Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-15-22 | Mississippi State -4 v. Kentucky | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has been on a offensive explosion of late, scoring 40 points or more in its last three games and 39 or more points in five of its six games. No wonder the offense ranks 26th in the country with one of the best red-zone efficiency marks of 92.5%. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win over Arkansas last week, 40-17, easily covering the 8-point spread. They had 568 yards of offense last week vs the Hogs with a +2 turnover ratio. The Dogs are 5-1 S/U and ATS with their only loss coming to LSU back on Sept 17, 16-31. Kentucky lost its second straight game of the season last week to South Carolina, 14-24, failing to cover the -10.5 point line. That coming on the heals of their loss at Ole Miss the week before, 19-22. The losses dropped the team to 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Miss State beat Kentucky last year, 31-17, doubling them in yards and having a +4 turnover ratio. Miss State is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. They have also covered five of their last seven on the road. I'm not happy with the way Kentucky has performed the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs look to be firing on all cylinders. I'll take the visitor in this one on Miss State. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Michigan State | 28-34 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers rebounded from their 10-34 loss to Illinois two weeks ago with a road win at Northwestern last week, 42-7. The Badgers are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. A tough Big 10 schedule follows the next six games if they hope to get bowl eligible. Wisconsin had 515 yards of offense last week at Northwestern and a +3 turnover ratio. Michigan State is coming off a loss last week at home to Ohio State, 20-49. The Spartans had just 202 total yards of offense in the loss while allowing 614 yards. The Spartans have now lost four straight games and are 2-4 overall on the season. Wisconsin has covered six of their last seven conference games and 4-0 ATS their last four overall. Michigan State might be the worst team in the Big 10. Their offense is not good, their defense is not good and they don't score many points. I'll stick with the Badgers here today as they need wins against teams like this. Play Wisconsin. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show | |
Tennessee has their biggest game of the season here this week as they welcome Alabama to town. The Vols are 5-0 S/U and having one of their best seasons. They have also covered four of their five games this year. They are coming off a decisive road win last week at LSU, 40-13, as a -2.5-point favorite. The Vols can go all out in this one as they have Tennessee-Martin up next. Alabama just did get by Texas A&M last week at home, 24-20, not coming close to covering the 24.5 point favorite line. The Tide still are a perfect 6-0 on the season and 4-2 vs the number. Alabama won this game last year in Tennessee, 52-24, covering the 24-point line. This year different story as they are just a 7.5-point road favorite. Alabama is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning record. History is on the side of the Tide in this one. But you Tennessee will be rocking on Saturday as the faithful look for a huge upset win of the top ranked Tide. I'm taking the points in this one as I expect Tennessee to be there at the end. Play Tennessee. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 66 h 36 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State hits the road this week after a home win last week over Texas Tech, 41-31, as a 9-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The offense has been clicking, now ranked 20th in the nation and having a red-zone efficiency of 81.5%. The defense isn't quite as good, coming in at 104th. TCU got by Kansas last week in the whining moments of the game, 38-31, pushing the 7-point spread. The Horned Frogs are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Their offense ranks 3rd in the nation with a 81.2% red zone efficiency. The defense comes in at 93rd. Ok State won last year's matchup with TCU, 63-17, covering the 11.5-points spread. Ok State is now 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games against a winning home team. They are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. TCU is 2-6-1 in their last nine conference games and 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games. The dog has covered six of the last seven in this series and that's what I look for here today. Play Oklahoma State. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Iowa State +17 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas looks like the read deal this year as they rolled past Oklahoma last week, 49-0. That made them 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS. Their only losses came to Alabama in the final seconds of that game, 19-20 and then lost to Texas Tech, 34-37. Texas ranks 35th overall on offense and 33rd in defense. Iowa State looks to snap a three-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones lost last week to Kansas State, 9-10 and the previous week to Kansas, 11-14. That makes them 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Iowa State has covered against Texas the last two years, last year winning 30-7 at home and the previous year winning 23-20 at Texas. Texas is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Texas has their big intra-state rivalry game next week at Oklahoma State. They might have their eyes set on that game and not on this one. Big points here with the dog and I'll take a shot with them. Play Iowa State. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 8 m | Show | |
Tough Big 10 matchup here today as Penn State travels to Michigan to take on the Wolverines. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win two weeks ago at home over Northwestern, 17-7, but failed to cover the 25.5-point lines. The Lions are now 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Michigan beat Indiana last week, 31-10, but just missed covered the 21.5 point line. The Wolverines improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Michigan offense ranks 27th in the country with Penn State coming in at 37th. The Michigan defense ranks 4th in the country, making it three of the top four defenses coming from the Big 10. The Penn State defense isn't bad though, ranking 37th overall. Penn State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Michigan is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Looks like a good defensive battle here today. I'll take the points in this one and see if the Lions can get in under the line. Play Penn State. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Minnesota v. Illinois +6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 62 h 7 m | Show | |
The Illinois Illini are coming off a hard fought home win over defensive Iowa last week, 9-6, though they didn't cover the 3.-5 point line. That makes them 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Illinois managed just 316 yards of offense in that game and had a -2 turnover ratio. They did rush for 200 yards though against the 8th ranked Iowa defense. Minnesota came up short last week at home against Purdue, losing 10-20 as a 12.5-point favorite. That makes the Gophers 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The loss was their first of the year and the most points they have allowed this year. The Gophers defense still ranks as the best in the nation, allowing just 222 yards per game and with just three TD's allowed in the red zone this year. Illinois though ranks second in the nation in defense and has a 30.2% red zone efficiency on defense, allowing just one red zone TD. Illinois has covered four of their last five home games and is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. This looks to be a great defensive battle between the top two rated defenses in the country. I'll take Illinois though in this one. | |||||||
10-15-22 | Kansas +9 v. Oklahoma | 42-52 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas saw its undefeated 5-0 mark come to an end last week with a loss to TCU, 31-38. Kansas QB Jalon Daniels left that game with a shoulder injury and is out this week. Jason Bean came in and performed well in the loss. Bean completed 16 of 24 passes for 262 yards and four TD's in relief. Meanwhile Oklahoma got demolished at the Cotton Bowl by Texas last week, 0-49. That was the team's third loss in a row. That dropped the Sooners to 3-3 on the season. The Sooners were outgained by Texas, 195-585 yards. OU QB Dillon Gabriel was injured in that game, but unlike Kansas, the Sooners had no one to replace him at QB. At least quality QB. That Sooners loss was the largest in school history. The Sooners also have lost three straight for the first time since 1998. Not Kansas gets a struggling OU team. Looks like Bean will once again be at the helm for Kansas. The Run game should do well though, as Oklahoma ranks last in the Big 12 and 122nd in the nation in run defense. This game really looks to be a question of whether Oklahoma will show up and it looks like they will do so maybe without their staring QB who is questionable with a concussion. Not sure how the line is OU -9 or thereabouts. I look for a straight up Kansas win, but I'll gladly take the generous points in this one. Play Kansas. | |||||||
10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | Top | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Temple looking to get back to 3-3 today with a win at UCF. The Owls are 2-3 after losing two weeks ago at Memphis, 3-24, as a 20-point dog. Temple has a good defense, 11th in the country. However, you have to take that with a grain of salt when you realize they have played Lafayette, Rutgers, U Mass and Duke, none of which are offensive powerhouses. The offense is not good, ranking 124th in the country. They were shutout by Duke and scored just three points against Memphis. Meanwhile, Central Florida looks to improve to 5-1 with a win tonight. UCF only loss coming against Louisville, 14-20 back on Sept 9th. They are coming off a win over SMU back on Oct 5, 41-19. The UCF offense ranks 17th in the nation with the defense at 40th. Temple is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. UCF has covered four of the last five in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. UCF has too much offense and defense for the Owls here tonight. Lay the points with Central Florida. | |||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders finally got Josh McDaniels his first win last week at home over the Denver Broncos, 32-23. The Raiders had 212 yards on the ground and another 173 yards through the air while holding Denver to 299 total yards. Kansas City went to Tampa Bay last week and led the entire way to a 41-31 win. The Chiefs are now 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They held Tampa Bay to just three rushing yards, though Tom Brady did get 373 yards through the air. The Raiders defense ranks 22nd overall, 10th vs the rush. The Chiefs are 13th overall and top against the rush allowing just 66 yards per game average. The Chiefs are 5th on offense with the Raiders coming in at 13th. For some strange reason, the Chiefs are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven vs the AFC. The Raiders have been in every game this year, losing by five to the Chargers, six to the Cardinals and two to Tennessee. Tonight they get at least seven points and the way this offense has played I'll take the points here with the visitor. Play Las Vegas Raiders. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals have had a rough start to the season but they play in the AFC North and right now are tied with the Browns and Ravens for first place at 2-2. The Bengals started the season 0-2, losing to Pittsburgh and then to Dallas. They have rebounded though with wins at the Jets, 27-12, and last week beating Miami, 27-15. The Bengals defense has been very good, ranked 11th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush, allowing just 86 yards per game. The offense improving to 16th overall and 8th in passing behind Jeff Burrows. Baltimore has the 2nd most points scored in the AFC with 119, though they rank just 12th overall in yardage. Baltimore jumped out to a lead last week at home over Buffalo, but couldn't hold on as the Bills won late, 23-20. The Ravens offense was held to just 296 yards by the league's top ranked defense. It's the Ravens defense that will have to improve. They are ranked 30th in the NFL and dead last vs the pass. Now they have to face a very good Burrows and the Bengals passing attack. Cincinnati has won and covered both games last year, 41-21 at home and 41-17 at Baltimore. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 AFC games, 6-1 ATS their last seven road games and 10-2 ATS their last 12 overall games. The Bengals have covered four of the last five in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I don't see Baltimore stopping Burrows and the Bengals offense here today. I'll take Cincinnati. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. Dallas has covered their last five road games and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs the NFC. The Rams are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Rams still don't look like the team that won the Super Bowl last season while the Cowboys keep winning. I'll take the road dog in this one. Play Cowboys. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami will be without QB Tua Tagovailoa this week as he will be out with a concussion. Up next with Tua out will be veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. Tua has bad an excellent season with a 109.9 QB rating this season. Bridgewater took over after Tua had to leave the Bengals contest. Bridgewater finished 14-of-25 for 193 yards and a TD and one INT. Bridgewater played last season for the Broncos. Bridgewater is alwo been amazing on the road, posting a 24-6 record in his last 30 away games. The Dolphins would have been around a 6-7 point favorite in this game, but we have seen the number adjusted to 3 1/2 when Tua was ruled out. For me, that's a way over adjustment here on Sunday and I'm making a big play on the Dolphins in this game. Your free play is on the Dolphins. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Falcons +11 v. Bucs | 15-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The NFC South is wide open with Tampa Bay and Atlanta both at 2-2 and the Panthers and Saints at 1-3. The winner here today takes over sole position in first place in the division. The Falcons have surprised many as they lead the division in points (103) with the Bucs in 2nd (82). The Falcons offense ranks just 15th, but their rushing attack is 4th. That took a hit last week when Cordell Patterson went down with an injury. He will be out this week, however, two solid rookies picked-up the slack last week and should both see lots of time today. The Falcons beat Cleveland last week, 23-20. They rushed for 202 yards, most of those with their rookie backs. Tampa Bay might be tied for first but they haven't clicked this year. QB Tom Brady has not looked all that good and the offense is ranked 25th after four weeks. The rushing game is just 31st while the passing game is 9th. The best part of the team has been the defense, which ranks 8th in the league. They are 12th rushing and 14th passing. The Falcons have now covered their last four games and are 43-20 ATS their last 63 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing the previous game. Don't expect the Bucs anemic rushing attack to do what the Browns did last week to the Falcons. The Falcons get double digits here today and for me that's too much to give to a team that has been playing very well. The Bucs have lost two straight games and while they likely won't lose today, I look for the Falcons to sneak in under the spread. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Chargers v. Browns +2 | 30-28 | Push | 0 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers rebounded from their horrendous home loss to the Jaguars two weeks ago with a win last week at Houston, 34-24. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The offense has been very good, despite playing without a key WR in Keenan Allen. Allen missed his second game last week and will be out again this week. The offense ranks 7th overall in the league and 1st in passing. The Browns are 4th in offense because they have the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the league. The Browns lost last week at Atlanta, 20-23. They have rushed for at least 171 yards in each of their first four games this season. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Browns 9th ranked defense will be tasked with controlling Justin Hebert and the Chargers offense. The Browns have covered six of the last eight in this series. The dog has also covered seven of the last eight in the series. It's going to be the ball control rushing of the Browns against the pass attack of Hebert and the Chargers. Whoever wins the turnover battle likely wins this game. I'll take the Browns at home with their great rushing attack to keep the ball out of the Chargers hands. Play Cleveland. | |||||||
10-08-22 | Washington State +13 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
USC definitely the team in the PAC-12 as the favorite to win the conference. The Trojans really improved with the transfer portal and bringing in a new head coach. The difference has resulted in a 5-0 S/U start and 3-2 ATS mark. The Trojans have failed to cover the last two weeks though as the oddsmaker has really adjusted this team up. I believe they have over corrected and made them bigger favorites then they should be. That's the case here this week as they host Washington State. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season and coming off a win over Cal last week, 28-9 as a 4-point favorite. The Cougars held cal to just 311 totals yards and had a +2 turnover ratio in the game. The defense ranks 68th overall while the offense is 94th. USC ranks 19th on offense and 55th on defense. Washington State is 20-6 ATS their last 26 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four PAC-12 games. USC is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games and 2-5 ATS vs a team with a winning record. The road team is 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings in this series. I think 12.5 points is too many for the Trojans to be laying to a very good Washington State team. I'll take the points in this one. | |||||||
10-08-22 | Iowa v. Illinois -3 | Top | 6-9 | Push | 0 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
Big 10 action here today as Illinois hosts Iowa. Iowa fell behind early last week at home against Michigan and couldn't quite rebound in their loss to the Wolverines, 14-27, as a 10.5-point dog. The Iowa offense just not good enough to come from behind like that. Iowa has the 129th ranked offense in the country and really has to rely on their 6th ranked defense to keep them in games. Illinois went to Wisconsin last week and put a big-time whipping on the Badgers, 34-10, as a 7-point dog. Take makes the Illini 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Illinois has the nation's 54th ranked offense and 2nd ranked defense. Iowa is now 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 October games. Illinois is 7-1 ATS int heir last eight overall games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Despite both teams have top 10 defenses, I give the nod here to Illinois. And with the Illini offense much better than Iowa, I'll be on the home team here today. Play Illinois. | |||||||
10-08-22 | Army v. Wake Forest -16.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Wake Forest rebounded last week from their loss the week before to Clemson, 45-51. They beat Florida State last week, 31-21, as a 7-point dog. The win makes the Deamon Decons now 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Army coming off a loss last week at home to Georgia State, 14-31. The Black Knights dropped to 1-3 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. Their only win coming against FCS Villanova two weeks ago, 49-10. Army gave up 456 yards to Ga State despite having 19 more plays and four more first downs. It was their three turnovers that contributed to the loss. Army was trounced last year at Wake, giving up 638 yards and 70-points in the 56-70 shootout loss. Army has now covered just one of their last six games overall. Wake is 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games against a losing team. I look for another Wake blowout this week against an overmanned Army squad. Take Wake Forest. | |||||||
10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
TCU coming off a big win over Oklahoma last week. The Horned Frogs were a 7-point dog at home but demolished the Sooners, 55-24. TCU had 668 yards of offense in the win, 361 on the ground and 307 through the air while holding the potent OK offense to just 355 yards. Kansas plays its third home game in a row this week vs the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are coming off a win last week at home over Iowa State, 14-11, as a 3-point dog. That makes them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. Kansas covered last year's contest in TCU, 28-31, as a 21-point dog. TCU has the nation's 2nd ranked offense while Kansas comes in at 59th. TCU is ranked 64th on defense with Kansas at 78th. TCU is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 on field turf. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. Kansas has covered their last eight games and is 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games. Not only has the dog covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but the Jayhawks have covered seven of the last 10 at home in this series. I'll take the points here with Kansas. | |||||||
10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. | |||||||
10-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is it for the Milwaukee Brewers. With the final series of the season at hand the Brewers trail the Philadelphia Phillies by two games for the final Wild Card spot. The Phillies have a tough 3-game series at Houston so it's no cake walk for them. However, the Brewers welcomen the Arizona Diamondbacks to town. The D'backs start Tommy Henry tonight who is 3-4 in his eight starts with a 5.98 ERA. Henry has allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts (13 innings). The Brewers hopes ride with Brandon Woodruff who has been excellent all season with a 13-4 record and 3.05 ERA. He's been very perfect at home with an 8-0 record and 1.98 ERA. I'm taking the Brewers on the Run line tonight in what should be a blowout Milwaukee win. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. | |||||||
10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
NC State 4-0 to start their season will play their toughest game here on Saturday as they take on Clemson on the road. The Wolfpack beat Connecticut last week, 41-10, but couldn't quite cover the 39-point favorite line. Their toughest game thus far happened two weeks ago when they beat Texas Tech, 27-14. Clemson also 4-0, but they were pushed to the bring last week at Wake Forest, winning 51-45 but not covering the 7-point line. That makes them 1-2 ATS on the season. NC State got the upset last year at home, beating Clemson 27-21 as a 10.5-point dog. NC State is now 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Meanwhile, Clemson is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-19 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Take NC State plus the points in this one as they stay close to Clemson. | |||||||
10-01-22 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -9.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern looks to improve to 4-1 S/U after a win last week at home over Ball State, 34-23. The Eagles are also 3-1 ATS. Southern was actually out gained in yardage last week by the Cardinals, 474-481 and had two fewer plays. Still the Eagles were able to cover the 9.5 point favorite line. Coastal Carolina off to a 4-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS start. Coastal has scored at least 31 points in each game. They handled Georgia State easily last week, 41-24. They had 540 yards to just 309 by Ga State. They also had 25 more plays and 11 more first downs. Ga Southern does have one of the better offenses this year, ranked 10th overall in the country. Coastal coming in at 37th in the nation. Defensively Coastal holds the edge, ranked 65th to Southern's 109th. Coastal has the edge of late in this series, covering four of the last five. Should be a good offensive show here on Saturday. I'm taking Coastal Carolina on their home turf. | |||||||
10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama continues its dominance of the FBS with a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS record Their one close call was a late win at Texas on Sept 10, 20-19 as a 20-point favorite. Since that close loss they beat LA Monroe, 63-7 and last week Vandy, 55-3. The Tide had 628 yards last week to Vandy's 129. They also had 34 first downs to nine and 77 plays to 52. Arkansas had the tough loss last week to Texas A&M in Arlington, Tx, 21-23, but did cover the 2.5-point spread. The Razorbacks had more yards (415-343), more first downs (24-16) and more plays (73-55) than the Aggies. Arkansas is now 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama has the nation's 6th ranked offense with Arkansas coming in a 27th. Alabama has the 2nd ranked defense with Arkansas at 89th. Arkansas covered last year in their game at Alabama, losing 35-42 as a 20.5-point dog. Alabama has covered just one of their last five road games and are 1-6 ATS on the road their last seven against a team with a winning home record. Arkansas has covered four of their last five at home. The Hogs getting 17-points at home here on Saturday. I'll take that with a very good Arkansas team. | |||||||
10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Michigan puts its 4-0 record on the line as they travel to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have scored 50 points or more in three of their four games. However, that does include Connecticut and Hawaii. They are coming off a home win over Maryland, 34-27, though they failed to cover the 17-point favorite line. The offense ranks 19th overall and will get their first real test against the 5th ranked Iowa defense. Iowa's offense has struggled, in fact they are ranked last in the FBS. Though the offense has scored 27 points in each of their last two games, including their win last week over Rutgers, 27-10. The defense, ranked 5th, has allowed a total of 23 points in four games. Iowa will be looking for some payback after losing at Michigan last year, 3-42. Michigan is just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. If the Iowa defense continues like it has and the offense can get some points, the Hawkeyes can pull the upset here on Saturday. I'll take the points at home with Iowa. | |||||||
10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Kentucky brings a 4-0 record into today's contest at Ole Miss. The Wild Cats are coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 31-23, though they failed to cover the 25.5 point favorite line. They are also 2-1 ATS on the season. Kentucky had 406 yards of offense last week, while holding NIU to 327 yards. The Cats are 87th nationally in offense. The defense does better at 16th nationally. Mississippi also is 4-0 after beating Tulsa last week, 35-27. But, like Kentucky, they couldn't cover the big favorite line of 20.5 points. The Rebels have the 28th ranked defense and 20th ranked offense. Kentucky is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and 23-7-2 ATS their last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games in conference play. Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-5 ATS their last seven when having more than 450 yards offense their last game. Both teams have decent defenses and I'll take the points with Kentucky in this one. | |||||||
09-30-22 | UTSA -4 v. Middle Tennessee State | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS after four games. The Roadrunners are coming off a easy win over Texas Southern last week, 52-24. They lost their opening game in a shootout with Houston, 35-37 and then beat Army, 41-38 and lost to Texas, 20-41. Middle Tennessee State is 3-1 and beat a Top 25 opponent for the first time every last Saturday with a win over No 25 Miami. The Blue Raiders had 507 yards of offense in that win as they won 45-31. UTSA has won three straight in this series, including last year, 27-13. UTSA is led by QB Frank Harris. Harris and the offense lead the Conf-USA in passing yards and are 6th nationally (351.5 ypg). They also rank 2nd in the conference in total offense with 478.5 ypg and 37 ppg. Both these teams have potent offenses, but I look for one defense to make a big play in this game and likely the difference. I like Harris at QB as I believe he will also make a huge difference in this conference game. I'm going to lay the points on the road with UTSA. | |||||||
09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tulane lost its first game of the season last week, dropping the Green Wave to 3-1 on the season S/U and 2-1 ATS. Tulane lost at home to Southern Miss, 27-27, as a 13-point favorite. On paper, it looked like a Tulane easy win as they had 451 yards to So.Miss 253 yards. They also had double the first downs (26-13) and ran 24 more plays. The Green Wave did have one turnover to Southern Miss's no turnovers. Houston has scored at least 30 points in each of its first four games. They are 2-2 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS though. The problem is the defense that is ranked 113th in the nation. They did beat Rice at home last week, but did not cover as they won 34-27 as a 17.5-point favorite. Despite their good scoring offense, the unit ranks only 81st overall in he nation with 393 yards per game. Meanwhile, Tulane has the 59th ranked offense in the nation. The Green Wave are now 5-1 ATS in their last five games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf. Houston is only 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'm going to take the points tonight with Tulane. | |||||||
09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are both teams rebuilding after their star QB's left for other teams in the off-season. Falcons QB Matty Ryan fled to Indianapolis while Seattle QB Russel Wilson went to Denver. The Falcons opened the season with a close loss at home to the Saints, 26-27, though they did cover the spread. Then last week, another close game at home to the LA Rams, but another loss 27-31, covering the 10-point line. Seattle beat Wilson and the Broncos in week 1, 17-16. However, they were beat pretty handily last week in San Francisco, 7-27, by the 49ers. The rushing game has been horrible, with 76 yards in game one and 36 yards last week. Not surprising the Seahawks offense is ranked 31st in the NFL with the rushing attack ranked last. The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Seattle is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs the NFC. The Falcons have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I'm looking for here on Sunday. I'll take the Falcons. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. | |||||||
09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. | |||||||
09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. | |||||||
09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. | |||||||
09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. | |||||||
09-23-22 | Boise State -15 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Boise State went down to the FCS last week to play Tennessee-Martin and walked away with an easy win, 30-7. That makes them 2-1 since their opening week loss to Oregon State, 17-34. UTEP went to New Mexico last week and lost to the Lobos, 10-27. The Miners had SEVEN turnovers in the loss though they did have more yards than then Lobos, 353-299. Overcoming seven turnovers is nearly impossible. These teams have only met once in the last 5-years with Boise winning at home in 2021, 54-13. Boise is 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a losing record. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. UTEP is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 games against a winning team. I'll lay the points on the road with Boise in this one. | |||||||
09-22-22 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle with a tough loss on Wednesday to the A's, 1-2. The loss puts the Mariners in 3rd place in the AL Wild Card race, 1/2 game back of Tampa Bay and 2.5 games back of Toronto. However, they still maintain a 4-game lead over 4th place Baltimore. George Kirby will look to get the M's back in the win column today. Kirby is 7-4 in his 22 starts with a 2.98 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA. The A's can continue to be a thorn in the side of the Mariners and Adrian Martinez will try and do just that. Martinez is 4-5 in is nine starts with a 5.77 ERA. Martinez has allowed 11 runs over his last 8 2/3 innings. I'm going to lay the RUN line here today with the Mariners. | |||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. | |||||||
09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. | |||||||
09-18-22 | Aces v. Sun | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 55 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun are like a cat with nine lives. They are now 4-0 in elimination games this playoff season. And now they face another one here in game four. The Sun pulled away in the 4th quarter of game four for an easy win to keep the series alive and force another game. So here we are, game four. A win and we go back to Vegas for a decisive game five. I like the Sun to once again show they are not an easy out. Take the Sun to force game five. | |||||||
09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. | |||||||
09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. | |||||||
09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas came oh so close to pulling the big upset last week over No 1 Alabama. Bama had to kick a last second field to pull out the win. Texas had to give their all in that game and wonder what effect that will have on them here this week. They have to have a letdown after that close upset of the Tide. Texas had trouble with the Bama rushing attack that gained 161 yards and 6.7 yards per attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have a high powered offense. They are Ranked 31st in the nation after two weeks. They average 129 yards rushing and 348 yards passing thus far. They basically picked up where they left off last year as they averaged 36.9 ppg in 2021 which tied them for 11th in the nation. They are led by senior QB Harris who was great last year with 3177 yards and 27 TD's. He should give Texas plenty of problems this week. Add to that the letdown week for Texas and this is a perfect spot for UTSA. | |||||||
09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 6 m | Show | |
It's a Big-10 vs SEC matchup today as Penn State heads South to take on the Auburn Tigers. Auburn beat San Jose State last week at home, 24-16 as a 22.5 point favorite. The Tigers had 379 total yards with 211 of those coming on the ground. Auburn ranked 56th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 438 total yards per game. The defense comes in at 38th and allows 300 yards per game. Penn State played host to Ohio U last week and had little trouble in a 46-10 win as a 24.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions had 234 yards rushing and 338 yards passing in the win. Penn State ranked 24th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 489 total yards. The defense not quite as good, ranked 64th and allowing 345 yard per game. These clubs met last year at Happy Valley and the Nittany Lions won 28-20 as a 4-point home favorite. Auburn had 367 yards in that game while Penn State had 392. Auburn a small home dog here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this one. | |||||||
09-17-22 | BYU +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
BYU was in a battle last week with Baylor, but came out on top in the end, 26-20, as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Cougars and Bears were pretty even statistically and neither team had a turnover. BYU had 283 yards passing compared to just 137 by Baylor. Oregon got thumped in week one at Georgia, 3-49 as a 16-point road dog. They licked their wounds last week with a win over FCS team Eastern Washington, 70-14. But really what does that tell us? Nothing. They beat up on a team they should have. That beating though by Georgia does loom big to me. Now they are hosting a very good BYU squad. Until I see more out of Oregon I'll have to be on the BYU side here on Saturday. | |||||||
09-17-22 | Oklahoma v. Nebraska +11 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-0 Oklahoma Sooners travel to Norman to take on the 1-2 Nebraska Cornhuskers this week. The Huskers begin a new era as gone is HC Scott Frost and Mickey Joseph takes over as interim coach. For the players, they can look to turn around a bad start to the season. Oklahoma is playing under a rookie head coach in Brent Venabales. The Sooners are off to a fast 2-0 start and play their first road game of the season here today. Oklahoma has a high powered offense, but it didn't look like it last week as they led Kent State by just a 7-3 halftime score. They did eventually pull away in the 2nd half to beat the Golden Flashes, 33-3 as a 32-point favorite. I believe the coaching change at Nebraska will give some new life to the Huskers this week. Oklahoma has shown they are maybe not as good as expected so this could be a Nebraska upset this week. I'll still take the points with Nebraska. | |||||||
09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky had the Week off to prepare for Indiana this week. They played in week 1 at Hawaii and walked away with an easy win and cover, 49-17, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers are now 2-0 on the season after winning in week 0 over Austin Peay, 38-37. Indiana ranks 71st overall in offense with Western Kentucky right on their heels at 72nd. Western ranks 61st on defense with Indiana coming in at 86th. One big difference is red-zone efficiency. Indiana is just 49%, scoring TD's in three of their seven red zone ventures. Meanwhile, Western is much better at 74%, scoring TD's on seven of their 10 tries. This is the first meeting in the last five years between these teams. I have to take the dog here today as both teams very even and I even give the edge to Western. So Indiana laying nearly a TD is way too much. Play Western Kentucky. | |||||||
09-16-22 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas City travels to Beantown today to face the Boston Red Sox. The Royals are coming off a road loss last night at Minnesota, 2-3. That makes three losses in a row for the Twins and seven of the last nine. Jon Heasley starts tonight for the Sox with a 3-8 record and 5.51 ERA. That number goes up last seven starts with a 2-4 record and 6.75 ERA. Boston plays in the most competitive division in baseball as the other four teams all in playoff contention. Only last place Boston is out of the postseason. Michael Wacha has been the ACE of the staff this year with a 11-1 record and 2.69 ERA. At home he has been even better with a 5-1 record and 1.79 ERA. I'll lay the run line tonight with the Red Sox. | |||||||
09-15-22 | Aces v. Sun -1 | 76-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces on the verge of bring a first ever major championship banner to Las Vegas as they sit 2-0 in this best of five series. However, Connecticut might still have something to say about the outcome. The Sun have the leagues top 3 offense and defense. The Aces got out to an early lead in game two and never looked back as they cruised to the easy. It would be easy for the Sun to give it up here as they now have to win three straight and that has never happened in this playoff format. Still, I believe their is something left in the tank and they won't go down easy. I'll take a shot with the Sun tonight. | |||||||
09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. | |||||||
09-13-22 | Sun +4.5 v. Aces | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Game two of this best of five series has the Aces up one game to none. The Aces jumped out to a big lead in game one but found themselves fighting from behind in the 2nd half to finally take the win, but not cover the 6-point line. The first game was a defensive battle and that was expected as the Sun are top 3 in the WNBA in both offense and defense. The Aces struggled at times in their Seattle matchup and a few of the games came down to the wire. In fact, an OT win by Vegas that Seattle could have easily won changed the tide in that series. The Sun have covered 10 of their last 11 road games and are 17-5 ATS overall their last 22 games. Vegas has covered just one of their last five home games and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 WNBA Championship games. I'm taking the points with the Sun tonight and won't be shocked if they steal game two. | |||||||
09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. | |||||||
09-10-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Baylor had a softball tossed to them in the form of Albany last week and had little trouble with a easy win, 69-10. The Bears rolled-up 573 total yards with 259 of those coming on the ground. They held Albany to just 237 total yards. BYU had a little more difficult opponent, playing at South Florida, but with the same outcome. The Cougars easily beat SFU 50-21 as 11-point favorites. BYU had 573 total yards and allowed just 279. BYU returns a very good QB in Jaren Hall and in front of him one of the best offensive lines in college football. Baylor and BYU met last season in Waco, with the Bears coming out on top 38-24. Looks to be another wild game here in Provo. I'm sticking with the road dog in Baylor. | |||||||
09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 66 h 2 m | Show | |
This one looks to be a game mostly through the air as both teams lack much of a rushing attack, but both have excellent passing games. Houston escaped last week with a win over UTSA, 37-35, in OT on a two-point conversion. The Cougars will stay on the road this week as they travel to Texas Tech. Texas Tech also won their opening game against Murray State last week, 63-10. The only issue was the loss of QB Tyler Shough, who hurt his shoulder in the game. They will return to the player who started their last game of last season in QB, Donovan Smith. Smith should be fine back in the starting role and both teams should put up plenty of offense here today. I'll take the points with the road dog in this one. Play Houston. | |||||||
09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
It's always a great game when these two intrastate rivals clash. Both teams opened with wins in week one. Iowa State Cyclones had little issue at home with SE Missouri State, 42-10. They accumulated 569 total yards with 293 of those through the air. Iowa struggled though in week one, just getting by South Dakota State at home, 7-3. They had a measly 166 totals yards and held SDST to just 120 yards in what surely was a exciting game. The Cyclones have had their way in this series, covering seven of the last 10 in Iowa. I'm taking the visitor as I need to see more out of Iowa before I can lay points with them. Play Iowa State. | |||||||
09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. | |||||||
09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm | 97-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Both these teams putting on a great show in the playoffs as the LV Aces can wrap up the West and a spot in the finals with a win tonight. However, Seattle has proven way tougher in the postseason then in the regular season where LV took three of four games. Seattle could easily be the one looking to advance tonight after that heartbreaking loss in OT in game three. Vegas had to tie it up with just under two seconds remaining in regulation to force an OT or this is a different series heading into tonight. Will Seattle be able to come back here tonight after that heartbreaking game three loss? I believe they will. They have played great in all three games and given Vegas all they can handle. I look for this series to go the distance after Seattle wins tonight. | |||||||
09-06-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The Houston Astros have the AL West locked-up with a 87-48 record and 11-game lead over the Mariners. They also hold a 6-game lead over the Yankees for the best record in the A.L. So for now there is little pressure on this club. However, whenever their rivals for upstate come to down it's always makes for a great series. The Rangers have been horrible of late, losing 9-straight games, including last night's opener with the Astros, 0-1. Glenn Otto will try to wright the ship today as he's 6-8 in his 21 starts with a 4.82 ERA. Will be a tall order for Otto and the Rangers though as they face one of the best Astros pitchers in Framber Valdez. Valdez is 14-4 on the season with a 2.63 ERA. Valdez has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. He's also allowed more than three runs just one time in his 25 starts this season. Rest assured the Rangers won't score much here today. I'll take the Astros on the Run line against a poor starter in Otto. | |||||||
09-06-22 | Sky v. Sun | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Chicago has had the Connecticut number all season, going 4-0 against the Sun. The last two games winning by three points. Chicago has also covered three of their four matches. These two teams are about as evenly matched as any two teams in the playoffs have been. Their games seem to come down to the final moments. Everyone seems to be siding with Chicago in this one as they have always came out on top against the Sun. I, however, will be on the Sun tonight. I look for them to finally get a win at home against the Sky. You can make a case by the numbers for either team, this one is based on my own numbers and experience. I'm taking Connecticut to pull this game out. | |||||||
09-05-22 | Clemson -21 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 339 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers let down a lot of bettors last year. While they were good on defense, the offense just didn't generate enough to cover big numbers. The Tigers made some moves in the offseason to improve the offense and we should see much improvement in that area. Georgia Tech might have a very long day in this one as their defense and in particular the DL, is not very good. Clemson should wear them down on the ground which will also open the passing attack. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will show how good they are as they stifle this Yellow Jacket offense. Three touchdowns plus seems like a hill to climb, but not for the Clemson team against GT. I'll gladly lay the lumber in this one. Play Clemson. | |||||||
09-04-22 | Aces v. Storm | 110-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Game three here in the Western Semi-Finals is a dog fight as the Aces and Storm are tied at one game each. The Storm shocked the Aces in game one by stealing that game on the Las Vegas home court. So that means home court back in the Storm's court now. The Aces have averaged 90.4 ppg this season, much higher than the 78.4 ppg that the Storm have allowed. Breanna Stewart has been amazing for the Storm, as she had 21 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists in game two vs Washington in round one. The Aces have a dominant team, and while I believe we saw the best the Storm could do in game one, I like them to stay close here today with Stewart unstoppable. The Storm are a 1-point home favorite for a reason and I believe that's because they are going to win this game. Take Seattle. | |||||||
09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Marquee matchup here on the Week 1 Saturday college football schedule. Notre Dame's head coach Marcus Freeman is a alum of Ohio State so he will have his own sort of homecoming here tonight. Freeman took over for Brian Kelly last season and took them to the Feista Bowl last season where they lost to Oklahoma State, 35-37. Ohio State was 11-2 last season and won the Rose Bowl. Was this a down season for them? For many, yes it was. They had high expectations of making the playoff four, but missed out. They also lost to rivals Michigan and lost in the Big 10 Championship. However, this year should be different with 11 starters returning. This game today has No 2 Ohio State and No 5 Notre Dame. However, with the oddsmaker posting a 17-point line on the underdog Irish we have to wonder if they are telling us right off the bat that this Irish team isn't a No 5 ranked club. These teams have met six times with Ohio State holding a 4-2 edge. Moreover, all four OSU wins have come by at least 13-points. I believe that OSU has too much firepower for this Notre Dame. In my rankings I have Notre Dame closer to No 20 and not No 5. There is a huge difference between these teams and it will show here on Saturday. I'm taking Ohio State in a blowout win. | |||||||
09-03-22 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Ohio | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic plays their second game of the young season here today after a thorough trouncing of Charlotte last week, 43-13, as a 7-point favorite. FAU had 223 yards rushing and 264 yards passing while holding Charlotte to just 283 total yards. Ohio plays its first game of the season today and looks to improve on a poor 22.6 ppg average last season. The defense is not good, allowing 30 ppg and 431 yards last season. Ohio is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. With FAU having that game under their belt, I like their offense to get plenty of points here today. Ill take Florida Atlantic. | |||||||
09-03-22 | Texas State +1 v. Nevada | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas State making their 2022 debut here in week 1, while Nevada saw action last week. Nevada Wolfpack played at New Mexico State and came away with the 23-12 win and covered the 7-point spread. However, the Nevada offense was pretty pathetic, gaining 257 total yards against a pretty bad team. They also had just 78 total passing yards in the win. The difference were the five turnovers the Wolfpacked forced last week. Texas State looks to bolster their passing attack this season with transfer QB Layne Hatcher who comes over from Arkansas State. But the bigger problem for this team is its defense, which allowed 33 points per game and 430 yards. Texas State might push the running game here today as New Mexico State highlighted a poor Nevada rush defense that gave up 218 yards on the ground. Nevada has typically started slowly, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 September games. Nevada was fortunate last week that they got five turnovers and played offensively weak New Mexico State team. You would have thought a much larger margin of victory given the turnovers. Now they face a much more balanced offense in Texas State. Both teams should get their share of points today but I'll take the visitors in this one. Play Texas State. | |||||||
09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
North Carolina opened its season last week vs Florida A&M. While the Tar Heels won 56-24, they failed to cover the 43.5-point spread. This is the first time NCU will play at Boone, though the teams did meet in Chapel Hill back in 2019 with App State beating NCU, 34-31. NCU started a freshman QB last week in Drake Maye, who was very good, though it was against a poor Florida A&M squad. Now he will face a App State team that was 33rd in total defense last year. App State returns QB Chase Brice who threw for 3,337 yards and 27 TD's last season. They also had a rushing attack that averaged just under 200 yards per game. Add to the fact that this offensive line returns four starters and they have high expectations for the offense this year. I look for a high scoring game here today especially with App State against a poor NCU defense. I'll take App State today. | |||||||
09-02-22 | Cubs v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
These two old rivals begin a 3-game set today from St Louis. The Cardinals have opened up a 6.5-game lead in the NL Central over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cards took two of their three games from the Reds, including Thursday's contest, 5-3. That makes them 4-1 in their last five games. Jordan Montgomery will start today for the Red Birds with a 7-3 record in his 26 starts and a 3.28 ERA. He is off a tough start where he went five innings vs the Braves and allowed eight hits and five runs. That snapped a streak of four games where he had allowed a total of just one total run. The Cubs were able to salvage the final game of their three game set with the Blue Jays, winning 7-5 to get one win. Adrian Sampson will start today with a 1-4 record in his 12 starts and a 4.35 ERA. The Cardinals have all the momentum and should win this game going away. Lay the Run line with the Cardinals. | |||||||
09-02-22 | Ottawa +4 v. Montreal | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Week 13 of the CFL is upon us as Ottawa takes on Montreal at the Molson Stadium. The Ottawa Redblacks have split their last four games while Montreal has split their last eight games. The Redblacks have covered five of their last six road games and are 4-1 ATS vs the East. Meanwhile, Montreal is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. What's somewhat surprising is that Ottawa is 9-0 in their last nine trips to Montreal. Ottawa getting four points here tonight looks like a lot to me. I'll take the points with the Redblacks. | |||||||
09-01-22 | Central Michigan +22 v. Oklahoma State | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has a lot to be looking forward to this season after a 6-2 record in the MAC last season. They just missed the MAC Championship game, losing a wild contest to Northern Illinois, 38-39. Oklahoma State must have a bad taste in its mouth after just missing out on a College Football Playoff berth last year. The Cowboys missed beating Baylor in the Big 12 Championship by just two yards, failing to score a TD on four shots from the two. I expect Central Michigan to cover this big spread today as the Cowboys will be slow out of the gate this season. Play Central Michigan. | |||||||
08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
While the Braves hope to catch the Mets and win the division, they can take some comfort in knowing they have the top NL WildCard all but locked-up. The Braves have a 8.5 game lead over 2nd place Philly. With the Mets having to play the Dodgers, the Braves hope to make a move on them and it starts tonight. Max Fried starts with a 12-4 record and 2.52 ERA. Fried has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts. The Rockies snapped a four game losing streak with a win over the Mets on Monday, 1-0. They have now scored one or no runs in three of their last four games. Jose Urena will start tonight with a 2-5 record and 6.35 ERA. He's been much worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 9.19 ERA. I'm taking the Mets on the Run Line in what should be a rout tonight. | |||||||
08-28-22 | Storm +6 v. Aces | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces took the overall first place as the best team in the regular season. Then their head coach, Becky Hammon, was named Coach of the Year. The only thing missing, a WNBA Championship and the Seattle Storm are standing in their way. The Aces are coming off a 1st round sweep the Phoenix Mercury, taking game two by 37-points. Seattle also had little trouble in their opening round with the Washington Mystics, sweeping them in two games. The Aces have won three of the four meetings with the Storm this year. While Vegas had their way with Seattle in the regular season, this isn't the regular season. One person the Aces wish they had was Dearica Hamby. Hamby injured her knee back on August 10th vs the Atlanta Dream and will miss today's contest. Some generous points here today to be had with the Storm. Would I be shocked by a Storm upset today? No, but I'll take the points and look for them to be close at the final buzzer. Take Seattle. | |||||||
08-28-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies got the shut-out win over the Pirates on Saturday, 6-0. That makes six straight wins for the Phillies, including two straight over the Bucs. They have outscored the Bucs in the two games, 13-4. Noah Syndergaard gets the start today for Philly with a 8-8 overall record in 19 starts and a 3.77 ERA. He's been slightly better of late with a 3-2 record in seven starts with a 3.63 ERA. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has lost seven straight after their setback on Saturday. They have also been outscored 14-54 over their last six games. Roansy Contreras will start today for Pitsburgh. Contreras is 2-4 in 11 starts with a 3.90 ERA. That ERA goes up to 4.89 ERA over his last seven starts. With Atlanta or NY having a strangle hold on the NL top Wild Card, it's a battle for the final two. Right now Philly has that 2nd spot, 2.5 games ahead of the Padres and five games ahead of the Brewers. They know they need wins against teams like Pittsburgh to keep their postseason hopes going. Take Philly on the Run Line today. | |||||||
08-27-22 | Duquesne +42 v. Florida State | 7-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this 2022 campaign having four straight losing seasons. HC Mike Norvell will begin his third season at the helm and the pressure is likely on his now to turn this team around. The Seminoles did close out last season winning five of their final eight games after an 0-4 start to the season. The Noles did lose to an FCS school last year to Jacksonville State, their first ever to a FCS team. FSU looks to start the season with a win for the first time since 2016. Duquesne beat TCU last year, so they know how to beat FBS schools. The Dukes finished last year at 7-3. Good news for the team, they return their leading rusher and passer from last year. While 42 points is lot to lay, is should be close in this one. I'm taking the points with Duke as they likely will have to pass quite a bit here today. Take the points as they appear to be just a mountain too tall for this FSU team to lay today. | |||||||
08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
This game takes place all the way over in Dublin. No, not as in Dublin, Ohio but it's Dublin Ireland. This looks to be the best game of the opening days even though Nebraska coming off a 3-9 2021 season. HC Scott Frost will be on the hot seat as Husker fans will expect wins and early. Northwestern was also 3-9 last season so should be a good matchup of teams in rebuilding modes. Northwestern was also 3-9 ATS last season. Northwestern returns RB Evan Hull who rushed for over 1,000 yards last year. They also have four starters back on the OL, which will help Hull again. So why is Nebraska a 13-point favorite here on a neutral field? I have no idea. I see these teams at most a TD difference and really less than that. They are equally matched and while Nebraska has the pressure on it to win, I'm taking these generous points with the WildCats. Play Northwestern. | |||||||
08-26-22 | Yankees v. A's +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 112 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Yankees have won four straight games after their win over the A's on Thursday, 13-4. While the Yankees offense hasn't exploded in some time, the 13 runs last night was more than their previous three games combined. Gerrit Cole gets the start tonight for the Yankees with a 9-6 record in his 25 starts and a 3.41 ERA. Cole hasn't been that good of late, posting a 1-4 record in his last seven starts and a 4.30 ERA. The A's will counter tonight with JP Sears. Sears has been a bright spot in what has otherwise been a bad season. Sears has started five games and has a 4-0 record and 1.04 ERA. He's coming off a win over the Mariners as a +1.9 dog, allowing just one run over five innings for the win. I'm taking the Run Line here with the A's since I get +1.5 runs and still a plus money line. Play Oakland on the money line. | |||||||
08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders -1 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Raiders HC Josh McDaniels looks to finish the preseason a perfect 4-0 and he'd like nothing better than to do it against the team he was offensive coordinator for, New England Patriots. The Raiders have yet to play any of their starters and don't expect to see them here tonight either. Ex-Patriot QB Jarrett Stidham has been excellent for the Raiders in the preseason and he should be since he was under McDaniels in New England. As for the Pats, QB Mac Jones could see some action, but expect a lot of Brian Hoyer and Bailey Zappe here tonight. Hoyer already has the backup spot to Jones, so he likely won't be in any mode to win and show off here tonight. The Pats are weak at WR and that will be good for the Raiders defense here tonight, which has played very well in the preseason. I don't see the Pats caring much for this game while McDaniels would love nothing more than to finish the preseason with a win over his former team. Take the Raiders. | |||||||
08-26-22 | Hamilton -1 v. Toronto | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams should be very tired of seeing each other by now as this is the third time in four weeks that they will have met. They met in week 9 and week 10 with the home team winning both time. Both teams also look to rebound after losing their last time out. Hamilton lost to Montreal, 28-29, while Toronto lost to Calgary, 19-22. I look for a close game here tonight between two evenly matched teams. That being said, the points look the way to go as Hamilton can win this game outright. Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats. | |||||||
08-25-22 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Looks lie the Minnesota Twins are going to have a uphill battle to make the Playoffs. They were in 1st for a good portion of the season, but now have fallen back and trail the Wild Card race by four-games with four teams ahead of them. Won't get any easier as they play at 1st place Houston tonight. The Twins are already in a 5-game losing streak. Chris Archer will try to turn that around with a 2-6 record and 4.02 ERA. The Astros have won three straight and five of their last seven games. Luis Garcia will toe the rubber for the Astros with a 10-8 record and 4.01 ERA. The way the Twins are struggling, I'll lay the Run-Line here with the Astros. | |||||||
08-25-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 125 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Reason: Tampa Bay holding onto that top Wild Card slot at 1.5 games up right now for that race. They are in contention with two other AL East tames, the Jays and the Orioles. The Mariners hold the third spot currently with the Jays second. The Rays are looking for the four-game sweep here tonight vs the Angels. They have outscored LA in the three games, 17-5. They will face Patrick Sandoval today who is 4-8 in his 20 starts with a 2.97 ERA. The Rays will counter with Drew Rasmussen who is 8-2 in his 21 starts and a 2.82 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 5-1 record in 10 starts and a 1.99 ERA. I'll lay the Run Line here early on Thursday with the Rays. | |||||||
08-23-22 | Sky -6.5 v. Liberty | 90-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Not many gave the Liberty a chance in this series. Especially the home crowd. The Sky could have won the first two games at home and this game at NY would never have been. Instead the Liberty took game one at Chicago as a 9-point dog and the split on the road gets them the home game tonight. Chicago is the defending WNBA champion, so don't expect them to fold under the pressure tonight. They reminded everyone of just that with a 32-point blowout win in game two of this series. Chicago had the 2nd best road record in the WNBA so playing here in NY tonight shouldn't bother them. NY is the team with no pressure tonight, but for me, I know the Sky are the much better team and they won't let this road venue bother them. I'll lay the points with Chicago. | |||||||
08-23-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Reason: The Braves will make the postseason and be able to defend their Championship. They are 8-games in front of the next team for the top Wild Card slot. However, they still have the Mets in their sights for the AL East, just three-games back. The Braves beat Pittsburgh in game one of this three-game set last night, 2-1. Tonight, they will send Max Fried to the hill with a 11-4 record in his 23 starts and a 2.60 ERA. Fried has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last 10 starts. The Pirates have lost three straight games, due in part to the bad bullpen of late which has a 6.12 ERA over its last seven games. J.T. Brubaker will start today for the Bucs with a 3-10 record and 4.19 ERA over his 23 starts. Brubaker has pitched better than his 3-10 indicates, but again, this is Pittsburgh. I'll take the Braves and lay the Run Line. | |||||||
08-23-22 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Reason: Game one of this doubleheader here on Tuesday has the St Louis Cardinals taking on the Chicago Cubs. St Louis trailed Milwaukee in the NL Central back in late July. Now, some 3-weeks Plus later they sit 5-games in 1st place over the Brewers. Adam Wainwright is 9-8 on the season with a 3.11 ERA. He's been better of late with a 3-1 record in his last seven starts and a 3.02 ERA. Wainwright has allowed one run or zero in four of his last five starts. The Chicago Cubs had their five-game win streak snapped by the Brewers and then lost again last night in the opening game of this series, 0-1. The Cubs have called up Javier Assad to start game one here today. Assad has a 2.66 ERA this year in both Double-A and Triple-A combined. Whether Assad's good play will carry over to the big league we'll see. I'm sticking with a very strong Cards team today and laying the run line. | |||||||
08-22-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The Angels and Rays begin a four-game set tonight from Tampa Bay. The Angels have lost two-straight games and five of their last six. Tucker Davidson makes his sixth start of the season. Davidson is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA. He has a slightly higher 6.00 ERA in his two road starts. Tampa Bay has won two straight games and has improved to 65-55 on the season. The Rays, Jays and Mariners are all tied for the top three Wild Card slots, with the Twins and Orioles 2.5-games back. Jeffrey Springs starts for the Rays today. Springs is 4-3 in his 16 starts with a nifty 2.85 ERA. He has allowed just three total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). I'll take the home club here today as LA has to make the long trip East and that is never easy. Lay the Run Line with the Tampa Bay Rays. | |||||||
08-20-22 | 49ers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 34 m | Show |
The Vikings lost their first preseason game of the year at Las Vegas last Sunday, 20-26. They were a bit shorthanded too, with 13 players not dressing or playing including Dalvin Cook, QB Kirk Cousins and WR Justin Jefferson among the notables. The San Francisco 49ers are coming off a win in week one over the Green Bay Packers, 28-21. The 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan is 6-7 S/U and 6-5-1 in his last 13 preseason games. The Vikings named Kevin O'Connell the head coach earlier this year. O'Connell was the offensive coordinator for the Super Bowl Champion Rams last year. It's expected that O'Connell will bring some explosive offensive schemes to this team with the talent they have on offense. Under O'Connell, the Rams QB Matthew Stafford and WR Cooper Kupp both had career seasons in 2021. The Vikings play at home here on Saturday and even though they played well at Las Vegas last week, I expect them to play much better this week as we'll likely get some starters in on the action. The 49ers will be hurting, especially on the offensive line where they suffered some injuries last week. This looks to be a perfect spot with the new coach at home making his debut before the home crowd. We saw that last week with the Raiders coach Josh McDaniels. Take the Vikings this week. | |||||||
08-19-22 | Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
The Miami Marlins took two of three games from the San Diego Padres, though they dropped the rubber game on Thursday, 3-10. Tonight they move a bit North to LA to take on team with the best record in baseball, the Dodgers. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo who is 3-5 with a 3.72 ERA in his nine starts. The Dodgers are coming off a split of their four game series in Milwaukee, dropping last night's contest, 3-5. They have now won 14 of their last 17 games. Tyler Anderson has been great this year for the Dodgers with a 12-2 record in his 20 starts. Anderson has a 2.84 ERA overall, 2.30 at home and 2.25 in his last seven starts. The Dodgers should have little trouble with this Marlins team. I'm laying the Run Line. | |||||||
08-18-22 | Rockies v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals look for the 3-game sweep here today from the Colorado Rockies. The Cardinals have leapt into 1st place in the NL Central Division with a 65-51 record and a 3-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers. Adam Wainwright will toe the rubber today for the Red Birds. Wainwright is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 3.27 ERA. He's been better at home with a 4-3 record in 12 starts and a 2.30 ERA. The Rockies have lost four straight games heading into today's action. Antonio Senzatela starts today for Colorado with a 3-6 record and 4.67 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road where he is 0-4 in seven starts with a 5.50 ERA. I look for the Cardinals to continue their dominance over the Rockies and extend their win streak here today. I'll lay the Run Line with Wainwright and the Cards. | |||||||
08-17-22 | Liberty +10 v. Sky | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Game one of the best of three tonight in Chicago has the Sky hosting the NY Liberty. Chicago is looking to be the first back-to-back champions as they begin defense of their 2021 crown. The Liberty are led by record setting guard Sabrina Lonescu who was the first player with 500+ points as well as 200+rebounds and 200+assists. The Sky can't overlook the Liberty in this series. The Liberty had the 2nd best defense rating over the last two weeks. Chicago was 3-1 S/U vs the Liberty this year, however the Liberty owned the spread record at 2-1-1 ATS. I believe this line is too high for a very good defensive team like New York. I'll take the Liberty plus the heafty points here tonight. | |||||||
08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Dodgers continue their assault over both leagues as they have now won their 11th-game in a row after Friday's win over the Royals, 8-3. Tony Gonsolin had a no hitter into the 7th before a pair of his drove him from the game. Today, it looks to be a repeat of yesterday as Andrew Heaney takes to the mound for his 7th start of the season. Heany has been excellent with a 1-0 record and 0.64 ERA his his six starts. Only the Giants and Indians cracked the scoreboard against his thus far. The Royals counter with Brad Keller who is 6-12 in his 21 starts with a 4.60 ERA. Really doesn't matter who the Royals throw on the hill here today, they won't be stopping this offense of the Dodgers. I'll lay the Run Line with LA. | |||||||
08-13-22 | Panthers +1.5 v. Washington Commanders | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 2 m | Show | |
The Washington Commanders have shook up their defense by firing their defensive line coach Sam Mills III just weeks before the season starts. Jeff Zgonina will take over for him. Usually coaching changes are done during the off season, not weeks before a new season starts. Both these teams looking to rebound from losing 2021 campaigns. Washington Coach Ron Rivera is 20-17 S/U and 19-16-1 ATS in his preseason career as a head coach. Panthers head coach Matt Rhule looks to have made some decent off season moves to a team that already has a very good defense. Baker Mayfield comes over to Carolina from Cleveland to compete with Sam Darnold for the starting spot. That could be good for bettors in preseason as the team needs to see which QB gels with the team. I'm going to take the Panthers here today as I expect to see one of these QB's get some decent playing time and that will be good for us bettors. Play Carolina plus the points. | |||||||
08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Dodgers have the best record in baseball and not only that, they have won 10-straight games! They have an amazing lineup of hitters, the starting staff is among the best in baseball and their relief pitching has been outstanding. All the elements of another Dodgers run to the World Series? Well, the Mets might have something to say about that. But, the Royals will not today. Tony Gonsolin is 13-1 and coming off another solid performance where he allowed no runs and just three hits over five innings. The Royals have been playing decent, winning two straight and five of their last six. Daniel Lynch will start today with a 4-7 record and 4.79 ERA. He's actually slightly worse at home with a 1-3 record in seven starts and a 5.97 ERA. I'm sticking with the red-hot Dodgers and laying the run line! | |||||||
08-10-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers lost game one of this three game set with their instate rivals, Houston. The Astros took game one, 7-5 on Tuesday. The Rangers dropped to 48-61 and have no postseason hopes. Glenn Otto starts today with a 4-8 record in his 16 starts and a 5.31 ERA. Otto has been ok of late but the team has not won any of his last seven starts and Otto is 0-5 during that same span. The Houston Astros are cruising to their AL West Championship with a 71-40 record and 11.5-games ahead of 2nd place Seattle. Their ACE, Just Verlander will toe the rubber today. Verlander is 15-3 in his 20 starts with a 1.73 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 7-0 record in his last seven starts and a 0.76 ERA. I'm going to lay the Run Line here with the Astros and look for an easy win. | |||||||
08-10-22 | Liberty +4.5 v. Wings | 91-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The WNBA down to just a handful of regular season games. Eight teams will make the playoffs and New York needs to win out to really have a shot. The Liberty are 13-20 on the season and tied for 9th in the league. They are just a half game behind the final playoff spot held by Atlanta. That means wins are imperative for the club. Meanwhile Dallas has clinched a playoff spot with a 17-16 record. The Wins are in 6th place and look to be locked into that spot as they trail 5th place Washington by two games. The Wings look to have nothing to play for these final games while the Liberty will be playing for their playoff lives. I'll take New York plus the points here today. | |||||||
08-05-22 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Ottawa finally break into the win column last game with a win to make them 1-6 on the season. Conversely, Calgary (4-2) is looking to break their first losing streak of the season. The Calgary Stampeders might be without their head coach Dave Dickerson who was forced to remain home with Covid protocols. Ottawa got their first win of the season with a win over Toronto last Sunday, 23-13. The Redblacks have been without injured QB Jeremiah Masoli. However, his replacement, Caleb Evans, who had a career high 82.8% completion last week and has now thrown 90 passes without an INT. Calgary is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. Tonight they are laying five point on the road. I'll take the Redblacks here tonight and won't be surprised by an outright win. Play Ottawa. | |||||||
08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
The Mets closed out their series with the Marlins with a win on Sunday, 9-3. The Win extended the Mets win streak to six games with the sweep of Miami. The Mets need every win as the Braves are hot on their heals just four games back in the NL East. The Mets will start Max Scherzer here on Monday. Scherzer is 6-2 on the season with a 2.09 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 2-1 mark in his last seven starts and a 1.40 ERA. Scherzer hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last seven starts. The Nationals lost two of their three games to St Louis after Sunday's setback, 0-5. Pat Corbin makes his 22nd start today. Corbin has had a rough season with a 4-14 record and 6.49 ERA. He's allowed at least five runs in each of his last three starts. The Mets need wins against teams like this to keep their lead in the division and with Scherzer on the hill I'll lay the Run line with New York. | |||||||
07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan | 32-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Week 8 CFL action has the BC Lions playing at the Saskatchewan Rough Riders. BC is led by QB Rourke who has been one of the best QB's in the league. Rourke averages over 300 yards passing per week and a completion rate that is well above 70#. He also has 14 TD's and 6 INT's. Rourke should have a field day against this RoughRider team that has allowed 30 points or more in each of the last two games. The RoughRiders secondary has allowed the second most passing yards in the league (281) and the second most TD's. This BC team also has a solid defense that held Hamilton to just 12 points last week. I look for a BC win here tonight. | |||||||
07-27-22 | Cardinals v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals have lost two straight games after dropping game one of this series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday, 3-10. The Cardinals have closed the gap on the Brewers in the NL Central, now back just 3-games. Adam Wainwright will start today for the red birds. Wainwright is 6-8 in his 19 starts with a 3.40 ERA. He's been a bit worse lately, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 4.36 ERA. The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, winning seven straight games. Still, they are really fighting for a AL Wild Card since they still trail the Yankees by 11.5-games. Kevin Gausman will get the start today for the Jays with a 7-7 record and 3.00 ERA. Gausman has allowed more than three runs only once in his 18 starts this year. I'll lay the Run line today with a very hot Jays team and Gausman. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Matt Fargo | $1,108 |
Dr. Chuck | $1,048 |
Tim Michael | $978 |
ProSportsPicks | $867 |
Alex Smart | $722 |
Jim Feist | $609 |
Jimmy Boyd | $535 |
Rocky Atkinson | $384 |
John Martin | $378 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |