -7 -105

The Bills (+7) are worth a look here as a touchdown favorite on the road against the Patriots. Just because Buffalo has locked up the AFC East doesn't mean there isn't more to play for. The Bills still got a shot at the No. 2 seed, which would ensure another home game if they can win on Wild Card weekend. Also, if there's a game they are going to lay down in, it's next week against the Dolphins. Not at home against the Patriots on Monday Night Football. New England just doesn't have the offense to keep this close. Play the Bills -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers +2½ -112

Pittsburgh (+2.5) is worth a look here as a small home dog against the Colts. This is the perfect time to jump back on the Steelers bandwagon. I know the Steelers have lost 3 straight and just lost as a two touchdown favorite last week at Cincinnati, but they should not be a home dog here. This is still one of the top teams in the league and I confident they get things back on track with a win against Indy. Play Pittsburgh +2.5!

20* SHARP PLAY on 49ers +5 -105

The 49ers (+5) are worth a look here as a decent road dog against division rival Arizona. With SF having played their last few home games at Arizona's stadium, the home field edge is not as strong as it normally would be. I also think there's a perception here that because this game means everything to Arizona in terms of making the playoffs and nothing to SF, that the 49ers are going to not show up. I don't think that will be the case at all. Plenty of motivation for SF to play spoiler. Play the 49ers +5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers -14½ +100

The Steelers (-14.5) are worth a look as a big road favorite against the Bengals. I just think because Pittsburgh hasn't looked as good here the last few weeks, it has people hesitant to lay this many points on the road with them. I get it, but all signs here point to the Steelers running away with this one. Cincinnati can't do anything on the offensive side of the ball and the defense isn't much better. They have to play great and have a lot of breaks go their way just to make games competitive since losing rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. Play the Steelers -14.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chargers +3½ -108

The Chargers (+3.5) are worth a look catching more than a field goal on the road against division rival Las Vegas. I know the Raiders technically are the only team in the playoff race, but I just think LV is in a bad place right now. They got multiple starters out on defense and I don't think firing the DC is going to make things any better on that side of the ball. It's a lack of talent more than it is coaching. There's also plenty of motivation for LA to play spoiler here in a prime time game. Play the Chargers +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns +3½ -115

The Browns (+3.5) are worth a look on Monday Night Football. Cleveland will be hosting division rival Baltimore in a game you know the Browns have had circled after that ugly 38-6 loss they were dealt by the Ravens back in Week 1. These are two different teams since they played in September. Cleveland is surging off 4 straight wins. Baltimore is just 1-3 in their last 4 and while they did win their last game, it was against a bad Cowboys team who plays absolutely no defense. This is also a tough spot for the Ravens, who are playing their 3rd game in 13 days because of that Week 12 game against the Steelers getting pushed back almost a week. Play the Browns +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +3 -113

The Giants (+3) are worth a look here as a home dog against the Cardinals. The public really has fallen in love with Kyler Murray and Arizona this year. Even though the Cardinals are reeling, they continue to get love from the books. I just don't think they should be a favorite in this one. Arizona has lost 3 straight and failed to cover 5 straight games. Murray just doesn't seem right and that's a problem with the lack of defense this Cardinals team plays. Not to mention the Giants are one of the best defensive teams in the league. Play New York +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ravens -8½ -102

The Ravens (-8.5) are worth a look as they host the Cowboys on Tuesday. Baltimore has lost 3 in a row and have been hit hard with Covid over the last couple of weeks, but they are getting a lot of guys back and should be ready to go for this one. Had these two teams played a few weeks ago, everyone would be on Baltimore at this price. I just don't get the love for Dallas. Cowboys can't stop the run, which is a big problem against Lamar Jackson and this Ravens offense. Dallas also is depleted on the offensive line after losing two more starters in their last game. Play Baltimore -8.5!

15* SHARP PLAY on Texans +3½ -115

Houston (+3.5) is worth a look, as I don't think the Texans should be catching a field goal and the hook at home in a division game. Texans have really been a much more competitive team since they let go of Bill O'Brien. They come into this one having won 3 of their last 4 games and are riding a 3-game cover streak. Colts just got annihilated at home by the Titans 45-26. A once dominant Indy defense has now allowed 76 points in their last 2 games. Look for Deshaun Watson to have a big game in this one. Play the Texans +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jaguars +10½ -110

The Jaguars (+10.5) are the gift that just keeps on giving. Jacksonville has lost 10 straight and the books just keep inflating the number on this team, because the public only looks to play the other side. Jags have covered 3 of their last 4. Vikings are a good team and have been playing better of late, but no way should they be laying double-digits. Minnesota likely gets the win, but by 10 or fewer. Play the Jaguars +10.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Giants -6 -110

The Giants (-6) are worth a look here at less than a touchdown favorite against the Bengals. I just don't trust this Cincinnati team at all without Joe Burrow at quarterback. Burrow did a great job covering up a bad offensive line and no run game. Without him this offense is going to struggle to just get first downs. There's also nothing left to play for for the Bengals. Giants on the other hand can move into a tie with the Redskins for 1st place in the NFC East. New York is also coming off a bye. Play the Giants -6! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals -1½ -105

The Cardinals (-1.5) are worth a look here at basically a pick'em against the Patriots. I just think the books are giving New England way too much respect. With Kyler Murray cleared to play, I look for Arizona to win this game rather easily. Patriots just don't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace and are dealing with more injuries on their offensive line. Play the Cardinals -1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans +6 +100

The Titans (+6) are worth a look in Sunday's NFL action that has Tennessee visiting Baltimore. I just don't trust this Ravens team at all right now. Lamar Jackson is nothing close to the MVP player we saw a year ago and the defense hasn't been as dominant in recent weeks as it was early in the year. Ravens couldn't slow down Derrick Henry last time they faced the Titans and I look for him to have another big game here. I'm confident Tennessee covers this number and would not be shocked if they won outright. Play the Titans +6! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks -3½ +113

The Seahawks (-3.5) are worth a look as a small home favorite on Thursday Night Football against the Cardinals. This is a prime spot to buy low on Seattle coming off back-to-back losses. Everyone is all over Russell Wilson for his poor play. On the other side you have the Cardinals fresh off a win over the Bills where they won the game on a last second Hail Mary pass. Could be tough for Arizona to get their emotions in check on just a few days rest. Also, Seahawks are going to be out for revenge from a 34-37 loss at Arizona in a game they really should have won. Play Seattle -3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans -1½ -110

The Titans (-1.5) are worth a look at home against the Colts on Thursday Night Football. It's no secret that Tennessee has been a little fortunate to be sitting with a 6-2 record, but this is still a really good team. I think the books have made a mistake here and really undervalued the Titans at home against a good but not great Indianapolis team. Play the Titans -1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 49ers +6½ -115

The 49ers (+6.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Packers on Thursday Night Football. The narrative for this one is the 49ers got no chance with all the guys they are missing, but this SF team has pulled this stunt before and went out and won when they had no business doing so. We don't need them to win, just keep it close and with the struggles GB is having on defense, I think they can at worst keep it within a TD. Play the 49ers +6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +13 -115

The Giants (+13.5) are worth a look as a near two touchdown home dog on Monday Night Football. There's just not a lot you can do to get the public to take New York against a red-hot Bucs team. So while this number might seem like a lot, it's probably inflated a couple points. The value here is with New York. Giants have a decent defense and are going to play inspired in this spot. You also have to wonder if the Bucs won't have a hard time looking ahead to next Sunday's prime time game (SNF) against division rival New Orleans. Play The Giants +13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Dolphins +3½ -108

The Dolphins (+3.5) are worth a look. Everyone is down on Miami right now because they decided to bench Fitzpatrick for Tua. I get Fitzpatrick was playing well, but there's no question the more upside is with Tua and there's been nothing to make you think he's going to play poorly. I really think Tua is going to impress and having two weeks to prepare is huge for the youngster. I also feel like he's catching the Rams at the right time. LA is playing on short rest and has to travel clear across the country for an early start time. Play the Dolphins +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Falcons +2½ -101

The books are begging for money on the Panthers, who will host the Falcons on Thursday Night Football. The public is taking the bait. Even still big money is on Atlanta in this one, as the line continues to drop. Falcons undervalued because of how they keep finding ways to lose games. They are much better than their 1-6 record. Play Atlanta +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Packers -3 -115

The Packers (-3) are an easy play for me. I just think what happened to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week in that ugly loss to the Bucs was an outlier for Green Bay. It couldn't have looked better to start, but they lost momentum and could never get it back. Rodgers had as bad a game as I can remember him having. Great players have a tendency to come back from a bad game with a great game. Texans have been playing better since they fired O'Brien, but they are off an all-time gut wrencher in last week's OT loss to the Titans. Play the Packers -3!

20* SHARP PLAY on Bills +5 -105

We are going to take the points with the Bills (+5) in their big Monday Night Football matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. No surprise we have seen the line move in favor of KC. While both teams lost last week, the betting public will have a hard time seeing the Chiefs lose two straight. That's why they keep backing them at a bad price. The value here is with the Bills catching over both the key numbers of 3 and 4. Would not be surprised at all if Buffalo won this game. Play the Bills +5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Rams -3 -105

The Rams (-3) are worth a look at San Francisco on Sunday Night Football. I lot of people look at this line as the books baiting you to take LA, but I think it's more of the 49ers still being overvalued from their Super Bowl run a year ago. This is the same team that just lost 43-17 at home to the Dolphins last week. I get they will have Jimmy G back, but he's not going to help the defense. Sean McVay and that Rams offensive attack should have a field day in this one. Play the Rams -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Patriots -8½ -110

The Patriots (-8.5) are worth a look at home against the Broncos in Week 6. Both teams haven't played since Week 4 because of COVID. The extra time to prepare will be beneficial to both teams, but more so to Bill Belichick and his staff. Few, if any, are better are preparing for an opponent. Patriots are also expected to get back starting QB Cam Newton, who was playing at a very high level before missing the Chiefs game with the virus. I expect him to have a big game here against a depleted Broncos defense. Play New England -8.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans +3½ -110

The Titans (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Bills. No one is giving Tennessee much of a shot in this game, even though the line suggests the books see this as a pretty even matchup. Titans will be down some key players, but they still got Henry and Tannehill. That's more than enough to move the ball. Buffalo is no longer a defensive juggernaut like they have been in years past. Play the Titans +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints -7 -110

I will lay the points with the Saints (-7) at home against the Chargers on Monday Night Football. It's been an up and down start to 2020 for New Orleans. A lot of people might look to take the 7 with LA, especially with how well rookie Justin Herbert has been playing. Also, no Michael Thomas for the Saints. I just don't see the Chargers keeping this close. 

We saw New Orleans get that offense back on track in their last game against the Lions. With the way Drew Brees and this offense like to show out in prime time home games, I expect NO to put up a big number. Herbert is good, but he's mistake prone. Chargers are also greatly handicapped by their head coach. Play the Saints -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +5 -110

The Bears (+5) are worth a look here as a home dog on Thursday Night Football against Tom Brady and the Bucs. No question that Tampa Bay is the public side in this one. I think we are getting a ton of value here with Chicago. Brady and that Bucs offense is hurting right now. They got several key guys out and others that are playing at less than 100%. Nick Foles wasn't great in his first start, but should bounce back with a strong showing in this one. Play Chicago +5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Colts -2½ -110

The Colts (-2.5) are worth a look as a small road favorite against the Bears. Everyone's perception of Chicago has changed dramatically after they finally benched Trubisky in favor of Nick Foles. I think it will entice a lot of people to take the points with the Bears at home. I just don't see Chicago winning this game. Colts are a sneaky good team and really have a good defense. Play the Colts -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Panthers +3½ -115

The Panthers (+3.5) are worth a look catching over a field goal at home against the Cardinals. Most have just written off Carolina after they lost star running back Christian McCaffrey. It's a big loss, but this team is out to prove there's more to offer than just him. Teddy Bridgewater has looked good with this team and he should be able to have some success against this Arizona defense. Arizona is not all they are made out to be and we saw some of that last week in their home loss to the Lions. Play the Panthers +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jets +1 -115

The Jets (+1) are worth a look at basically a pick'em at home against the Broncos. Most will find an excuse to not watch this game between two bad teams that have been ravaged by injuries. I on the other hand see value with New York. Jets have a big edge playing at home on short rest and while Darnold is far from a franchise QB, he's better than what Denver is sending out in Rypien. Play the Jets +1! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Patriots -5½ -110

I'll take my chances here with the Patriots (-5.5) at home against the Raiders. This is a good time to fade Oakland. Raiders have started out 2-0, but this is not a playoff team. Not uncommon for a bad team to pull off a big upset in prime time like Oakland did last week beating the Saints on MNF. Now the Raiders are on short rest and have to travel across the country for an early start time. Cam Newton and the Pats will be too much. Play New England -5.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jaguars -3 +105

The Jaguars (-3) are worth a look as a slim field goal favorite at home against the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. Everyone was expected Jacksonville to be the worst team in the NFL. So far that hasn't been the case. Jags upset the Colts in Week 1 and almost upset the Titans in Week 2. Dolphins are not a good team and I think the worse a team is the harder it is for them to play well on the road in these Thursday games with just 3 days off. Minshew Mania will be in full force tonight. Play the Jaguars -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Jaguars +7½ -105

The Jaguars (+7.5) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Titans. Jacksonville pulled off the upset of Week 1 with a 27-20 victory over the Colts as a 7-point dog. No one was giving the Jaguars any shot in that game. The perception everyone had with this team is they were tanking for Trevor Lawrence. 

Clearly the players and coaches aren't trying to tank with the effort they gave in Week 1. I like Minshew. He's a legit NFL quarterback. Not having Fournette isn't the end of the world. Tennessee wasn't very sharp in their Week 1 game at Denver and now are on a short. Play the Jaguars +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jets +7 -105

The Jets (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home to the 49ers. I wasn't impressed at all with what I saw in San Francisco week 1. It's hard to explain and every year people think this is the team that will be the exception, but the Super Bowl loser really has struggled to perform close to expectations the following season. 

49ers lost some key pieces and are really decimated with injuries right now. They won't have George Kittle and he's who the offense really runs through. I get the Jets are a bad team, but this not as big a mismatch as you might think. Play the Jets +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks -2½ -105

The Seahawks (-2.5) are worth a look against the Falcons. I really like Seattle to win this game. Russell Wilson is every bit as good as any other QB in this league and he should have himself quite the 1-2 punch with Lockett and Metcalf. Seattle's defense also got a massive upgrade in safety Jamal Adams. We all know how important the safety position is in that defense from the days they had both Chancellor and Thomas. Atlanta is all flash with their passing game. They don't have a very balanced attack and there's plenty of concerns with that defense. Play the Seahawks -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +2½ -103

Chicago (+2.5) is worth a look here as a small road dog against the Lions. I think there's such a negative perception with the Bears because of Trubisky at quarterback that it has them showing big time value in Week 1. The Lions are just not a good team and the time is running out on head coach Matt Patricia. They got Matthew Stafford, but he's going to be without his go to guy in Kenny Golladay. They also have several other guys on the injury report. Bears defense is still rock solid and I think the offense will be much better in 2020. Play Chicago +2.5! 

20* SEAHAWKS/EAGLES NFL WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Eagles +2½ -110

My money is on the Eagles to cash in a win and cover as a 2.5-point home dog against the Seahawks in Sunday's NFC Wild Card action. Seattle has the much better record, but the Seahawks are no where close to as good as their record would indicate. Seattle only had two wins all season by more than a touchdown and closed out the season losing 3 of their last 4 when they had a chance to win the NFC West and get a first round bye. We saw New England struggle down the stretch and lose at home to the Titans yesterday. Eagles have all the momentum and just seem to find a way to win these games in the postseason when they are a dog. BET PHILADELPHIA +2.5! 

15* SEAHAWKS/RAMS NFL SHARP WINNER on Rams +1 -105

My money is on the Rams to cash in a win and cover at home against the Seahawks. I just feel like the price here is too good to pass up with LA at home. Rams are not as bad as what people think and I was really impressed with how this team bounced back last week in their blowout win at Arizona off that ugly showing against the Ravens on MNF the week before. SEahawks are also not as good as their 10-2 record. Seattle has been very fortunate in close games and winning on the road inside the division is a real challenge for these NFC West teams. BET THE RAMS +1! 

20* CHIEFS/CHARGERS NFL WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Chiefs -4 -110

My money is on the Chiefs to cash in a win over the Chargers in Mexico. I think now is the ideal time to buy low on Kansas City. This line is basically saying that the Chiefs would only be about a pick'em on a neutral field. I don't think that's legit at all. LA just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace with Mahomes and that explosive KC offense. BET THE CHIEFS -4! 

20* DOLPHINS/COLTS NFL WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Dolphins +12½ -113

My money is on the Dolphins to cash in a cover here as a double-digit dog at the Colts. Even after beating the Jets 26-18 as a 3.5-point dog for their first win of the season, the public is still not going to want anything to do with this team. Thing is, Miami has been quietly getting better with each week and there's just no way the Colts should be laying double-digits here with starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett out for this game. BET THE DOLPHINS +12.5! 

20* PATRIOTS/JETS NFL WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Jets +10 -115

My money is on the Jets to cash in an easy cover here as a double-digit dog at home against the Patriots on Monday Night Football. I think we are getting a price on New York because of their record, but this is clearly a different team with Sam Darnold at quarterback. Patriots are 6-0, but the schedule has been very favorable to this point. NE couldn't run the ball when these two met up in Week 3 and Brady will be without several key option in the passing game because of injury. Jets are more than capable of winning this game outright. BET NEW YORK +10!