|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-21-22||Denver +8.5 v. Oregon State||52-57||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
The Denver Pioneers look to rebound from their loss at Nebraska-Omaha, 66-83, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Pioneers having a decent season at 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS. They have covered four of their last five spread games. Denver returned two starters that went 11-21 last year and 7-11 in the Summit Conference. With a big step last year they are expect to finish in the top four of the conference this year and thus far they are showing worthy of that. They face an Oregon State team that really has no where to go but up after a 3-28 season last year and 1-19 PAC-12 mark. However, they return just one starter to this year's team. They have already surpassed last year with a 6-6 mark this season. They are also 5-5-1 ATS. The Beavers are coming off a win over Wisconsin Green Bay, but failed to cover the 16-point line, 65-56. The Beavers definitely a better team this year than last, but laying eight points tonight to a decent Denver team is just a bit much for me. I'll take the dog in Denver.
|12-21-22||South Alabama -3 v. Western Kentucky||23-44||Loss||-120||8 h 60 m||Show|
Reason: Lone game on the Bowl slate tonight has the New Orleans Bowl between South Alabama and Western Kentucky. The Sun Belt rep in this game has won five straight New Orleans Bowls and the South Alabama Jaguars look to make that six in a row here tonight. Western Kentucky had a lot of replacing to do on offense this year as OC Zach Kittley, QB Bailey Zappe and their top two receivers all departed. However, they did a good job replacing them as they are back in the Bowl game again this year with a 8-5 record. South Alabama is under 2nd year coach Kane Wommack and he had them at 5-7 last year but stepped up this year to a 10-2 mark as both sides of the ball saw great improvements. One of their losses came by just one point to UCLA. One area that could be a problem for Western tonight is their rush defense, that allowed 155.9 yards per game and their 2nd leading tackler will be out as he declared for the NFL Draft. This game will be the South Alabama outstanding defense against the Western Ky offense. Look for South Alabama to control the ball on the ground and their defense to stiffle the Hilltoppers. I expect South Alabama to come out on top here tonight.
|12-21-22||Auburn v. Washington +4||84-61||Loss||-110||8 h 58 m||Show|
A pair of nine win teams face off tonight from Washington as the Huskies host the Auburn Tigers. The Tigers make the long trip West with their 9-2 S/U and 4-7 ATS records. The Tigers are coming off a loss at USC on Sunday, 71-74, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was the teams third straight game that they haven't covered and fifth of their last six games. Washington is 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Huskies have won two straight games including last time out over Idaho State, 90-55, as a 14.5-point favorite. Washington is 7-1 S/U at home this season and has only been a home dog once and they won that game over Colorado, 73-63. I like Washington tonight to win this game straight0up, but I'll take the points. Play Washington.
|12-21-22||Bucks v. Cavs -1.5||106-114||Win||100||6 h 9 m||Show|
Two of the Eastern Conference heavyweights will clash here tonight as the 22-8 Milwaukee Bucks travel to Cleveland to take on the 21-11 Cavaliers. The Bucks are 17-11-2 ATS on the season and have covered their last two games. They are coming off a win at New Orleans, 128-119, as a 1-point dog. The Bucks have won seven of their last nine games and are 5-3-1 ATS during that span. The Cavs are 18-13-1 ATS this season and have won four straight games after their win over the Jazz, 122-99, as a 7-point favorite. What I like most about this Cavs team is their play at home. The Cavaliers are 15-2 S/U and 13-4 ATS at home this year and outscoring opponents by a 113.7-1-3.4 margin. Both teams are good and you can make a case for either, but I will take the Cavs at home tonight.
|12-21-22||St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova||Top||63-78||Loss||-110||7 h 24 m||Show|
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's.
|12-20-22||Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado||Top||67-65||Win||100||8 h 20 m||Show|
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force.
|12-19-22||Rams +7 v. Packers||Top||12-24||Loss||-100||19 h 48 m||Show|
The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams.
|12-19-22||Jazz v. Cavs -6||99-122||Win||100||7 h 57 m||Show|
The Utah Jazz are in 8th place in the Western Conference standings and have gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and are 7-3 their last 10 games. The Jazz had their two game win streak snapped last game at Milwaukee, 97-123, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Jazz 6-10 S/U on the road this year. The Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day rest. The Cavaliers have won three straight games, though covered just one of them. They are coming off a win over Dallas, 100-99, as a 8.5-point favorite. The Cavs are a six point favorite here tonight at home. They have been very good at home, going 14-2 S/U and 12-4 ATS on the season with a 8.6 point differential. With the Cavs at home here tonight I'll lay the points with them Play Cleveland.
|12-18-22||Bengals -3.5 v. Bucs||34-23||Win||100||16 h 35 m||Show|
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bengals are now 9-1 ATS their last 10 on grass, 13-3 ATS their last 16 on the road and 14-3 ATS their last 17 following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bucs are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight at home, 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 games overall. Cincinnati just a much better team than this Tampa Bay club is right now. I'll take the Bengals.
|12-18-22||Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders||24-30||Loss||-110||15 h 14 m||Show|
The New England Patriots look to continue their dominance vs the Raiders here on Sunday. The Pats have won six straight vs the Raiders and now it's mentor vs mentee as Josh McDaniels looks to beat his old coach in Bill Bellichick. Somehow the Raiders collapsed (again) last week and let Baker Mayfield lead the Rams on two late TD drives to pull out the win, 17-16. A unsportsmanlike penalty on Raiders' Perryman sure helped in the defeat as the play was a sack and ended up 15 yards and a first down all because he slapped the ball out of the players hand. It's bad enough when physical mistakes hurt you, but stupid mental ones really are hard to take. That loss ended any hope of a Raiders playoff as they dropped to 5-8. While not mathematically eliminated, they sure look to be done as a Thanksgiving Turkey. The Pats need a win here today to improve on their 7-6 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Pats are a good bounce back team, evidenced by their 23-5 spread mark the last 28 times they have got 250 yards or fewer the previous game. They are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall. Not only has the road team covered four of the last five in this series, but the Pats are 5-1 ATS their last six meetings. I'm taking the Patriots as the Raiders just keep finding ways to lose games.
|12-18-22||Elon +9 v. Valparaiso||66-71||Win||100||2 h 49 m||Show|
The Elon Phoenix are just 2-9 S/U this season and 2-7 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Prebyterian, 63-69, just missing the cover at +5.5-points. Elon only returned one starter to a team that was 10-22 last year and 7-11 in the CAA. They lost in the first round of the CAA tournament. Billy Taylor took over as head coach after Mike Schrage resigned at the end of last year to return to Duke. Taylor has 11 years as a NCAA coach so he brings experience to the team. Valparaiso returns three starters to a team that was 14-18 overall and 6-12 in the Missouri Valley last year. The Beacons are 4-7 this season and 2-8 ATS on the year. They are coming off a loss to Ole Miss, 61-98 as a 15-point dog. The club has been installed three times as the favorite this year and were 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in those games with a +2.3 point differential. Now today here they are laying around eight points to this Elon club. Neither team is very good but I don't see any way that Valpo should be laying these kinds of points. I'll take Elon here plus the points.
|12-18-22||Cowboys v. Jaguars +4||34-40||Win||100||12 h 9 m||Show|
The Dallas Cowboys struggled all game with the lowly Houston Texans last week, but finally pulled out the win, 27-23, as a 17-point favorite. The Texans didn't roll over against their intrastate rivals from the North. The win improved the Cowboys to 10-3, though they still trail the 1st place Eagles by two games. As for Jacksonville, they pulled the upset win at Tennessee last week, 36-22, as a 3-point dog. The Jags are now 7-1 on the season when they score 24 or more points. They are 0-6 when scoring fewer then 24 points. The Jags are in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of first place Tennessee. The Jags offense is decent, ranked 11th overall while Dallas is one slot higher at 10th. The Jags are 27th on defense while Dallas is much better at 5th. Dallas has been a good covering team, but not so much on the grass where they are 3-7 ATS their last 10. In addition the dog has covered four of the last five in this series. Question is, which Jax team do we see today, the one that scores 24 points or more and wins or the one that scores fewer than 24 and loses. I think we see the former here as they get those 24 or more points and cover this dog line. Play Jacksonville.
|12-17-22||Dolphins v. Bills -7||29-32||Loss||-110||9 h 39 m||Show|
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. The weather conditions play a big role for me here today and as such I have to go against the Dolphins who are used to that muggy Florida warm weather. Play Buffalo.
|12-17-22||Fresno State -4 v. Washington State||29-6||Win||100||25 h 31 m||Show|
Fresno State comes into this LA Bowl with momentum, having won eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Washington State Cougars are a team in flux as they have coaching and personnel who will be missing today. Fresno State finished the regular season at 9-4 overall and riding that 8-game win streak. They looked great in the Mountain West Championship, beating Boise State on the Boise Blue turf, 28-16. This veteran team average 395 yards per game. They also held their last three opponents to just 30 combined points. Washington State finished the regular season at 7-5 overall under first year coach Jake Dickert. Washington State will be without OC Eric Morris who became the head coach at North Texas. He will also lose DC Brian Ward who will become head coach at Arizona State. They will also lose starting WR De'Zhaun Stribling and Donavan Ollie as both players entered the transfer portal and have departed. On defense they lose All-PAC-12 linebacker Daiyan Henley as he opted out for the NFL draft. Everything points to the Bulldogs here on Saturday. Take Fresno.
|12-17-22||Florida v. Oregon State -7.5||3-30||Win||100||3 h 6 m||Show|
Las Vegas Bowl pits the SEC vs the PAC 12 as Oregon State takes on Florida. The Oregon State Beavers can win 10 games with a victory here today in Vegas. Meanwhile, Florida at 6-6 was just luck to get a bowl bid. Plus, the Gators will have a new QB under center after starter Anthony Richardson opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus, backup QB Jalen Kitna was released from the team earlier. Also opting out was their leading receiver Justin Shorter and Nay'Quan Wright and Lorenzo Lingard, both running backs, entered the transfer protocol. It looks like 20 scholarship players will be absent from the Florida sideline today. I'm not even looking at stats in this game. Florida shouldn't be here today and Oregon State will run away with the game.
|12-17-22||Alabama v. Gonzaga +1.5||90-100||Win||100||1 h 14 m||Show|
Marquee game here on Saturday has Alabama taking on Gonzaga. Alabama is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Nov 25 at home against U Conn, 67-82 as a 2-point favorite. They have won four games since, including last game over Memphis, 91-88, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Tide were aided by lots of Memphis foul trouble in that game. Gonzaga's 8-3 mark is considered a down season by the Zags, though very good for most teams. The Bulldogs have won three straight games, including last time out at home over Northern Illinois, 88-67, as a 32.5-point favorite. The Zags usually laying lots of points, that's partly why we see them with just a 3-8 spread record. Today will mark just the second time all season that they will be a dog in a the game. You have to go back to Nov 16 vs Texas when they were a 2-point dog and lost 74-93 for the last time. Should be a very good game, but I'm taking Gonzaga as the small dog here on Saturday.
|12-15-22||49ers v. Seahawks +3.5||21-13||Loss||-115||10 h 52 m||Show|
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. The Niners haven't like these short weeks, going 3-9 ATS their last 12 times on Thursday. Meanwhile, Seattle doesn't seem to mind the short week as much with a 8-2-2 ATS mark their last 12 times on Thursday. The Mariners are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs the 49ers in Seattle. They are also 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings overall. I'll take the points at home against a backup QB here tonight.
|12-14-22||UCLA +1.5 v. Maryland||87-60||Win||100||8 h 39 m||Show|
UCLA made it all the way to the NCAA Sweet 16 last year before losing. They had a fine season with a 27-8 overall record and 15-5 and 2nd place finish in the PAC-12. They returned two starters to the team for this season. The Bruins looking at another excellent season as they start 8-2 this year. They are also 5-5 ATS. They have won five straight games since their back-to-back losses to Illinois and Baylor. They are coming off a win over Denver, 87-64, as a 26.5-point favorite. Maryland also is off to an 8-2 S/U and ATS start to their season. The Terrapins looking to build off a poor 2021 season that saw the club go 15-17 overall and finish 11th in the Big 10 with a 7-13 mark. They lost in the Big 10 Conference tournament 2nd round. The goal of the team this year is their high shooting percentage and to defend the 3-point line. They do lack depth though so foul trouble could be of concern for this team. Maryland started this season 8-0 but has lost its last two games to Wisconsin, 59-64 and then last game at home to Tennessee, 53-56, as a 5.5-point dog. After not scoring fewer than 71 points in any of their first eight games, they have put up back-to-back performances of less than 60 points. Their shooting percentage they so wanted to be good this year has dropped to season lows 38.28 vs Wisconsin and then their lowest of the year vs Tennessee of 32.7%. With the Terps reeling a bit of late, I'll take the visitors in this one. Play UCLA.
|12-13-22||Memphis +8 v. Alabama||Top||88-91||Win||100||9 h 44 m||Show|
The Memphis Tigers returned two starters to a team this year that went 22-11 overall and 13-5 in the AAC last year. The Tigers thought they were underated last year and maybe they were. So this season they have come out of the gate with a 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS marks. The Tigers have won six straight games and covered four of those. They are coming off a home win over Auburn, 82-73, as a 1-point dog. Alabama also off to a good start at 8-1 on the season with a 6-3 spread record. The Crimson Tide only loss coming against U Conn, 67-82, as a 2-point favoirte. They are coming off a win over highly ranked Houston, 71-65, as a 8.5-point dog. That is their biggest win of the season though they could be in for a letdown here today after that upset. The Tide returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. They are also 18-7 ATS their last 25 games overall. Alabama is only 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games at home. I'll take the Tigers here tonight plus the points.
|12-12-22||Creighton v. Arizona State +3.5||71-73||Win||100||7 h 49 m||Show|
The Creighton BlueJays are 6-4 S/U and ATS on the season. However, the Jays started the season with six straight wins and have now lost four in a row, including their last game on Saturday to BUY, 80-83, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes two in a rows they have lost straight-up as a heavy favorite. Creighton returned three starters from a team that went 23-12 overall last year and loss in the NCAA tournament 2nd round. This team was red-hot to finish last year and many had them in their preseason top 5. They started hot this year too, but have since cooled down. Arizona State returns two starters to a 14-17 team from last year and didn't make any tournaments. This also looks to be the deepest team that ASU has had in some time. So far it's panned out too with the Sun Devils out to a 9-1 start to the season. They have won seven in a row including last game over SMU, 75-57, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered six of their last seven games. Their biggest win so far was a win over Michigan, 87-62, as a 7.5-point dog. Still, not getting a lot of respect by the oddsmaker here at home as they have been installed as a 4-point dog. I'll take those points. Play Arizona State.
|12-12-22||Cavs -8.5 v. Spurs||111-112||Loss||-110||6 h 30 m||Show|
East vs West tonight as the Cleveland Cavaliers head West to take on the San Antonio Spurs. The Cavaliers are 3rd in the East with a 17-10 record and 16-10-1 spread record. The Cavs are coming off a win over the OKC Thunder 110-102 as a 4.5 point favorite. The Cavs are 4-0-2 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a win percentage below .400. They are also 3-1-1 ATS their last five games on one day rest. The Spurs have struggled out of the gate, now just 8-18 overall and 2-8 their last 10 games. The Spurs have won and covered their last two games, snapping a 11-game losing streak. They are off a win and cover at Miami, 115-111, as a 12-point dog. Still, they have covered just two of their last 11 games. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The Cavs have covered five of the last six in this series and I look for that to continue here tonight. Play Cleveland.
|12-11-22||Panthers v. Seahawks -4||30-24||Loss||-105||19 h 18 m||Show|
The Carolina Panthers are in third place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record. The Panthers have won two of the last three games including two weeks ago over Denver, 23-10, as a pick'em. The Panthers had last week off to prepare for today's contest. The offense is not very good, ranked 30th overall. The defense is better, ranked at 19th overall and 14th vs the pass. The Panthers are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the NFC. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine road games. The Seattle Seahawks making a push for a postseason spot as they are 7-5 overall and 2nd in the NFC West, one game back of the 49ers. Seattle is coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-23, failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Seattle offense ranks 9th overall (7th passing) and the defense is 30th. The Hawks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Panthers in Seattle. This is a long trip to the Northwest for the Panthers and I look for a Seattle win as they push for a playoff spot.
|12-11-22||Vikings v. Lions -2||23-34||Win||100||27 h 39 m||Show|
The NFC North is already fully handled by the Minnesota Vikings as they sit atop the division with a 10-2 record. The next closest team are these Detroit Lions with a 5-7 record. Realistically it looks like only the Vikings will make the playoffs from the North. The Vikings have won two games in a row including last week over the Jets 27-22, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their offense was held to just 287 yards by a very good Jets defense. The Vikes offense ranks 19th overall in the league and 31st on defense, last in pass defense. Not very good for a team that is 10-2 overall on the season. The Lions may only have five wins, but they have been very competitive and have lost five games by four points or fewer this year. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 40-14, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have also won four of their last five games and covered five in a row. Their defense is dead last in the NFL but their offense ranks 7th overall. They have a very balanced offense, 10th in rushing, 9th in passing. The Vikings are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record and 1-5-1 ATS their last seven vs the NFC. Conversely, the Lions are 7-0 ATS their last seven vs the NFC and 9-2 ATS their last 11 at home. Detroit has covered the last four in this series and four of the last five in Detroit. I like the Lions here today.
|12-11-22||Ravens v. Steelers -1||16-14||Loss||-110||17 h 8 m||Show|
The Baltimore Ravens found themselves in a defensive battle last week vs the Denver Broncos and came out on top in a 10-9 win, but didn't come close to covering the 8.5-point favorite line. The Ravens had just 285 total yards of offense, but held the Broncos to just 272 yards. The Ravens have now failed to cover the spread in their last three games. The Ravens will also be without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his knee early in the Broncos contest. The Ravens will look to Tyler Huntley here on Sunday. Baltimore's defense is good but not great as they are ranked 13th overall. They are 2nd vs the rush but 25th vs the pass. The offense was already 14th, 3rd rushing, but without Jackson at QB those numbers won't be as good. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won two straight games including last week at Atlanta, 19-16, as a 1-point favorite. The defense ranks just 24th with the offense at 26th. The Ravens are just 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games and 3-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. They have also gone 0-4 ATS their last four vs the AFC North. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their last seven games overall. They have also covered five of the last seven vs the Ravens. With Jackson out I'll take the Steelers here today.
|12-10-22||IUPU Ft Wayne +6.5 v. Missouri State||65-61||Win||100||8 h 9 m||Show|
The IPFW Mastodons are 6-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games over Oakland and then last game over SE Missouri State, 89-68, as a 1-point favorite. The Mastodons have been favorites in all games but two this year. Here they are today getting 6 or 6.5-points against Missouri State. The Missouri State Bears are this big a favorite despite a 4-5 record and 4-4 spread mark. The Bears have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including last game at St Mary's CA, 46-66, as a 14.5-point dog. The Bears lost in the NIT first round last year after a 23-11 regular season mark and 13-5 record in the Missouri Valley conference. They only returned one starter though to this team. I just don't believe this Missouri State should be a 6-point favorite here today against a decent Mastodons team. I'll take the points.
|12-10-22||Boston College +10 v. Villanova||56-77||Loss||-110||15 h 15 m||Show|
Boston College looks to improve on last year's 13-20 record as they returned four starters to the team this season. The Eagles are 5-5 S/U so far this year with a 3-7 spread record. They are coming off a loss to New Hampshire, 71-74 as a 15-point favorite. That on the heals of a loss at Duke, 59-75, where they did cover the 18-point dog line. Villanova struggled out of the gate this year, going 2-5 S/U and 1-6 ATS their opening seven games. They have won their last two games with wins over Oklahoma, 70-66, and over Penn, 70-59. The Wildcats were a pre-season top 25 pick after a 30-8 record in 2021 and a 16-4 Big East finish. They Cats also made it to the NCAA Final Four where they lost. So a lot was expected of this team this year and so far they have disappointed. This is still a top level team that has yet to meet expectations. I'm taking BC here on Saturday until I see the real Villanova show up. Take Boston College.
|12-10-22||Brown +16.5 v. Michigan State||50-68||Loss||-110||15 h 44 m||Show|
The Brown Bears look to improve on last year's 13-16 record. They returned three starters. The Bears are a solid team all around this year with their backcourt probably just slightly better than the rest. They are young and talented and had a lot of bad luck last year. The Bears started this year 0-3 both s/u and ATS. However, they have gone 6-1 S/U and ATS since including five straight wins. They are coming off a nice win over Rhode Island, 59-58, as a 5-point dog. They also shocked Bryant on the road with a 72-60 win as a 12-point dog. Michigan State coming off a 23-13 season last year and returns just two starters to that team. The Spartans made the NCAA tourney and lost in the 2nd round. Michigan State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Penn State 67-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a two game losing streak. In fact, they have scored more than 67 point sin their last three games. That has to be concerning here today as they are laying around 16 to Brown. This Brown team has proved they can cover big spreads and I look for that again here today. Take Brown.
|12-10-22||Georgia Tech v. North Carolina -13||59-75||Win||100||2 h 24 m||Show|
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets look to improve to 7-3 on the season as they head to Chapel Hill to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels. Tech returns two starters to a team that was just 12-20 last year overall and 5-15 in the ACC. The team looks below average in their front court and just average everywhere else. North Carolina started the season as the pre-season No 1 team, returning four of their five starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and 15-5 in the ACC. The Tar Heels made it all the way to the NCAA final before losing. The Tar Heels entered the season loaded at every position. That's why it's a bit surprising to see this team at just 5-4 so far and 1-8 vs the number. The Tar Heels have lost four straight including their last game at Virginia Tech, 72-80, as a pick'em. NCU has struggled this year but I like them to start turning thing around here today. Play North Carolina.
|12-10-22||Drexel +5 v. La Salle||65-58||Win||100||10 h 14 m||Show|
Early non-conference aciton here on Saturday has the Drexel Dragons taking on the LaSalle Explorers. The Dragons started the season 3-1 and have since gone on a 1-4 run S/U and 2-3 ATS run. They are coming off a loss to Princeton, 63-83 as a 2.5-point dog. Drexel has two starters back thi season and their strength is in their guard play. They finihsed last year at 15-15 overall. LaSalle also returned just two starters to a team that went 11-19 last year and finished 12th in the Atlantic 10. The Explorers are 5-4 S/U and ATS on the season and riding a two-game win streak. They are coming off a win over Buckness, 82-72, as a 6-point favorite. My own numbers have this game closer to a pick'em game. So I'll take the 4 or 4 1/2 points with Drexel today.
|12-09-22||Wolves +2.5 v. Jazz||118-108||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
A pair of Western Conference face off tonight in the NBA as the Utah Jazz host the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Wolves are 11th in the West right now with a 12-12 record. They have won six of their last 10 games. The Utah Jazz are 6th in the West with a 15-12 record and are 4-6 their last 10 games. The Wolves are coming off a win over Indiana on Wednesday, 121-115, as a 5-point favorite. The Wolves are averaging 114.1 ppg on the road while allowing 113.7 ppg. The Utah Jazz are 15-11-1 vs the spread this season. They are coming off a win over Golden State on Wednesday, 123-123, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jazz are just 3-6 S/U and ATS their last nine games. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven games playing on one day rest. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS their last five meetings in Utah. I like the Wolves tonight. Play Minnesota.
|12-09-22||Arkansas State v. Air Force -6||55-80||Win||100||8 h 27 m||Show|
Two teams you don't usually expect to meet play at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs tonight as Air Force hosts Arkansas State. The Ark State Red Wolves are 5-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Central Arkansas, 67-72, as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak by the Wolves. The Air Force Falcons are 6-4 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have won five of their last six games including last time out vs South Dakota, 79-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. Arkansas State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Have to take the host here tonight. Air Force is covering spreads while Arkansas State is not. Air Force also holds opponents to just 61.2 ppg on 39.7% shooting. They are also holding opponents to just 24% from the 3-point line, fifth best in the nation. Take Air Force.
|12-09-22||Washington +16.5 v. Gonzaga||60-77||Loss||-110||8 h 27 m||Show|
Evergreen State battle here has heavily favored Gonzaga hosting their instate rivals, Washington. The Washington Huskies are 7-2 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Colorado, 73-63, as a 1-point home dog. They have now won four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile Gonzaga not looking quite as solid as they have the last few season with a 6-3 record. Especially to bettors where they have gone 2-7 on the season and lost five straight to the number. They are coming off a close battle with Kent State where they won 73-66, but never came close to covering the 15.5-point favorite line. So far this year they have straight up losses to Baylor, Purdue and Texas - all as a favorite. The Huskies have a solid offense that is comfortable on the break and a defense that allowing the 35th lowest effective field goal percentage. Washington is much improved while we are looking at a Gonzaga team that looks to be underperforming this year. I'll take the big points here tonight with Washington.
|12-07-22||Pacers v. Wolves -4.5||Top||115-121||Win||100||9 h 33 m||Show|
The Indiana Pacers are 5th in the Eastern Conference with a 13-11 record. They are the only team though in the top eight with a negative point differential. They have also gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Pacers are 14-10 vs the spread this year. They snapped a 3-game S/U and ATS losing streak with a win at Golden State on Monday, 112-104, as a 11-point dog. Their road trip continues here tonight as they head back East to play the T'Wolves. This will be the club's 7th straight game on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves look to get back to the .500 mark today as they sit at 11-12 overall and 8-15 vs the number. The Wolves have lost four of their last five games including last game vs the Thunder, 128-135, as a 5-point favorite. Pacers have to be tired of all this travelling they have done, now with this their 7th straight game on the road. They return home after tonight's game and not soon enough for them. I'll playing against the road weary Pacers tonight. Take Minnesota.
|12-07-22||Cleveland State +8 v. St Bonaventure||42-61||Loss||-110||7 h 23 m||Show|
The Cleveland State Vikings opened the season with three straight losses. However, they have since won six straight to get to their 6-3 S/U mark. They are also 6-2 vs the number and have covered four straight games. They are coming off a win over Detroit, 92-77, as a 2-point favorite. St Bonaventure lost some key starters from last year so they have to fill gaps this year after a nice NIT run at the end of last season. The Bonnies are 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Buffalo last game, 66-83, as a 2-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The Vikings have covered four of their last five on the road. I'll stick with the Vikings here who have built some good momentum. Just too many points for the Bonnies to lay to a good covering Cleveland State team. Play Cleveland State.
|12-06-22||Lakers v. Cavs -5||102-116||Win||100||8 h 53 m||Show|
The Cleveland Cavaliers having a nice start to the season at 15-9 and in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference. The Cavs have won seven of their last 10 games and have the 2nd best point differential in the East at +6.3 ppg. The Lakers got off to a horrible start, losing their first five games of the season. However, they have since gone 10-7 over the next 17. Injuries have once again played a big part in the LA season. It seems like either Lebron James or Anonthy Davis or both are questionable every day. Today, they are both listed as probable, though they do show up on the injury report. The Lakers have won and covered three straight games including last game at Washington, 130-119 as a 1.5-point dog. They have scored 128 or more points in each of those three games. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 81-92, as a 2.5-point favorite. Still, the Cavs are 7-3 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS their last 10. I'm taking the Cavaliers here as Tuesday as I just don't trust this LA team enough.
|12-06-22||Yale +6.5 v. Butler||61-71||Loss||-105||7 h 53 m||Show|
Ivy League heavyweight Yale is 8-1 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs only loss this season coming at Colorado, 62-65, as a 9-point dog. The Dogs are coming off a win over Stony Brook, 77-72, but failed to cover the 15.5-point line. No big wins on the Yales resume though, as Hawaii is one of the few dogs they were and won, 62-59. Another Bulldog here today is the opponent in Butler. The Butler version of the Bulldogs are 6-3 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech, 80-66, as a 20-point favorite. Butler has the better resume, but has lost to NC State, Tennessee and Penn State. Yale around a 6-point dog here today. I like the visitor in this one and expect them to have a shot at winning when the dust settles. Take Yale
|12-05-22||Kent State +15 v. Gonzaga||66-73||Win||100||10 h 53 m||Show|
Kent State Flashes are off to a excellent start at 6-2 AS/U and 7-0 ATS. The Flashes are coming off a win at home over South Dakota State, 83-68, as a 7.5-point favorite. The previous game they gave 2nd ranked Houston all it could handle in a 44-49 loss as a 19-point dog. While the Flahses shot only 23.8% in that game, they held a very talented Houston team to just 32%. Surprisingly, the Gonzaga Bulldogs alreay have three losses on the season at 5-3 S/U and just 2-6 ATS on the season. The Dogs are coming off a loss at Baylor, 63-64, as a 3-point favorite. They have now lost two of their last three games and failed to cover in four straight games. The Dogs have played a tough schedule, with losses to Texas, Purdue and Baylor. Kent State has proved they can play with the best and they have been great to bettors this year. I see no reason to change right now. Take Kent State
|12-05-22||Saints +3.5 v. Bucs||Top||16-17||Win||100||20 h 31 m||Show|
NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints.
|12-04-22||Stanford v. Arizona State -4.5||64-68||Loss||-110||8 h 4 m||Show|
Stanford 3-5 S/U and 2-6 ATS after eight games. They have lost two straight after dropping their last game at home to UCLA, 66-80, as a 6.5-point dog. The Cardinal have played a tough early schedule, with losses to Wisconsin, San Diego State, Ole Miss, Memphis and UCLA. Arizona State brings a 7-1 record into this evening's contest. The Sun Devils only loss coming at Texas Southern back on Oct 13, 66-67, as a 11-point favorite. The Sun Devils opened the season with three straight spread losses. Since then, they have covered their last five games. ASU is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win at Colorado, 60-59, as a 4-point dog. I like the Sun Devils here today. Play ASU.
|12-04-22||Chargers v. Raiders -2||Top||20-27||Win||100||23 h 7 m||Show|
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas.
|12-04-22||Jaguars v. Lions||14-40||Win||100||20 h 43 m||Show|
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay
|12-04-22||Broncos v. Ravens -9.5||9-10||Loss||-110||14 h 55 m||Show|
The first place Baltimore Ravens are tied with the Bengals for the AFC North lead. Both teams are 7-4 and looking to get sole position this week. While the Bengals will face the Chiefs, the Ravens face the reeling Broncos. Denver sure didn't expect this kind of season when they signed Russell Wilson in the offseason. Yet here they are, last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record. The Broncos offense has been anemic, scoring 10, 16 and 10 the last three games - all losses. In fact, they have over 21 points just one time all season and that was 23 vs the Raiders in a nine-point loss. The only saving grace has been their 3rd ranked defense. The Broncos are now 4-14 ATS their last 18 vs the AFC and 2-7 ATS their last nine on the road. The Ravens are coming off that tough loss last week at Jacksonville, 27-28, as a 3-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The offense ranks 11th overall and the defense is 15th. The Ravens are 7-3 ATS their last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Ravens are also 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the Broncos and 6-1 ATS their last seven at home. I'll take the Ravens here today against a Broncos team that just can't score.
|12-04-22||Browns -8 v. Texans||27-14||Win||100||14 h 54 m||Show|
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground.
|12-03-22||Purdue +17 v. Michigan||22-43||Loss||-110||21 h 59 m||Show|
Big 10 Championship looks like an easy win for Michigan here today. However, Michigan is coming off that huge emotional win over their bitter rivals Ohio State, 45-23, as a 7.5-point dog. This will actually be the first time these Big 10 have met since 2017. Purdue finished the regular season with a 3-game winning streak that propelled them to the Big 10 West title. Obviously Purdue will be hard pressed to win today, but I'm looking at this almost 17-point dog line. Purdue closed out with wins over Indiana, Northwestern and a very good Illinois team. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. Whereas Michigan is only 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Michigan should clinch that spot in the playoff top four, but will they cover this huge line. I expect Purdue to at least get inside this big number. I'll take a shot with the big dog here.
|12-03-22||Wofford +9 v. Vanderbilt||62-65||Win||100||5 h 57 m||Show|
The Wofford Terriers look to build on their 5-3 S/U start this season. They have won four of their last five games, including a win last time out over Presbyterian, 76-63, as a 12.5 point favorite. The Terriers have covered three straight games and four of their six posted games this season. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. Vanderbilt is off to a disappointing start at 3-4 S/U ATS. They are coming off a loss at VCU, 65-70, as a 2.5-point dog. Vandy laying around 8.5-points today might be a tall challenge for a team that is averaging just 68.1 ppg (273rd) and also ranks 240th in 3 pointers made. Wofford averages 78.9 ppg (7-th) and allows 67.6 ppg (151st). This is too many points for a Vandy team that doesn't score a lot and also is 3-4 overall. Take the points with Wofford.
|12-03-22||Air Force +3.5 v. Portland State||64-68||Loss||-110||4 h 56 m||Show|
The Air Force Falcons look to improve on their 5-3 mark here today as they travel to the Northwest to take on Portland State. The Falcons are also 4-4 ATS on the season. After a 1-3 S/U start to the season they have won four straight and covered three of the four. That includes last game against Ark-Pine Bluff, 81-53, as a 13-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Portland State Vikings look to get over the .500 mark here today after a 4-4 start. The Vikings have won two straight games including a gimmy game against Portland Bible College in a easy, 114-31 win with no line. The Vikings have played some good competition with a win over Oregon State, 83-71, loss to West Virginia, 71-89, loss to Gonzaga, 79-102 and a win at Oregon State, 79-66. This will be a contrast of the uptempo Portland State team vs the slowdown style of the Falcons. The Falcons will also rely on their 38th ranked defense that allows just 60.8 ppg on the season. I'll take the points here today with Air Force and look for a slower game.
|12-03-22||Coastal Carolina v. Troy -8.5||26-45||Win||100||40 h 48 m||Show|
Sun Belt Championship as Troy hosts the title game against Coastal Carolina. Coastal is 9-2 on the season and looking for a second Sun Belt title in the last three years. Coastal got blown out last week by James Madison, 7-47. Madison actually beat out Coastal for the East Division, but because it was the Dukes first year in conference they weren't eligible for postseason this year. So really Coastal shouldn't even be in this game. Adding to their woes, QB Grayson McCall could miss this game with an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Troy has been red hot under first year coach Chip Lindsey. They finished the season 10-2 overall and making their first ever in the Sun Belt Championship game. Troy coming off a strong performance last week over Arkansas State, 48-19. Troy just too good for this Coastal team that was blown out last week. Take Troy.
|12-03-22||Toledo v. Ohio +3||17-7||Loss||-110||14 h 25 m||Show|
MAC Championship here today has the 7-5 Toledo Rockets taking on the 9-3 Ohio Bobcats in an early Saturday matchup. Ohio is coming off a win over Bowling Green, 38-14, as a 5.5-point favorite. Ohio has been a great bettor's team, covering their last eight games. Toledo, is coming off a loss at Western Michigan, 14-20, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Rockets have not taken off for bettors, failing to cover in five straight games. The Rockets offense will have to improve that off poor performance at Western Michigan where they had to punt 10 times. Ohio is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on a neutral site and 22-8 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record. I like Ohio here early on Saturday.
|12-03-22||Kansas State +2 v. TCU||31-28||Win||100||14 h 24 m||Show|
Early action here on Saturday has the Big 12 Championship between Kansas State and TCU. The stakes are even higher than just this game for undefeated TCU. The Horned Frogs are 12-0 and No 3 in the latest College Playoff rankings. A win today and the Frogs will secure a spot in the four team playoff. Kansas State finished 9-3 and looking to avenge their loss to the Frogs earlier this year, 28-38. Kansas State became a better team after losing QB Adrian Martinez to an injury. Will Howard took over this team was better. Kansas State coming in off their win last week over Kansas, 47-27, as a 11.5-point favorite. K State is ranked 40th in the country in total offense. As stated, the stakes can't be any bigger for TCU here today. TCU will contend with one of the best pass defenses as K State allowed just 6.3 yards per attempt. If there is one knock against TCU, it's the fact that they are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on a neurtal site. The Wildcats have covered four of the last five in this series. I'll take a shot with the Cats here today to pull the upset and knock TCU out of the playoff picture.
|12-02-22||Utah v. USC -2.5||Top||47-24||Loss||-110||23 h 4 m||Show|
Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. USC hasn't won a PAC-12 Championship since 2017, but I think this is the year. The price is right on this game as USC lays 2 1/2 points. Take the Trojans here today.
|12-02-22||Nuggets -2.5 v. Hawks||109-117||Loss||-109||7 h 46 m||Show|
It's East vs West here tonight as the Denver Nuggets head to the Southeast to take on the Atlanta Hawks. The Nuggets are 14-7 overall and one game back of the Phoenix Suns for first place in the West. They are 11-10 ATS vs the number. The Nuggets have won four straight games including back to back wins and covers over the Houston Rockets. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last four road games. The Atlanta Hawks are 6th in the East with a 12-10 record and 9-12-1 ATS mark. The Hawks snapped a three game losing skid with a win last time out at Orlando, 125-108, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Hawks are just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight-up win. The Nuggets have covered four of the last five in this series. I look for Denver to get the win and cover here tonight.
|12-02-22||Massachusetts v. Harvard +2||71-68||Loss||-110||6 h 7 m||Show|
The U Mass Minutemen look to improve to 6-1 here tonight as they hit the road for a game at Harvard. They are also 4-1-1 ATS on the season. U Mass has won four games in a row since their only loss coming to Towson State, 55-67, as a 3.5-point favorite. U Mass averages 69.8 ppg while allowing 64.5 ppg. The Harvard Crimson are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Holy Cross, 72-38, as a 9.5-point favorite. Harvard is averaging 69.1 ppg while allowing 63 ppg. Harvard a small home dog here tonight. The dog has done well in this series, going 5-2-1 ATS the last eight times. Should be a low scoring, close game, but I'll take the home team to come out on top. Play Harvard.
|12-01-22||Washington State +4.5 v. Oregon||60-74||Loss||-110||10 h 55 m||Show|
Conference clash in the PAC-12 here tonight as Washington State looks to build on their recent two-game win streak with a road game at Oregon. The Cougars are coming off wins over Eastern Washington, 82-56, and then last game against Detroit, 96-54, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Oregon Ducks are 3-4 S/U and ATS on the season. They snapped a three-game losing streak last game against Villanova, 74-67, as a 4-point dog. The Ducks average 68 ppg while allowing 65 ppg. To make things possibly worse for the Ducks, they could be without a starter here tonight as Center N'Faly Dante is questionable with a head injury. Washington State is 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs Oregon. I'll take the visitor here in this late tip game. Play Washington State.
|12-01-22||Pacific +7 v. UC-Davis||74-72||Win||100||8 h 25 m||Show|
The Pacific Tigers look to snap a four game losing streak both S/U and ATS tonight at Cal Davis. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Cal Poly, 58-62, as a 7-point favorite. Pacific opened the season with a 2-1 S/U and 3-0 spread record. Pacific is averaging 79.6 ppg and allowing 78 ppg. UC Davis Aggies are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS. The Aggies have won two straight games including their last game over Boston U, 81-70, as a 5-point favorite. Davis averages 78 ppg and allow 72.7 ppg. Both teams average about the same per game with Davis having the better defense. I'll take the points with the road dog here today. Play Pacific.
|12-01-22||Bills v. Patriots +5||Top||24-10||Loss||-110||32 h 8 m||Show|
Week 13 of the NFL gets underway here on Thursday with a key AFC contest as the Patriots host the Bills. The AFC East one of the best conferences in football as all four teams are above .500 on the year. The Bills are tied for first place at 8-3 with the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots are in last place with a 6-5 record. Buffalo just did get by the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, 28-25, winning on a late field goal but failing to cover the 9.5-point line. Meanwhile, the Patriots also lost last week at Minnesota, 26-33, as a 2.5-point dog. The Bills have the NFL's third best passing offense, 8th best rushing offense and 2nd best scoring offense. The Bills will be without a key defensive player though as Von Miller (knee) has been ruled out for this game. The Pats had won three straight games and five of their last six before their loss at Minnesota. The Patriots are ranked 6th in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed). Both teams battling for the AFC East and AFC playoff picture here tonight. The Bills are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS their last eight in this series. I like the Patriots here today. In fact, I won't be surprised with a straight up win. Take New England.
|12-01-22||Valparaiso +9 v. Belmont||64-76||Loss||-110||7 h 24 m||Show|
The Valparaiso Beacons look to get back to the .500 mark tonight after a 3-4 start to their season. They are also 2-5 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over James Madison, 81-79, as a big 15.5-point dog. Valpo is a slower paced team and thus their offensive output ranks just 214th overall with 70.8 ppg. The Belmont Bruins come into today's contest at 4-3 S/U and ATS. They started the season with a 1-3 S/U and 0-4 mark before winning three straight both S/U and ATS. Belmont is coming off a win at Georgia State, 68-66 as a 1.5-point favorite. The Bruins are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up win. I like the points tonight with Valpo. Take the dog.
|11-30-22||New Mexico +9.5 v. St. Mary's||69-65||Win||100||10 h 53 m||Show|
The New Mexico Lobos off to a great start at 6-0 S/U and 4-1-1 ATS on the season. The Lobos are coming off a win over Northern Colorado, 98-74, as a 13.5 point favorite. The Lobos team has been scoring in bunches, averaging 84.3 ppg on the season (20th in country) and allowing just 68 ppg. They have shot at least 43.9% in each game thus far. St Mary's Gael's will rely on their 11th ranked defense here tonight. The Gaels are 6-1 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming in their last game at home to Washington, 64-68, losing as a 10-point favorite. The Gaels are averaging 72.4 ppg while allowing just 55.9 ppg. The Lobos are 10-4 ATS their last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. We'll see tonight just how good New Mexico is. Personally, I think this is too many points to give a good offensive team like the Lobos. I expect New Mexico to hit well below their season average, but still come in under the double digit dog line. Play New Mexico.
|11-30-22||Rockets +12 v. Nuggets||100-120||Loss||-110||9 h 2 m||Show|
Western Conference battle here today has the 2nd place Denver Nuggets (13-7) hosting the last place Houston Rockets (5-15). The Rockets are only 8-9-3 ATS. However, they have won two of their last three games and covered three of their last four games. The Rockets are in a back-to-back spot here at Denver, having lost Monday, 113-129, failing to cover the +11.5 point line. The Denver Nugget are 10-10 ATS on the season after covering Monday's contest. The Nuggets are 5-13 ATS their last 18 following a s/u win. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Very difficult to cover both of these back-to-back type games. The Nuggets got Monday's game, but I expect the Rockets to cover tonight.
|11-29-22||Wake Forest +6.5 v. Wisconsin||Top||78-75||Win||100||8 h 9 m||Show|
ACC vs Big 10 action here tonight has Wake Forest traveling to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at home to Loyola Marymount, 75-77, as a 6-point favorite. The Deacons have been installed as the favorite in all seven of their games this season. The last two 20+ favorites as they covered both. The will be the first big test and first real road game for Wake here tonight. Wake averages 81.7 ppg and allows 68.4 ppg. Wisconsin is 5-1 both S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming to No 3 Kansas in OT, 68-69, as a 7-point dog. The Badgers don't score a lot, with just 68 their highest output in their last five games. They average just 62.7 ppg but allows just 54 ppg. Should be interesting to see if the high scoring Deacons can dent the very good defense of Wisconsin. However, the 6-points or thereabout that the Badgers have to lay look to a be a bit high. I'll take Wake here tonight as a road dog.
|11-29-22||Baylor v. Marquette +6.5||70-96||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
The Baylor Bears are off to a 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS spread mark this season. Their lone loss coming at home to Virginia, 79-86 as a 5-point favorite. The Bears have won two straight since that loss, including last game over McNeese State, 89-60, failing to cover the huge spread of 37-points. The Bears lowest shooting percentage this year was 44.6% and that was in a win over UCLA, 80-75, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bears are just 2-5 ATS their last seven against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last seven following a straight up win. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They have two straight games including last time out over Chicago State, 82-68, but failing to cover the 27.5-point favorite line. Marquette in the midst of some heavy competition with Wisconsin, Notre Dame and Creighton coming up in three of their next four games. Marquette averages 80.3 ppgs this year on 46.5% shooting. Marquette loves to push the ball so this should be an interesting game. Expect a high scoring game here tonight, as I look for the home dog Marquette to stay with the Bears.
|11-29-22||Charlotte +4.5 v. Davidson||68-66||Win||100||6 h 8 m||Show|
The UNC Charlotee 49ers are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone losses both S/U and ATS coming at Detroit, 49-70, as a 2-point favorite and at home to U Mass, 54-60, as a 1.5-point favorite. Both games the Niners shot 34% and 36.7%, their lows of the season by far. In their five wins their lowest shooting percentage was 43.4%. And they do have some nice wins over Tulsa, 68-65 and and their lone dog game vs Boise State, 54-42, as a 6-point dog. The Davidson Wildcats are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over San Francisco, 89-80, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season came at College of Charleston back on Nov 17, 66-89, as a 3-point dog. Charlotte's defense has been their backbone, as they rank 2nd in Conference USA in points allowed (55). If Charlotte can keep Davidson from pushing the pace here today, they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the road dog here, take Charlotte.
|11-28-22||Sam Houston State +4.5 v. Nevada||60-78||Loss||-110||9 h 35 m||Show|
Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to remain perfect on the season here tonight as they sit at 6-0 overall and 4-0 ATS. The Kats are coming off a big win over South Dakota, 80-49, as a 6-point favorite. They also have a win over Utah, 65-55, as a 10-point dog and 52-51 over Oklahoma as a 16.5-point dog. The Nevada Wolfpack are 6-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS on the season. They have wins over Akron, 62-58, as a 1.5-point favorite, and 75-66 over Tulane as a 3-point dog. Their only loss coming to Kansas State, 87-96, as a 4.5-point dog. I'm very impressed with the early resume of Sam Houston with their big wins. I'll take them here today against Nevada.
|11-28-22||Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Northwestern||87-58||Win||100||8 h 34 m||Show|
The Pittsburgh Panthers started the season 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS. However, since then they have won three straight and gone 2-0-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over William and Mary, 80-64, as a 13.5-point favorite. NOrthwestern is coming off a loss to No 13. Auburn, 42-43, as a 7.5-point dog. That was the Wildcats first loss of the season as they sit 5-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS. The Cats are just 12-25 ATS their last 37 games at home vs a team with a losing record road record. It's Big 10 vs ACC here tonight. Pitt a fairly good sized dog here today. I'll take the points with the Panthers.
|11-28-22||Dartmouth v. Grambling State -1.5||49-73||Win||100||3 h 35 m||Show|
The Dartmouth Big Green are 2-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Texas San Antonio on Sunday, 78-77, as a 4.5-point dog. Dartmouth is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Dartmouth has average 77.4 ppg and allowed 75.8 ppg on the season. Grambling is 3-3 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Incarnate Word, 61-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have played some excellent competition, losing to Arizona State, 49-80 and beating Colorado, 83-74, as a 14.5-point underdog. Grambling has the better defense and they have played the better competition and beaten Colorado. I'll take Grambling here today.
|11-28-22||UC-Davis -4 v. Boston University||81-70||Win||100||2 h 39 m||Show|
Cream City Classic here from Milwaukee Wisconsin has Cal Davis taking on Boston U. Cal Davis Aggies are 5-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Aggies are coming off a win over Se Missouri State, 73-71, but failed to cover the 4.5-point favorite line. They did open the season with a big win over California, 75-65, as a 5-point dog. That is their big win thus far. Davis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall games. The Boston Terriers are 4-3 S/U and 3-3 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Wisc-Milw 46-67, as a 4-point favorite. That makes two straight losses as a favorite, the other being Se Mo State, 52-63 as a 5-point favorite. This team has not shot well in either game with 25.9% and 31.6% respectively. Now they face a very good UC Davis squad. I don't believe this Boston U Terrier team is any good and it will show tonight. Take UC Davis.
|11-27-22||Mavs v. Bucks -6.5||115-124||Win||100||8 h 13 m||Show|
The Milwaukee Bucks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 13-5 S/U record and 11-7 spread mark. The Bucks are 5-5 their last 10 games and have an overall +4.6 point differential. The Bucks have alternated wins and losses the last six games and are coming off a win over the Cavaliers, 117-102, as a 4.5-point road favorite. The Bucks are 7-2 ATS their last nine home games against a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are 9-9 in the Western Conference. The Mavs have been bad to bettors, going 4-13-1 vs the number this year. They have dropped three straight game both S/U and ATS. They have also covered just one time in their last 14 games. Will stick with the home team here today against a very poor covering Mavericks club. Take Milwaukee
|11-27-22||Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5||40-34||Loss||-120||18 h 34 m||Show|
Who would have thought starting the season that at week 12 the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for first place in the NFC West despite the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. But, here they are 6-5 overall and tied with the 49ers. The Rams and Cardinals look out of the race at this point. The Seahawks four-game win streak was snapped two weeks ago at Tampa bay, 16-21, as a 2.5-point road dog. The Hawks had last week off to prepare for today's home game. After a 4-0 preseason, a lot of high expectations were on the Raiders and first year HC Josh McDaniels. But, to say it's been a letdown is going lightly as the Raiders are just 3-7 and tied for the bottom of the AFC West with Broncos. The Raiders did beat the Broncos in Denver last week in OT, 22-16. QB Derek Carr throwing a long TD to Davante Adams for the winning score. That snapped a three game losing streak. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine games in this series. The favorite is also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The weather looks to be typical Seattle here on Sunday with rain and cool temps throughout the contest. It was a big win last week for the Raiders, but I don't see that continuing here this week. I'll take the Seahawks at home.
|11-27-22||Belmont v. Georgia State +2||68-66||Push||0||2 h 4 m||Show|
The Belmont Bruins are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS so far this season. The Bruins started the season 1-4 but have since won two straight games against George Mason and then last game over Howard, 96-73, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins have not been good to bettors, going 3-13 ATS their last 16 games overall and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road. The Georgia State Panthers opened the season 2-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS their first four games. They too though have won their last two games, over Texas A&M-Comm and last game over UNC-Asheville, 74-68, as a 1-point road dog. The Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games following a straight-up win. Georgia State is a small home dog here today. I like the Panthers to win this one straight up.
|11-27-22||Bears +7.5 v. Jets||10-31||Loss||-125||14 h 28 m||Show|
The Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record. The Bears have lost three straight games, all by three points or fewer including last week at Atlanta, 27-27, as a 2-point dog. The Bears held the Falcons to just 280 total yards, but could muster only 288 themselves. The defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 22nd. The NY Jets are having an excellent season at 6-4 overall and third place in the AFC East. The Jets were tied with the Pats last week 3-3 before a New England punt return for a TD with just seconds left in the game got them the loss, 3-10 as a 3-point dog. That after their huge win the week before over Buffalo, 20-17. The Jets are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bears are also 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Jets. The Jets have benched QB Zach Wilson who will miss this game. QB Mike White looks to be the starter here on Sunday with Joe Flacco the backup. The Jets have been using their 8th ranked defense to win games this year. Still, huge change of direction for this Jets team that was 5-2 since Wilson returned from his knee injury. I'll take the Bears here today.
|11-27-22||Bengals v. Titans +1.5||Top||20-16||Loss||-110||14 h 28 m||Show|
The Cincinnati Bengals are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 6-4 record and just one game back of the Ravens. The Tennessee Titans are in 1st place in the AFC South with a 7-3 record, 3-games ahead of the Colts. The Bengals are coming off a win last week at Pittsburgh, 37-30, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. The Bengals have the 7th best offense in the league and 4th best passing game. The defense is ranked 11th overall. The Titans are coming off a win at Green Bay last week, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. The Titans have covered eight straight games. Their defense is ranked 19th overall and 2nd against the rush. The offense is ranked 29th overall, 11th in rushing. The dog is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Not sure why Tennessee is a small home dog here today. But I'll take the points anyways and look for a Titans straight up win. Play Tennessee.
|11-26-22||Kansas v. Kansas State -11.5||27-47||Win||100||20 h 1 m||Show|
A nice rivalry game here as Kansas State hosts Kansas on Saturday. The Kansas Jayhawks started the season 4-0, but since then have lost five of six games. The Jayhawks are 6-5 and could fall to .500 to finish the season. The Jayhawks are coming off a loss at home to Texas last week, 14-55, as a 9-point dog. In fact, you have to go back week four for the last time the Hawks were installed as a favorite in a game. Kansas has a good offense, ranked 35th overall in the nation. However, it's the defense that has been bad this year, ranked 119th. Kansas hasn't beaten Kansas State in this rivalry in over 10 years. Kansas State is second in the division at 6-2 and looks to need a win here to play TCU for the Big 12 Championship. The Wildcats have won two straight games including last week at West Virginia, 40-31, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games and 5-2 ATS their last seven at home. They are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 meetings with Kansas. The Favorite is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings. I look for a Kansas State win here on Saturday.
|11-26-22||East Carolina +4.5 v. Old Dominion||Top||50-71||Loss||-110||7 h 9 m||Show|
The East Carolina Pirates out of the gate with a good 5-1 S/U and ATS start. The Pirate are coming off a win over Texas Arlington, 79-65, as a 6-point favorite. Their most impressive win was a 86-75 win over Toledo as a 12-point underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs are 3-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Davidson, 61-66, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pirates offense is hitting well, averaging 79.3 ppg this season. East Carolina is led by Javon Small who averages over 20 ppg on the season. I like the scoring ability of East Carolina, especially as a dog here today. Take East Carolina.
|11-26-22||Kent State +19.5 v. Houston||44-49||Win||100||3 h 38 m||Show|
Kent State Golden Flashes off to a 5-1 start this season. They have also covered all five of their spread games. They are coming off al loss to College of Charleston, their first loss of the season, 72-74, as a 2.5-point dog. Their shooting has been very consistent this year, hitting at least 40% from the field in every game. The No 2 ranked Houston Cougars are 5-0 S/U and ATS after winning at Oregon last game, 66-56 as a 6.5-point favorite. Kent State is loaded again this year after a 23-11 campaign last year that saw them lose in the MAC Championship game. Houston lost four players from last year and is still a team that could win it all this season. Houston is great and should do well this year if they stay healthy. However, hard to lay this kind of number to a very good Kent team. I look for Kent to give them much more trouble than the oddsmaker thinks. Play Kent State.
|11-26-22||Kent State v. Buffalo -4||Top||30-27||Loss||-110||13 h 55 m||Show|
This is a MAC makeup game after last week's game was cancelled in Buffalo due to the snow storms. Kent State will finish their season here on Saturday as they are just 4-7 and won't be going to a bowl. Buffalo is 5-5 and needs a win to get bowl eligible. Have to wonder what motivation Kent State has here today with nothing on the line. Kent State should have been done last week, but Mother Nature made them go this week instead. The Golden Flashes have not been good on the road, going 5-11 ATS their last 16 games. They are also 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games. Buffalo put in this must win situation because they have lost two straight games to Ohio and Central Michigan. This is senior day at Buffalo who sport the 48th ranked offense and 57th best defense. This game is all about motivation, Buffalo has it all today and Kent State just looking to go home and begin their vacation. Take Buffalo.
|11-25-22||Arkansas v. Missouri +3.5||27-29||Win||100||4 h 52 m||Show|
SEC Action here today between 2-5,5-6 Missouri and Arkansas (3-4, 6-5). Missouri can get to that six win mark and make themselves Bowl eligible here today. A loss and they go home. Arkansas snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over Ole Miss, 42-27, as a 2.5-point dog. The Hogs offense ranks 19th in the nation, the defense though ranks at 117th. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a win over New Mexico State, 45-14. The Tigers have covered four of the last five against Arkansas in Missouri. In addition, the home team has covered nine of the last 10 times in this series. I'll take Missouri here today as the game means little to Arkansas.
|11-25-22||Arizona State v. Arizona -4||35-38||Loss||-110||3 h 23 m||Show|
Rivalry game here today between Arizona State and Arizona. Arizona State playing its last game of the season today as they sit at 2-6 in conference and just 3-8 overall. Same goes for Arizona who is one spot higher at 2-6 in conference and 4-7 overall. So this is both these teams respective Bowl game and the excitement will be just as high when these two schools clash. Arizona State has lost three straight games after last week's loss at home to Oregon State, 7-31. ASU had just 276 total yards to Oregon State's 443. The offense ranks 79th in the country. Arizona had a huge upset win two weeks ago as they beat UCLA on the road, 34-28 as a 19.5-point dog. Then came back last week and lost at home to Washington State, 20-31 as a 4-point dog. The offense ranks 20th in the country. Arizona State is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings. I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Arizona U.
|11-25-22||Vermont v. Ball State +4||78-73||Loss||-115||2 h 35 m||Show|
Early action in the Nassau Championship Tournament here today from the Bahamas with Vermont taking on Ball State. The Vermont Catamounts have struggled out of the gate, going 1-5 to start the season with a 2-4 spread record. Vermont coming off a loss at Yale, 44-73 as a 1-point favorite. That makes three straight games that the Catamounts have scored 57 or fewer points. Ball State is 3-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Indiana South Bend, 86-72 with no line. The Cardinals have scored at least 71 points in all four games. Vermont has trouble scoring while Ball State can score. Take an early gift with Ball State here on Friday.
|11-24-22||Patriots v. Vikings -2.5||26-33||Win||100||22 h 39 m||Show|
The Vikings really laid an egg last week at home in their loss to the Cowboys, 3-40. They had a paltry 73-yards rushing and 110-yards passing for just 183 total yards. They allowed the Cowboys 458 totals yards. It was a surprising outcome considering the Vikings were 8-1 and in first place in the NFC North at the time. Their status in the North is not in jeopardy though as the 4-6 Lions are the closest team to them. One good thing is that the Vikings are 20-6 ATS the week after they had 150 yards or fewer passing and 21-7 ATS the after a total of 250 yards or fewer. The Vikings still have a good home record against winning clubs, going 16-6 ATS their last 22. The 6-4 Patriots visit Minnesota today. The Pats are tied with the Jets in the AFC East behind both the Dolphins and Bills who sit at 7-3. The Patriots had a punt return for a touchdown with 5 seconds left in the game last week to get the win over the Jets, 10-3, in what was a very windy and cold Foxboro. The defense held the Jets to just 103 total yards in the cold weather. In fact, the defense has now allowed just 103 and 121 total yards the last two weeks and just six combined points. The defense has shot up to fourth in the NFL overall. I really do expect the Vikings to put forth a much better effort here today after that embarrassment on home field last week. I'll take the Vikings here today.
|11-24-22||Mississippi State +2.5 v. Ole Miss||24-22||Win||100||20 h 18 m||Show|
20th ranked Ole Miss will host their rivals here on Thanksgiving evening, the Bulldogs of Mississippi State. Ole Miss is 4-3 in the SEC West and 8-3 overall and headed to bowl after this game. They won't play for the SEC title as that will fall to either LSU or Alabama. The Bulldogs are 3-4 in the West and 7-4 overall and also headed to a bowl game. Ole Miss has lost two straight games to Alabama and then last week to Arkansas, 27-42, as a 2.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Miss State had a softball thrown their way in that of East Tennessee State, which they had little trouble with in a 56-7 win. That rebounded them from their 19-45 loss to Georgia the week before. Ole Miss is jut 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five conference games. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. I'm going to take the small points with the Bulldogs here today. Play Mississippi State.
|11-24-22||Giants v. Cowboys -10||20-28||Loss||-108||18 h 49 m||Show|
NFC East clash between the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys and the 7-3 NY Giants. The winner takes over sole position of 2nd place in the division, with a chance to pull within one game of 1st place Philadelphia. The NFC East was one of the worst divisions in football and now it's one of the best with the last place Commanders sitting at 6-5 and in prime playoff position. The Giants lost last week at home to the Detroit Lions, 18-31, despite having more yards than Detroit, 413-325. The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NFC games and 0-4 ATS in their last four vs the NFC East. Dallas rolled to an easy win even though they played on the road at 8-1 Minnesota, easily winning 40-3. Tony Pollard showing he should be a full time #1 running back as he had over 100 yards receiving and let the team in rushing with two pass receiving touchdowns. Even though Ezekiel Elliot is back, it looks like Pollard might get the share of carries and is a prime target for Dak Prescot. The Cowboys have covered three of their last four games. Their lone loss coming in that game at Green Bay two weeks ago where they gave up a 28-14 lead before losing in OT. The Cowboys love playing on the artificial turf, now 20-7 ATS their last 27. They are also 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS their last 11 vs the Giants and 4-1 ATS their last five at Dallas. Take the Cowboys here on Thursday.
|11-24-22||Bills v. Lions +9.5||28-25||Win||100||14 h 49 m||Show|
The Buffalo Bills new home seems to be Detroit's Ford Field. The Bills played here last week as their game was moved from Buffalo do to severe snow storms. The Bills got off to slow start last week but stormed back to beat the Browns, 31-23, covering or pushing the 7.5 or 8-point line. That snapped two straight losses by the Bills to Minnesota and the Jets. The Bills are now tied with the Dolphins in the AFC East for first place with both teams at 7-3. The Patriots and Jets right behind at 6-4. The Lions pulled the improbable win last week at the Giants, winning 31-18 as a 3-point dog. The Lions only had 325 yards to the Giants 413 yards of offense. That was the third straight win for the Lions both S/U and ATS. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and 6-2 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning home record. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I am on here today. Play the Lions.
|11-23-22||Bulls v. Bucks -6||118-113||Loss||-110||7 h 45 m||Show|
The Chicago Bulls are 7-10 S/U and 9-8 ATS this season. The Bulls coming off a home win over Boston, 121-107, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bulls hit 51.7% from the field and a season high 48.3% from 3-point stripe. That win snapped a four game s/u and ats losing streak by the Bulls. The Milwaukee Bucks are 12-4 S/U and 10-6 ATS on the season. The Bucks are coming off a win at home over Portland, 119-111, but failed to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs a team with a losing road record. They are also 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall home games. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings vs the Bulls. I'll take the Bucks here tonight.
|11-23-22||Kent State +2.5 v. College of Charleston||72-74||Win||100||5 h 36 m||Show|
The Kent State Golden Flashes look to keep their perfect 5-0 record in tact tonight as they take on College of Charleston. The Flashes are also 4-0 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 88-59, as a 20.5-point favorite. College of Charleston Cougars are 5-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Virginia Tech, 77-75, as a 6-point dog. They have also beat Colorado State and Davidson. Their lone loss coming to North Carolina, 86-102. The Golden Flashes are 17-5-1 ATS thehir last 23 games and 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Both teams look good thus far. I'll take the few points here with the dog. Play Kent State.
|11-22-22||Wright State -1.5 v. Cal-Riverside||65-70||Loss||-110||7 h 27 m||Show|
The Wright State Raiders are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a win last night over Abilene Christian, 77-61, covering the +2.5-point line. Their lone loss coming in their opening game to Davidson, 97-102, just missing the cover at +4-points. UC Riverside Highlanders won their tourney game last night over Weber State, 72-65, as a 3-point favorite. That win makes them 3-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They have losses to Colorado and Creighton thus far with wins over Occidental College and Loyola Marymount. Not impressed with the Riverside wins. They haven't done well vs the better teams being blow out by 29 and 16 points. I'm taking Wright State tonight.
|11-22-22||Creighton -1 v. Arkansas||Top||90-87||Win||100||5 h 27 m||Show|
Maui Invitational Second Round action here tonight has Creighton taking on Arkansas. Both teams are undefeated with Creighton at 5-0 and Arkansas at 4-0 on the season. Creighton won their opener in this tourney last night with a 76-65 win over Texas Tech as a 3-point favorite. They hit 55.1% from the field in the win. In fact, their last four wins the team has hit at least 51.4% from the field. They also hit 45% from 3-point line last night, their high on the season. The BlueJays are 3-2 vs the spread thus far. Creighton is now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last year. Moreover, they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on a neutral court. Arkansas improved to 4-0 with their win over Louisville last night, 80-54 as a 14.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks had a season high 56.9% from the field. The Hogs are 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Great matchup here tonight, but I'm really impressed with the overall shooting of this BlueJays team overall on the season. I'll take Creighton here tonight.
|11-22-22||Bowling Green +7.5 v. Ohio||14-38||Loss||-110||3 h 25 m||Show|
Mid-week MAC action tonight has Bowling Green taking on Ohio in their final regular season games. The Ohio Bobcats are 1st in the East Division and can clinch with a win tonight that sends them to Detroit for the MAC title game. However, a loss by Ohio tonight and we'll have to wait for Saturday's game between Kent State and Buffalo. Bowling Green has seen great improvement this year. This is a team that was 7-22 the last three years and now they are already bowl eligible with six wins. A win tonight and they pull into a tie with the Bobcats for place in the East. They have won four of their last five games and are 3-0 in the MAC on the road this year. Ohio is led by QB Kuris Rourke and he's questionable tonight with a knee injury. If Rourke doesn't go, then that is bad news for the Cats. With his status in question I'll have to take the points with the Falcons who are a very good team. Play Bowling Green.
|11-22-22||Ball State +3 v. Miami-OH||17-18||Win||100||3 h 25 m||Show|
Ball State closing out their regular season here tonight at Miami Ohio. This is a huge game for the Cardinals since a win and they remain Bowl eligible. Ball State is 5-6 overall and needs this week to get to six wins. Ball State lost at home last week to Ohio, which hurt their chances for the bowl season. Also looking to get bowl eligible is Miami Ohio, which is also 5-6 on the season. They need a win here tonight also after setting up this game with last week's win over Northern Illinois, 29-23 on the road. Both teams in must win as the winner is bowl eligible and the loser is done for the season. I'm taking the small points in this contest tonight with Ball State and looking for the Cardinals to win outright.
|11-21-22||Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5||58-55||Win||100||8 h 55 m||Show|
College hoop tourney action continues tonight with the Beach Division of the Fort Myers Tipoff. Mississippi State is 4-0 both S/U and ATS so far on the season. They are coming off a win on Thursday over South Dakota, 79-42, as a 14.5-point favorite. This will be their first game away from their home court, though not a true road game. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at Purdue, 70-75, as a 7.5-point dog. Their last game was a win over Long Island, 95-58, as a 29-point favorite. This Marquette team is 36th in the nation in scoring and tonight the Bulldogs will find it difficult to slow them down. Add to that the Bulldogs issues from 3-point arc and this looks to me like a game Marquette should take. This is the best offense that Miss State has faced and will be a big test for them here tonight. Take Marquette.
|11-21-22||Heat v. Wolves -8.5||101-105||Loss||-110||10 h 12 m||Show|
The Miami Heat are 7-10 S/U and 4-12-1 ATS on the season. They are on the fourth game of a four game road trip. They have also been without star player Jimmy Butler and he looks to be out the remainder of this road trip. Also missing is Tyler Herro (ankle) who has miss six straight. The Heat were down to seven players over the weekend. Meanwhile, Minnesota goes for four straight wins here tonight. They have covered two of those, but came up a half point short in their last game, a win over the Sixers, 112-109, as a 3.5-point favorite. Not only are the Heat playing shorthanded, but they have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here on the road. Those spots are hard enough with a healthy bench, let alone a injury depleted one. It will be a while before I can play on Miami. Take Minnesota.
|11-20-22||Pistons v. Kings -9||129-137||Loss||-110||18 h 39 m||Show|
The Detroit Pistons are 3-14 S/U and 7-8-2 ATS on the season. Detroit on the third game of their six game road trip as they play at Sacramento today. The Pistons coming off a loss at the Lakers on Friday, 121-128, pushing the +7-line. That makes six straight losses and a 3-4-1 ATS mark their last eight. The Pistons are 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 road games. The Sacramento Kings are 8-6 S/U and 11-3 ATS this season. The Kings have covered six straight games and are 5-1 S/U during that span. They are coming off a home win over the Spurs, 130-112, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Kings are playing very well and I look for them to extend their win and cover string here today. Play Sacramento.
|11-20-22||VCU +10.5 v. Memphis||47-62||Loss||-110||6 h 44 m||Show|
VCU is 3-1 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS so far this season after a win over Pittsburgh last Thursday, 71-67, pushing the 4-point favorite line. Their one loss coming at home to Arizona State, 59-63, as a 4-point favorite. Today is their first time in the dog role at Memphis. The Memphis Tigers are 1-1, beating Vandy in their opening game, 76-67 and the losing last time out at St Louis, 84-90, as a 3-point dog. Memphis shot only 40% in their loss after hitting over 50% in their win. The Tigers play their first game at home here today. Both these teams excel on defense and both have played some good competition. Not sure Memphis should be a double-digit favorite here today. My numbers have them considerably less. VCU has not covered but they also haven't been a dog either. I'll take the VCU Rams here plus these generous point.
|11-20-22||Cowboys v. Vikings +1.5||40-3||Loss||-110||148 h 16 m||Show|
Not too often you can get a 8-1 team as a small home dog. But that's the case here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys visit Minnesota to face the Vikings. The Vikings just coming off a huge win at Buffalo in OT, 33-30. That after trailing one of the best defensive teams in the league, 10-24 at the half. As for Dallas, the Cowboys led the Packers 28-14 before the Packers came back with 14 points in the fourth quarter to tie the game and then won in OT, 31-28. I'm sorry, but no way the Vikings should be any dog in this game. I'll take this price early on Minnesota.
|11-20-22||Bengals v. Steelers +4||37-30||Loss||-115||19 h 22 m||Show|
The Cincinnati Bengals sitting at 5-4 and one game back of the Ravens in the AFC North. They will face last place North team Pittsburgh Steelers here today who are 3-6. The Bengals rebounded from their loss to Cleveland three weeks ago, 13-32, with a nice win two weeks ago at home over Carolina, 42-21. The Bengals had last week off to prepare for today. The Bengals offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL with the passing game at 6th. The defense comes in at 10th overall. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat New Orleans last week at home, 20-10, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Steelers rushed for a season-high 217 yards while holding the Saints to just 186 total yards (29 on the ground). The Steelers defense hasn't been that good all season, ranking 27th overall and 30th vs the pass. Though they have been good at stopping the run (6th). The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are also 22-10-1 ATS their last 33 meetings with the Bengals. I'll take the points at home with the Steelers and look for an outright Pittsburgh win today.
|11-20-22||Jets +3.5 v. Patriots||Top||3-10||Loss||-110||16 h 58 m||Show|
The NY Jets might be the most surprising team this year with their 6-3 record and just one game behind the Miami Dolphins for the lead in the AFC East. But in the competitive East division all the teams are bunched up with the last placed Patriots at 5-4 and just two games back of first place. That makes a game like this today so important to both teams. Especially when you have the 6-3 Bills in the mix of things. The Jets coming off the big upset last week of the Bills, 20-17, as a 10.5-point dog. The Jets have now covered five of their last six games. The Jets have also had a very good defense, ranked 7th in the NFL. The Patriots coming off a win last week over the Colts, 26-3. They have also covered five of their last six games. The Patriots defense is 12th in the league. The Jets have an edge on offense where they are 18th in the league compared to the Patriots at 26th. I expect a close game here on Sunday. Neither team will run away with this one so the line is important. I'll take the points with a Jets team that can easily win outright. Play the NY Jets.
|11-20-22||Panthers +13 v. Ravens||3-13||Win||100||16 h 58 m||Show|
It's AFC vs NFC here today as the NFC South Carolina Panthers take on the AFC North Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the division with a 6-3 record. They lead the Bengals by one game. The Ravens have won three straight games, including two weeks ago at New Orleans, 27-13, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Ravens had last week off. That makes two straight covers for the Ravens. The Ravens are just 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games following an ATS win. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. The Panthers made some wholesale changes to their team when they traded Christian McCaffery away to the 49ers. Still, they have been competitive, covering three of the last four. The Panthers also had a bye week last week after beating the Falcons the week before, 25-15, as a 2.5-point dog. The Baltimore defense ranks 19th while Carolina comes in at 25th. The Ravens are 12th on offense while the Panthers are 30-th. These teams last met in 2018 when Carolina won at home, 36-21 as a small dog. Panthers getting around 13-points here today. I believe that might be a bit much though the way the Panthers have been covering spreads. I'll take a shot with Carolina here today.
|11-20-22||Browns +8 v. Bills||23-31||Push||0||16 h 57 m||Show|
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. The move has to hurt the Bills more than the Browns here today. I'll take the TD+ today with the Browns.
|11-19-22||UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5||25-31||Win||100||24 h 8 m||Show|
Late and last game on the board here on Saturday has a Mountain West clash with UNLV playing at Hawaii. UNLV started the season 3-0 and since has gone 1-6. They need to win out their last two games tonight at Hawaii and then at home vs Nevada to be 6-6 on the season and maybe a shot at a bowl game. Hawaii coming off a loss last week at home to Utah State, 34-41, covering the 11.5-point dog line. The Rainbow Warriors have covered five of their last six games, though they are just 3-8 S/U mark. The Warriors will close out their season next week at San Jose State. The Rebels have done well covering spreads, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 games and 4-1 ATS their last five on the road. The problem I have here is that UNLV laying 11-points. They are not the type of team to cover big spreads as a favorite and Hawaii has done well vs the number, especially at home. I'll take a shot here with Hawaii plus the double digit points.
|11-19-22||USC v. UCLA +2.5||48-45||Loss||-110||21 h 19 m||Show|
Huge rivalry game here as No 7 USC travels the short distance across town to take on UCLA at the Rose Bowl. USC is in 1st in the PAC-12 standings with a 7-1 conference record and 9-1 overall mark. No 16 UCLA is 5-2 in PAC-12 play and 8-2 overall. USC enters those final two games of the season that always including UCLA and then Notre Dame, so no easy games for the Trojans. USC's only loss this season coming bac, on Oct 15 as Utah came from behind to nip the Trojans, 43-42. UCLA coming off a loss last week at home against Arizona, 28-34, as a huge 19.5-point favorite. It's obvious that the Bruins looked past Arizona to this game this week. They close out the regular season at Cal next week. UCLA beat USC last year in big fashion, 62-33 as a 5-point road dog. That makes UCLA 3-2 ATS the last five meetings. USC is just 6-14-2 ATS their last 22 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games overall. UCLA is 8-2 ATS their last 10 conference games and 5-2 ATS their last seven overall. UCLA a small home dog here but I look for them to win this game outright before a packed house of rabid fans at the Rose Bowl. Take UCLA.
|11-19-22||Iowa +3 v. Minnesota||13-10||Win||100||17 h 8 m||Show|
The Big 10 West is wide open for a winner between four teams and two of them meet here today as 4-3 Iowa takes on 4-3 Minnesota. Both teams heading to bowls no matter what happens. Iowa has the third best defense in college football. It's the offense that has had troubles this season as they rank only 129th. Iowa has won three straight since losing to Ohio State, that includes last week over Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 1.5-point dog. Minnesota has won three straight games, including last week over Northwestern, 31-3. After Iowa they close out at Wisconsin the final week. Iowa is 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Minnesota. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games at Minnesota. I like this defense of Iowa and as a dog here today they should be right in it until the end. Play Iowa.
|11-19-22||Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Auburn||17-41||Loss||-110||17 h 7 m||Show|
Western Kentucky down to its final two games of the regular season. The Hilltoppers are 6-5 and looking to make it to a bowl with a win in one of the two final games. After Auburn this week they will travel to Florida Atlantic for their final regular season game. Auburn having an off season likely isn't going anywhere this bowl season. The Tigers are just 2-5 in the SEC West and 4-6 overall. They are coming off a narrow win last week at home over Texas A&M, 13-10, as a 2-point home favorite. The Auburn defense ranks only 74th overall this season while Western Ky is 60th. Meanwhile, W.Ky has one of the better offenses in the country, ranked 14th. Western is 7-1 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing record and 19-7-1 ATS their last 27 road games. Auburn is 2-6 ATS their last eight road games and 0-6 ATS their last six vs a non-conference team. I'm taking Western Kentucky here on Saturday as they still have a bowl berth to play for.